Predictions

Ongoing probability research with virtual stakes and bankrolls. Compare model and bookmaker probabilities.

Public beta · Virtual simulation

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

Independence, method & limitations

An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

StatsGem is independent. We are not a bookmaker, gambling operator, betting broker or bookmaker affiliate. We accept no bets or gambling deposits, hold no player funds and offer no cash prizes or withdrawals. Subscriptions pay for research access. Bookmaker names and logos identify data sources; they do not imply a partnership or endorsement.

Simulated performance does not predict real-world profit. Models can be wrong, odds can change, and historical results can overstate an apparent advantage. Gambling can cause financial harm and addiction. Get support

PredictionsPredictions Player propsProps FantasyFantasy BenchmarksBenchmarks

14 Free0 VIP0 Free Active0 VIP Active

14 picks shown with Bet365 prices. Recorded performance covers all suggestions for the selected tier and markets.

Board

Matches

10 matches

07:00

Ugandav

DR CongoInternational Friendly Games1 pick· 0 active

Corners · Uganda total

Open match →FreeAwaiting result

over 3.5

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.005 Oct, 05:17

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 50.3%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.99
Expected value at recommendation: +0.7%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.99. Expected value at recommendation: +0.7%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.3%EV+0.7%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance41.6%EV-21.0%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance41.6%EV-27.3%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance41.6%EV-16.9%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance41.6%EV-16.9%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 5 Oct, 05:17: over 3.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 5 Oct, 06:17. The original pick remains in the results.

12:45

Bosnia & Herzegovinav

PolandUEFA Nations League2 won / 1 lost · +1.10u · 3 picks

Cards · match total

Open match →FreeLost

under 4.5Actual: 6−1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.005 Oct, 11:45

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 4.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 4.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 4.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance44.6%EV-15.3%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance44.6%EV-15.3%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance44.6%EV-15.3%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.83
No saved recommendation
Model chance44.6%EV-18.3%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 5 Oct, 11:45: under 4.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots on target · Bosnia & Herzegovina total

Open match →FreeWon

under 3.5Actual: 1+1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.005 Oct, 12:20

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 3.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 3.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetMGM UKClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance75.4%EV+31.9%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance75.4%EV+35.7%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance75.4%EV+31.9%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance75.4%EV+31.9%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance75.4%EV+31.9%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 5 Oct, 12:20: under 3.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots on target · Poland total

Open match →FreeWon

under 4.5Actual: 4+1.10u on one unit

Crocobetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.105 Oct, 11:45

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365Original model estimate unavailableunder 4.5
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 4.5
At recommendation2.05
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Crocobetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 4.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 4.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetMGM UKClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.61
No saved recommendation
Model chance41.6%EV-33.0%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance41.6%EV-33.4%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.92
No saved recommendation
Model chance41.6%EV-20.1%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 5 Oct, 11:45: under 4.5 at 2.10 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

12:45

Montenegrov

ArmeniaUEFA Nations League0 won / 1 lost · −1.00u · 1 pick

Corners · Armenia total

Open match →FreeLost

over 3.5Actual: 2−1.00u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.125 Oct, 11:45

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 3.5
At recommendation2.12
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.91
No saved recommendation
Model chance45.3%EV-13.5%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance45.3%EV-16.2%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance45.3%EV-18.5%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance45.3%EV-16.2%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.87
No saved recommendation
Model chance45.3%EV-15.3%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 5 Oct, 11:45: over 3.5 at 2.12 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

12:45

Italyv

TürkiyeUEFA Nations League1 won / 0 lost · +1.17u · 1 pick

Shots · Italy total

Open match →FreeWon

under 17.5Actual: 15+1.17u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.175 Oct, 11:45

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 17.5
At recommendation2.17
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateunder 17.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance61.7%EV+11.1%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 17.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance61.7%EV-1.3%
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 17.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance61.7%EV+4.9%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateunder 17.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.52
No saved recommendation
Model chance61.7%EV-6.2%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 17.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance61.7%EV-1.3%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 5 Oct, 11:45: under 17.5 at 2.17 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

12:45

Northern Irelandv

GeorgiaUEFA Nations League0 won / 1 lost · −1.00u · 1 pick

Shots on target · Northern Ireland total

Open match →FreeLost

under 3.5Actual: 5−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.055 Oct, 11:45

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 3.5
At recommendation2.05
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.0%EV+14.1%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetMGM UKClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.64
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.0%EV-6.5%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.0%EV+11.2%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.63
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.0%EV-7.0%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.0%EV+14.1%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.0%EV+14.1%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 5 Oct, 11:45: under 3.5 at 2.05 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

12:45

Romaniav

SwedenUEFA Nations League0 won / 1 lost · −1.00u · 1 pick

Shots on target · Romania total

Open match →FreeLost

under 3.5Actual: 4−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.225 Oct, 12:05

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 3.5
At recommendation2.22
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.91
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.1%EV+5.3%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.1%EV-0.7%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.1%EV+2.0%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.84
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.1%EV+1.5%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.1%EV+10.3%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 5 Oct, 12:05: under 3.5 at 2.22 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

12:45

Francev

BelgiumUEFA Nations League1 won / 1 lost · −0.10u · 2 picks

Shots on target · France total

Open match →FreeLost

under 6.5Actual: 8−1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.005 Oct, 11:45

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 6.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 6.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance58.8%EV+2.9%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 6.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance58.8%EV-0.0%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateunder 6.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.67
No saved recommendation
Model chance58.8%EV-1.8%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 6.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance58.8%EV+2.9%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 6.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.73
No saved recommendation
Model chance58.8%EV+1.8%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 5 Oct, 11:45: under 6.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots on target · Belgium total

Open match →FreeWon

under 3.5Actual: 2+0.90u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.905 Oct, 11:45

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 3.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.67
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.3%EV-4.4%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.3%EV-2.5%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.65
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.3%EV-5.4%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.54
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.3%EV-11.7%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.3%EV-2.5%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 5 Oct, 11:45: under 3.5 at 1.90 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

13:45Deportivo RiestravCentral CórdobaLiga Profesional de Fútbol1 won / 0 lost · +1.00u · 1 pick

Cards · match total

Open match →FreeWon

under 4.5Actual: 4+1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.005 Oct, 12:45

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 4.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 4.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 4.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 4.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance58.2%EV+10.6%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance58.2%EV+10.6%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 5 Oct, 12:45: under 4.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

16:00Vélez SarsfieldvPlatenseLiga Profesional de Fútbol1 won / 1 lost · −0.19u · 2 picks

Cards · match total

Open match →FreeWon

under 5.5Actual: 2+0.81u on one unit

BetMGM UKrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.815 Oct, 15:00

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365Original model estimate unavailableunder 5.5
At recommendation1.67
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetMGM UKresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 5.5
At recommendation1.81
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 5.5
At recommendation1.81
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.55
No saved recommendation
Model chance67.4%EV+4.5%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.55
No saved recommendation
Model chance67.4%EV+4.5%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.55
No saved recommendation
Model chance67.4%EV+4.5%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance67.4%EV+7.9%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 5 Oct, 15:00: under 5.5 at 1.81 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots on target · Platense total

Open match →FreeLost

under 3.5Actual: 4−1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.005 Oct, 15:00

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 3.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 3.5
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 3.5
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 3.5
At recommendation1.75
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.6%EV-4.4%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.64
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.6%EV-10.4%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 5 Oct, 15:00: under 3.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

16:00Estudiantes de La PlatavGimnasia y Esgrima MendozaLiga Profesional de Fútbol1 won / 0 lost · +0.80u · 1 pick

Shots on target · Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza total

Open match →FreeWon

under 3.5Actual: 2+0.80u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.805 Oct, 15:00

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 3.5
At recommendation1.80
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.73
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.0%EV+2.0%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.0%EV+3.3%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.72
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.0%EV+1.5%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.0%EV-5.5%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.0%EV-5.5%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 5 Oct, 15:00: under 3.5 at 1.80 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Selected day

Mon, 5 Oct 2026

Recorded results · all bookmaker options

Return+1.1%ROI · 77 units staked

Profit+0.81units

W / L36 / 41picks

Avg odds2.26settled picks

Recorded picks792 awaiting result

All dates

Overall results

3,185 settled picks

One unit per pick at its recorded odds. Earlier estimated history is excluded. Results: 28 Sept 2026 – 19 Oct 2026.

ROI−1.0%

Profit−32.69 u

W / L1,533 / 1,652

Avg odds2.12

How to read this board

A simulated selection is one match, statistic, scope and direction. Bookmaker prices are alternatives for comparison, not additional stakes.

Results use one virtual unit per recorded selection at its recorded line and odds. The comparison bookmaker is labelled on each selection. These are simulated returns; no real money is wagered or won.

Earlier matches without a saved pre-match recommendation are labelled Historical estimate. They remain visible in the calendar and are excluded from daily and overall results.

Free and VIP use the same process. Their labels reflect the benchmark rules; one day's return cannot determine which will perform better.

Telegram reads these same recommendations and applies your tier, bookmaker preferences and delivery time. A message does not create an additional pick.