Hull City vs Everton — Premier League
Premier LeaguePremier League 26/27
Sun 11 Oct··Matchday 6·MKM Stadium·Drawn
Match overview
12 priority stats · full time- 7Corners6
- 2Cards0
- 9Shots15
- 5Shots on target7
- 15Fouls4
- 13Throw-ins20
- 1Offsides4
- 4Goal kicks3
- 4Saves2
- 14Tackles15
- 9Interceptions6
- 11Dribbles4
Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.
Board
Matches
Hull CityvEvertonPremier League4 won / 6 lost · −1.83u · 10 picks
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 60.0%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.67
- Expected value at recommendation
- +15.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 60.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.67. Expected value at recommendation: +15.2%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 1.5
Model chance60.0%EV+15.2%Odds down−0.02At recommendation1.92Closing odds1.90Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:34Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 0.5odds1.16Closing chance estimate85.6%Closing EV estimate−0.7%margin10.0%
- over 1.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate57.8%Closing EV estimate+9.8%margin6.7%
- over 2.5odds3.55Closing chance estimate30.7%Closing EV estimate+9.1%margin9.5%
BetliveClosing estimateover 1.5
Model chance57.8%EV+9.8%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.90Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 01:30Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate57.8%Closing EV estimate+9.8%margin11.5%
CrocobetClosing estimateover 1.5
Model chance57.8%EV+6.9%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.85Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:04Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate57.8%Closing EV estimate+6.9%margin11.2%
- over 2.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate30.7%Closing EV estimate+1.4%margin12.3%
KambiClosing estimateover 1.5
Model chance57.8%EV-2.9%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.68Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:06Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.68Closing chance estimate57.8%Closing EV estimate−2.9%margin9.5%
- over 2.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate30.7%Closing EV estimate−10.9%margin9.1%
LiderbetClosing estimateover 1.5
Model chance57.8%EV-1.8%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.70Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:33Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate57.8%Closing EV estimate−1.8%margin14.4%
- over 2.5odds3.70Closing chance estimate30.7%Closing EV estimate+13.7%margin9.7%
Recommendation record
Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 1.5 at 1.92 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 7 Oct, 16:42. The original pick remains in the results.
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 52.3%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.92
- Expected value at recommendation
- +4.6%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 52.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.92. Expected value at recommendation: +4.6%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 9.5
Model chance52.3%EV+4.6%UnchangedAt recommendation2.00Closing odds2.00Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 01:25Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate56.9%Closing EV estimate+13.8%margin7.9%
KambiAt recommendationunder 9.5
Model chance52.3%EV+5.7%Odds down−0.19At recommendation2.02Closing odds1.83Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:06Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 6.5odds4.50Closing chance estimate20.7%Closing EV estimate−6.9%margin8.4%
- under 7.5odds3.15Closing chance estimate31.9%Closing EV estimate+0.4%margin8.7%
- under 8.5odds2.33Closing chance estimate44.4%Closing EV estimate+3.3%margin8.7%
- under 9.5odds1.83Closing chance estimate56.9%Closing EV estimate+4.1%margin8.7%
- under 10.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate68.4%Closing EV estimate+2.6%margin8.7%
- under 11.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate78.0%Closing EV estimate+1.4%margin9.2%
- under 12.5odds1.19Closing chance estimate85.4%Closing EV estimate+1.7%margin8.4%
- under 13.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate90.9%Closing EV estimate−0.1%margin9.4%
BetliveClosing estimateunder 9.5
Model chance56.9%EV+8.1%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.90Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:30Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 5.5odds6.80Closing chance estimate11.9%Closing EV estimate−19.3%margin11.8%
- under 6.5odds4.50Closing chance estimate20.7%Closing EV estimate−6.9%margin12.3%
- under 7.5odds3.25Closing chance estimate31.9%Closing EV estimate+3.6%margin12.1%
- under 8.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate44.4%Closing EV estimate+6.5%margin12.6%
- under 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate56.9%Closing EV estimate+8.1%margin11.5%
- under 10.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate68.4%Closing EV estimate+6.0%margin13.3%
- under 11.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate78.0%Closing EV estimate+6.1%margin12.0%
- under 12.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate85.4%Closing EV estimate−1.7%margin12.3%
- under 13.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate90.9%Closing EV estimate−1.9%margin11.5%
- under 14.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate94.5%Closing EV estimate−1.7%margin11.8%
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 9.5
Model chance56.9%EV+8.1%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.90Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 01:32Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 6.5odds4.75Closing chance estimate20.7%Closing EV estimate−1.7%margin12.0%
- under 7.5odds3.25Closing chance estimate31.9%Closing EV estimate+3.6%margin12.1%
- under 8.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate44.4%Closing EV estimate+8.7%margin11.7%
- under 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate56.9%Closing EV estimate+8.1%margin11.5%
- under 10.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate68.4%Closing EV estimate+6.0%margin13.3%
- under 11.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate78.0%Closing EV estimate+6.1%margin12.0%
- under 12.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate85.4%Closing EV estimate+2.5%margin11.9%
- under 13.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate90.9%Closing EV estimate−0.1%margin12.0%
- under 14.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate94.5%Closing EV estimate−1.7%margin11.5%
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 9.5
Model chance56.9%EV+8.1%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.90Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 01:33Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 7.5odds3.25Closing chance estimate31.9%Closing EV estimate+3.6%margin12.1%
- under 8.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate44.4%Closing EV estimate+6.5%margin13.1%
- under 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate56.9%Closing EV estimate+8.1%margin11.5%
- under 10.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate68.4%Closing EV estimate+6.0%margin13.3%
- under 11.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate78.0%Closing EV estimate+5.3%margin12.5%
Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 9.5
Model chance56.9%EV+8.6%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.91Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:03Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.91Closing chance estimate56.9%Closing EV estimate+8.6%margin7.9%
- under 10.5odds1.57Closing chance estimate68.4%Closing EV estimate+7.4%margin8.1%
- under 11.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate78.0%Closing EV estimate+1.4%margin8.2%
- under 12.5odds1.17Closing chance estimate85.4%Closing EV estimate−0.3%margin7.9%
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 9.5
Model chance56.9%EV+13.8%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.00Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:05Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 2.5odds50.00Closing chance estimate0.7%Closing EV estimate−63.7%margin1.9%
- under 3.5odds22.00Closing chance estimate2.3%Closing EV estimate−48.3%margin3.9%
- under 4.5odds12.00Closing chance estimate5.8%Closing EV estimate−30.0%margin5.4%
- under 5.5odds7.30Closing chance estimate11.9%Closing EV estimate−13.4%margin7.2%
- under 6.5odds4.85Closing chance estimate20.7%Closing EV estimate+0.4%margin6.8%
- under 7.5odds3.40Closing chance estimate31.9%Closing EV estimate+8.3%margin6.9%
- under 8.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate44.4%Closing EV estimate+13.1%margin6.8%
- under 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate56.9%Closing EV estimate+13.8%margin7.1%
- under 10.5odds1.66Closing chance estimate68.4%Closing EV estimate+13.5%margin6.8%
- under 11.5odds1.43Closing chance estimate78.0%Closing EV estimate+11.5%margin7.0%
- under 12.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate85.4%Closing EV estimate+9.4%margin7.1%
- under 13.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate90.9%Closing EV estimate+7.2%margin6.7%
- under 14.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate94.5%Closing EV estimate+4.0%margin7.3%
- under 15.5odds1.06Closing chance estimate96.9%Closing EV estimate+2.7%margin6.7%
- under 16.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate98.3%Closing EV estimate+1.2%margin6.2%
- under 17.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate99.1%Closing EV estimate+0.1%margin5.3%
Recommendation record
Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: under 9.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 59.6%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.68
- Expected value at recommendation
- +13.1%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 59.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.68. Expected value at recommendation: +13.1%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Betliveresult priceAt recommendationover 15.5
Model chance59.6%EV+13.1%UnchangedAt recommendation1.90Closing odds1.90Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 01:30Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 13.5odds1.39Closing chance estimate76.7%Closing EV estimate+6.7%margin11.9%
- over 14.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate68.1%Closing EV estimate+9.0%margin12.5%
- over 15.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate58.6%Closing EV estimate+11.4%margin11.5%
- over 16.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate48.8%Closing EV estimate+9.8%margin12.0%
- over 17.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate39.2%Closing EV estimate+9.8%margin12.1%
LiderbetClosing estimateover 15.5
Model chance58.6%EV+11.4%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.90Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:33Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 12.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate84.0%Closing EV estimate+5.1%margin12.8%
- over 13.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate76.7%Closing EV estimate+7.4%margin13.1%
- over 14.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate68.1%Closing EV estimate+9.0%margin12.5%
- over 15.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate58.6%Closing EV estimate+11.4%margin11.5%
- over 16.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate48.8%Closing EV estimate+12.2%margin12.4%
- over 17.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate39.2%Closing EV estimate+11.8%margin12.6%
- over 18.5odds3.70Closing chance estimate30.4%Closing EV estimate+12.5%margin12.5%
Recommendation record
Recorded 11 Oct, 03:09: over 15.5 at 1.90 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 55.9%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.79
- Expected value at recommendation
- +9.0%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 55.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.79. Expected value at recommendation: +9.0%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Betliveresult priceAt recommendationover 8.5
Model chance55.9%EV+9.0%UnchangedAt recommendation1.95Closing odds1.95Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 01:30Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 7.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate66.6%Closing EV estimate+3.2%margin12.1%
- over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate53.3%Closing EV estimate+3.8%margin11.9%
- over 9.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate40.1%Closing EV estimate+2.2%margin11.7%
LiderbetAt recommendationover 8.5
Model chance53.3%EV+9.9%Odds down−0.06At recommendation2.06Closing odds2.00Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:33Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 7.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate66.6%Closing EV estimate+6.5%margin12.5%
- over 8.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate53.3%Closing EV estimate+6.5%margin12.5%
- over 9.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate40.1%Closing EV estimate+6.2%margin12.4%
Recommendation record
Recorded 11 Oct, 03:09: over 8.5 at 1.95 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 64.9%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.55
- Expected value at recommendation
- +50.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 64.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.55. Expected value at recommendation: +50.5%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
CrocobetClosing estimateover 26.5
Model chance64.0%EV+34.4%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.10Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 01:02Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 22.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate85.6%Closing EV estimate+11.3%margin12.0%
- over 23.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate81.1%Closing EV estimate+17.7%margin12.4%
- over 24.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate76.0%Closing EV estimate+25.4%margin11.9%
- over 25.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate+29.9%margin11.2%
- over 26.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate64.0%Closing EV estimate+34.4%margin12.1%
- over 27.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate57.5%Closing EV estimate+40.9%margin12.2%
- over 28.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate50.9%Closing EV estimate+50.1%margin12.0%
KambiClosing estimateover 26.5
Model chance64.0%EV+52.3%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.38Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:06Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 21.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate89.4%Closing EV estimate+16.2%margin11.4%
- over 22.5odds1.43Closing chance estimate85.6%Closing EV estimate+22.5%margin11.1%
- over 23.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate81.1%Closing EV estimate+29.8%margin11.0%
- over 24.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate76.0%Closing EV estimate+36.8%margin11.1%
- over 25.5odds2.06Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate+44.7%margin11.0%
- over 26.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.38Closing chance estimate64.0%Closing EV estimate+52.3%margin11.0%
- over 27.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate57.5%Closing EV estimate+61.0%margin10.9%
LiderbetClosing estimateover 26.5
Model chance64.0%EV+34.4%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.10Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:33Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 22.5odds1.34Closing chance estimate85.6%Closing EV estimate+14.7%margin12.4%
- over 23.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate81.1%Closing EV estimate+17.7%margin12.4%
- over 24.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate76.0%Closing EV estimate+21.6%margin12.5%
- over 25.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate+26.4%margin12.7%
- over 26.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate64.0%Closing EV estimate+34.4%margin12.1%
- over 27.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate57.5%Closing EV estimate+43.7%margin11.9%
- over 28.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate50.9%Closing EV estimate+50.1%margin12.0%
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 26.5
Model chance64.9%EV+50.5%Odds down−0.05At recommendation2.32Closing odds2.27Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:34Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 20.5odds1.19Closing chance estimate92.4%Closing EV estimate+10.0%margin7.8%
- over 21.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate89.4%Closing EV estimate+11.7%margin8.2%
- over 22.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate85.6%Closing EV estimate+16.5%margin8.0%
- over 23.5odds1.51Closing chance estimate81.1%Closing EV estimate+22.5%margin7.9%
- over 24.5odds1.71Closing chance estimate76.0%Closing EV estimate+29.9%margin8.0%
- over 25.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate+36.9%margin8.1%
- over 26.5odds2.27Closing chance estimate64.0%Closing EV estimate+45.3%margin9.0%
- over 27.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate57.5%Closing EV estimate+52.4%margin9.7%
- over 28.5odds3.25Closing chance estimate50.9%Closing EV estimate+65.3%margin7.7%
- over 29.5odds3.75Closing chance estimate44.3%Closing EV estimate+66.2%margin10.7%
BetliveClosing estimateover 26.5
Model chance64.0%EV+34.4%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.10Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 01:30Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 22.5odds1.31Closing chance estimate85.6%Closing EV estimate+12.2%margin12.1%
- over 23.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate81.1%Closing EV estimate+16.8%margin12.0%
- over 24.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate76.0%Closing EV estimate+21.6%margin12.5%
- over 25.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate+29.9%margin11.2%
- over 26.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate64.0%Closing EV estimate+34.4%margin12.1%
- over 27.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate57.5%Closing EV estimate+40.9%margin12.2%
- over 28.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate50.9%Closing EV estimate+47.5%margin12.0%
Recommendation record
Recorded 9 Oct, 07:17: over 26.5 at 2.32 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 19:11. The original pick remains in the results.
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 56.3%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.78
- Expected value at recommendation
- +12.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 56.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.78. Expected value at recommendation: +12.5%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 11.5
Model chance56.3%EV+12.5%Odds down−0.20At recommendation2.00Closing odds1.80Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 17:55Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 11.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate59.5%Closing EV estimate+7.0%margin7.9%
BetMGM UKAt recommendationover 11.5
Model chance56.4%EV+7.1%Odds up+0.02At recommendation1.90Closing odds1.92Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:25Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 11.5odds1.92Closing chance estimate59.5%Closing EV estimate+14.2%margin11.6%
KambiAt recommendationover 11.5
Model chance59.8%EV+16.6%Odds down−0.03At recommendation1.95Closing odds1.92Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:06Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 10.5odds1.63Closing chance estimate69.8%Closing EV estimate+13.8%margin11.3%
- over 11.5odds1.92Closing chance estimate59.5%Closing EV estimate+14.2%margin11.6%
- over 12.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate48.8%Closing EV estimate+12.1%margin11.5%
BetliveClosing estimateover 11.5
Model chance59.5%EV+7.0%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.80Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:31Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 9.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate79.0%Closing EV estimate+6.7%margin11.8%
- over 10.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate69.8%Closing EV estimate+4.7%margin12.1%
- over 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate59.5%Closing EV estimate+7.0%margin11.1%
- over 12.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate48.8%Closing EV estimate+7.3%margin12.1%
- over 13.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate38.4%Closing EV estimate+7.6%margin12.1%
CrocobetClosing estimateover 11.5
Model chance59.5%EV+1.1%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.70Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:32Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 9.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate79.0%Closing EV estimate−3.6%margin12.3%
- over 10.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate69.8%Closing EV estimate+1.2%margin12.4%
- over 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate59.5%Closing EV estimate+1.1%margin11.5%
- over 12.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate48.8%Closing EV estimate+2.4%margin12.1%
- over 13.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate38.4%Closing EV estimate+1.8%margin11.8%
LiderbetClosing estimateover 11.5
Model chance59.5%EV+1.1%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.70Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:33Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 10.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate69.8%Closing EV estimate+1.2%margin12.4%
- over 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate59.5%Closing EV estimate+1.1%margin12.9%
- over 12.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate48.8%Closing EV estimate+2.4%margin12.1%
SuperbetClosing estimateover 11.5
Model chance59.5%EV+14.2%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.92Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:34Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 8.5odds1.23Closing chance estimate86.6%Closing EV estimate+6.5%margin10.7%
- over 9.5odds1.41Closing chance estimate79.0%Closing EV estimate+11.5%margin7.7%
- over 10.5odds1.62Closing chance estimate69.8%Closing EV estimate+13.1%margin8.2%
- over 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.92Closing chance estimate59.5%Closing EV estimate+14.2%margin7.6%
- over 12.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate48.8%Closing EV estimate+12.1%margin8.8%
- over 13.5odds2.77Closing chance estimate38.4%Closing EV estimate+6.4%margin10.2%
- over 14.5odds3.55Closing chance estimate29.1%Closing EV estimate+3.3%margin8.2%
Recommendation record
Recorded 9 Oct, 07:22: over 11.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 17:56. The original pick remains in the results.
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 69.2%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.45
- Expected value at recommendation
- +52.3%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 69.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.45. Expected value at recommendation: +52.3%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationover 14.5
Model chance69.2%EV+52.3%UnchangedAt recommendation2.20Closing odds2.20Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:32Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 11.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate87.0%Closing EV estimate+15.7%margin11.6%
- over 12.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate80.7%Closing EV estimate+25.1%margin12.1%
- over 13.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate73.1%Closing EV estimate+35.3%margin11.2%
- over 14.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate64.5%Closing EV estimate+42.0%margin12.1%
- over 15.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate55.4%Closing EV estimate+57.8%margin12.0%
KambiClosing estimateover 14.5
Model chance64.5%EV+51.7%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.35Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:06Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 12.5odds1.71Closing chance estimate80.7%Closing EV estimate+38.0%margin11.7%
- over 13.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate73.1%Closing EV estimate+46.3%margin11.3%
- over 14.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.35Closing chance estimate64.5%Closing EV estimate+51.7%margin11.5%
BetliveClosing estimateover 14.5
Model chance64.5%EV+35.5%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.10Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:31Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 12.5odds1.48Closing chance estimate80.7%Closing EV estimate+19.5%margin12.0%
- over 13.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate73.1%Closing EV estimate+28.0%margin11.2%
- over 14.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate64.5%Closing EV estimate+35.5%margin12.1%
- over 15.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate55.4%Closing EV estimate+44.0%margin12.0%
LiderbetClosing estimateover 14.5
Model chance64.5%EV+45.2%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.25Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:33Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 12.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate80.7%Closing EV estimate+25.1%margin12.1%
- over 13.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate73.1%Closing EV estimate+31.6%margin12.7%
- over 14.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.25Closing chance estimate64.5%Closing EV estimate+45.2%margin11.1%
SuperbetClosing estimateover 14.5
Model chance64.5%EV+45.2%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.25Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:34Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 9.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate95.2%Closing EV estimate+16.2%margin7.9%
- over 10.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate91.8%Closing EV estimate+17.5%margin8.4%
- over 11.5odds1.43Closing chance estimate87.0%Closing EV estimate+24.4%margin8.1%
- over 12.5odds1.64Closing chance estimate80.7%Closing EV estimate+32.4%margin8.1%
- over 13.5odds1.92Closing chance estimate73.1%Closing EV estimate+40.4%margin7.6%
- over 14.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.25Closing chance estimate64.5%Closing EV estimate+45.2%margin9.0%
- over 15.5odds2.67Closing chance estimate55.4%Closing EV estimate+47.9%margin10.4%
- over 16.5odds3.40Closing chance estimate46.1%Closing EV estimate+56.9%margin8.2%
Recommendation record
Recorded 11 Oct, 03:09: over 14.5 at 2.20 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 03:36. The original pick remains in the results.
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 51.6%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.94
- Expected value at recommendation
- +8.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 51.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.94. Expected value at recommendation: +8.5%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 8.5
Model chance51.6%EV+8.5%UnchangedAt recommendation2.10Closing odds2.10Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 07:20Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate50.7%Closing EV estimate+6.4%margin7.6%
CrocobetAt recommendationover 8.5
Model chance52.8%EV+5.6%UnchangedAt recommendation2.00Closing odds2.00Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 01:02Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 6.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate76.4%Closing EV estimate−0.7%margin12.0%
- over 7.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate64.1%Closing EV estimate+2.5%margin12.5%
- over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate50.7%Closing EV estimate+1.3%margin12.5%
- over 9.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate37.7%Closing EV estimate−0.1%margin11.8%
- over 10.5odds3.70Closing chance estimate26.4%Closing EV estimate−2.4%margin11.8%
LiderbetAt recommendationover 8.5
Model chance51.9%EV+5.3%Odds down−0.08At recommendation2.03Closing odds1.95Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:33Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 5.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate86.4%Closing EV estimate−1.5%margin12.7%
- over 6.5odds1.31Closing chance estimate76.4%Closing EV estimate+0.1%margin13.4%
- over 7.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate64.1%Closing EV estimate−0.7%margin13.3%
- over 8.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate50.7%Closing EV estimate−1.2%margin13.8%
- over 9.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate37.7%Closing EV estimate−3.9%margin12.7%
- over 10.5odds3.50Closing chance estimate26.4%Closing EV estimate−7.7%margin13.3%
- over 11.5odds5.10Closing chance estimate17.4%Closing EV estimate−11.4%margin13.1%
SuperbetAt recommendationover 8.5
Model chance51.9%EV+21.9%Odds up+0.02At recommendation2.35Closing odds2.37Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:34Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 4.5odds1.06Closing chance estimate93.3%Closing EV estimate−1.1%margin11.4%
- over 5.5odds1.21Closing chance estimate86.4%Closing EV estimate+4.5%margin8.3%
- over 6.5odds1.43Closing chance estimate76.4%Closing EV estimate+9.2%margin8.1%
- over 7.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate64.1%Closing EV estimate+15.3%margin7.6%
- over 8.5odds2.37Closing chance estimate50.7%Closing EV estimate+20.1%margin8.4%
- over 9.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate37.7%Closing EV estimate+24.4%margin7.8%
- over 10.5odds4.45Closing chance estimate26.4%Closing EV estimate+17.4%margin11.0%
- over 11.5odds6.20Closing chance estimate17.4%Closing EV estimate+7.7%margin11.4%
BetliveClosing estimateover 8.5
Model chance50.7%EV-3.7%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.90Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:31Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 6.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate76.4%Closing EV estimate−1.4%margin12.0%
- over 7.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate64.1%Closing EV estimate−0.7%margin12.1%
- over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate50.7%Closing EV estimate−3.7%margin11.5%
- over 9.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate37.7%Closing EV estimate−5.7%margin11.9%
KambiClosing estimateover 8.5
Model chance50.7%EV+14.0%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.25Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:06Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 5.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate86.4%Closing EV estimate+1.9%margin11.8%
- over 6.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate76.4%Closing EV estimate+7.0%margin10.6%
- over 7.5odds1.72Closing chance estimate64.1%Closing EV estimate+10.2%margin11.3%
- over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.25Closing chance estimate50.7%Closing EV estimate+14.0%margin11.6%
- over 9.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate37.7%Closing EV estimate+16.9%margin11.0%
- over 10.5odds4.20Closing chance estimate26.4%Closing EV estimate+10.8%margin12.3%
Recommendation record
Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 8.5 at 2.10 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 00:06. The original pick remains in the results.
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 57.8%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.73
- Expected value at recommendation
- +10.4%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 57.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.73. Expected value at recommendation: +10.4%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 3.5
Model chance57.8%EV+10.4%UnchangedAt recommendation1.91Closing odds1.91Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 07:20Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.91Closing chance estimate52.7%Closing EV estimate+0.5%margin7.9%
BetMGM UKAt recommendationover 3.5
Model chance57.8%EV+30.1%Odds down−0.28At recommendation2.25Closing odds1.97Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:25Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 3.5odds1.97Closing chance estimate52.7%Closing EV estimate+3.7%margin11.4%
KambiAt recommendationover 3.5
Model chance50.9%EV+0.9%Odds down−0.01At recommendation1.98Closing odds1.97Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:06Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 2.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate73.0%Closing EV estimate+0.8%margin10.9%
- over 3.5odds1.97Closing chance estimate52.7%Closing EV estimate+3.7%margin11.4%
- over 4.5odds3.05Closing chance estimate33.3%Closing EV estimate+1.6%margin11.5%
SuperbetAt recommendationover 3.5
Model chance50.9%EV+1.9%Odds up+0.02At recommendation2.00Closing odds2.02Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:05Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 1.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate89.2%Closing EV estimate−1.0%margin11.4%
- over 2.5odds1.43Closing chance estimate73.0%Closing EV estimate+4.4%margin8.1%
- over 3.5odds2.02Closing chance estimate52.7%Closing EV estimate+6.4%margin8.0%
- over 4.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate33.3%Closing EV estimate−0.0%margin10.3%
- over 5.5odds4.75Closing chance estimate18.6%Closing EV estimate−11.6%margin11.1%
- over 6.5odds7.50Closing chance estimate9.2%Closing EV estimate−30.7%margin11.4%
BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance52.7%EV-7.8%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.75Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 01:30Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate52.7%Closing EV estimate−7.8%margin11.2%
- over 4.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate33.3%Closing EV estimate−16.7%margin11.9%
CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance52.7%EV-10.5%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.70Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 01:02Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 2.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate73.0%Closing EV estimate−6.5%margin12.0%
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate52.7%Closing EV estimate−10.5%margin11.5%
- over 4.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate33.3%Closing EV estimate−18.3%margin12.2%
LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance52.7%EV-10.5%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.70Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:33Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 2.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate73.0%Closing EV estimate−5.8%margin12.6%
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate52.7%Closing EV estimate−10.5%margin11.5%
- over 4.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate33.3%Closing EV estimate−20.0%margin13.1%
Recommendation record
Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 3.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 14:22. The original pick remains in the results.
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 51.1%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.96
- Expected value at recommendation
- +0.1%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 51.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.96. Expected value at recommendation: +0.1%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365At recommendationover 4.5
Model chance57.5%EV+9.7%UnchangedAt recommendation1.91Closing odds1.91Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 07:20Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.91Closing chance estimate54.5%Closing EV estimate+4.0%margin7.9%
BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationover 4.5
Model chance51.1%EV+0.1%Odds up+0.08At recommendation1.96Closing odds2.04Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:25Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 4.5odds2.04Closing chance estimate54.5%Closing EV estimate+11.1%margin11.1%
KambiAt recommendationover 4.5
Model chance51.1%EV+3.2%Odds up+0.02At recommendation2.02Closing odds2.04Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:06Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 2.5odds1.16Closing chance estimate86.7%Closing EV estimate+0.6%margin11.8%
- over 3.5odds1.48Closing chance estimate72.2%Closing EV estimate+6.9%margin11.0%
- over 4.5odds2.04Closing chance estimate54.5%Closing EV estimate+11.1%margin11.1%
- over 5.5odds3.05Closing chance estimate37.0%Closing EV estimate+13.0%margin11.5%
- over 6.5odds4.60Closing chance estimate22.8%Closing EV estimate+4.7%margin11.8%
BetliveClosing estimateover 4.5
Model chance54.5%EV+0.7%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.85Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:31Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 3.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate72.2%Closing EV estimate−0.4%margin11.7%
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate54.5%Closing EV estimate+0.7%margin11.2%
- over 5.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate37.0%Closing EV estimate−3.7%margin12.0%
CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.5
Model chance54.5%EV+6.2%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.95Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 01:02Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 3.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate72.2%Closing EV estimate+4.7%margin12.4%
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate54.5%Closing EV estimate+6.2%margin11.9%
- over 5.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate37.0%Closing EV estimate+5.6%margin12.0%
LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.5
Model chance54.5%EV+3.5%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.90Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:33Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 3.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate72.2%Closing EV estimate+4.7%margin12.4%
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate54.5%Closing EV estimate+3.5%margin13.2%
- over 5.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate37.0%Closing EV estimate+3.7%margin12.1%
SuperbetClosing estimateover 4.5
Model chance54.5%EV+17.1%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.15Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:05Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 1.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate95.6%Closing EV estimate+0.4%margin8.1%
- over 2.5odds1.19Closing chance estimate86.7%Closing EV estimate+3.2%margin11.4%
- over 3.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate72.2%Closing EV estimate+11.9%margin8.0%
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.15Closing chance estimate54.5%Closing EV estimate+17.1%margin7.9%
- over 5.5odds3.05Closing chance estimate37.0%Closing EV estimate+13.0%margin10.9%
- over 6.5odds4.60Closing chance estimate22.8%Closing EV estimate+4.7%margin11.0%
- over 7.5odds6.80Closing chance estimate12.7%Closing EV estimate−13.8%margin10.9%
Recommendation record
Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 4.5 at 1.96 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.
Predictions