Predictions

Ongoing probability research with virtual stakes and bankrolls. Compare model and bookmaker probabilities.

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

Independence, method & limitations

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

StatsGem is independent. We are not a bookmaker, gambling operator, betting broker or bookmaker affiliate. We accept no bets or gambling deposits, hold no player funds and offer no cash prizes or withdrawals. Subscriptions pay for research access. Bookmaker names and logos identify data sources; they do not imply a partnership or endorsement.

Simulated performance does not predict real-world profit. Models can be wrong, odds can change, and historical results can overstate an apparent advantage. Gambling can cause financial harm and addiction. Get support

PredictionsPredictions MonitoringMonitoring Player propsProps FantasyFantasy BenchmarksBenchmarks

0Free available0VIP available27Recorded Free0Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

27 picks shown with Pinnacle prices. Recorded performance covers all suggestions for the selected tier and markets.

Board

Matches

27 matches

05:001. FC MagdeburgvHannover 962. Bundesliga0 won / 1 lost · −1.00u · 1 pick

Goals · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 3−1.00u on one unit

BetMGM UKrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.918 Oct, 10:42

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 55.7%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.80
Expected value at recommendation: +6.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 55.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.80. Expected value at recommendation: +6.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.7%EV+6.4%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
PinnacleAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation1.93
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.7%EV+7.7%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance49.2%EV+3.4%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Betfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.28
No saved recommendation
Model chance49.2%EV+12.3%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.05
No saved recommendation
Model chance49.2%EV+1.0%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.05
No saved recommendation
Model chance49.2%EV+1.0%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.05
No saved recommendation
Model chance49.2%EV+1.0%
10 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance49.2%EV+3.4%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.20
No saved recommendation
Model chance49.2%EV+8.3%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:42: over 3.5 at 1.91 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

05:00Darmstadt 98vEnergie Cottbus2. Bundesliga1 won / 0 lost · +0.99u · 1 pick

Goals · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 4+0.99u on one unit

Pinnaclerecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.998 Oct, 10:42

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 53.2%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.88
Expected value at recommendation: +5.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.88. Expected value at recommendation: +5.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.2%EV+1.1%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.2%EV+1.1%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.2%EV+1.1%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Pinnacleresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation1.99
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.2%EV+5.9%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.83
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.7%EV+2.1%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Betfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.98
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.7%EV+10.3%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.7%EV+3.0%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.7%EV+5.8%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:42: over 3.5 at 1.99 with Pinnacle. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

05:30West Bromwich AlbionvBirmingham CityChampionship0 won / 1 lost · −1.00u · 1 pick

Goals · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 2.5Actual: 1−1.00u on one unit

Pinnaclerecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.938 Oct, 10:42

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 58.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.73
Expected value at recommendation: +12.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 58.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.73. Expected value at recommendation: +12.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance58.0%EV+7.3%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance58.0%EV+7.3%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance58.0%EV+7.3%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Pinnacleresult priceAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation1.93
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance58.0%EV+12.2%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.9%EV+11.1%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Betfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.24
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.9%EV+18.5%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.9%EV+11.1%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.12
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.9%EV+12.1%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:42: over 2.5 at 1.93 with Pinnacle. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

05:30Charlton AthleticvBristol CityChampionship0 won / 1 lost · −1.00u · 1 pick

Goals · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 2.5Actual: 2−1.00u on one unit

Pinnaclerecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.128 Oct, 10:42

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 53.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.89
Expected value at recommendation: +12.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.89. Expected value at recommendation: +12.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.0%EV+3.4%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.0%EV+3.4%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.0%EV+3.4%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Pinnacleresult priceAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation2.12
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.0%EV+12.5%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.4%EV+12.0%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Betfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.18
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.4%EV+16.3%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.4%EV+6.7%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.12
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.4%EV+13.1%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:42: over 2.5 at 2.12 with Pinnacle. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

06:00Rayo VallecanovAthletic ClubLaLiga1 pick· 0 available

Goals · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelResult under review

The fixture or result requires review.

over 2.5

Pinnaclerecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.948 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 60.3%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.66
Expected value at recommendation: +17.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 60.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.66. Expected value at recommendation: +17.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Pinnacleresult priceAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation1.94
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance60.3%EV+17.2%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.8%EV+15.5%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Betfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.18
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.8%EV+25.9%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.8%EV+15.5%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.8%EV+12.6%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.8%EV+15.5%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.8%EV+15.5%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.8%EV+21.3%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:51: over 2.5 at 1.94 with Pinnacle. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

07:00SüdtirolvAscoliSerie B0 won / 1 lost · −1.00u · 1 pick

Goals · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 2.5Actual: 0−1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.008 Oct, 11:22

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 50.7%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.98
Expected value at recommendation: +1.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.98. Expected value at recommendation: +1.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.7%EV+1.4%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
PinnacleAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation2.01
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.7%EV+1.9%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation2.02
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.7%EV+2.4%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Betfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.16
No saved recommendation
Model chance49.5%EV+6.9%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance49.5%EV-6.0%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance49.5%EV-6.0%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance49.5%EV-6.0%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance49.5%EV-3.5%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 11:22: over 2.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

07:00EmpolivPalermoSerie B1 won / 0 lost · +0.87u · 1 pick

Goals · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 2.5Actual: 6+0.87u on one unit

BetMGM UKrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.878 Oct, 11:22

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 55.8%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.80
Expected value at recommendation: +4.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 55.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.80. Expected value at recommendation: +4.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation1.87
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.8%EV+4.3%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.4%EV+0.6%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Betfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.4%EV+3.4%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.4%EV-7.5%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.4%EV-7.5%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.4%EV-7.5%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.4%EV-4.8%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
PinnacleClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.87
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.4%EV+1.7%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.82
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.4%EV-1.0%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 11:22: over 2.5 at 1.87 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

07:30FC AugsburgvFC Bayern MünchenBundesliga0 won / 1 lost · −1.00u · 1 pick

Goals · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 4.5Actual: 4−1.00u on one unit

Pinnaclerecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.958 Oct, 10:42

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 59.3%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.69
Expected value at recommendation: +15.8%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 59.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.69. Expected value at recommendation: +15.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Pinnacleresult priceAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance59.3%EV+15.8%
Bet365Closing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance63.6%EV+14.6%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Betfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance63.6%EV+24.1%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance63.6%EV+14.6%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance63.6%EV+14.6%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance63.6%EV+14.6%
12 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance63.6%EV+11.4%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.83
No saved recommendation
Model chance63.6%EV+16.5%
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:42: over 4.5 at 1.95 with Pinnacle. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

07:50Al-HazemvNeom SCSaudi Pro League1 won / 0 lost · +1.00u · 1 pick

Goals · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 2.5Actual: 2+1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.008 Oct, 11:22

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 51.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.96
Expected value at recommendation: +2.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.96. Expected value at recommendation: +2.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 2.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.0%EV+2.1%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Betfair ExchangeAt recommendationunder 2.5
At recommendation2.14
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.0%EV+9.2%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerAt recommendationunder 2.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.0%EV+7.2%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
PinnacleAt recommendationunder 2.5
At recommendation2.08
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.0%EV+6.2%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetAt recommendationunder 2.5
At recommendation2.05
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.0%EV+4.7%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.9%EV-1.3%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.9%EV-1.3%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.9%EV-1.3%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 11:22: under 2.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

08:00Sheffield UnitedvLincoln CityChampionship1 won / 0 lost · +1.06u · 1 pick

Goals · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 2.5Actual: 3+1.06u on one unit

Betfair Exchangerecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.068 Oct, 10:42

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 55.3%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.81
Expected value at recommendation: +13.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 55.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.81. Expected value at recommendation: +13.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betfair Exchangeresult priceAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation2.06
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.3%EV+13.9%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.3%EV+2.3%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.3%EV+2.3%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.3%EV+2.3%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
PinnacleAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation2.01
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.3%EV+11.2%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.3%EV+10.5%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.3%EV-0.5%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.92
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.3%EV+6.1%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:42: over 2.5 at 2.06 with Betfair Exchange. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 11:26. The original pick remains in the results.

Result corrected: Provider full-time score differs from the originally recorded goal result.

08:00Derby CountyvWrexhamChampionship0 won / 1 lost · −1.00u · 1 pick

Goals · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 2.5Actual: 2−1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.058 Oct, 10:42

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 54.7%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.83
Expected value at recommendation: +12.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 54.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.83. Expected value at recommendation: +12.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation2.05
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.7%EV+12.1%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Betfair ExchangeAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation2.04
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.7%EV+11.6%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.7%EV+3.9%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.7%EV+3.9%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.7%EV+3.9%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
PinnacleAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation2.04
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.7%EV+11.6%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.6%EV-0.8%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.92
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.6%EV+2.9%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:42: over 2.5 at 2.05 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 11:26. The original pick remains in the results.

08:00Falkirk FCvDundee FCScottish Premiership0 won / 1 lost · −1.00u · 1 pick

Goals · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 2.5Actual: 3−1.00u on one unit

Betfair Exchangerecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.108 Oct, 11:22

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 50.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.98
Expected value at recommendation: +6.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.98. Expected value at recommendation: +6.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betfair Exchangeresult priceAt recommendationunder 2.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.6%EV+6.2%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
PinnacleAt recommendationunder 2.5
At recommendation2.09
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.6%EV+5.7%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.6%EV+6.2%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.6%EV-1.3%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.6%EV-1.3%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.6%EV-1.3%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.6%EV+1.2%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.6%EV+6.2%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 11:22: under 2.5 at 2.10 with Betfair Exchange. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 11:26. The original pick remains in the results.

08:00RangersvKilmarnockScottish Premiership0 won / 1 lost · −1.00u · 1 pick

Goals · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 3.5Actual: 4−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.928 Oct, 11:22

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 52.3%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.92
Expected value at recommendation: +0.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.92. Expected value at recommendation: +0.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betfair ExchangeAt recommendationunder 3.5
At recommendation1.98
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.3%EV+3.5%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveAt recommendationunder 3.5
At recommendation1.80
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.7%EV+2.1%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetAt recommendationunder 3.5
At recommendation1.80
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.7%EV+2.1%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetAt recommendationunder 3.5
At recommendation1.80
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.7%EV+2.1%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 3.5
At recommendation1.92
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.3%EV+0.5%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.91
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.7%EV+8.3%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.91
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.7%EV+8.3%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
PinnacleClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.99
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.7%EV+12.9%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 11:22: under 3.5 at 1.92 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 23:51. The original pick remains in the results.

08:15AD CeutavCE SabadellLaLiga 21 won / 0 lost · +1.14u · 1 pick

Goals · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 2.5Actual: 3+1.14u on one unit

Betfair Exchangerecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.148 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 50.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.98
Expected value at recommendation: +8.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.98. Expected value at recommendation: +8.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betfair Exchangeresult priceAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation2.14
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.6%EV+8.2%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
PinnacleAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation2.09
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.6%EV+5.7%
SuperbetAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation2.07
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.6%EV+4.7%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.40
No saved recommendation
Model chance43.7%EV+4.9%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.12
No saved recommendation
Model chance43.7%EV-7.3%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.20
No saved recommendation
Model chance43.7%EV-3.8%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.20
No saved recommendation
Model chance43.7%EV-3.8%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.20
No saved recommendation
Model chance43.7%EV-3.8%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.38
No saved recommendation
Model chance43.7%EV+3.8%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:51: over 2.5 at 2.14 with Betfair Exchange. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

08:30Go Ahead EaglesvSparta RotterdamEredivisie1 won / 0 lost · +0.97u · 1 pick

Goals · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 6+0.97u on one unit

Pinnaclerecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.978 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 62.1%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.62
Expected value at recommendation: +22.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 62.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.62. Expected value at recommendation: +22.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Pinnacleresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation1.97
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance62.1%EV+22.3%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.7%EV+25.4%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Betfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.34
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.7%EV+39.8%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.7%EV+19.5%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.7%EV+10.5%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.7%EV+13.5%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.7%EV+25.4%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.05
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.7%EV+22.5%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:51: over 3.5 at 1.97 with Pinnacle. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

10:45FeyenoordvAZ AlkmaarEredivisie0 won / 1 lost · −1.00u · 1 pick

Goals · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 2−1.00u on one unit

Pinnaclerecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.028 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 62.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.62
Expected value at recommendation: +25.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 62.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.62. Expected value at recommendation: +25.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Pinnacleresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation2.02
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance62.0%EV+25.2%

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:51: over 3.5 at 2.02 with Pinnacle. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

12:00Fortuna SittardvFC TwenteEredivisie0 won / 1 lost · −1.00u · 1 pick

Goals · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 2−1.00u on one unit

Pinnaclerecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.958 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 62.2%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.61
Expected value at recommendation: +21.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 62.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.61. Expected value at recommendation: +21.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Pinnacleresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance62.2%EV+21.4%

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:51: over 3.5 at 1.95 with Pinnacle. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

12:00Al-HilalvAl-IttihadSaudi Pro League0 won / 1 lost · −1.00u · 1 pick

Goals · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 3.5Actual: 5−1.00u on one unit

Pinnaclerecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.918 Oct, 11:22

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 58.7%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.71
Expected value at recommendation: +12.0%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 58.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.71. Expected value at recommendation: +12.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Pinnacleresult priceAt recommendationunder 3.5
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance58.7%EV+12.0%

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 11:22: under 3.5 at 1.91 with Pinnacle. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

12:301. FC NürnbergvVfL Wolfsburg2. Bundesliga1 won / 0 lost · +1.02u · 1 pick

Goals · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 8+1.02u on one unit

Pinnaclerecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.028 Oct, 10:42

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 53.3%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.88
Expected value at recommendation: +7.6%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.88. Expected value at recommendation: +7.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Pinnacleresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation2.02
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.3%EV+7.6%

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:42: over 3.5 at 2.02 with Pinnacle. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

12:45LorientvParis FCLigue 10 won / 1 lost · −1.00u · 1 pick

Goals · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 2.5Actual: 1−1.00u on one unit

Pinnaclerecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.968 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 51.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.95
Expected value at recommendation: +0.8%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.95. Expected value at recommendation: +0.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betfair ExchangeAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation2.04
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.4%EV+4.8%
Pinnacleresult priceAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation1.96
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.4%EV+0.8%

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:51: over 2.5 at 1.96 with Pinnacle. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

17:30Orlando City SCvColumbus CrewMLS1 won / 0 lost · +1.03u · 1 pick

Goals · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 5+1.03u on one unit

Pinnaclerecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.038 Oct, 11:11

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 50.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 2.00
Expected value at recommendation: +1.6%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 2.00. Expected value at recommendation: +1.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Pinnacleresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation2.03
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.0%EV+1.6%

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 11:11: over 3.5 at 2.03 with Pinnacle. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

17:30Philadelphia UnionvReal Salt LakeMLS0 won / 1 lost · −1.00u · 1 pick

Goals · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 3−1.00u on one unit

Pinnaclerecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.038 Oct, 11:11

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 53.1%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.89
Expected value at recommendation: +7.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.89. Expected value at recommendation: +7.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.1%EV+1.0%
CrocobetAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.1%EV+1.0%
LiderbetAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.1%EV+1.0%
Pinnacleresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation2.03
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.1%EV+7.9%

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 11:11: over 3.5 at 2.03 with Pinnacle. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

17:30Atlanta UnitedvFC CincinnatiMLS1 won / 0 lost · +1.00u · 1 pick

Goals · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 4+1.00u on one unit

Pinnaclerecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.008 Oct, 11:11

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 53.1%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.89
Expected value at recommendation: +6.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.89. Expected value at recommendation: +6.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.1%EV+0.9%
CrocobetAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.1%EV+0.9%
LiderbetAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.1%EV+0.9%
Pinnacleresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.1%EV+6.2%

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 11:11: over 3.5 at 2.00 with Pinnacle. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

17:30New York Red BullsvSan Diego FCMLS1 won / 0 lost · +0.98u · 1 pick

Goals · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 5+0.98u on one unit

Pinnaclerecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.988 Oct, 11:11

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 53.2%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.88
Expected value at recommendation: +5.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.88. Expected value at recommendation: +5.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Pinnacleresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation1.98
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.2%EV+5.4%

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 11:11: over 3.5 at 1.98 with Pinnacle. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

18:00São PaulovVitóriaBrasileirão Série A1 won / 0 lost · +1.00u · 1 pick

Goals · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 2.5Actual: 3+1.00u on one unit

BetMGM UKrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.008 Oct, 10:42

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 52.3%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.92
Expected value at recommendation: +4.6%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.92. Expected value at recommendation: +4.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.3%EV+4.6%
Betfair ExchangeAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.3%EV+4.6%
PinnacleAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.3%EV+4.6%

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:42: over 2.5 at 2.00 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

18:30Sporting Kansas CityvPortland TimbersMLS1 won / 0 lost · +0.93u · 1 pick

Goals · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 6+0.93u on one unit

Pinnaclerecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.938 Oct, 11:11

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 56.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.78
Expected value at recommendation: +8.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 56.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.78. Expected value at recommendation: +8.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation1.80
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.4%EV+1.4%
CrocobetAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation1.80
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.4%EV+1.4%
LiderbetAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation1.80
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.4%EV+1.4%
Pinnacleresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation1.93
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.4%EV+8.5%

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 11:11: over 3.5 at 1.93 with Pinnacle. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

18:30River PlatevEstudiantes de Río CuartoLiga Profesional de Fútbol1 won / 0 lost · +1.00u · 1 pick

Goals · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 2.5Actual: 1+1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.008 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 50.5%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.99
Expected value at recommendation: +1.0%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.99. Expected value at recommendation: +1.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 2.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.5%EV+1.0%
Betfair ExchangeAt recommendationunder 2.5
At recommendation2.06
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.5%EV+4.0%
PinnacleAt recommendationunder 2.5
At recommendation2.01
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.5%EV+1.5%
SuperbetAt recommendationunder 2.5
At recommendation2.05
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.5%EV+3.5%

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:51: under 2.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Selected day

Sat, 10 Oct 2026

Recorded results · all bookmaker options

Return+0.1%ROI · 737 units staked

Profit+0.56units

W / L361 / 376picks

Avg odds2.06settled picks

Recorded picks75215 awaiting result

All dates

Overall results

5,086 settled picks

One unit per pick. Includes historical estimates at reference odds (1,895 settled). Display only; recorded performance and benchmarks exclude estimates. Recorded results: 28 Sept 2026 – 19 Oct 2026.

ROI+2.6%

Profit+133.59 u

W / L2,499 / 2,587

Avg odds2.15

How to read this board

A simulated selection is one match, statistic, scope and direction. Bookmaker prices are alternatives for comparison, not additional stakes.

Results use one virtual unit per recorded selection at its recorded line and odds. The comparison bookmaker is labelled on each selection. These are simulated returns; no real money is wagered or won.

Earlier matches without a saved pre-match recommendation are labelled Historical estimate. They remain visible in the calendar and are excluded from daily and overall results.

Free and VIP use the same process. Their labels reflect the benchmark rules; one day's return cannot determine which will perform better.

Telegram reads these same recommendations and applies your tier, bookmaker preferences and delivery time. A message does not create an additional pick.

Predictions

Matches

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Sat, 10 Oct 2026

Overall results

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