Belarus vs Finland 1-0 — UEFA Nations League

UEFA Nations LeagueUEFA Nations League 26/27

Belarus

1–0

HT 1–0

Finland

Tue 6 Oct·12:45·Matchday 4·Neutral venue·Stadion Rudolf Illovszky·Belarus won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

1Corners5
4Cards2
6Shots14
2Shots on target2
17Fouls11
26Throw-ins26
1Offsides1
6Goal kicks2
2Saves1
14Tackles12
13Interceptions5
3Dribbles6

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

Independence, method & limitations

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

StatsGem is independent. We are not a bookmaker, gambling operator, betting broker or bookmaker affiliate. We accept no bets or gambling deposits, hold no player funds and offer no cash prizes or withdrawals. Subscriptions pay for research access. Bookmaker names and logos identify data sources; they do not imply a partnership or endorsement.

Simulated performance does not predict real-world profit. Models can be wrong, odds can change, and historical results can overstate an apparent advantage. Gambling can cause financial harm and addiction. Get support

0Free available0VIP available1Recorded Free0Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

12:45

Belarusv

FinlandUEFA Nations League1 won / 0 lost · +1.50u · 1 pick

Fouls · Belarus total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 15.5Actual: 17+1.50u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.506 Oct, 11:50

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 15.5
At recommendation2.50
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetOriginal model estimate unavailableover 15.5
At recommendation2.30
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 6 Oct, 11:50: over 15.5 at 2.50 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return+150.0%ROI · 1 unit staked

Profit+1.50units

W / L1 / 0picks

Avg odds2.50settled picks

Recorded picks11 matches

Around this match

CompetitionUEFA Nations League Home teamBelarus Away teamFinland RefereeSascha Stegemann

Previous meetings

Tue 29 SepFinland 0-0 Belarus