Scotland vs Slovenia 1-2 — UEFA Nations League

UEFA Nations LeagueUEFA Nations League 26/27

Scotland

1–2

HT 1–0

Slovenia

Tue 6 Oct·12:45·Matchday 4·Hampden Park·Slovenia won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

1Corners4
2Cards4
12Shots10
6Shots on target3
11Fouls16
20Throw-ins14
0Offsides1
7Goal kicks8
0Saves5
18Tackles13
3Interceptions10
6Dribbles3

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

Independence, method & limitations

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

StatsGem is independent. We are not a bookmaker, gambling operator, betting broker or bookmaker affiliate. We accept no bets or gambling deposits, hold no player funds and offer no cash prizes or withdrawals. Subscriptions pay for research access. Bookmaker names and logos identify data sources; they do not imply a partnership or endorsement.

Simulated performance does not predict real-world profit. Models can be wrong, odds can change, and historical results can overstate an apparent advantage. Gambling can cause financial harm and addiction. Get support

0Free available0VIP available6Recorded Free0Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

12:45

Scotlandv

SloveniaUEFA Nations League2 won / 4 lost · −1.38u · 6 picks

Corners · Slovenia total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 3.5Actual: 4−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.906 Oct, 11:45

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Paddy PowerOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 3.5
At recommendation1.83
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Superbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 3.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
10 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.73
No saved recommendation
Model chance61.4%EV+6.1%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.65
No saved recommendation
Model chance61.4%EV+1.4%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance61.4%EV+7.5%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance61.4%EV+7.5%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.65
No saved recommendation
Model chance61.4%EV+1.4%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 6 Oct, 11:45: under 3.5 at 1.90 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Fouls · Scotland total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 11.5Actual: 11−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.906 Oct, 12:05

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 11.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.6%EV-14.3%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.50
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.6%EV-19.6%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.45
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.6%EV-22.3%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 6 Oct, 12:05: over 11.5 at 1.90 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots · Scotland total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 14.5Actual: 12+1.02u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.026 Oct, 11:45

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365Original model estimate unavailableunder 14.5
At recommendation1.83
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
CrocobetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 14.5
At recommendation1.65
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 14.5
At recommendation1.60
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Superbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 14.5
At recommendation2.02
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 14.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.48
No saved recommendation
Model chance71.5%EV+5.8%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 6 Oct, 11:45: under 14.5 at 2.02 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots on target · Scotland total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 4.5Actual: 6−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.056 Oct, 11:45

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 4.5
At recommendation2.05
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 4.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 4.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 4.5
At recommendation1.87
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.83
No saved recommendation
Model chance66.9%EV+22.6%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.68
No saved recommendation
Model chance66.9%EV+12.3%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 6 Oct, 11:45: under 4.5 at 2.05 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Throw-ins · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 37.5Actual: 34−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.656 Oct, 11:45

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 37.5
At recommendation2.65
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetOriginal model estimate unavailableover 37.5
At recommendation2.20
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetOriginal model estimate unavailableover 37.5
At recommendation2.35
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 6 Oct, 11:45: over 37.5 at 2.65 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Throw-ins · Scotland total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 19.5Actual: 20+1.60u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.606 Oct, 11:45

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 19.5
At recommendation2.60
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 6 Oct, 11:45: over 19.5 at 2.60 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return−23.0%ROI · 6 units staked

Profit−1.38units

W / L2 / 4picks

Avg odds2.19settled picks

Recorded picks61 matches

Around this match

CompetitionUEFA Nations League Home teamScotland Away teamSlovenia RefereeJosé María Sánchez Martínez

Previous meetings

Sat 26 SepSlovenia 0-0 Scotland

Match overview

Matches

Corners · Slovenia total

Fouls · Scotland total

Shots · Scotland total

Shots on target · Scotland total

Throw-ins · match total

Throw-ins · Scotland total

This match

Around this match

Previous meetings

On this page

This category

StatsGem