Fulham vs Hull City 1-0 — Premier League

Premier LeaguePremier League 26/27

Fulham

1–0

HT 1–0

Hull City

Sat 17 Oct·08:00·Matchday 7·Craven Cottage·Fulham won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

10Corners2
2Cards2
18Shots5
6Shots on target0
13Fouls11
26Throw-ins14
1Offsides2
4Goal kicks9
0Saves5
16Tackles19
6Interceptions4
15Dribbles4

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

Independence, method & limitations

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

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0Free available0VIP available3Recorded Free2Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

08:00FulhamvHull CityPremier League1 won / 4 lost · −3.05u · 5 picks

Fouls · Fulham total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 9.5Actual: 13+0.95u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9516 Oct, 15:22

Closing odds2.0217 Oct, 06:07

Odds up+0.07

Model chance at recommendation: 62.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.61
Expected value at recommendation: +21.8%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 62.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.61. Expected value at recommendation: +21.8%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 62 settled picksand +6.2% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveAt recommendationover 9.5
At recommendation2.45
Closing odds2.30
Odds down−0.15
Model chance62.4%EV+52.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 06:51
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 7.5odds1.48Closing chance estimate82.9%Closing EV estimate+22.7%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 06:51
- over 8.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate73.5%Closing EV estimate+32.2%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 06:51
- over 9.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate62.4%Closing EV estimate+43.5%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 06:51
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 9.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds2.02
Odds up+0.07
Model chance62.4%EV+21.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 06:07
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 9.5odds2.02Closing chance estimate62.4%Closing EV estimate+26.0%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 06:07
CrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.20
No saved recommendation
Model chance62.4%EV+37.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 06:54
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 6.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate90.1%Closing EV estimate+10.0%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 03:00
- over 7.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate82.9%Closing EV estimate+20.2%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 06:54
- over 8.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate73.5%Closing EV estimate+32.2%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 06:54
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate62.4%Closing EV estimate+37.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 06:54
- over 10.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate50.7%Closing EV estimate+57.0%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 06:54
LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.25
No saved recommendation
Model chance62.4%EV+40.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 07:36
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 7.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate82.9%Closing EV estimate+20.2%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 07:36
- over 8.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate73.5%Closing EV estimate+28.6%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 07:36
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.25Closing chance estimate62.4%Closing EV estimate+40.4%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 07:36

Recommendation record

Recorded 16 Oct, 15:22: over 9.5 at 1.95 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goal kicks · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 15.5Actual: 13−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9516 Oct, 19:48

Closing odds1.9517 Oct, 01:58

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: 51.5%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.95
Expected value at recommendation: +0.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 51.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.95. Expected value at recommendation: +0.4%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 48 settled picksand +11.4% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 15.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds1.95
Unchanged
Model chance51.5%EV+0.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 01:58
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 15.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate51.5%Closing EV estimate+0.4%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 01:58
BetliveClosing estimateover 15.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.65
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.5%EV-15.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 02:06
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 13.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate71.0%Closing EV estimate−9.1%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 02:06
- over 14.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate61.5%Closing EV estimate−11.4%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 02:06
- over 15.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate51.5%Closing EV estimate−15.1%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 02:06
- over 16.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate41.6%Closing EV estimate−18.9%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 02:06
- over 17.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate32.3%Closing EV estimate−24.0%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 02:06
- over 18.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate24.2%Closing EV estimate−29.7%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 02:06
CrocobetClosing estimateover 15.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.65
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.5%EV-15.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 03:00
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 14.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate61.5%Closing EV estimate−13.9%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 03:00
- over 15.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate51.5%Closing EV estimate−15.1%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 03:00
- over 16.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate41.6%Closing EV estimate−18.9%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 03:00
- over 17.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate32.3%Closing EV estimate−25.6%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 03:00
- over 18.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate24.2%Closing EV estimate−28.5%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 03:00
LiderbetClosing estimateover 15.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.5%EV-17.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 03:04
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 13.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate71.0%Closing EV estimate−8.4%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 03:04
- over 14.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate61.5%Closing EV estimate−13.9%margin14.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 03:04
- over 15.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.60Closing chance estimate51.5%Closing EV estimate−17.6%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 03:04
- over 16.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate41.6%Closing EV estimate−21.0%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 03:04
- over 17.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate32.3%Closing EV estimate−24.0%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 03:04
- over 18.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate24.2%Closing EV estimate−29.7%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 03:04
- over 19.5odds3.70Closing chance estimate17.5%Closing EV estimate−35.2%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 03:04

Recommendation record

Recorded 16 Oct, 19:48: over 15.5 at 1.95 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Offsides · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 3−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0517 Oct, 02:06

Closing odds2.0517 Oct, 02:06

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: 51.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.97
Expected value at recommendation: +4.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 51.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.97. Expected value at recommendation: +4.5%.

At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 64 settled picksand +13.4% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation2.05
Closing odds2.05
Unchanged
Model chance51.0%EV+4.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 02:06
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate71.6%Closing EV estimate+3.9%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 02:06
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate51.0%Closing EV estimate+4.5%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 02:06
CrocobetAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds2.10
Unchanged
Model chance51.0%EV+7.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 03:00
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate88.5%Closing EV estimate−0.9%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 03:00
- over 2.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate71.6%Closing EV estimate+3.9%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 03:00
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate51.0%Closing EV estimate+7.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 03:00
- over 4.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate31.9%Closing EV estimate+5.4%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 03:00
LiderbetAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds2.10
Unchanged
Model chance51.0%EV+7.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 03:04
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate88.5%Closing EV estimate+0.9%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 03:04
- over 2.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate71.6%Closing EV estimate+3.9%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 03:04
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate51.0%Closing EV estimate+7.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 03:04
- over 4.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate31.9%Closing EV estimate+5.4%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 03:04
- over 5.5odds5.80Closing chance estimate17.8%Closing EV estimate+3.0%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 03:04
- over 6.5odds9.80Closing chance estimate8.8%Closing EV estimate−13.4%margin—Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 03:04
KambiClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.38
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.0%EV-29.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 07:41
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.38Closing chance estimate51.0%Closing EV estimate−29.7%margin—Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 08:15
- over 4.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate31.9%Closing EV estimate−39.3%margin—Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 07:41

Recommendation record

Recorded 17 Oct, 02:06: over 3.5 at 2.05 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots · Hull City total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 10.5Actual: 5−1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9114 Oct, 00:52

Closing odds1.7316 Oct, 17:25

Odds down−0.18

Model chance at recommendation: 54.8%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.83
Expected value at recommendation: +4.7%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 54.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.83. Expected value at recommendation: +4.7%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 131 settled picksand +0.2% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 10.5
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds1.73
Odds down−0.18
Model chance54.8%EV+4.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 16 Oct, 17:25
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 10.5odds1.73Closing chance estimate54.4%Closing EV estimate−6.1%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 17:25
KambiAt recommendationover 10.5
At recommendation2.23
Closing odds2.05
Odds down−0.18
Model chance54.8%EV+22.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 05:45
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 8.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate72.1%Closing EV estimate+11.7%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 06:20
- over 9.5odds1.72Closing chance estimate63.3%Closing EV estimate+9.0%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 05:45
- over 10.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate54.4%Closing EV estimate+11.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 05:45
- over 11.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate45.5%Closing EV estimate+13.8%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 04:47
BetliveClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.4%EV-4.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 02:06
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 9.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate63.3%Closing EV estimate−8.1%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 02:06
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate54.4%Closing EV estimate−4.9%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 02:06
- over 11.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate45.5%Closing EV estimate−2.2%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 02:06
- over 12.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate37.1%Closing EV estimate+3.9%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 02:06
CrocobetClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.4%EV-7.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 03:00
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 8.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate72.1%Closing EV estimate−12.1%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 03:00
- over 9.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate63.3%Closing EV estimate−8.1%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 03:00
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate54.4%Closing EV estimate−7.6%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 03:00
- over 11.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate45.5%Closing EV estimate−4.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 03:00
- over 12.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate37.1%Closing EV estimate+2.0%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 03:00
LiderbetClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.4%EV-7.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 03:04
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 9.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate63.3%Closing EV estimate−11.3%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 03:04
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate54.4%Closing EV estimate−7.6%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 03:04
- over 11.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate45.5%Closing EV estimate−6.7%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 03:04
SuperbetClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.88
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.4%EV+2.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 06:07
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 6.5odds1.13Closing chance estimate86.9%Closing EV estimate−1.8%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 23:36
- over 7.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate80.1%Closing EV estimate−2.3%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 06:07
- over 8.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate72.1%Closing EV estimate−1.3%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 05:08
- over 9.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate63.3%Closing EV estimate+4.5%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 05:08
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.88Closing chance estimate54.4%Closing EV estimate+2.2%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 05:08
- over 11.5odds2.27Closing chance estimate45.5%Closing EV estimate+3.3%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 05:08
- over 12.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate37.1%Closing EV estimate+2.0%margin10.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 05:08
- over 13.5odds3.60Closing chance estimate29.4%Closing EV estimate+5.8%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 06:07

Recommendation record

Recorded 14 Oct, 00:52: over 10.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 14 Oct, 02:13. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · Hull City total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 0−1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.1017 Oct, 03:50

Closing odds2.1017 Oct, 04:33

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: 59.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.69
Expected value at recommendation: +24.8%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 59.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.69. Expected value at recommendation: +24.8%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 132 settled picksand +6.3% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds2.10
Unchanged
Model chance59.4%EV+24.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 04:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate59.7%Closing EV estimate+25.3%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 04:33
BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.20
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.7%EV+31.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 02:06
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate78.3%Closing EV estimate+17.5%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 02:06
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate59.7%Closing EV estimate+31.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 02:06
CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.30
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.7%EV+37.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 03:00
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate91.9%Closing EV estimate+5.6%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 03:00
- over 2.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate78.3%Closing EV estimate+21.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 03:00
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.30Closing chance estimate59.7%Closing EV estimate+37.2%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 03:00
KambiClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.17
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.7%EV+29.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 07:41
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate91.9%Closing EV estimate+2.9%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 07:41
- over 2.5odds1.47Closing chance estimate78.3%Closing EV estimate+15.1%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 07:41
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.17Closing chance estimate59.7%Closing EV estimate+29.5%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 07:41
- over 4.5odds3.45Closing chance estimate40.3%Closing EV estimate+39.0%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 07:41
LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.20
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.7%EV+31.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 03:04
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate78.3%Closing EV estimate+17.5%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 03:04
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate59.7%Closing EV estimate+31.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 03:04
- over 4.5odds3.65Closing chance estimate40.3%Closing EV estimate+47.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 03:04
SuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.07
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.7%EV+23.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 07:07
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate91.9%Closing EV estimate+2.9%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 05:08
- over 2.5odds1.46Closing chance estimate78.3%Closing EV estimate+14.4%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 07:07
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.07Closing chance estimate59.7%Closing EV estimate+23.5%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 07:07
- over 4.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate40.3%Closing EV estimate+24.9%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 05:08
- over 5.5odds4.90Closing chance estimate24.2%Closing EV estimate+18.5%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 05:08
- over 6.5odds7.70Closing chance estimate13.0%Closing EV estimate−0.2%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 05:08

Recommendation record

Recorded 17 Oct, 03:50: over 3.5 at 2.10 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return−61.0%ROI · 5 units staked

Profit−3.05units

W / L1 / 4picks

Avg odds1.99settled picks

Recorded picks51 matches

Around this match

CompetitionPremier League Home teamFulham Away teamHull City RefereeChris Kavanagh

Match overview

Matches

Fouls · Fulham total

Goal kicks · match total

Offsides · match total

Shots · Hull City total

Shots on target · Hull City total

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