Feyenoord vs Como 3-2 — UEFA Champions League

UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 26/27

Feyenoord

3–2

HT 1–1

Como

Wed 14 Oct·10:45·Matchday 2·De Kuip, Rotterdam·Feyenoord won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

4Corners1
2Cards3
13Shots11
5Shots on target5
19Fouls18
17Throw-ins11
2Offsides0
7Goal kicks6
3Saves3
20Tackles19
9Interceptions10
5Dribbles8

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta · Virtual simulation

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

Independence, method & limitations

An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

StatsGem is independent. We are not a bookmaker, gambling operator, betting broker or bookmaker affiliate. We accept no bets or gambling deposits, hold no player funds and offer no cash prizes or withdrawals. Subscriptions pay for research access. Bookmaker names and logos identify data sources; they do not imply a partnership or endorsement.

Simulated performance does not predict real-world profit. Models can be wrong, odds can change, and historical results can overstate an apparent advantage. Gambling can cause financial harm and addiction. Get support

6 Free3 VIP0 Free Active0 VIP Active

Board

Matches

1 match

10:45FeyenoordvComoUEFA Champions League3 won / 6 lost · −2.84u · 9 picks

Cards · Como total

Open match →FreeLost

under 1.5Actual: 3−1.00u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0013 Oct, 11:45

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 67.2%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.49
Expected value at recommendation: +34.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 67.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.49. Expected value at recommendation: +34.4%.

At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 39 settled picksand +2.2% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

CrocobetAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance66.6%EV+26.5%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance67.2%EV+34.4%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation2.30
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance66.6%EV+53.1%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance65.1%EV+36.7%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateunder 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.02
No saved recommendation
Model chance65.1%EV+31.5%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 11:45: under 1.5 at 2.00 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Corners · match total

Open match →FreeLost

over 9.5Actual: 5−1.00u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0213 Oct, 10:15

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 57.8%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.73
Expected value at recommendation: +16.8%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 57.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.73. Expected value at recommendation: +16.8%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 98 settled picksand +4.6% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365At recommendationover 9.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance57.1%EV+19.9%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 9.5
At recommendation2.02
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance57.8%EV+16.8%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.6%EV+13.2%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.6%EV+13.2%
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.05
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.6%EV+16.0%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.6%EV+13.2%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.6%EV+18.8%
16 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 10:15: over 9.5 at 2.02 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 11:12. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Feyenoord total

Open match →FreeWon

under 4.5Actual: 4+1.35u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.3511 Oct, 00:06

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 55.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.81
Expected value at recommendation: +30.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 55.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.81. Expected value at recommendation: +30.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 4.5
At recommendation2.35
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.4%EV+30.2%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerAt recommendationunder 4.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.3%EV+7.9%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetAt recommendationunder 4.5
At recommendation2.02
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.4%EV+11.9%
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.83
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.6%EV+0.1%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.6%EV-4.4%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.6%EV-4.4%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.6%EV-7.2%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 00:06: under 4.5 at 2.35 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 00:18. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · Feyenoord total

Open match →FreeLost

under 10.5Actual: 19−1.00u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.2013 Oct, 11:25

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 68.3%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.47
Expected value at recommendation: +50.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 68.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.47. Expected value at recommendation: +50.3%.

At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 31 settled picksand +3.1% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 10.5
At recommendation2.20
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance68.3%EV+50.3%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.15
No saved recommendation
Model chance65.9%EV+41.6%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.20
No saved recommendation
Model chance65.9%EV+44.9%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.02
No saved recommendation
Model chance65.9%EV+33.0%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 11:25: under 10.5 at 2.20 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 16:52. The original pick remains in the results.

Goal kicks · Feyenoord total

Open match →VIPWon

under 7.5Actual: 7+0.90u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9013 Oct, 06:24

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 75.5%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.33
Expected value at recommendation: +43.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 75.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.33. Expected value at recommendation: +43.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveAt recommendationunder 7.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance75.4%EV+50.8%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetAt recommendationunder 7.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance75.6%EV+47.4%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 7.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance75.5%EV+43.4%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 7.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance76.3%EV+41.1%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 06:24: under 7.5 at 1.90 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Offsides · match total

Open match →VIPLost

under 1.5Actual: 2−1.00u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation4.9013 Oct, 06:24

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 61.5%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.63
Expected value at recommendation: +201.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 61.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.63. Expected value at recommendation: +201.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

CrocobetAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation6.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance61.5%EV+269.0%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation4.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance61.5%EV+201.3%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 06:24: under 1.5 at 4.90 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Offsides · Feyenoord total

Open match →VIPLost

under 1.5Actual: 2−1.00u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.1013 Oct, 06:24

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 85.1%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.18
Expected value at recommendation: +78.7%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 85.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.18. Expected value at recommendation: +78.7%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation2.15
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance85.1%EV+83.0%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation2.30
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance85.1%EV+95.7%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance85.1%EV+78.7%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 06:24: under 1.5 at 2.10 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots · Feyenoord total

Open match →FreeWon

under 13.5Actual: 13+0.91u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9112 Oct, 18:18

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 58.8%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.71
Expected value at recommendation: +12.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 58.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.71. Expected value at recommendation: +12.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 13.5
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance58.8%EV+12.2%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 13.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.1%EV+9.3%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 13.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.1%EV+6.4%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateunder 13.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.83
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.1%EV+8.2%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 13.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.1%EV+12.3%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 13.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.02
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.1%EV+19.4%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 12 Oct, 18:18: under 13.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 13:25. The original pick remains in the results.

Throw-ins · Feyenoord total

Open match →FreeLost

under 15.5Actual: 17−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.8712 Oct, 11:06

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 93.7%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.07
Expected value at recommendation: +75.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 93.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.07. Expected value at recommendation: +75.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 15.5
At recommendation1.87
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance93.7%EV+75.2%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 15.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance92.5%EV+80.4%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 15.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance92.5%EV+75.7%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 15.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance92.5%EV+94.2%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 12 Oct, 11:06: under 15.5 at 1.87 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 14 Oct, 03:41. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return−31.6%ROI · 9 units staked

Profit−2.84units

W / L3 / 6picks

Avg odds2.36settled picks

Recorded picks91 matches

Around this match

CompetitionUEFA Champions League Home teamFeyenoord Away teamComo RefereeDonatas Rumsas