Hull City vs Everton 2-2 — Premier League

Premier LeaguePremier League 26/27

Hull City

2–2

HT 0–0

Everton

Sun 11 Oct·07:00·Matchday 6·MKM Stadium·Drawn

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

7Corners6
2Cards0
9Shots15
5Shots on target7
15Fouls4
13Throw-ins20
1Offsides4
4Goal kicks3
4Saves2
14Tackles15
9Interceptions6
11Dribbles4

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

Independence, method & limitations

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

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0Free available0VIP available6Recorded Free4Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

07:00Hull CityvEvertonPremier League4 won / 6 lost · −1.83u · 10 picks

Cards · Everton total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 1.5Actual: 0−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.927 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 60.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.67
Expected value at recommendation: +15.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 60.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.67. Expected value at recommendation: +15.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 1.5
At recommendation1.92
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance60.0%EV+15.2%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.8%EV+9.8%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.8%EV+6.9%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.68
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.8%EV-2.9%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.8%EV-1.8%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 1.5 at 1.92 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 7 Oct, 16:42. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 9.5Actual: 13−1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.007 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 52.3%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.92
Expected value at recommendation: +4.6%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.92. Expected value at recommendation: +4.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 9.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.3%EV+4.6%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiAt recommendationunder 9.5
At recommendation2.02
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.3%EV+5.7%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.9%EV+8.1%
10 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.9%EV+8.1%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.9%EV+8.1%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.91
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.9%EV+8.6%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.9%EV+13.8%
16 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: under 9.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Goal kicks · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 15.5Actual: 7−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9011 Oct, 03:09

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 59.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.68
Expected value at recommendation: +13.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 59.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.68. Expected value at recommendation: +13.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationover 15.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance59.6%EV+13.1%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 15.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance58.6%EV+11.4%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 03:09: over 15.5 at 1.90 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Goal kicks · Hull City total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 8.5Actual: 4−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9511 Oct, 03:09

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 55.9%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.79
Expected value at recommendation: +9.0%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 55.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.79. Expected value at recommendation: +9.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationover 8.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.9%EV+9.0%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetAt recommendationover 8.5
At recommendation2.06
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.3%EV+9.9%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 03:09: over 8.5 at 1.95 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 26.5Actual: 24−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.329 Oct, 07:17

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 64.9%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.55
Expected value at recommendation: +50.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 64.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.55. Expected value at recommendation: +50.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

CrocobetClosing estimateover 26.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance64.0%EV+34.4%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 26.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.38
No saved recommendation
Model chance64.0%EV+52.3%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 26.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance64.0%EV+34.4%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 26.5
At recommendation2.32
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance64.9%EV+50.5%
10 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 26.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance64.0%EV+34.4%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 07:17: over 26.5 at 2.32 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 19:11. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Hull City total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 11.5Actual: 9−1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.009 Oct, 07:22

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 56.3%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.78
Expected value at recommendation: +12.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 56.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.78. Expected value at recommendation: +12.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 11.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.3%EV+12.5%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetMGM UKAt recommendationover 11.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.4%EV+7.1%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiAt recommendationover 11.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance59.8%EV+16.6%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.5%EV+7.0%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.5%EV+1.1%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.5%EV+1.1%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.92
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.5%EV+14.2%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 07:22: over 11.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 17:56. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Everton total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 14.5Actual: 15+1.20u on one unit

Crocobetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.2011 Oct, 03:09

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 69.2%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.45
Expected value at recommendation: +52.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 69.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.45. Expected value at recommendation: +52.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationover 14.5
At recommendation2.20
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance69.2%EV+52.3%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 14.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.35
No saved recommendation
Model chance64.5%EV+51.7%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 14.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance64.5%EV+35.5%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 14.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.25
No saved recommendation
Model chance64.5%EV+45.2%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 14.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.25
No saved recommendation
Model chance64.5%EV+45.2%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 03:09: over 14.5 at 2.20 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 03:36. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 8.5Actual: 12+1.10u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.107 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 51.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.94
Expected value at recommendation: +8.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.94. Expected value at recommendation: +8.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 8.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.6%EV+8.5%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetAt recommendationover 8.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.8%EV+5.6%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetAt recommendationover 8.5
At recommendation2.03
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.9%EV+5.3%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetAt recommendationover 8.5
At recommendation2.35
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.9%EV+21.9%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.7%EV-3.7%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.25
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.7%EV+14.0%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 8.5 at 2.10 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 00:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · Hull City total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 5+0.91u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.917 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 57.8%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.73
Expected value at recommendation: +10.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 57.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.73. Expected value at recommendation: +10.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance57.8%EV+10.4%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetMGM UKAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation2.25
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance57.8%EV+30.1%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation1.98
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.9%EV+0.9%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.9%EV+1.9%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.7%EV-7.8%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.7%EV-10.5%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.7%EV-10.5%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 3.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 14:22. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · Everton total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 4.5Actual: 7+0.96u on one unit

BetMGM UKrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.967 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 51.1%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.96
Expected value at recommendation: +0.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.96. Expected value at recommendation: +0.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365At recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance57.5%EV+9.7%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation1.96
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.1%EV+0.1%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation2.02
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.1%EV+3.2%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.5%EV+0.7%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.5%EV+6.2%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.5%EV+3.5%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.15
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.5%EV+17.1%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 4.5 at 1.96 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return−18.3%ROI · 10 units staked

Profit−1.83units

W / L4 / 6picks

Avg odds2.03settled picks

Recorded picks101 matches

Around this match

CompetitionPremier League Home teamHull City Away teamEverton RefereeSalisbury Michael

Previous meetings

Sat 8 JanHull City 2-2 Everton

Match overview

Matches

Cards · Everton total

Corners · match total

Goal kicks · match total

Goal kicks · Hull City total

Shots · match total

Shots · Hull City total

Shots · Everton total

Shots on target · match total

Shots on target · Hull City total

Shots on target · Everton total

This match

Around this match

Previous meetings

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