AD Ceuta vs CE Sabadell 1-2 — LaLiga 2

LaLiga 2LaLiga 2 26/27

AD Ceuta

1–2

HT 1–1

CE Sabadell

Sat 10 Oct·08:15·Matchday 9·Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube·CE Sabadell won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

2Corners3
1Cards4
17Shots11
4Shots on target3
8Fouls22
25Throw-ins13
0Offsides2
5Goal kicks16
1Saves3
14Tackles22
8Interceptions13
13Dribbles3

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

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We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

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0Free available0VIP available6Recorded Free2Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

08:15AD CeutavCE SabadellLaLiga 25 won / 3 lost · +2.78u · 8 picks

Corners · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 8.5Actual: 5−1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.917 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 53.1%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.89
Expected value at recommendation: +1.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.89. Expected value at recommendation: +1.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 8.5
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.1%EV+1.4%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetMGM UKAt recommendationover 8.5
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.7%EV+3.0%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiAt recommendationover 8.5
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.7%EV+3.0%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.0%EV-16.7%
10 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.0%EV-16.7%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.0%EV-16.7%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.67
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.0%EV-13.1%
12 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 8.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 04:47. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · AD Ceuta total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 4.5Actual: 2−1.00u on one unit

BetMGM UKrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.437 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 50.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.99
Expected value at recommendation: +22.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.99. Expected value at recommendation: +22.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation2.43
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.4%EV+22.4%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation2.35
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.5%EV+18.8%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation2.32
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.4%EV+16.8%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation2.40
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.4%EV+20.9%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.5%EV+10.2%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.25
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.5%EV+18.1%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.25
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.5%EV+18.1%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 4.5 at 2.43 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 14:51. The original pick remains in the results.

Goals · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 2.5Actual: 3+1.14u on one unit

Betfair Exchangerecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.148 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 50.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.98
Expected value at recommendation: +8.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.98. Expected value at recommendation: +8.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betfair Exchangeresult priceAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation2.14
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.6%EV+8.2%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
PinnacleAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation2.09
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.6%EV+5.7%
SuperbetAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation2.07
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.6%EV+4.7%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.40
No saved recommendation
Model chance43.7%EV+4.9%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.12
No saved recommendation
Model chance43.7%EV-7.3%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.20
No saved recommendation
Model chance43.7%EV-3.8%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.20
No saved recommendation
Model chance43.7%EV-3.8%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.20
No saved recommendation
Model chance43.7%EV-3.8%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.38
No saved recommendation
Model chance43.7%EV+3.8%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:51: over 2.5 at 2.14 with Betfair Exchange. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Goals · CE Sabadell total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 1.5Actual: 2+1.12u on one unit

BetMGM UKrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.128 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 54.1%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.85
Expected value at recommendation: +14.8%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 54.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.85. Expected value at recommendation: +14.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationover 1.5
At recommendation2.12
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.1%EV+14.8%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveAt recommendationover 1.5
At recommendation2.35
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.9%EV+19.6%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetAt recommendationover 1.5
At recommendation2.35
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.9%EV+19.6%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetAt recommendationover 1.5
At recommendation2.35
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.9%EV+19.6%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.63
No saved recommendation
Model chance36.0%EV-5.6%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance36.0%EV-6.5%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:51: over 1.5 at 2.12 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 07:22. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 25.5Actual: 28+1.30u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.309 Oct, 02:17

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 61.5%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.63
Expected value at recommendation: +41.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 61.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.63. Expected value at recommendation: +41.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 25.5
At recommendation2.30
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance61.5%EV+41.4%
10 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 02:17: over 25.5 at 2.30 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 08:51. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · AD Ceuta total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 12.5Actual: 17+1.27u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.279 Oct, 06:22

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 57.3%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.75
Expected value at recommendation: +30.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 57.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.75. Expected value at recommendation: +30.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 12.5
At recommendation2.27
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance57.3%EV+30.2%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 06:22: over 12.5 at 2.27 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 7.5Actual: 7−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.8710 Oct, 05:47

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 55.1%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.82
Expected value at recommendation: +3.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 55.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.82. Expected value at recommendation: +3.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 7.5
At recommendation1.87
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.1%EV+3.1%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 7.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.9%EV-9.1%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 05:47: over 7.5 at 1.87 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 07:22. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · AD Ceuta total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 4+0.95u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9510 Oct, 07:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 55.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.80
Expected value at recommendation: +8.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 55.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.80. Expected value at recommendation: +8.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.6%EV+8.3%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.5%EV-2.8%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 07:51: over 3.5 at 1.95 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return+34.8%ROI · 8 units staked

Profit+2.78units

W / L5 / 3picks

Avg odds2.12settled picks

Recorded picks81 matches

Around this match

CompetitionLaLiga 2 Home teamAD Ceuta Away teamCE Sabadell RefereeOlatz Rivera Olmedo

Match overview

Matches

Corners · match total

Corners · AD Ceuta total

Goals · match total

Goals · CE Sabadell total

Shots · match total

Shots · AD Ceuta total

Shots on target · match total

Shots on target · AD Ceuta total

This match

Around this match

On this page

This category

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