Bristol City vs Blackburn Rovers 0-1 — Championship

ChampionshipChampionship 26/27

Bristol City

0–1

HT 0–1

Blackburn Rovers

Tue 13 Oct·12:45·Matchday 10·Ashton Gate·Blackburn Rovers won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

10Corners5
0Cards0
20Shots3
7Shots on target1
8Fouls7
31Throw-ins27
3Offsides5
5Goal kicks7
0Saves7
16Tackles19
8Interceptions12
5Dribbles7

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

Independence, method & limitations

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

StatsGem is independent. We are not a bookmaker, gambling operator, betting broker or bookmaker affiliate. We accept no bets or gambling deposits, hold no player funds and offer no cash prizes or withdrawals. Subscriptions pay for research access. Bookmaker names and logos identify data sources; they do not imply a partnership or endorsement.

Simulated performance does not predict real-world profit. Models can be wrong, odds can change, and historical results can overstate an apparent advantage. Gambling can cause financial harm and addiction. Get support

0Free available0VIP available3Recorded Free1Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

12:45Bristol CityvBlackburn RoversChampionship1 won / 3 lost · −2.09u · 4 picks

Cards · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 0−1.00u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0013 Oct, 10:15

Closing odds2.0013 Oct, 05:03

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: 56.5%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.77
Expected value at recommendation: +13.0%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 56.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.77. Expected value at recommendation: +13.0%.

At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 89 settled picksand +0.5% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds2.00
Unchanged
Model chance56.5%EV+13.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 05:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate98.3%Closing EV estimate+0.3%margin13.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 15:31
- over 1.5odds1.13Closing chance estimate91.3%Closing EV estimate+3.1%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 05:03
- over 2.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate76.6%Closing EV estimate+7.2%margin14.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 05:03
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate56.5%Closing EV estimate+13.0%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 05:03
- over 4.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate36.4%Closing EV estimate+9.3%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 05:03
- over 5.5odds4.60Closing chance estimate20.6%Closing EV estimate−5.1%margin13.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 05:03
Bet365Closing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.5%EV+18.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 12:15
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate56.5%Closing EV estimate+18.7%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 12:15
BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.88
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.5%EV+6.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 12:24
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.88Closing chance estimate56.5%Closing EV estimate+6.3%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 12:24
BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.5%EV+13.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 05:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate98.3%Closing EV estimate+0.3%margin13.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 15:30
- over 1.5odds1.13Closing chance estimate91.3%Closing EV estimate+3.1%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 05:02
- over 2.5odds1.42Closing chance estimate76.6%Closing EV estimate+8.7%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 05:02
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate56.5%Closing EV estimate+13.0%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 05:02
- over 4.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate36.4%Closing EV estimate+9.3%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 05:02
- over 5.5odds4.60Closing chance estimate20.6%Closing EV estimate−5.1%margin13.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 05:02
CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.5%EV+13.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 11:59
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate98.3%Closing EV estimate+0.3%margin14.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 15:30
- over 1.5odds1.13Closing chance estimate91.3%Closing EV estimate+3.1%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 05:03
- over 2.5odds1.43Closing chance estimate76.6%Closing EV estimate+9.5%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 11:59
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate56.5%Closing EV estimate+13.0%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 05:03
- over 4.5odds3.05Closing chance estimate36.4%Closing EV estimate+11.2%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 05:03
- over 5.5odds4.70Closing chance estimate20.6%Closing EV estimate−3.0%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 11:59
KambiClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.88
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.5%EV+6.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 12:29
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.88Closing chance estimate56.5%Closing EV estimate+6.3%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 12:29
- over 4.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate36.4%Closing EV estimate−10.7%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 03:02
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.20
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.5%EV+24.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 12:24
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate91.3%Closing EV estimate+0.4%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 12:24
- over 2.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate76.6%Closing EV estimate+10.6%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 12:24
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate56.5%Closing EV estimate+24.3%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 12:24
- over 4.5odds3.90Closing chance estimate36.4%Closing EV estimate+42.1%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 12:24
SuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.12
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.5%EV+19.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 09:51
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds4.70Closing chance estimate98.3%Closing EV estimate+362.2%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 05:05
- over 1.5odds12.00Closing chance estimate91.3%Closing EV estimate+995.4%margin—Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 05:05
- over 2.5odds1.48Closing chance estimate76.6%Closing EV estimate+13.3%margin9.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 09:51
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.12Closing chance estimate56.5%Closing EV estimate+19.8%margin8.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 09:51
- over 4.5odds3.15Closing chance estimate36.4%Closing EV estimate+14.8%margin10.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 09:51

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 10:15: over 3.5 at 2.00 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 11:12. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Blackburn Rovers total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 4.5Actual: 5+0.91u on one unit

Paddy Powerrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9113 Oct, 12:30

Closing odds1.8013 Oct, 12:37

Odds down−0.11

Model chance at recommendation: 53.2%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.89
Expected value at recommendation: +1.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 53.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.89. Expected value at recommendation: +1.5%.

At recommendation, Paddy Power’s overall market record had 38 settled picksand +12.2% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

KambiAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds1.91
Unchanged
Model chance53.2%EV+1.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 12:29
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.47Closing chance estimate68.1%Closing EV estimate+0.1%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 12:29
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.91Closing chance estimate53.2%Closing EV estimate+1.6%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 12:29
- over 5.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate39.0%Closing EV estimate+1.5%margin8.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 12:29
- over 6.5odds3.90Closing chance estimate26.9%Closing EV estimate+4.8%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 02:03
Paddy Powerresult priceAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds1.80
Odds down−0.11
Model chance53.2%EV+1.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 12:37
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate81.9%Closing EV estimate−9.0%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 12:37
- over 3.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate68.1%Closing EV estimate−1.2%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 12:37
- over 4.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate53.2%Closing EV estimate−4.3%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 12:37
- over 5.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate39.0%Closing EV estimate+1.5%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 12:37
Bet365Closing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.83
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.2%EV-2.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 12:15
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.83Closing chance estimate53.2%Closing EV estimate−2.5%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 12:15
BetliveClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.2%EV-9.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 00:00
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate81.9%Closing EV estimate−9.9%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 00:00
- over 3.5odds1.34Closing chance estimate68.1%Closing EV estimate−8.7%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 00:00
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate53.2%Closing EV estimate−9.6%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 00:00
- over 5.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate39.0%Closing EV estimate−6.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 00:00
- over 6.5odds3.65Closing chance estimate26.9%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 00:00
CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.2%EV-9.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 03:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate68.1%Closing EV estimate−9.4%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 03:01
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate53.2%Closing EV estimate−9.6%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 03:01
- over 5.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate39.0%Closing EV estimate−8.3%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 03:01
LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.2%EV-9.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 12:00
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate81.9%Closing EV estimate−11.5%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 12:00
- over 3.5odds1.31Closing chance estimate68.1%Closing EV estimate−10.8%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 12:00
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate53.2%Closing EV estimate−9.6%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 12:00
- over 5.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate39.0%Closing EV estimate−6.3%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 12:00
- over 6.5odds3.70Closing chance estimate26.9%Closing EV estimate−0.6%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 12:00
SuperbetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.76
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.2%EV-6.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 13:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate92.4%Closing EV estimate−3.9%margin7.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 13:02
- over 2.5odds1.16Closing chance estimate81.9%Closing EV estimate−5.0%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 13:02
- over 3.5odds1.39Closing chance estimate68.1%Closing EV estimate−5.3%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 13:02
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.76Closing chance estimate53.2%Closing EV estimate−6.4%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 13:02
- over 5.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate39.0%Closing EV estimate−8.3%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 13:02
- over 6.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate26.9%Closing EV estimate−11.4%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 13:02
- over 7.5odds4.75Closing chance estimate17.3%Closing EV estimate−17.9%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 13:02

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 12:30: over 4.5 at 1.91 with Paddy Power. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 12:42. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Bristol City total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 14.5Actual: 20−1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0012 Oct, 16:18

Closing odds2.0013 Oct, 12:15

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: 57.9%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.73
Expected value at recommendation: +15.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 57.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.73. Expected value at recommendation: +15.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 14.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds2.00
Unchanged
Model chance57.9%EV+15.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 12:15
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 14.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate61.0%Closing EV estimate+22.0%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 12:15
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 14.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance61.0%EV+6.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 01:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 13.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate52.6%Closing EV estimate+5.1%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 01:32
- under 14.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate61.0%Closing EV estimate+6.7%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 01:32
- under 15.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate68.8%Closing EV estimate+6.6%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 01:32
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 14.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance61.0%EV+6.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 12:27
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 11.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate35.1%Closing EV estimate+8.9%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 12:27
- under 12.5odds2.47Closing chance estimate43.8%Closing EV estimate+8.2%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 12:27
- under 13.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate52.6%Closing EV estimate+7.8%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 12:27
- under 14.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate61.0%Closing EV estimate+6.7%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 12:27
- under 15.5odds1.53Closing chance estimate68.8%Closing EV estimate+5.2%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 12:27
- under 16.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate75.7%Closing EV estimate+4.5%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 12:27
- under 17.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate81.7%Closing EV estimate+2.9%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 12:27

Recommendation record

Recorded 12 Oct, 16:18: under 14.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 10:03. The original pick remains in the results.

Throw-ins · Blackburn Rovers total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 21.5Actual: 27−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.2513 Oct, 11:25

Closing odds2.2513 Oct, 02:00

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: 65.9%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.52
Expected value at recommendation: +48.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 65.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.52. Expected value at recommendation: +48.2%.

At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 55 settled picksand +3.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 21.5
At recommendation2.25
Closing odds2.25
Unchanged
Model chance65.9%EV+48.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 02:00
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 21.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.25Closing chance estimate65.9%Closing EV estimate+48.2%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 02:00
- under 22.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate72.0%Closing EV estimate+33.1%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 02:00
- under 23.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate77.4%Closing EV estimate+23.8%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 02:00
- under 24.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate82.1%Closing EV estimate+19.1%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 02:00

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 11:25: under 21.5 at 2.25 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 11:29. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return−52.3%ROI · 4 units staked

Profit−2.09units

W / L1 / 3picks

Avg odds2.04settled picks

Recorded picks41 matches

Around this match

CompetitionChampionship Home teamBristol City Away teamBlackburn Rovers RefereeDavid Webb

Match overview

Matches

Cards · match total

Corners · Blackburn Rovers total

Shots · Bristol City total

Throw-ins · Blackburn Rovers total

This match

Around this match

Previous meetings

On this page

This category

StatsGem

Bro VIP · Beta

Football intelligence, with your VIP.

What are we exploring, bro?