SC Telstar vs Feyenoord 3-4 — Eredivisie

EredivisieEredivisie 26/27

SC Telstar

3–4

HT 2–3

Feyenoord

Sat 17 Oct·12:00·Matchday 9·BUKO Stadion·Feyenoord won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

6Corners8
1Cards4
23Shots22
9Shots on target11
12Fouls6
12Throw-ins16
0Offsides1
5Goal kicks12
6Saves6
24Tackles9
4Interceptions8
4Dribbles12

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

Independence, method & limitations

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

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Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

12:00SC TelstarvFeyenoordEredivisie3 won / 2 lost · +0.89u · 5 picks

Corners · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 10.5Actual: 14+0.91u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9111 Oct, 03:18

Closing odds1.8317 Oct, 05:40

Odds down−0.08

Model chance at recommendation: 57.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.76
Expected value at recommendation: +8.8%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 57.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.76. Expected value at recommendation: +8.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 10.5
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds1.83
Odds down−0.08
Model chance57.0%EV+8.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 05:40
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 10.5odds1.83Closing chance estimate53.6%Closing EV estimate−1.8%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 05:40
BetliveClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.6%EV-3.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 00:35
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 6.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate90.8%Closing EV estimate−4.7%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 09:31
- over 7.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate84.1%Closing EV estimate−3.3%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 13:49
- over 8.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate75.3%Closing EV estimate−2.2%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 00:35
- over 9.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate64.8%Closing EV estimate−2.8%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 00:35
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate53.6%Closing EV estimate−3.5%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 00:35
- over 11.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate42.5%Closing EV estimate−4.5%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 00:35
- over 12.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate32.2%Closing EV estimate−9.8%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 00:35
- over 13.5odds3.95Closing chance estimate23.4%Closing EV estimate−7.4%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 13:49
- over 14.5odds5.30Closing chance estimate16.3%Closing EV estimate−13.4%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 13:49
- over 15.5odds6.10Closing chance estimate10.9%Closing EV estimate−33.2%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 01:31
CrocobetClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.6%EV-3.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 00:35
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 7.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate84.1%Closing EV estimate−3.3%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 05:01
- over 8.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate75.3%Closing EV estimate−2.2%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 00:35
- over 9.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate64.8%Closing EV estimate−2.8%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 00:35
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate53.6%Closing EV estimate−3.5%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 00:35
- over 11.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate42.5%Closing EV estimate−6.6%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 00:35
- over 12.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate32.2%Closing EV estimate−9.8%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 00:35
- over 13.5odds3.70Closing chance estimate23.4%Closing EV estimate−13.3%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 05:01
KambiClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.02
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.6%EV+8.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 11:23
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 7.5odds1.21Closing chance estimate84.1%Closing EV estimate+1.7%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 11:23
- over 8.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate75.3%Closing EV estimate+3.9%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 11:23
- over 9.5odds1.63Closing chance estimate64.8%Closing EV estimate+5.7%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 11:23
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.02Closing chance estimate53.6%Closing EV estimate+8.3%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 11:23
- over 11.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate42.5%Closing EV estimate+8.3%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 08:04
- over 12.5odds3.35Closing chance estimate32.2%Closing EV estimate+7.9%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 11:05
- over 13.5odds4.40Closing chance estimate23.4%Closing EV estimate+3.1%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 10:54
- over 14.5odds5.30Closing chance estimate16.3%Closing EV estimate−13.4%margin9.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 05:58
- over 15.5odds7.00Closing chance estimate10.9%Closing EV estimate−23.4%margin9.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 02:04
LiderbetClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.6%EV-3.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 00:36
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 8.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate75.3%Closing EV estimate−2.2%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 00:36
- over 9.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate64.8%Closing EV estimate−2.8%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 18:18
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate53.6%Closing EV estimate−3.5%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 00:36
- over 11.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate42.5%Closing EV estimate−4.5%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 00:36
- over 12.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate32.2%Closing EV estimate−9.8%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 00:36
SuperbetClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.6%EV+1.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 00:37
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 5.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate95.3%Closing EV estimate+0.1%margin7.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 00:37
- over 6.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate90.8%Closing EV estimate+0.8%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 18:19
- over 7.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate84.1%Closing EV estimate+2.6%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 00:37
- over 8.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate75.3%Closing EV estimate+3.1%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 00:37
- over 9.5odds1.59Closing chance estimate64.8%Closing EV estimate+3.1%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 00:37
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate53.6%Closing EV estimate+1.8%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 00:37
- over 11.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate42.5%Closing EV estimate−0.2%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 00:37
- over 12.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate32.2%Closing EV estimate−4.9%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 00:37
- over 13.5odds3.80Closing chance estimate23.4%Closing EV estimate−10.9%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 00:37
- over 14.5odds4.90Closing chance estimate16.3%Closing EV estimate−19.9%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 00:37
- over 15.5odds6.50Closing chance estimate10.9%Closing EV estimate−28.8%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 00:37

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 03:18: over 10.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 14 Oct, 06:18. The original pick remains in the results.

Goal kicks · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 16.5Actual: 17+1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0017 Oct, 01:46

Closing odds2.0217 Oct, 11:20

Odds up+0.02

Model chance at recommendation: 53.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.87
Expected value at recommendation: +7.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 53.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.87. Expected value at recommendation: +7.2%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 48 settled picksand +11.4% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 16.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds2.02
Odds up+0.02
Model chance53.6%EV+7.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 11:20
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 15.5odds1.76Closing chance estimate62.6%Closing EV estimate+10.1%margin8.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 09:06
- over 16.5odds2.02Closing chance estimate52.9%Closing EV estimate+6.9%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 11:20

Recommendation record

Recorded 17 Oct, 01:46: over 16.5 at 2.00 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 17 Oct, 11:07. The original pick remains in the results.

Offsides · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 2.5Actual: 1−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.8017 Oct, 03:17

Closing odds1.8017 Oct, 03:16

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: 59.9%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.67
Expected value at recommendation: +7.8%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 59.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.67. Expected value at recommendation: +7.8%.

At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 64 settled picksand +13.4% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation1.80
Closing odds1.80
Unchanged
Model chance59.9%EV+7.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 03:16
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate82.4%Closing EV estimate+5.5%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 03:16
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate59.9%Closing EV estimate+7.8%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 03:16
- over 3.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate36.6%Closing EV estimate+7.9%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 03:16
CrocobetClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.9%EV+1.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 03:16
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate82.4%Closing EV estimate+0.5%margin14.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 03:16
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate59.9%Closing EV estimate+1.8%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 03:16
- over 3.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate36.6%Closing EV estimate−1.2%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 03:16
LiderbetClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.9%EV+1.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 03:17
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate59.9%Closing EV estimate+1.8%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 03:17

Recommendation record

Recorded 17 Oct, 03:17: over 2.5 at 1.80 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots · Feyenoord total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 19.5Actual: 22+0.98u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9815 Oct, 06:24

Closing odds2.0717 Oct, 11:23

Odds up+0.09

Model chance at recommendation: 73.8%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.36
Expected value at recommendation: +46.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 73.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.36. Expected value at recommendation: +46.1%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 124 settled picksand +6.2% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

CrocobetAt recommendationover 19.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds2.00
Unchanged
Model chance69.8%EV+39.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 03:16
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 17.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate80.5%Closing EV estimate+28.8%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 03:16
- over 18.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate75.4%Closing EV estimate+35.7%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 03:16
- over 19.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate69.8%Closing EV estimate+39.6%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 03:16
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 19.5
At recommendation1.98
Closing odds2.07
Odds up+0.09
Model chance73.8%EV+46.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 11:23
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 18.5odds1.82Closing chance estimate75.4%Closing EV estimate+37.2%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 11:23
- over 19.5odds2.07Closing chance estimate69.8%Closing EV estimate+44.5%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 11:23
- over 20.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate63.9%Closing EV estimate+47.0%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 06:10
BetliveClosing estimateover 19.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.25
No saved recommendation
Model chance69.8%EV+57.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 03:16
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 16.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate85.1%Closing EV estimate+16.6%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 03:16
- over 17.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate80.5%Closing EV estimate+24.8%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 03:16
- over 18.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate75.4%Closing EV estimate+35.7%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 03:16
- over 19.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.25Closing chance estimate69.8%Closing EV estimate+57.1%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 03:16
- over 20.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate63.9%Closing EV estimate+66.2%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 03:16
LiderbetClosing estimateover 19.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance69.8%EV+29.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 03:17
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 18.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate75.4%Closing EV estimate+24.4%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 03:17
- over 19.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate69.8%Closing EV estimate+29.1%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 03:17
- over 20.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate63.9%Closing EV estimate+40.6%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 03:17
SuperbetClosing estimateover 19.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.97
No saved recommendation
Model chance69.8%EV+37.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 11:20
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 15.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate89.0%Closing EV estimate+13.1%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 03:17
- over 16.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate85.1%Closing EV estimate+17.4%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 11:05
- over 17.5odds1.53Closing chance estimate80.5%Closing EV estimate+23.2%margin8.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 11:20
- over 18.5odds1.73Closing chance estimate75.4%Closing EV estimate+30.4%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 11:05
- over 19.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.97Closing chance estimate69.8%Closing EV estimate+37.5%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 11:05
- over 20.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate63.9%Closing EV estimate+47.0%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 11:05
- over 21.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate57.9%Closing EV estimate+56.3%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 11:05
- over 22.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate51.8%Closing EV estimate+65.9%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 11:05

Recommendation record

Recorded 15 Oct, 06:24: over 19.5 at 1.98 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Throw-ins · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 34.5Actual: 28−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0517 Oct, 09:44

Closing odds2.0517 Oct, 01:44

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: 50.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.99
Expected value at recommendation: +3.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 50.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.99. Expected value at recommendation: +3.4%.

At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 43 settled picksand +13.6% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationover 34.5
At recommendation2.05
Closing odds2.05
Unchanged
Model chance50.4%EV+3.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 01:44
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 31.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate65.1%Closing EV estimate−5.6%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 01:44
- over 32.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate59.6%Closing EV estimate−4.7%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 01:44
- over 33.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate54.0%Closing EV estimate−5.6%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 01:44
- over 34.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate48.3%Closing EV estimate−1.0%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 01:44
- over 35.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate42.8%Closing EV estimate+0.5%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 01:44
CrocobetClosing estimateover 34.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance48.3%EV-22.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 03:16
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 34.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.60Closing chance estimate48.3%Closing EV estimate−22.7%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 03:16
- over 35.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate42.8%Closing EV estimate−25.1%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 03:16
- over 36.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate37.4%Closing EV estimate−27.0%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 03:16
LiderbetClosing estimateover 34.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance48.3%EV-15.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 03:17
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 33.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate54.0%Closing EV estimate−13.7%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 03:17
- over 34.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate48.3%Closing EV estimate−15.5%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 03:17
- over 35.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate42.8%Closing EV estimate−16.6%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 03:17
SuperbetClosing estimateover 34.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance48.3%EV-10.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 03:17
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 34.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate48.3%Closing EV estimate−10.6%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 03:17

Recommendation record

Recorded 17 Oct, 09:44: over 34.5 at 2.05 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 17 Oct, 10:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return+17.8%ROI · 5 units staked

Profit+0.89units

W / L3 / 2picks

Avg odds1.95settled picks

Recorded picks51 matches

Around this match

CompetitionEredivisie Home teamSC Telstar Away teamFeyenoord RefereeManschot, Jeroen

Match overview

Matches

Corners · match total

Goal kicks · match total

Offsides · match total

Shots · Feyenoord total

Throw-ins · match total

This match

Around this match

Previous meetings

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