Predictions
Ongoing probability research with virtual stakes and bankrolls. Compare model and bookmaker probabilities.
Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.
23 picks shown with Betfair Exchange prices. Recorded performance covers all suggestions for the selected tier and markets.
Board
Matches
FenerbahçevSK Slavia PrahaUEFA Champions League2 won / 0 lost · +2.07u · 2 picks
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 18
- Reconstructed matches
- 18
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 55.0%
- Break-even odds
- 1.82
- Expected value at recommendation
- +13.8%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 55.0% · Break-even odds 1.82. Expected value at recommendation: +13.8%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 18 settled picksand +10.4% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
Model chance55.0%EV+13.8%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.07Closing odds—9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.008 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.128 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.956 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.956 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.028 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.9515 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.957 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPinnacleClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.031 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 10:02: over 3.5 at 2.07 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 30
- Reconstructed matches
- 30
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 55.8%
- Break-even odds
- 1.79
- Expected value at recommendation
- +11.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 55.8% · Break-even odds 1.79. Expected value at recommendation: +11.7%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 30 settled picksand +5.0% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 3.5
Model chance55.8%EV+11.7%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.00Closing odds—8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.128 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.956 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.956 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.028 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.9515 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.957 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPinnacleClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.031 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.059 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 10:02: over 3.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Sabah FKvBorussia DortmundUEFA Champions League0 won / 2 lost · −2.00u · 2 picks
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 18
- Reconstructed matches
- 18
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 55.0%
- Break-even odds
- 1.82
- Expected value at recommendation
- +13.8%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 55.0% · Break-even odds 1.82. Expected value at recommendation: +13.8%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 18 settled picksand +10.4% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
Model chance55.0%EV+13.8%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.07Closing odds—9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.008 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.188 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.956 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.956 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.077 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.9514 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.957 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPinnacleClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.111 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 10:02: over 3.5 at 2.07 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 30
- Reconstructed matches
- 30
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 55.8%
- Break-even odds
- 1.79
- Expected value at recommendation
- +11.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 55.8% · Break-even odds 1.79. Expected value at recommendation: +11.7%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 30 settled picksand +5.0% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 3.5
Model chance55.8%EV+11.7%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.00Closing odds—8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.188 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.956 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.956 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.077 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.9514 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.957 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPinnacleClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.111 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.029 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 10:02: over 3.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
WolverhamptonvPortsmouthChampionship1 won / 0 lost · +0.90u · 1 pick
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 22
- Reconstructed matches
- 22
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 53.3%
- Break-even odds
- 1.88
- Expected value at recommendation
- +1.3%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 53.3% · Break-even odds 1.88. Expected value at recommendation: +1.3%.
At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 22 settled picksand +12.5% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 2.5
Model chance53.3%EV+1.3%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.90Closing odds—8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.007 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetfair ExchangeClosing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.087 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.906 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.906 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.066 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.956 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPinnacleClosing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.031 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.027 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:06: under 2.5 at 1.90 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 20 Oct, 12:11. The original pick remains in the results.
FC PortovPSV EindhovenUEFA Champions League0 won / 2 lost · −2.00u · 2 picks
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 18
- Reconstructed matches
- 18
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 49.9%
- Break-even odds
- 2.00
- Expected value at recommendation
- +15.8%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 49.9% · Break-even odds 2.00. Expected value at recommendation: +15.8%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 18 settled picksand +10.4% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
Model chance49.9%EV+15.8%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.32Closing odds—9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.308 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.568 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.256 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.156 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.337 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.2512 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.406 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 3.5 at 2.32 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 30
- Reconstructed matches
- 30
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 49.7%
- Break-even odds
- 2.01
- Expected value at recommendation
- +14.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 49.7% · Break-even odds 2.01. Expected value at recommendation: +14.2%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 30 settled picksand +5.0% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 3.5
Model chance49.7%EV+14.2%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.30Closing odds—8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.568 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.256 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.156 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.337 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.2512 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.406 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.429 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 3.5 at 2.30 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
LiverpoolvVillarrealUEFA Champions League2 won / 0 lost · +2.60u · 2 picks
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 18
- Reconstructed matches
- 18
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 50.3%
- Break-even odds
- 1.99
- Expected value at recommendation
- +15.6%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 50.3% · Break-even odds 1.99. Expected value at recommendation: +15.6%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 18 settled picksand +10.4% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
Model chance50.3%EV+15.6%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.30Closing odds—9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.387 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.528 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.256 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.256 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.358 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.2011 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.256 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 3.5 at 2.30 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 30
- Reconstructed matches
- 30
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 49.7%
- Break-even odds
- 2.01
- Expected value at recommendation
- +14.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 49.7% · Break-even odds 2.01. Expected value at recommendation: +14.2%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 30 settled picksand +5.0% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 3.5
Model chance49.7%EV+14.2%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.30Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.528 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.256 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.256 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.358 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.2011 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.256 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.409 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 3.5 at 2.30 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
NapolivBodø/GlimtUEFA Champions League2 won / 0 lost · +2.65u · 2 picks
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 18
- Reconstructed matches
- 18
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 49.4%
- Break-even odds
- 2.02
- Expected value at recommendation
- +16.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 49.4% · Break-even odds 2.02. Expected value at recommendation: +16.2%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 18 settled picksand +10.4% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
Model chance49.4%EV+16.2%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.35Closing odds—9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.108 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.208 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.156 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.156 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.288 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.1513 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.107 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPinnacleClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.151 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 3.5 at 2.35 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 30
- Reconstructed matches
- 30
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 49.7%
- Break-even odds
- 2.01
- Expected value at recommendation
- +14.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 49.7% · Break-even odds 2.01. Expected value at recommendation: +14.2%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 30 settled picksand +5.0% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 3.5
Model chance49.7%EV+14.2%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.30Closing odds—8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.208 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.156 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.156 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.288 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.1513 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.107 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPinnacleClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.151 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.279 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 3.5 at 2.30 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
RomavŠK Slovan BratislavaUEFA Champions League2 won / 2 lost · −0.76u · 4 picks
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 18
- Reconstructed matches
- 18
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 50.1%
- Break-even odds
- 2.00
- Expected value at recommendation
- +16.1%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 50.1% · Break-even odds 2.00. Expected value at recommendation: +16.1%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 18 settled picksand +10.4% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 4.5
Model chance50.1%EV+16.1%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.32Closing odds—11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—18 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 4.5 at 2.32 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 20 Oct, 12:22. The original pick remains in the results.
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 30
- Reconstructed matches
- 30
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 49.7%
- Break-even odds
- 2.01
- Expected value at recommendation
- +14.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 49.7% · Break-even odds 2.01. Expected value at recommendation: +14.2%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 30 settled picksand +5.0% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 4.5
Model chance49.7%EV+14.2%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.30Closing odds—9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—18 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 4.5 at 2.30 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 20 Oct, 12:30. The original pick remains in the results.
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 18
- Reconstructed matches
- 18
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 67.3%
- Break-even odds
- 1.49
- Expected value at recommendation
- +9.0%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 67.3% · Break-even odds 1.49. Expected value at recommendation: +9.0%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 18 settled picksand +10.4% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
Model chance67.3%EV+9.0%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.62Closing odds—11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.679 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.719 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.607 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.607 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.588 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.6018 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.576 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:22: over 3.5 at 1.62 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 30
- Reconstructed matches
- 30
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 66.7%
- Break-even odds
- 1.50
- Expected value at recommendation
- +7.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 66.7% · Break-even odds 1.50. Expected value at recommendation: +7.7%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 30 settled picksand +5.0% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 3.5
Model chance66.7%EV+7.7%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.61Closing odds—9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.719 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.607 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.607 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.588 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.6018 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.576 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.6611 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:31: over 3.5 at 1.61 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Manchester CityvAEK AthensUEFA Champions League2 won / 0 lost · +1.45u · 2 picks
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 18
- Reconstructed matches
- 18
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 64.2%
- Break-even odds
- 1.56
- Expected value at recommendation
- +10.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 64.2% · Break-even odds 1.56. Expected value at recommendation: +10.5%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 18 settled picksand +10.4% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
Model chance64.2%EV+10.5%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.72Closing odds—11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.738 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.749 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.657 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.657 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.678 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.6515 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.607 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPinnacleClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.691 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:21: over 3.5 at 1.72 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 30
- Reconstructed matches
- 30
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 63.1%
- Break-even odds
- 1.59
- Expected value at recommendation
- +8.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 63.1% · Break-even odds 1.59. Expected value at recommendation: +8.9%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 30 settled picksand +5.0% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 3.5
Model chance63.1%EV+8.9%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.73Closing odds—8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.749 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.657 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.657 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.678 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.6515 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.607 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPinnacleClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.691 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.7211 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:22: over 3.5 at 1.73 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
VfB StuttgartvAtlético MadridUEFA Champions League0 won / 2 lost · −2.00u · 2 picks
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 18
- Reconstructed matches
- 18
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 53.5%
- Break-even odds
- 1.87
- Expected value at recommendation
- +14.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 53.5% · Break-even odds 1.87. Expected value at recommendation: +14.9%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 18 settled picksand +10.4% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
Model chance53.5%EV+14.9%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.15Closing odds—9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.108 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.288 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.006 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.006 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.178 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.0012 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.107 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPinnacleClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.171 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 3.5 at 2.15 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 30
- Reconstructed matches
- 30
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 53.6%
- Break-even odds
- 1.87
- Expected value at recommendation
- +12.6%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 53.6% · Break-even odds 1.87. Expected value at recommendation: +12.6%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 30 settled picksand +5.0% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 3.5
Model chance53.6%EV+12.6%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.10Closing odds—8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.288 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.006 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.006 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.178 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.0012 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.107 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPinnacleClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.171 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.159 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 3.5 at 2.10 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Paris Saint-GermainvBarcelonaUEFA Champions League2 won / 0 lost · +2.50u · 2 picks
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 18
- Reconstructed matches
- 18
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 52.3%
- Break-even odds
- 1.91
- Expected value at recommendation
- +15.1%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 52.3% · Break-even odds 1.91. Expected value at recommendation: +15.1%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 18 settled picksand +10.4% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 4.5
Model chance52.3%EV+15.1%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.20Closing odds—11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 4.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.308 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 4.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.289 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 4.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.107 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 4.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.106 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 4.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.288 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 4.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.1020 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateover 4.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.207 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPinnacleClosing estimateover 4.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.251 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:20: over 4.5 at 2.20 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 30
- Reconstructed matches
- 30
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 49.7%
- Break-even odds
- 2.01
- Expected value at recommendation
- +14.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 49.7% · Break-even odds 2.01. Expected value at recommendation: +14.2%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 30 settled picksand +5.0% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 4.5
Model chance49.7%EV+14.2%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.30Closing odds—8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 4.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.289 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 4.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.107 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 4.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.106 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 4.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.288 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 4.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.1020 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateover 4.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.207 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPinnacleClosing estimateover 4.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.251 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 4.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.2011 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:22: over 4.5 at 2.30 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
LondrinavCuiabáBrasileirão Série B2 won / 0 lost · +1.29u · 2 picks
Prediction qualityAssessment unavailable
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
A validated quality assessment is not available.
- Unseen matches
- —
- Validation rounds
- —
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 281
- Reconstructed matches
- 281
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 63.4%
- Break-even odds
- 1.58
- Expected value at recommendation
- +2.4%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The combined model’s selected count distribution supplies the decision probability. Earlier bookmaker cell results select betting direction separately.
Model chance at recommendation 63.4% · Break-even odds 1.58. Expected value at recommendation: +2.4%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 281 settled picksand -1.3% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 2.5
Model chance63.4%EV+2.4%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.61Closing odds—6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetfair ExchangeClosing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.737 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.606 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.606 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.615 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.558 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.605 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPinnacleClosing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.681 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.627 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 16:21: under 2.5 at 1.61 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Prediction qualityAssessment unavailable
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
A validated quality assessment is not available.
- Unseen matches
- —
- Validation rounds
- —
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 73
- Reconstructed matches
- 73
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 63.4%
- Break-even odds
- 1.58
- Expected value at recommendation
- +6.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The combined model’s selected count distribution supplies the decision probability. Earlier bookmaker cell results select betting direction separately.
Model chance at recommendation 63.4% · Break-even odds 1.58. Expected value at recommendation: +6.2%.
At recommendation, Pinnacle’s overall market record had 73 settled picksand +1.3% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Pinnacleresult priceAt recommendationunder 2.5
Model chance63.4%EV+6.2%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.68Closing odds—1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.616 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetfair ExchangeClosing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.737 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.606 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.606 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.615 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.558 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.605 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.627 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 16:21: under 2.5 at 1.68 with Pinnacle. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 20 Oct, 16:28. The original pick remains in the results.
Selected day
Tue, 20 Oct 2026
All dates
Overall results
One unit per pick. Includes historical estimates at reference odds (1,895 settled). Display only; recorded performance and benchmarks exclude estimates. Recorded results: 28 Sept 2026 – 20 Oct 2026.
How to read this board
A simulated selection is one match, statistic, scope and direction. Bookmaker prices are alternatives for comparison, not additional stakes.
Results use one virtual unit per recorded selection at its recorded line and odds. The comparison bookmaker is labelled on each selection. These are simulated returns; no real money is wagered or won.
Earlier matches without a saved pre-match recommendation are labelled Historical estimate. They remain visible in the calendar and are excluded from daily and overall results.
Free and VIP use the same process. Their labels reflect the benchmark rules; one day's return cannot determine which will perform better.
Telegram reads these same recommendations and applies your tier, bookmaker preferences and delivery time. A message does not create an additional pick.