Predictions

Ongoing probability research with virtual stakes and bankrolls. Compare model and bookmaker probabilities.

Public beta · Virtual simulation

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

Independence, method & limitations

An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

StatsGem is independent. We are not a bookmaker, gambling operator, betting broker or bookmaker affiliate. We accept no bets or gambling deposits, hold no player funds and offer no cash prizes or withdrawals. Subscriptions pay for research access. Bookmaker names and logos identify data sources; they do not imply a partnership or endorsement.

Simulated performance does not predict real-world profit. Models can be wrong, odds can change, and historical results can overstate an apparent advantage. Gambling can cause financial harm and addiction. Get support

PredictionsPredictions Player propsProps FantasyFantasy BenchmarksBenchmarks

21 Free2 VIP0 Free Active0 VIP Active

23 picks shown with Kambi prices. Recorded performance covers all suggestions for the selected tier and markets.

Board

Matches

12 matches

04:30

Japanv

New ZealandInternational Friendly Games1 won / 1 lost · +0.30u · 2 picks

Corners · match total

Open match →FreeLost

over 9.5Actual: 8−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.225 Oct, 03:49

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveOriginal model estimate unavailableover 9.5
At recommendation2.15
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetOriginal model estimate unavailableover 9.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Superbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 9.5
At recommendation2.22
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.96
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.2%EV-1.6%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 5 Oct, 03:49: over 9.5 at 2.22 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Corners · Japan total

Open match →FreeWon

over 6.5Actual: 8+1.30u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.305 Oct, 03:49

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetMGM UKOriginal model estimate unavailableover 6.5
At recommendation2.04
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetOriginal model estimate unavailableover 6.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiOriginal model estimate unavailableover 6.5
At recommendation2.04
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Superbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 6.5
At recommendation2.30
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 5 Oct, 03:49: over 6.5 at 2.30 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

10:00

Rwandav

KenyaInternational Friendly Games1 pick· 0 active

Corners · Kenya total

Open match →FreeResult under review

over 3.5

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.845 Oct, 04:36

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 56.1%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.79
Expected value at recommendation: +3.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 56.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.79. Expected value at recommendation: +3.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation1.84
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.1%EV+3.3%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.2%EV-16.5%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.2%EV-16.5%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.2%EV-16.5%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.52
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.2%EV-20.7%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 5 Oct, 04:36: over 3.5 at 1.84 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 5 Oct, 05:17. The original pick remains in the results.

12:45

Montenegrov

ArmeniaUEFA Nations League0 won / 2 lost · −2.00u · 2 picks

Cards · match total

Open match →FreeLost

over 3.5Actual: 3−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.275 Oct, 11:45

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetMGM UKOriginal model estimate unavailableover 3.5
At recommendation1.72
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiOriginal model estimate unavailableover 3.5
At recommendation1.72
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetOriginal model estimate unavailableover 3.5
At recommendation1.80
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Superbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 3.5
At recommendation2.27
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.55
No saved recommendation
Model chance61.3%EV-5.0%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.50
No saved recommendation
Model chance61.3%EV-8.0%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 5 Oct, 11:45: over 3.5 at 2.27 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Corners · Armenia total

Open match →FreeLost

over 3.5Actual: 2−1.00u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.125 Oct, 11:45

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 3.5
At recommendation2.12
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.91
No saved recommendation
Model chance45.3%EV-13.5%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance45.3%EV-16.2%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance45.3%EV-18.5%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance45.3%EV-16.2%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.87
No saved recommendation
Model chance45.3%EV-15.3%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 5 Oct, 11:45: over 3.5 at 2.12 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

12:45

Bosnia & Herzegovinav

PolandUEFA Nations League2 won / 1 lost · +1.10u · 3 picks

Cards · match total

Open match →FreeLost

under 4.5Actual: 6−1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.005 Oct, 11:45

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 4.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 4.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 4.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance44.6%EV-15.3%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance44.6%EV-15.3%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance44.6%EV-15.3%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.83
No saved recommendation
Model chance44.6%EV-18.3%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 5 Oct, 11:45: under 4.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots on target · Bosnia & Herzegovina total

Open match →FreeWon

under 3.5Actual: 1+1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.005 Oct, 12:20

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 3.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 3.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetMGM UKClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance75.4%EV+31.9%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance75.4%EV+35.7%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance75.4%EV+31.9%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance75.4%EV+31.9%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance75.4%EV+31.9%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 5 Oct, 12:20: under 3.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots on target · Poland total

Open match →FreeWon

under 4.5Actual: 4+1.10u on one unit

Crocobetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.105 Oct, 11:45

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365Original model estimate unavailableunder 4.5
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 4.5
At recommendation2.05
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Crocobetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 4.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 4.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetMGM UKClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.61
No saved recommendation
Model chance41.6%EV-33.0%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance41.6%EV-33.4%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.92
No saved recommendation
Model chance41.6%EV-20.1%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 5 Oct, 11:45: under 4.5 at 2.10 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

12:45

Liechtensteinv

GibraltarInternational Friendly Games1 won / 0 lost · +1.35u · 1 pick

Corners · Liechtenstein total

Open match →FreeWon

under 3.5Actual: 1+1.35u on one unit

Crocobetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.355 Oct, 11:45

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 3.5
At recommendation2.25
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Crocobetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 3.5
At recommendation2.35
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 3.5
At recommendation2.30
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 3.5
At recommendation2.25
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance66.0%EV+25.4%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 5 Oct, 11:45: under 3.5 at 2.35 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

12:45

Romaniav

SwedenUEFA Nations League0 won / 5 lost · −5.00u · 5 picks

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPLost

over 26.5Actual: 25−1.00u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.805 Oct, 03:43

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveOriginal model estimate unavailableover 26.5
At recommendation2.75
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
15 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetOriginal model estimate unavailableover 26.5
At recommendation2.75
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiOriginal model estimate unavailableover 26.5
At recommendation2.20
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Liderbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 26.5
At recommendation2.80
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 26.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.88
No saved recommendation
Model chance43.3%EV-18.7%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 5 Oct, 03:43: over 26.5 at 2.80 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots · Romania total

Open match →FreeLost

under 10.5Actual: 13−1.00u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.405 Oct, 11:45

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 10.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 10.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Liderbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 10.5
At recommendation2.40
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 10.5
At recommendation2.27
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetMGM UKClosing estimateunder 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.73
No saved recommendation
Model chance47.2%EV-18.3%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateunder 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.93
No saved recommendation
Model chance47.2%EV-8.9%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 5 Oct, 11:45: under 10.5 at 2.40 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots · Sweden total

Open match →VIPLost

over 15.5Actual: 12−1.00u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.164 Oct, 09:07

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 15.5
At recommendation2.16
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 15.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.30
No saved recommendation
Model chance41.2%EV-5.3%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 09:07: over 15.5 at 2.16 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots on target · Romania total

Open match →FreeLost

under 3.5Actual: 4−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.225 Oct, 12:05

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 3.5
At recommendation2.22
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.91
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.1%EV+5.3%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.1%EV-0.7%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.1%EV+2.0%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.84
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.1%EV+1.5%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.1%EV+10.3%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 5 Oct, 12:05: under 3.5 at 2.22 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots on target · Sweden total

Open match →FreeLost

over 5.5Actual: 2−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.455 Oct, 11:45

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 5.5
At recommendation2.45
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetOriginal model estimate unavailableover 5.5
At recommendation2.45
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetOriginal model estimate unavailableover 5.5
At recommendation2.25
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.32
No saved recommendation
Model chance46.5%EV+8.0%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance46.5%EV-6.9%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 5 Oct, 11:45: over 5.5 at 2.45 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

12:45

Italyv

TürkiyeUEFA Nations League1 won / 0 lost · +1.17u · 1 pick

Shots · Italy total

Open match →FreeWon

under 17.5Actual: 15+1.17u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.175 Oct, 11:45

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 17.5
At recommendation2.17
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateunder 17.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance61.7%EV+11.1%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 17.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance61.7%EV-1.3%
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 17.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance61.7%EV+4.9%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateunder 17.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.52
No saved recommendation
Model chance61.7%EV-6.2%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 17.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance61.7%EV-1.3%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 5 Oct, 11:45: under 17.5 at 2.17 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

12:45

Northern Irelandv

GeorgiaUEFA Nations League0 won / 1 lost · −1.00u · 1 pick

Shots on target · Northern Ireland total

Open match →FreeLost

under 3.5Actual: 5−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.055 Oct, 11:45

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 3.5
At recommendation2.05
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.0%EV+14.1%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetMGM UKClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.64
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.0%EV-6.5%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.0%EV+11.2%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.63
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.0%EV-7.0%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.0%EV+14.1%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.0%EV+14.1%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 5 Oct, 11:45: under 3.5 at 2.05 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

12:45

Francev

BelgiumUEFA Nations League1 won / 1 lost · −0.10u · 2 picks

Shots on target · France total

Open match →FreeLost

under 6.5Actual: 8−1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.005 Oct, 11:45

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 6.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 6.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance58.8%EV+2.9%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 6.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance58.8%EV-0.0%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateunder 6.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.67
No saved recommendation
Model chance58.8%EV-1.8%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 6.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance58.8%EV+2.9%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 6.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.73
No saved recommendation
Model chance58.8%EV+1.8%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 5 Oct, 11:45: under 6.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots on target · Belgium total

Open match →FreeWon

under 3.5Actual: 2+0.90u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.905 Oct, 11:45

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 3.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.67
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.3%EV-4.4%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.3%EV-2.5%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.65
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.3%EV-5.4%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.54
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.3%EV-11.7%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.3%EV-2.5%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 5 Oct, 11:45: under 3.5 at 1.90 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

13:45Deportivo RiestravCentral CórdobaLiga Profesional de Fútbol1 won / 0 lost · +1.00u · 1 pick

Cards · match total

Open match →FreeWon

under 4.5Actual: 4+1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.005 Oct, 12:45

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 4.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 4.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 4.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 4.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance58.2%EV+10.6%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance58.2%EV+10.6%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 5 Oct, 12:45: under 4.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

16:00Vélez SarsfieldvPlatenseLiga Profesional de Fútbol2 won / 1 lost · +1.31u · 3 picks

Cards · match total

Open match →FreeWon

under 5.5Actual: 2+0.81u on one unit

BetMGM UKrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.815 Oct, 15:00

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365Original model estimate unavailableunder 5.5
At recommendation1.67
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetMGM UKresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 5.5
At recommendation1.81
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 5.5
At recommendation1.81
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.55
No saved recommendation
Model chance67.4%EV+4.5%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.55
No saved recommendation
Model chance67.4%EV+4.5%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.55
No saved recommendation
Model chance67.4%EV+4.5%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance67.4%EV+7.9%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 5 Oct, 15:00: under 5.5 at 1.81 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Cards · Platense total

Open match →FreeWon

under 2.5Actual: 2+1.50u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.505 Oct, 15:00

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 2.5
At recommendation2.50
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 2.5
At recommendation2.20
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 2.5
At recommendation2.20
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.3%EV+4.5%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.02
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.3%EV+5.6%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 5 Oct, 15:00: under 2.5 at 2.50 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots on target · Platense total

Open match →FreeLost

under 3.5Actual: 4−1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.005 Oct, 15:00

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 3.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 3.5
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 3.5
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 3.5
At recommendation1.75
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.6%EV-4.4%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.64
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.6%EV-10.4%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 5 Oct, 15:00: under 3.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

16:00Estudiantes de La PlatavGimnasia y Esgrima MendozaLiga Profesional de Fútbol1 won / 0 lost · +0.80u · 1 pick

Shots on target · Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza total

Open match →FreeWon

under 3.5Actual: 2+0.80u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.805 Oct, 15:00

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 3.5
At recommendation1.80
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.73
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.0%EV+2.0%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.0%EV+3.3%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.72
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.0%EV+1.5%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.0%EV-5.5%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.0%EV-5.5%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 5 Oct, 15:00: under 3.5 at 1.80 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Selected day

Mon, 5 Oct 2026

Recorded results · all bookmaker options

Return+1.1%ROI · 77 units staked

Profit+0.81units

W / L36 / 41picks

Avg odds2.26settled picks

Recorded picks792 awaiting result

All dates

Overall results

3,193 settled picks

One unit per pick at its recorded odds. Earlier estimated history is excluded. Results: 28 Sept 2026 – 19 Oct 2026.

ROI−1.1%

Profit−35.67 u

W / L1,537 / 1,656

Avg odds2.13

How to read this board

A simulated selection is one match, statistic, scope and direction. Bookmaker prices are alternatives for comparison, not additional stakes.

Results use one virtual unit per recorded selection at its recorded line and odds. The comparison bookmaker is labelled on each selection. These are simulated returns; no real money is wagered or won.

Earlier matches without a saved pre-match recommendation are labelled Historical estimate. They remain visible in the calendar and are excluded from daily and overall results.

Free and VIP use the same process. Their labels reflect the benchmark rules; one day's return cannot determine which will perform better.

Telegram reads these same recommendations and applies your tier, bookmaker preferences and delivery time. A message does not create an additional pick.