Pinnacle

Benchmark records and predictions from this bookmaker.

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

Independence, method & limitations

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

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BenchmarksBenchmarks PredictionsPredictions

0Free available0VIP available25Recorded Free0Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

25 picks shown with Pinnacle prices. Results retain the original recorded line and odds.

Board

Matches

25 matches

05:001. FC MagdeburgvHannover 962. Bundesliga0 won / 1 lost · −1.00u · 1 pick

Goals · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 3−1.00u on one unit

BetMGM UKrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.918 Oct, 10:42

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 55.7%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.80
Expected value at recommendation: +6.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 55.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.80. Expected value at recommendation: +6.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

The recorded result uses BetMGM UK at 1.91. The bookmaker prices below are comparisons.

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

PinnacleAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation1.93
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.7%EV+7.7%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:42: over 3.5 at 1.91 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

05:00Darmstadt 98vEnergie Cottbus2. Bundesliga1 won / 0 lost · +0.99u · 1 pick

Goals · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 4+0.99u on one unit

Pinnaclerecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.998 Oct, 10:42

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 53.2%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.88
Expected value at recommendation: +5.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.88. Expected value at recommendation: +5.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Pinnacleresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation1.99
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.2%EV+5.9%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:42: over 3.5 at 1.99 with Pinnacle. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

05:30West Bromwich AlbionvBirmingham CityChampionship0 won / 1 lost · −1.00u · 1 pick

Goals · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 2.5Actual: 1−1.00u on one unit

Pinnaclerecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.938 Oct, 10:42

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 58.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.73
Expected value at recommendation: +12.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 58.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.73. Expected value at recommendation: +12.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Pinnacleresult priceAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation1.93
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance58.0%EV+12.2%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:42: over 2.5 at 1.93 with Pinnacle. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

05:30Charlton AthleticvBristol CityChampionship0 won / 1 lost · −1.00u · 1 pick

Goals · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 2.5Actual: 2−1.00u on one unit

Pinnaclerecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.128 Oct, 10:42

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 53.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.89
Expected value at recommendation: +12.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.89. Expected value at recommendation: +12.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Pinnacleresult priceAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation2.12
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.0%EV+12.5%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:42: over 2.5 at 2.12 with Pinnacle. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

06:00Rayo VallecanovAthletic Club BilbaoLaLiga1 pick· 0 available

Goals · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelResult under review

The fixture or result requires review.

over 2.5

Pinnaclerecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.948 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 60.3%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.66
Expected value at recommendation: +17.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 60.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.66. Expected value at recommendation: +17.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Pinnacleresult priceAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation1.94
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance60.3%EV+17.2%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:51: over 2.5 at 1.94 with Pinnacle. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

07:00SüdtirolvAscoliSerie B0 won / 1 lost · −1.00u · 1 pick

Goals · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 2.5Actual: 0−1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.008 Oct, 11:22

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 50.7%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.98
Expected value at recommendation: +1.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.98. Expected value at recommendation: +1.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

The recorded result uses Bet365 at 2.00. The bookmaker prices below are comparisons.

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

PinnacleAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation2.01
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.7%EV+1.9%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 11:22: over 2.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

07:30FC AugsburgvFC Bayern MünchenBundesliga0 won / 1 lost · −1.00u · 1 pick

Goals · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 4.5Actual: 4−1.00u on one unit

Pinnaclerecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.958 Oct, 10:42

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 59.3%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.69
Expected value at recommendation: +15.8%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 59.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.69. Expected value at recommendation: +15.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Pinnacleresult priceAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance59.3%EV+15.8%

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:42: over 4.5 at 1.95 with Pinnacle. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

07:50Al-HazemvNeom SCSaudi Pro League1 won / 0 lost · +1.00u · 1 pick

Goals · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 2.5Actual: 2+1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.008 Oct, 11:22

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 51.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.96
Expected value at recommendation: +2.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.96. Expected value at recommendation: +2.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

The recorded result uses Bet365 at 2.00. The bookmaker prices below are comparisons.

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

PinnacleAt recommendationunder 2.5
At recommendation2.08
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.0%EV+6.2%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 11:22: under 2.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

08:00Sheffield UnitedvLincoln CityChampionship1 won / 0 lost · +1.06u · 1 pick

Goals · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 2.5Actual: 3+1.06u on one unit

Betfair Exchangerecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.068 Oct, 10:42

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 55.3%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.81
Expected value at recommendation: +13.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 55.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.81. Expected value at recommendation: +13.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

The recorded result uses Betfair Exchange at 2.06. The bookmaker prices below are comparisons.

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

PinnacleAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation2.01
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.3%EV+11.2%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:42: over 2.5 at 2.06 with Betfair Exchange. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 11:26. The original pick remains in the results.

Result corrected: Provider full-time score differs from the originally recorded goal result.

08:00Derby CountyvWrexhamChampionship0 won / 1 lost · −1.00u · 1 pick

Goals · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 2.5Actual: 2−1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.058 Oct, 10:42

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 54.7%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.83
Expected value at recommendation: +12.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 54.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.83. Expected value at recommendation: +12.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

The recorded result uses Bet365 at 2.05. The bookmaker prices below are comparisons.

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

PinnacleAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation2.04
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.7%EV+11.6%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:42: over 2.5 at 2.05 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 11:26. The original pick remains in the results.

08:00Falkirk FCvDundee FCScottish Premiership0 won / 1 lost · −1.00u · 1 pick

Goals · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 2.5Actual: 3−1.00u on one unit

Betfair Exchangerecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.108 Oct, 11:22

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 50.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.98
Expected value at recommendation: +6.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.98. Expected value at recommendation: +6.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

The recorded result uses Betfair Exchange at 2.10. The bookmaker prices below are comparisons.

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

PinnacleAt recommendationunder 2.5
At recommendation2.09
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.6%EV+5.7%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 11:22: under 2.5 at 2.10 with Betfair Exchange. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 11:26. The original pick remains in the results.

08:15AD CeutavCE SabadellLaLiga 21 won / 0 lost · +1.14u · 1 pick

Goals · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 2.5Actual: 3+1.14u on one unit

Betfair Exchangerecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.148 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 50.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.98
Expected value at recommendation: +8.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.98. Expected value at recommendation: +8.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

The recorded result uses Betfair Exchange at 2.14. The bookmaker prices below are comparisons.

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

PinnacleAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation2.09
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.6%EV+5.7%

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:51: over 2.5 at 2.14 with Betfair Exchange. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

08:30Go Ahead EaglesvSparta RotterdamEredivisie1 won / 0 lost · +0.97u · 1 pick

Goals · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 6+0.97u on one unit

Pinnaclerecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.978 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 62.1%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.62
Expected value at recommendation: +22.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 62.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.62. Expected value at recommendation: +22.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Pinnacleresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation1.97
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance62.1%EV+22.3%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:51: over 3.5 at 1.97 with Pinnacle. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

10:45FeyenoordvAZ AlkmaarEredivisie0 won / 1 lost · −1.00u · 1 pick

Goals · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 2−1.00u on one unit

Pinnaclerecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.028 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 62.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.62
Expected value at recommendation: +25.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 62.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.62. Expected value at recommendation: +25.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Pinnacleresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation2.02
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance62.0%EV+25.2%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:51: over 3.5 at 2.02 with Pinnacle. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

12:00Fortuna SittardvFC TwenteEredivisie0 won / 1 lost · −1.00u · 1 pick

Goals · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 2−1.00u on one unit

Pinnaclerecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.958 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 62.2%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.61
Expected value at recommendation: +21.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 62.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.61. Expected value at recommendation: +21.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Pinnacleresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance62.2%EV+21.4%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:51: over 3.5 at 1.95 with Pinnacle. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

12:00Al-HilalvAl-IttihadSaudi Pro League0 won / 1 lost · −1.00u · 1 pick

Goals · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 3.5Actual: 5−1.00u on one unit

Pinnaclerecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.918 Oct, 11:22

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 58.7%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.71
Expected value at recommendation: +12.0%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 58.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.71. Expected value at recommendation: +12.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Pinnacleresult priceAt recommendationunder 3.5
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance58.7%EV+12.0%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 11:22: under 3.5 at 1.91 with Pinnacle. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

12:301. FC NürnbergvVfL Wolfsburg2. Bundesliga1 won / 0 lost · +1.02u · 1 pick

Goals · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 8+1.02u on one unit

Pinnaclerecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.028 Oct, 10:42

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 53.3%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.88
Expected value at recommendation: +7.6%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.88. Expected value at recommendation: +7.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Pinnacleresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation2.02
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.3%EV+7.6%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:42: over 3.5 at 2.02 with Pinnacle. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

12:45LorientvParis FCLigue 10 won / 1 lost · −1.00u · 1 pick

Goals · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 2.5Actual: 1−1.00u on one unit

Pinnaclerecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.968 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 51.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.95
Expected value at recommendation: +0.8%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.95. Expected value at recommendation: +0.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Pinnacleresult priceAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation1.96
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.4%EV+0.8%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:51: over 2.5 at 1.96 with Pinnacle. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

17:30Orlando City SCvColumbus CrewMLS1 won / 0 lost · +1.03u · 1 pick

Goals · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 5+1.03u on one unit

Pinnaclerecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.038 Oct, 11:11

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 50.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 2.00
Expected value at recommendation: +1.6%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 2.00. Expected value at recommendation: +1.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Pinnacleresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation2.03
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.0%EV+1.6%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 11:11: over 3.5 at 2.03 with Pinnacle. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

17:30Philadelphia UnionvReal Salt LakeMLS0 won / 1 lost · −1.00u · 1 pick

Goals · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 3−1.00u on one unit

Pinnaclerecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.038 Oct, 11:11

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 53.1%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.89
Expected value at recommendation: +7.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.89. Expected value at recommendation: +7.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Pinnacleresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation2.03
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.1%EV+7.9%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 11:11: over 3.5 at 2.03 with Pinnacle. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

17:30Atlanta UnitedvFC CincinnatiMLS1 won / 0 lost · +1.00u · 1 pick

Goals · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 4+1.00u on one unit

Pinnaclerecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.008 Oct, 11:11

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 53.1%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.89
Expected value at recommendation: +6.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.89. Expected value at recommendation: +6.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Pinnacleresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.1%EV+6.2%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 11:11: over 3.5 at 2.00 with Pinnacle. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

17:30New York Red BullsvSan Diego FCMLS1 won / 0 lost · +0.98u · 1 pick

Goals · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 5+0.98u on one unit

Pinnaclerecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.988 Oct, 11:11

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 53.2%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.88
Expected value at recommendation: +5.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.88. Expected value at recommendation: +5.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Pinnacleresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation1.98
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.2%EV+5.4%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 11:11: over 3.5 at 1.98 with Pinnacle. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

18:00São PaulovVitóriaBrasileirão Série A1 won / 0 lost · +1.00u · 1 pick

Goals · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 2.5Actual: 3+1.00u on one unit

BetMGM UKrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.008 Oct, 10:42

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 52.3%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.92
Expected value at recommendation: +4.6%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.92. Expected value at recommendation: +4.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

The recorded result uses BetMGM UK at 2.00. The bookmaker prices below are comparisons.

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

PinnacleAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.3%EV+4.6%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:42: over 2.5 at 2.00 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

18:30Sporting Kansas CityvPortland TimbersMLS1 won / 0 lost · +0.93u · 1 pick

Goals · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 6+0.93u on one unit

Pinnaclerecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.938 Oct, 11:11

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 56.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.78
Expected value at recommendation: +8.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 56.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.78. Expected value at recommendation: +8.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Pinnacleresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation1.93
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.4%EV+8.5%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 11:11: over 3.5 at 1.93 with Pinnacle. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

18:30River PlatevEstudiantes de Río CuartoLiga Profesional de Fútbol1 won / 0 lost · +1.00u · 1 pick

Goals · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 2.5Actual: 1+1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.008 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 50.5%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.99
Expected value at recommendation: +1.0%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.99. Expected value at recommendation: +1.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

The recorded result uses Bet365 at 2.00. The bookmaker prices below are comparisons.

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

PinnacleAt recommendationunder 2.5
At recommendation2.01
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.5%EV+1.5%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:51: under 2.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Selected day

Sat, 10 Oct 2026

Recorded picks · Pinnacle

Return+0.5%ROI · 24 units staked

Profit+0.12units

W / L12 / 12picks

Avg odds2.00settled picks

Recorded picks251 awaiting result

All dates

Overall results

42 settled picks

One unit per pick at its recorded odds. Earlier estimated history is excluded. Results: 8 Oct 2026 – 20 Oct 2026.

ROI+4.5%

Profit+1.87 u

W / L22 / 20

Avg odds2.02

Pinnacle

Matches

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Goals · match total

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Goals · match total

Goals · match total

Goals · match total

Goals · match total

Goals · match total

Goals · match total

Goals · match total

Goals · match total

Sat, 10 Oct 2026

Overall results

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