Hull City vs Everton — Premier League

Premier LeaguePremier League 26/27

Hull City

2–2

HT 0–0

Everton

Sun 11 Oct··Matchday 6·MKM Stadium·Drawn

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time
  • 7Corners6
  • 2Cards0
  • 9Shots15
  • 5Shots on target7
  • 15Fouls4
  • 13Throw-ins20
  • 1Offsides4
  • 4Goal kicks3
  • 4Saves2
  • 14Tackles15
  • 9Interceptions6
  • 11Dribbles4
0Free available0VIP available6Recorded Free4Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match
Hull CityvEvertonPremier League4 won / 6 lost · −1.83u · 10 picks

Cards · Everton total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 1.5Actual: 0−1.00u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.92
Closing odds1.90
Odds down−0.02
Model chance at recommendation
60.0%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.67
Expected value at recommendation
+15.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 60.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.67. Expected value at recommendation: +15.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 1.5
    At recommendation1.92
    Closing odds1.90
    Odds down−0.02
    Model chance60.0%EV+15.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.16Closing chance estimate85.6%Closing EV estimate−0.7%margin10.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate57.8%Closing EV estimate+9.8%margin6.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds3.55Closing chance estimate30.7%Closing EV estimate+9.1%margin9.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.90
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance57.8%EV+9.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 01:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate57.8%Closing EV estimate+9.8%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance57.8%EV+6.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:04

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate57.8%Closing EV estimate+6.9%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate30.7%Closing EV estimate+1.4%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateover 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.68
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance57.8%EV-2.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:06

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.68Closing chance estimate57.8%Closing EV estimate−2.9%margin9.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate30.7%Closing EV estimate−10.9%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance57.8%EV-1.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate57.8%Closing EV estimate−1.8%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds3.70Closing chance estimate30.7%Closing EV estimate+13.7%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 1.5 at 1.92 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 7 Oct, 16:42. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 9.5Actual: 13−1.00u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds2.00
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
52.3%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.92
Expected value at recommendation
+4.6%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.92. Expected value at recommendation: +4.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 9.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Unchanged
    Model chance52.3%EV+4.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 01:25

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate56.9%Closing EV estimate+13.8%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiAt recommendationunder 9.5
    At recommendation2.02
    Closing odds1.83
    Odds down−0.19
    Model chance52.3%EV+5.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:06

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 6.5odds4.50Closing chance estimate20.7%Closing EV estimate−6.9%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds3.15Closing chance estimate31.9%Closing EV estimate+0.4%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5odds2.33Closing chance estimate44.4%Closing EV estimate+3.3%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 9.5odds1.83Closing chance estimate56.9%Closing EV estimate+4.1%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate68.4%Closing EV estimate+2.6%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate78.0%Closing EV estimate+1.4%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5odds1.19Closing chance estimate85.4%Closing EV estimate+1.7%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate90.9%Closing EV estimate−0.1%margin9.4%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.90
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance56.9%EV+8.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 5.5odds6.80Closing chance estimate11.9%Closing EV estimate−19.3%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds4.50Closing chance estimate20.7%Closing EV estimate−6.9%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds3.25Closing chance estimate31.9%Closing EV estimate+3.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate44.4%Closing EV estimate+6.5%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate56.9%Closing EV estimate+8.1%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate68.4%Closing EV estimate+6.0%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate78.0%Closing EV estimate+6.1%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate85.4%Closing EV estimate−1.7%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate90.9%Closing EV estimate−1.9%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 14.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate94.5%Closing EV estimate−1.7%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.90
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance56.9%EV+8.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 01:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 6.5odds4.75Closing chance estimate20.7%Closing EV estimate−1.7%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds3.25Closing chance estimate31.9%Closing EV estimate+3.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate44.4%Closing EV estimate+8.7%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate56.9%Closing EV estimate+8.1%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate68.4%Closing EV estimate+6.0%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate78.0%Closing EV estimate+6.1%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate85.4%Closing EV estimate+2.5%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate90.9%Closing EV estimate−0.1%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 14.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate94.5%Closing EV estimate−1.7%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.90
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance56.9%EV+8.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 01:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 7.5odds3.25Closing chance estimate31.9%Closing EV estimate+3.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate44.4%Closing EV estimate+6.5%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate56.9%Closing EV estimate+8.1%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate68.4%Closing EV estimate+6.0%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate78.0%Closing EV estimate+5.3%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.91
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance56.9%EV+8.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:03

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.91Closing chance estimate56.9%Closing EV estimate+8.6%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5odds1.57Closing chance estimate68.4%Closing EV estimate+7.4%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate78.0%Closing EV estimate+1.4%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5odds1.17Closing chance estimate85.4%Closing EV estimate−0.3%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance56.9%EV+13.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:05

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds50.00Closing chance estimate0.7%Closing EV estimate−63.7%margin1.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds22.00Closing chance estimate2.3%Closing EV estimate−48.3%margin3.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds12.00Closing chance estimate5.8%Closing EV estimate−30.0%margin5.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds7.30Closing chance estimate11.9%Closing EV estimate−13.4%margin7.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds4.85Closing chance estimate20.7%Closing EV estimate+0.4%margin6.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds3.40Closing chance estimate31.9%Closing EV estimate+8.3%margin6.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate44.4%Closing EV estimate+13.1%margin6.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate56.9%Closing EV estimate+13.8%margin7.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5odds1.66Closing chance estimate68.4%Closing EV estimate+13.5%margin6.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11.5odds1.43Closing chance estimate78.0%Closing EV estimate+11.5%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate85.4%Closing EV estimate+9.4%margin7.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate90.9%Closing EV estimate+7.2%margin6.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 14.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate94.5%Closing EV estimate+4.0%margin7.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 15.5odds1.06Closing chance estimate96.9%Closing EV estimate+2.7%margin6.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 16.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate98.3%Closing EV estimate+1.2%margin6.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 17.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate99.1%Closing EV estimate+0.1%margin5.3%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: under 9.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Goal kicks · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 15.5Actual: 7−1.00u on one unit
Betliverecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds1.90
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
59.6%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.68
Expected value at recommendation
+13.1%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 59.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.68. Expected value at recommendation: +13.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betliveresult priceAt recommendationover 15.5
    At recommendation1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Unchanged
    Model chance59.6%EV+13.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 01:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 13.5odds1.39Closing chance estimate76.7%Closing EV estimate+6.7%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate68.1%Closing EV estimate+9.0%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate58.6%Closing EV estimate+11.4%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 16.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate48.8%Closing EV estimate+9.8%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 17.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate39.2%Closing EV estimate+9.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 15.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.90
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance58.6%EV+11.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 12.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate84.0%Closing EV estimate+5.1%margin12.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate76.7%Closing EV estimate+7.4%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate68.1%Closing EV estimate+9.0%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate58.6%Closing EV estimate+11.4%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 16.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate48.8%Closing EV estimate+12.2%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 17.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate39.2%Closing EV estimate+11.8%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 18.5odds3.70Closing chance estimate30.4%Closing EV estimate+12.5%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 03:09: over 15.5 at 1.90 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Goal kicks · Hull City total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 8.5Actual: 4−1.00u on one unit
Betliverecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds1.95
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
55.9%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.79
Expected value at recommendation
+9.0%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 55.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.79. Expected value at recommendation: +9.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betliveresult priceAt recommendationover 8.5
    At recommendation1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Unchanged
    Model chance55.9%EV+9.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 01:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 7.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate66.6%Closing EV estimate+3.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate53.3%Closing EV estimate+3.8%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate40.1%Closing EV estimate+2.2%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetAt recommendationover 8.5
    At recommendation2.06
    Closing odds2.00
    Odds down−0.06
    Model chance53.3%EV+9.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 7.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate66.6%Closing EV estimate+6.5%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate53.3%Closing EV estimate+6.5%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate40.1%Closing EV estimate+6.2%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 03:09: over 8.5 at 1.95 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 26.5Actual: 24−1.00u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.32
Closing odds2.27
Odds down−0.05
Model chance at recommendation
64.9%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.55
Expected value at recommendation
+50.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 64.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.55. Expected value at recommendation: +50.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 26.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance64.0%EV+34.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 01:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 22.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate85.6%Closing EV estimate+11.3%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 23.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate81.1%Closing EV estimate+17.7%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 24.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate76.0%Closing EV estimate+25.4%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 25.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate+29.9%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 26.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate64.0%Closing EV estimate+34.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 27.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate57.5%Closing EV estimate+40.9%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 28.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate50.9%Closing EV estimate+50.1%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateover 26.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.38
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance64.0%EV+52.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:06

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 21.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate89.4%Closing EV estimate+16.2%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 22.5odds1.43Closing chance estimate85.6%Closing EV estimate+22.5%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 23.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate81.1%Closing EV estimate+29.8%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 24.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate76.0%Closing EV estimate+36.8%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 25.5odds2.06Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate+44.7%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 26.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.38Closing chance estimate64.0%Closing EV estimate+52.3%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 27.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate57.5%Closing EV estimate+61.0%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 26.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance64.0%EV+34.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 22.5odds1.34Closing chance estimate85.6%Closing EV estimate+14.7%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 23.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate81.1%Closing EV estimate+17.7%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 24.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate76.0%Closing EV estimate+21.6%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 25.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate+26.4%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 26.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate64.0%Closing EV estimate+34.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 27.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate57.5%Closing EV estimate+43.7%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 28.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate50.9%Closing EV estimate+50.1%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 26.5
    At recommendation2.32
    Closing odds2.27
    Odds down−0.05
    Model chance64.9%EV+50.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 20.5odds1.19Closing chance estimate92.4%Closing EV estimate+10.0%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 21.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate89.4%Closing EV estimate+11.7%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 22.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate85.6%Closing EV estimate+16.5%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 23.5odds1.51Closing chance estimate81.1%Closing EV estimate+22.5%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 24.5odds1.71Closing chance estimate76.0%Closing EV estimate+29.9%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 25.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate+36.9%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 26.5odds2.27Closing chance estimate64.0%Closing EV estimate+45.3%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 27.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate57.5%Closing EV estimate+52.4%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 28.5odds3.25Closing chance estimate50.9%Closing EV estimate+65.3%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 29.5odds3.75Closing chance estimate44.3%Closing EV estimate+66.2%margin10.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 26.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance64.0%EV+34.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 01:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 22.5odds1.31Closing chance estimate85.6%Closing EV estimate+12.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 23.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate81.1%Closing EV estimate+16.8%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 24.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate76.0%Closing EV estimate+21.6%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 25.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate+29.9%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 26.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate64.0%Closing EV estimate+34.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 27.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate57.5%Closing EV estimate+40.9%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 28.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate50.9%Closing EV estimate+47.5%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 07:17: over 26.5 at 2.32 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 19:11. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Hull City total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 11.5Actual: 9−1.00u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds1.80
Odds down−0.20
Model chance at recommendation
56.3%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.78
Expected value at recommendation
+12.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 56.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.78. Expected value at recommendation: +12.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 11.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds1.80
    Odds down−0.20
    Model chance56.3%EV+12.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 17:55

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 11.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate59.5%Closing EV estimate+7.0%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetMGM UKAt recommendationover 11.5
    At recommendation1.90
    Closing odds1.92
    Odds up+0.02
    Model chance56.4%EV+7.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:25

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 11.5odds1.92Closing chance estimate59.5%Closing EV estimate+14.2%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiAt recommendationover 11.5
    At recommendation1.95
    Closing odds1.92
    Odds down−0.03
    Model chance59.8%EV+16.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:06

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 10.5odds1.63Closing chance estimate69.8%Closing EV estimate+13.8%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds1.92Closing chance estimate59.5%Closing EV estimate+14.2%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate48.8%Closing EV estimate+12.1%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 11.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance59.5%EV+7.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 9.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate79.0%Closing EV estimate+6.7%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate69.8%Closing EV estimate+4.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate59.5%Closing EV estimate+7.0%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate48.8%Closing EV estimate+7.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate38.4%Closing EV estimate+7.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 11.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance59.5%EV+1.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 9.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate79.0%Closing EV estimate−3.6%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate69.8%Closing EV estimate+1.2%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate59.5%Closing EV estimate+1.1%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate48.8%Closing EV estimate+2.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate38.4%Closing EV estimate+1.8%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 11.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance59.5%EV+1.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 10.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate69.8%Closing EV estimate+1.2%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate59.5%Closing EV estimate+1.1%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate48.8%Closing EV estimate+2.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 11.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.92
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance59.5%EV+14.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 8.5odds1.23Closing chance estimate86.6%Closing EV estimate+6.5%margin10.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.41Closing chance estimate79.0%Closing EV estimate+11.5%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds1.62Closing chance estimate69.8%Closing EV estimate+13.1%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.92Closing chance estimate59.5%Closing EV estimate+14.2%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate48.8%Closing EV estimate+12.1%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds2.77Closing chance estimate38.4%Closing EV estimate+6.4%margin10.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds3.55Closing chance estimate29.1%Closing EV estimate+3.3%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 07:22: over 11.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 17:56. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Everton total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 14.5Actual: 15+1.20u on one unit
Crocobetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.20
Closing odds2.20
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
69.2%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.45
Expected value at recommendation
+52.3%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 69.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.45. Expected value at recommendation: +52.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationover 14.5
    At recommendation2.20
    Closing odds2.20
    Unchanged
    Model chance69.2%EV+52.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 11.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate87.0%Closing EV estimate+15.7%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate80.7%Closing EV estimate+25.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate73.1%Closing EV estimate+35.3%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate64.5%Closing EV estimate+42.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate55.4%Closing EV estimate+57.8%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateover 14.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.35
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance64.5%EV+51.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:06

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 12.5odds1.71Closing chance estimate80.7%Closing EV estimate+38.0%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate73.1%Closing EV estimate+46.3%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.35Closing chance estimate64.5%Closing EV estimate+51.7%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 14.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance64.5%EV+35.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 12.5odds1.48Closing chance estimate80.7%Closing EV estimate+19.5%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate73.1%Closing EV estimate+28.0%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate64.5%Closing EV estimate+35.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate55.4%Closing EV estimate+44.0%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 14.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.25
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance64.5%EV+45.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 12.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate80.7%Closing EV estimate+25.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate73.1%Closing EV estimate+31.6%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.25Closing chance estimate64.5%Closing EV estimate+45.2%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 14.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.25
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance64.5%EV+45.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 9.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate95.2%Closing EV estimate+16.2%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate91.8%Closing EV estimate+17.5%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds1.43Closing chance estimate87.0%Closing EV estimate+24.4%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds1.64Closing chance estimate80.7%Closing EV estimate+32.4%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds1.92Closing chance estimate73.1%Closing EV estimate+40.4%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.25Closing chance estimate64.5%Closing EV estimate+45.2%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5odds2.67Closing chance estimate55.4%Closing EV estimate+47.9%margin10.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 16.5odds3.40Closing chance estimate46.1%Closing EV estimate+56.9%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 03:09: over 14.5 at 2.20 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 03:36. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 8.5Actual: 12+1.10u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds2.10
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
51.6%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.94
Expected value at recommendation
+8.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.94. Expected value at recommendation: +8.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 8.5
    At recommendation2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Unchanged
    Model chance51.6%EV+8.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 07:20

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate50.7%Closing EV estimate+6.4%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetAt recommendationover 8.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Unchanged
    Model chance52.8%EV+5.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 01:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 6.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate76.4%Closing EV estimate−0.7%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate64.1%Closing EV estimate+2.5%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate50.7%Closing EV estimate+1.3%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate37.7%Closing EV estimate−0.1%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds3.70Closing chance estimate26.4%Closing EV estimate−2.4%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetAt recommendationover 8.5
    At recommendation2.03
    Closing odds1.95
    Odds down−0.08
    Model chance51.9%EV+5.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 5.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate86.4%Closing EV estimate−1.5%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds1.31Closing chance estimate76.4%Closing EV estimate+0.1%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate64.1%Closing EV estimate−0.7%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate50.7%Closing EV estimate−1.2%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate37.7%Closing EV estimate−3.9%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds3.50Closing chance estimate26.4%Closing EV estimate−7.7%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds5.10Closing chance estimate17.4%Closing EV estimate−11.4%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetAt recommendationover 8.5
    At recommendation2.35
    Closing odds2.37
    Odds up+0.02
    Model chance51.9%EV+21.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 4.5odds1.06Closing chance estimate93.3%Closing EV estimate−1.1%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds1.21Closing chance estimate86.4%Closing EV estimate+4.5%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds1.43Closing chance estimate76.4%Closing EV estimate+9.2%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate64.1%Closing EV estimate+15.3%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds2.37Closing chance estimate50.7%Closing EV estimate+20.1%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate37.7%Closing EV estimate+24.4%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds4.45Closing chance estimate26.4%Closing EV estimate+17.4%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds6.20Closing chance estimate17.4%Closing EV estimate+7.7%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 8.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.90
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance50.7%EV-3.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 6.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate76.4%Closing EV estimate−1.4%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate64.1%Closing EV estimate−0.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate50.7%Closing EV estimate−3.7%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate37.7%Closing EV estimate−5.7%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateover 8.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.25
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance50.7%EV+14.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:06

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 5.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate86.4%Closing EV estimate+1.9%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate76.4%Closing EV estimate+7.0%margin10.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.72Closing chance estimate64.1%Closing EV estimate+10.2%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.25Closing chance estimate50.7%Closing EV estimate+14.0%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate37.7%Closing EV estimate+16.9%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds4.20Closing chance estimate26.4%Closing EV estimate+10.8%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 8.5 at 2.10 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 00:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · Hull City total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 5+0.91u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds1.91
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
57.8%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.73
Expected value at recommendation
+10.4%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 57.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.73. Expected value at recommendation: +10.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 3.5
    At recommendation1.91
    Closing odds1.91
    Unchanged
    Model chance57.8%EV+10.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 07:20

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.91Closing chance estimate52.7%Closing EV estimate+0.5%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetMGM UKAt recommendationover 3.5
    At recommendation2.25
    Closing odds1.97
    Odds down−0.28
    Model chance57.8%EV+30.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:25

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.97Closing chance estimate52.7%Closing EV estimate+3.7%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiAt recommendationover 3.5
    At recommendation1.98
    Closing odds1.97
    Odds down−0.01
    Model chance50.9%EV+0.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:06

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate73.0%Closing EV estimate+0.8%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.97Closing chance estimate52.7%Closing EV estimate+3.7%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds3.05Closing chance estimate33.3%Closing EV estimate+1.6%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetAt recommendationover 3.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds2.02
    Odds up+0.02
    Model chance50.9%EV+1.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:05

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate89.2%Closing EV estimate−1.0%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds1.43Closing chance estimate73.0%Closing EV estimate+4.4%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds2.02Closing chance estimate52.7%Closing EV estimate+6.4%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate33.3%Closing EV estimate−0.0%margin10.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds4.75Closing chance estimate18.6%Closing EV estimate−11.6%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds7.50Closing chance estimate9.2%Closing EV estimate−30.7%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance52.7%EV-7.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 01:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate52.7%Closing EV estimate−7.8%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate33.3%Closing EV estimate−16.7%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance52.7%EV-10.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 01:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate73.0%Closing EV estimate−6.5%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate52.7%Closing EV estimate−10.5%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate33.3%Closing EV estimate−18.3%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance52.7%EV-10.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate73.0%Closing EV estimate−5.8%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate52.7%Closing EV estimate−10.5%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate33.3%Closing EV estimate−20.0%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 3.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 14:22. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · Everton total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 4.5Actual: 7+0.96u on one unit
BetMGM UKrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.96
Closing odds2.04
Odds up+0.08
Model chance at recommendation
51.1%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.96
Expected value at recommendation
+0.1%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.96. Expected value at recommendation: +0.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365At recommendationover 4.5
    At recommendation1.91
    Closing odds1.91
    Unchanged
    Model chance57.5%EV+9.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 07:20

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.91Closing chance estimate54.5%Closing EV estimate+4.0%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationover 4.5
    At recommendation1.96
    Closing odds2.04
    Odds up+0.08
    Model chance51.1%EV+0.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:25

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 4.5odds2.04Closing chance estimate54.5%Closing EV estimate+11.1%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiAt recommendationover 4.5
    At recommendation2.02
    Closing odds2.04
    Odds up+0.02
    Model chance51.1%EV+3.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:06

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.16Closing chance estimate86.7%Closing EV estimate+0.6%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.48Closing chance estimate72.2%Closing EV estimate+6.9%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds2.04Closing chance estimate54.5%Closing EV estimate+11.1%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds3.05Closing chance estimate37.0%Closing EV estimate+13.0%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds4.60Closing chance estimate22.8%Closing EV estimate+4.7%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance54.5%EV+0.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate72.2%Closing EV estimate−0.4%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate54.5%Closing EV estimate+0.7%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate37.0%Closing EV estimate−3.7%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance54.5%EV+6.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 01:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate72.2%Closing EV estimate+4.7%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate54.5%Closing EV estimate+6.2%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate37.0%Closing EV estimate+5.6%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.90
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance54.5%EV+3.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate72.2%Closing EV estimate+4.7%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate54.5%Closing EV estimate+3.5%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate37.0%Closing EV estimate+3.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.15
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance54.5%EV+17.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:05

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate95.6%Closing EV estimate+0.4%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds1.19Closing chance estimate86.7%Closing EV estimate+3.2%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate72.2%Closing EV estimate+11.9%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.15Closing chance estimate54.5%Closing EV estimate+17.1%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds3.05Closing chance estimate37.0%Closing EV estimate+13.0%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds4.60Closing chance estimate22.8%Closing EV estimate+4.7%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds6.80Closing chance estimate12.7%Closing EV estimate−13.8%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 4.5 at 1.96 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results
Return−18.3%ROI · 10 units staked
Profit−1.83units
W / L4 / 6picks
Avg odds2.03settled picks
Recorded picks101 matches

Around this match

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