Albania vs San Marino 2-1 — UEFA Nations League

UEFA Nations LeagueUEFA Nations League 26/27

Albania

2–1

HT 1–0

San Marino

Tue 6 Oct·12:45·Matchday 4·Air Albania·Albania won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

10Corners1
1Cards4
26Shots8
7Shots on target3
12Fouls21
15Throw-ins20
0Offsides1
4Goal kicks13
2Saves5
18Tackles11
12Interceptions17
4Dribbles7

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

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We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

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0Free available0VIP available4Recorded Free1Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

12:45

Albaniav

San MarinoUEFA Nations League3 won / 2 lost · +1.13u · 5 picks

Cards · Albania total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 1.5Actual: 1+0.88u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.886 Oct, 11:45

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 1.5
At recommendation1.88
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.48
No saved recommendation
Model chance65.5%EV-3.1%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.45
No saved recommendation
Model chance65.5%EV-5.0%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.50
No saved recommendation
Model chance65.5%EV-1.8%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 6 Oct, 11:45: under 1.5 at 1.88 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Fouls · San Marino total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 13.5Actual: 21−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.106 Oct, 11:45

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 13.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 13.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 13.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 6 Oct, 11:45: under 13.5 at 2.10 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 24.5Actual: 34+0.95u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.956 Oct, 12:01

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Archived model estimate: 73.7%
Minimum odds from archived estimate: 1.36
EV from archived model estimate: +43.7%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Archived model estimate 73.7% · Minimum odds from archived estimate 1.36. EV from archived model estimate: +43.7%.

Original odds and result stay fixed. The model estimate was saved 6 Oct, 04:35 before the announcement.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceArchived model estimateover 24.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance73.7%EV+43.7%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetArchived model estimateover 24.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance73.7%EV+43.7%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetOriginal model estimate unavailableover 24.5
At recommendation1.80
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 6 Oct, 12:01: over 24.5 at 1.95 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots · Albania total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 21.5Actual: 26+1.30u on one unit

Crocobetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.306 Oct, 11:45

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Archived model estimate: 67.7%
Minimum odds from archived estimate: 1.48
EV from archived model estimate: +55.6%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Archived model estimate 67.7% · Minimum odds from archived estimate 1.48. EV from archived model estimate: +55.6%.

Original odds and result stay fixed. The model estimate was saved 6 Oct, 04:35 before the announcement.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveOriginal model estimate unavailableover 21.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Crocobetresult priceArchived model estimateover 21.5
At recommendation2.30
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance67.7%EV+55.6%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetArchived model estimateover 21.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance67.7%EV+42.1%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 6 Oct, 11:45: over 21.5 at 2.30 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Throw-ins · San Marino total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 14.5Actual: 20−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.606 Oct, 11:45

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 14.5
At recommendation2.60
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 6 Oct, 11:45: under 14.5 at 2.60 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return+22.6%ROI · 5 units staked

Profit+1.13units

W / L3 / 2picks

Avg odds2.17settled picks

Recorded picks51 matches

Around this match

CompetitionUEFA Nations League Home teamAlbania Away teamSan Marino RefereeMehmet Turkmen

Match overview

Matches

Cards · Albania total

Fouls · San Marino total

Shots · match total

Shots · Albania total

Throw-ins · San Marino total

This match

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