Empoli vs Palermo 2-4 — Serie B

Serie BSerie B 26/27

Empoli

2–4

HT 0–0

Palermo

Sat 10 Oct·07:00·Matchday 6·Carlo Castellani·Palermo won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

1Corners5
1Cards1
6Shots35
2Shots on target12
10Fouls12
13Throw-ins16
2Offsides3
13Goal kicks3
8Saves1
13Tackles9
11Interceptions7
7Dribbles6

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

Independence, method & limitations

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

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0Free available0VIP available6Recorded Free1Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

07:00EmpolivPalermoSerie B6 won / 1 lost · +5.74u · 7 picks

Cards · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 3.5Actual: 2+1.52u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.528 Oct, 10:42

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 50.2%
Minimum qualifying odds: 2.00
Expected value at recommendation: +26.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 2.00. Expected value at recommendation: +26.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 3.5
At recommendation2.52
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.2%EV+26.5%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance49.4%EV+28.5%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.50
No saved recommendation
Model chance49.4%EV+23.5%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance49.4%EV+3.8%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:42: under 3.5 at 2.52 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 04:47. The original pick remains in the results.

Cards · Palermo total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 1.5Actual: 1+1.50u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.5010 Oct, 01:33

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 50.2%
Minimum qualifying odds: 2.00
Expected value at recommendation: +25.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 2.00. Expected value at recommendation: +25.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation2.50
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.2%EV+25.5%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation2.35
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.2%EV+18.0%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation2.30
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.2%EV+15.5%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 01:33: under 1.5 at 2.50 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 06:48. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 9.5Actual: 6−1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.917 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 52.8%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.90
Expected value at recommendation: +0.7%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.90. Expected value at recommendation: +0.7%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 9.5
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.8%EV+0.7%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.3%EV-7.6%
10 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.3%EV-7.6%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.65
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.3%EV-15.3%
10 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.3%EV-2.5%
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 9.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 04:47. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Empoli total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 4.5Actual: 1+0.90u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.909 Oct, 05:17

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 58.5%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.71
Expected value at recommendation: +11.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 58.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.71. Expected value at recommendation: +11.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 4.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance58.5%EV+11.2%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetAt recommendationunder 4.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance58.5%EV+14.2%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.73
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.5%EV-2.4%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetMGM UKClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.71
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.5%EV-3.4%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.71
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.5%EV-3.4%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.5%EV+7.3%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.78
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.5%EV+0.6%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 05:17: under 4.5 at 1.90 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 01:19. The original pick remains in the results.

Goals · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 2.5Actual: 6+0.87u on one unit

BetMGM UKrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.878 Oct, 11:22

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 55.8%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.80
Expected value at recommendation: +4.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 55.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.80. Expected value at recommendation: +4.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation1.87
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.8%EV+4.3%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.4%EV+0.6%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Betfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.4%EV+3.4%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.4%EV-7.5%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.4%EV-7.5%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.4%EV-7.5%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.4%EV-4.8%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
PinnacleClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.87
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.4%EV+1.7%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.82
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.4%EV-1.0%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 11:22: over 2.5 at 1.87 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Goals · Palermo total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 1.5Actual: 4+0.80u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.8010 Oct, 06:48

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 57.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.76
Expected value at recommendation: +2.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 57.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.76. Expected value at recommendation: +2.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationover 1.5
At recommendation1.80
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance57.0%EV+2.5%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetAt recommendationover 1.5
At recommendation1.80
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance57.0%EV+2.5%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetAt recommendationover 1.5
At recommendation1.80
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance57.0%EV+2.5%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.83
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.9%EV+4.4%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.88
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.9%EV+7.1%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 06:48: over 1.5 at 1.80 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 28.5Actual: 41+1.15u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.159 Oct, 03:42

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 53.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.89
Expected value at recommendation: +13.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.89. Expected value at recommendation: +13.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 28.5
At recommendation2.15
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.0%EV+13.9%
10 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 03:42: over 28.5 at 2.15 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 07:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return+82.0%ROI · 7 units staked

Profit+5.74units

W / L6 / 1picks

Avg odds2.09settled picks

Recorded picks71 matches

Around this match

CompetitionSerie B Home teamEmpoli Away teamPalermo RefereeLivio Marinelli

Match overview

Matches

Cards · match total

Cards · Palermo total

Corners · match total

Corners · Empoli total

Goals · match total

Goals · Palermo total

Shots · match total

This match

Around this match

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