Paddy Power

Benchmark records and predictions from this bookmaker.

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

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We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

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BenchmarksBenchmarks PredictionsPredictions

0Free available0VIP available11Recorded Free2Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

13 picks shown with Paddy Power prices. Results retain the original recorded line and odds.

Board

Matches

11 matches

10:45FeyenoordvComoUEFA Champions League1 won / 0 lost · +1.35u · 1 pick

Corners · Feyenoord total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 4.5Actual: 4+1.35u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.3511 Oct, 00:06

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 55.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.81
Expected value at recommendation: +30.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 55.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.81. Expected value at recommendation: +30.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

The recorded result uses Kambi at 2.35. The bookmaker prices below are comparisons.

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Paddy PowerAt recommendationunder 4.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.3%EV+7.9%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 00:06: under 4.5 at 2.35 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 00:18. The original pick remains in the results.

12:45Queens Park RangersvDerby CountyChampionship0 won / 1 lost · −1.00u · 1 pick

Corners · Derby County total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 4.5Actual: 3−1.00u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0413 Oct, 11:25

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 50.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.98
Expected value at recommendation: +3.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 50.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.98. Expected value at recommendation: +3.2%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 35 settled picksand +17.6% return. View current benchmark

The recorded result uses Kambi at 2.04. The bookmaker prices below are comparisons.

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Paddy PowerAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation2.40
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.6%EV+21.5%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 11:25: over 4.5 at 2.04 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 16:31. The original pick remains in the results.

13:00ŠK Slovan BratislavavVfB StuttgartUEFA Champions League1 won / 0 lost · +0.95u · 1 pick

Corners · ŠK Slovan Bratislava total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 3.5Actual: 1+0.95u on one unit

Paddy Powerrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9514 Oct, 01:13

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 53.9%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.86
Expected value at recommendation: +5.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 53.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.86. Expected value at recommendation: +5.2%.

At recommendation, Paddy Power’s overall market record had 92 settled picksand +0.5% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Paddy Powerresult priceAt recommendationunder 3.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.9%EV+5.2%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 14 Oct, 01:13: under 3.5 at 1.95 with Paddy Power. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 14 Oct, 03:24. The original pick remains in the results.

13:00Aston VillavFenerbahçeUEFA Champions League0 won / 1 lost · −1.00u · 1 pick

Corners · Aston Villa total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 5.5Actual: 9−1.00u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.028 Oct, 04:36

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 55.5%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.81
Expected value at recommendation: +12.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 55.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.81. Expected value at recommendation: +12.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

The recorded result uses Kambi at 2.02. The bookmaker prices below are comparisons.

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Paddy PowerAt recommendationunder 5.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance62.8%EV+25.6%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 04:36: under 5.5 at 2.02 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 10:42. The original pick remains in the results.

13:00Bodø/GlimtvBorussia DortmundUEFA Champions League0 won / 1 lost · −1.00u · 1 pick

Corners · Bodø/Glimt total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 3.5Actual: 4−1.00u on one unit

Paddy Powerrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.5513 Oct, 10:15

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 51.7%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.94
Expected value at recommendation: +31.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 51.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.94. Expected value at recommendation: +31.9%.

At recommendation, Paddy Power’s overall market record had 66 settled picksand +0.1% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Paddy Powerresult priceAt recommendationunder 3.5
At recommendation2.55
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.7%EV+31.9%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 10:15: under 3.5 at 2.55 with Paddy Power. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

13:00Shakhtar DonetskvAEK AthensUEFA Champions League0 won / 1 lost · −1.00u · 1 pick

Corners · Shakhtar Donetsk total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 4.5Actual: 5−1.00u on one unit

Paddy Powerrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9113 Oct, 10:30

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 53.9%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.86
Expected value at recommendation: +2.8%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 53.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.86. Expected value at recommendation: +2.8%.

At recommendation, Paddy Power’s overall market record had 66 settled picksand +0.1% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Paddy Powerresult priceAt recommendationunder 4.5
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.9%EV+2.8%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 10:30: under 4.5 at 1.91 with Paddy Power. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 14 Oct, 12:54. The original pick remains in the results.

17:30Inter Miami CFvNew York City FCMLS2 won / 0 lost · +1.79u · 2 picks

Corners · Inter Miami CF total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 5.5Actual: 3+0.95u on one unit

Paddy Powerrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9514 Oct, 09:06

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 52.8%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.90
Expected value at recommendation: +2.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 52.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.90. Expected value at recommendation: +2.9%.

At recommendation, Paddy Power’s overall market record had 92 settled picksand +0.5% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Paddy Powerresult priceAt recommendationunder 5.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.8%EV+2.9%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 14 Oct, 09:06: under 5.5 at 1.95 with Paddy Power. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 14 Oct, 10:11. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · New York City FC total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 4+0.84u on one unit

BetMGM UKrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.848 Oct, 04:34

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 57.3%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.75
Expected value at recommendation: +5.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 57.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.75. Expected value at recommendation: +5.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

The recorded result uses BetMGM UK at 1.84. The bookmaker prices below are comparisons.

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Paddy PowerAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation2.20
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.1%EV+16.9%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 04:34: over 3.5 at 1.84 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

18:30FluminensevPalmeirasCONMEBOL Libertadores0 won / 1 lost · −1.00u · 1 pick

Corners · Fluminense total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 4.5Actual: 6−1.00u on one unit

Paddy Powerrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0013 Oct, 10:15

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 53.5%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.87
Expected value at recommendation: +7.0%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 53.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.87. Expected value at recommendation: +7.0%.

At recommendation, Paddy Power’s overall market record had 66 settled picksand +0.1% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Paddy Powerresult priceAt recommendationunder 4.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.5%EV+7.0%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 10:15: under 4.5 at 2.00 with Paddy Power. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 14 Oct, 15:34. The original pick remains in the results.

18:30FC DallasvSeattle Sounders FCMLS0 won / 1 lost · −1.00u · 1 pick

Corners · FC Dallas total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 5.5Actual: 7−1.00u on one unit

Paddy Powerrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9113 Oct, 10:15

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 52.5%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.91
Expected value at recommendation: +0.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 52.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.91. Expected value at recommendation: +0.2%.

At recommendation, Paddy Power’s overall market record had 66 settled picksand +0.1% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Paddy Powerresult priceAt recommendationunder 5.5
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.5%EV+0.2%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 10:15: under 5.5 at 1.91 with Paddy Power. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 14 Oct, 15:34. The original pick remains in the results.

19:30Colorado RapidsvMinnesota UnitedMLS0 won / 1 lost · −1.00u · 1 pick

Corners · Colorado Rapids total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 5.5Actual: 7−1.00u on one unit

Paddy Powerrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9513 Oct, 10:15

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 52.8%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.90
Expected value at recommendation: +2.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 52.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.90. Expected value at recommendation: +2.9%.

At recommendation, Paddy Power’s overall market record had 66 settled picksand +0.1% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Paddy Powerresult priceAt recommendationunder 5.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.8%EV+2.9%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 10:15: under 5.5 at 1.95 with Paddy Power. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 21:10. The original pick remains in the results.

20:30LA GalaxyvPortland TimbersMLS2 won / 0 lost · +1.95u · 2 picks

Corners · LA Galaxy total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 5.5Actual: 2+0.95u on one unit

Paddy Powerrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9513 Oct, 13:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 52.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.91
Expected value at recommendation: +2.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 52.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.91. Expected value at recommendation: +2.1%.

At recommendation, Paddy Power’s overall market record had 44 settled picksand +13.4% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Paddy Powerresult priceAt recommendationunder 5.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.4%EV+2.1%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 13:51: under 5.5 at 1.95 with Paddy Power. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 14 Oct, 15:34. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Portland Timbers total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 4.5Actual: 5+1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0012 Oct, 18:18

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 53.2%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.89
Expected value at recommendation: +6.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.89. Expected value at recommendation: +6.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

The recorded result uses Bet365 at 2.00. The bookmaker prices below are comparisons.

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Paddy PowerAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.7%EV+4.7%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 12 Oct, 18:18: over 4.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 13:25. The original pick remains in the results.

Selected day

Wed, 14 Oct 2026

Recorded picks · Paddy Power

Return−7.4%ROI · 13 units staked

Profit−0.96units

W / L6 / 7picks

Avg odds2.03settled picks

Recorded picks1311 matches

All dates

Overall results

94 settled picks

One unit per pick. Includes historical estimates at reference odds (42 settled). Display only; recorded performance and benchmarks exclude estimates. Recorded results: 4 Oct 2026 – 15 Oct 2026.

ROI−7.6%

Profit−7.15 u

W / L41 / 53

Avg odds2.23

Paddy Power

Matches

Corners · Feyenoord total

Corners · Derby County total

Corners · ŠK Slovan Bratislava total

Corners · Aston Villa total

Corners · Bodø/Glimt total

Corners · Shakhtar Donetsk total

Corners · Inter Miami CF total

Corners · New York City FC total

Corners · Fluminense total

Corners · FC Dallas total

Corners · Colorado Rapids total

Corners · LA Galaxy total

Corners · Portland Timbers total

Wed, 14 Oct 2026

Overall results

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