Predictions

Ongoing probability research with virtual stakes and bankrolls. Compare model and bookmaker probabilities.

Public beta · Virtual simulation

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

Independence, method & limitations

An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

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Board

Matches

19 matches

05:00

South Koreav

UzbekistanInternational Friendly Games0 won / 2 lost · −2.00u · 2 picks

Throw-ins · match total

Open match →FreeLost

under 35.5Actual: 38−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.256 Oct, 04:00

Closing odds—

Closing comparison in pick details

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Load bookmaker comparisons and the recommendation record.

Matches

Throw-ins · match total

Throw-ins · Uzbekistan total

Fouls · match total

Goal kicks · match total

Goal kicks · Kazakhstan total

Shots on target · Kazakhstan total

Throw-ins · match total

Corners · Jordan total

Corners · Venezuela total

Corners · Niger total

Cards · Moldova total

Fouls · match total

Fouls · Moldova total

Shots · Moldova total

Shots on target · Slovakia total

Throw-ins · Slovakia total

Cards · Albania total

Fouls · San Marino total

Shots · Albania total

Throw-ins · San Marino total

Corners · Slovenia total

Fouls · Scotland total

Shots · Scotland total

Shots on target · Scotland total

Throw-ins · match total

Throw-ins · Scotland total

Fouls · match total

Saves · match total

Saves · England total

Shots on target · England total

Throw-ins · Czechia total

Fouls · Belarus total

Fouls · Estonia total

Goal kicks · match total

Goal kicks · Estonia total

Goal kicks · Iceland total

Offsides · Estonia total

Shots · Estonia total

Fouls · North Macedonia total

Saves · Switzerland total

Saves · North Macedonia total

Throw-ins · North Macedonia total

Goal kicks · Croatia total

Corners · match total

Corners · Saint Martin total

Corners · Saint Vincent and the Grenadines total

Cards · match total

Cards · Argentina total

Cards · Benin total

Corners · match total

Corners · Argentina total

Corners · Benin total

Fouls · match total

Fouls · Argentina total

Fouls · Benin total

Goal kicks · match total

Shots · Argentina total

Shots on target · match total

Shots on target · Argentina total

Shots on target · Benin total

Throw-ins · match total

Throw-ins · Benin total

Cards · match total

Cards · Colombia total

Corners · Peru total

Fouls · match total

Fouls · Peru total

Goal kicks · match total

Throw-ins · match total

Throw-ins · Peru total

Corners · Canada total

Fouls · match total

Fouls · USA total

Fouls · Canada total

Offsides · match total

Offsides · Canada total

Shots on target · match total

Throw-ins · Canada total

Corners · match total