FC Groningen vs AFC Ajax 2-5 — Eredivisie

EredivisieEredivisie 26/27

FC Groningen

2–5

HT 0–2

AFC Ajax

Sun 18 Oct·08:45·Matchday 9·Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadium·AFC Ajax won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

7Corners4
1Cards2
16Shots15
5Shots on target11
12Fouls17
10Throw-ins9
1Offsides4
3Goal kicks9
4Saves3
19Tackles14
10Interceptions8
7Dribbles4

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

Independence, method & limitations

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

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0Free available0VIP available3Recorded Free1Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

08:45FC GroningenvAFC AjaxEredivisie2 won / 2 lost · +0.23u · 4 picks

Corners · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 10.5Actual: 11+0.98u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9813 Oct, 10:15

Closing odds2.2818 Oct, 08:01

Odds up+0.30

Model chance at recommendation: 54.5%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.84
Expected value at recommendation: +8.0%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 54.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.84. Expected value at recommendation: +8.0%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 98 settled picksand +4.6% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 10.5
At recommendation1.98
Closing odds2.28
Odds up+0.30
Model chance54.5%EV+8.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 08:04
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 6.5odds1.13Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.3%Model unavailableCaptured 16 Oct, 09:07
- over 7.5odds1.27Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.0%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 08:04
- over 8.5odds1.48Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.7%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 08:01
- over 9.5odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.7%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 08:04
- over 10.5odds2.28Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.8%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 08:01
- over 11.5odds2.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 07:45
- over 12.5odds4.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.0%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 08:04
- over 13.5odds5.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.8%Model unavailableCaptured 16 Oct, 09:07
- over 14.5odds5.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.8%Model unavailableCaptured 13 Oct, 06:20
BetliveClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.05
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 23:37
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 6.5odds1.06Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailableCaptured 17 Oct, 23:37
- over 7.5odds1.23Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.6%Model unavailableCaptured 16 Oct, 06:16
- over 8.5odds1.41Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.5%Model unavailableCaptured 17 Oct, 05:54
- over 9.5odds1.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.7%Model unavailableCaptured 13 Oct, 18:15
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.3%Model unavailableCaptured 16 Oct, 06:16
- over 11.5odds2.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.4%Model unavailableCaptured 16 Oct, 06:16
- over 12.5odds3.15Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.7%Model unavailableCaptured 17 Oct, 23:37
- over 13.5odds4.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.3%Model unavailableCaptured 17 Oct, 23:37
- over 14.5odds5.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.6%Model unavailableCaptured 17 Oct, 23:37
CrocobetClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.05
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 09:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 6.5odds1.08Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.6%Model unavailableCaptured 17 Oct, 09:31
- over 7.5odds1.23Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.6%Model unavailableCaptured 16 Oct, 09:07
- over 8.5odds1.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.0%Model unavailableCaptured 17 Oct, 09:31
- over 9.5odds1.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.7%Model unavailableCaptured 13 Oct, 18:17
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.3%Model unavailableCaptured 16 Oct, 09:07
- over 11.5odds2.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.4%Model unavailableCaptured 16 Oct, 09:07
- over 12.5odds3.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.2%Model unavailableCaptured 17 Oct, 09:31
LiderbetClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.05
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 16 Oct, 09:07
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 7.5odds1.23Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.6%Model unavailableCaptured 16 Oct, 09:07
- over 8.5odds1.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.0%Model unavailableCaptured 13 Oct, 18:17
- over 9.5odds1.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.7%Model unavailableCaptured 13 Oct, 18:17
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.3%Model unavailableCaptured 16 Oct, 09:07
- over 11.5odds2.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.4%Model unavailableCaptured 16 Oct, 09:07
SuperbetClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.15
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 16 Oct, 09:07
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5odds1.02Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin6.4%Model unavailableCaptured 13 Oct, 18:19
- over 5.5odds1.07Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.0%Model unavailableCaptured 16 Oct, 09:07
- over 6.5odds1.16Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.7%Model unavailableCaptured 16 Oct, 09:07
- over 7.5odds1.29Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.8%Model unavailableCaptured 16 Oct, 09:07
- over 8.5odds1.48Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.1%Model unavailableCaptured 16 Oct, 09:07
- over 9.5odds1.76Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.1%Model unavailableCaptured 16 Oct, 09:07
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.15Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.9%Model unavailableCaptured 16 Oct, 09:07
- over 11.5odds2.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.0%Model unavailableCaptured 16 Oct, 09:07
- over 12.5odds3.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.4%Model unavailableCaptured 16 Oct, 09:07
- over 13.5odds4.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.4%Model unavailableCaptured 16 Oct, 09:07
- over 14.5odds6.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.6%Model unavailableCaptured 16 Oct, 09:07

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 10:15: over 10.5 at 1.98 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 11:12. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · AFC Ajax total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 5.5Actual: 4−1.00u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9713 Oct, 11:25

Closing odds1.9518 Oct, 08:04

Odds down−0.02

Model chance at recommendation: 56.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.77
Expected value at recommendation: +11.6%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 56.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.77. Expected value at recommendation: +11.6%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 35 settled picksand +17.6% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 5.5
At recommendation1.97
Closing odds1.95
Odds down−0.02
Model chance56.6%EV+11.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 08:04
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.4%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 08:04
- over 4.5odds1.53Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.8%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 08:04
- over 5.5odds1.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.8%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 08:04
- over 6.5odds2.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.9%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 08:04
- over 7.5odds3.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.5%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 08:04
- over 8.5odds5.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.5%Model unavailableCaptured 11 Oct, 18:20
Bet365Closing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.83
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 14:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.83Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 14:01
BetliveClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.65
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 23:37
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.11Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.3%Model unavailableCaptured 17 Oct, 23:37
- over 4.5odds1.32Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 17 Oct, 23:37
- over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailableCaptured 17 Oct, 23:37
- over 6.5odds2.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 17 Oct, 23:37
- over 7.5odds3.05Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailableCaptured 17 Oct, 23:37
CrocobetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 09:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5odds1.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.0%Model unavailableCaptured 17 Oct, 09:31
- over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%Model unavailableCaptured 17 Oct, 09:31
- over 6.5odds2.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.4%Model unavailableCaptured 17 Oct, 09:31
- over 7.5odds3.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.2%Model unavailableCaptured 17 Oct, 09:31
LiderbetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 08:28
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.09Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.6%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 08:28
- over 4.5odds1.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.6%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 08:28
- over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 08:28
- over 6.5odds2.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 08:28
- over 7.5odds3.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.9%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 08:28
SuperbetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.83
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 05:54
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.08Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.0%Model unavailableCaptured 13 Oct, 18:19
- over 3.5odds1.22Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.9%Model unavailableCaptured 17 Oct, 05:54
- over 4.5odds1.46Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.2%Model unavailableCaptured 17 Oct, 05:54
- over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.83Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.1%Model unavailableCaptured 17 Oct, 05:54
- over 6.5odds2.42Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.0%Model unavailableCaptured 17 Oct, 05:54
- over 7.5odds3.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.4%Model unavailableCaptured 17 Oct, 05:54
- over 8.5odds4.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.7%Model unavailableCaptured 17 Oct, 05:54

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 11:25: over 5.5 at 1.97 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 12:24. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · AFC Ajax total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 18.5Actual: 15−1.00u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9716 Oct, 09:08

Closing odds2.0018 Oct, 08:04

Odds up+0.03

Model chance at recommendation: 63.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.58
Expected value at recommendation: +25.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 63.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.58. Expected value at recommendation: +25.2%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 125 settled picksand +7.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 18.5
At recommendation1.97
Closing odds2.00
Odds up+0.03
Model chance63.6%EV+25.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 08:04
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 17.5odds1.77Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.4%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 08:04
- over 18.5odds2.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.7%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 08:04
BetliveClosing estimateover 18.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.45
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 01:35
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 15.5odds1.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.4%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 01:35
- over 16.5odds1.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.4%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 01:35
- over 17.5odds2.05Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.3%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 01:35
- over 18.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 01:35
CrocobetClosing estimateover 18.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 01:07
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 16.5odds1.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.5%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 01:07
- over 17.5odds1.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.3%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 01:07
- over 18.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.5%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 01:07
LiderbetClosing estimateover 18.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 04:10
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 16.5odds1.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.5%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 04:10
- over 17.5odds1.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.3%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 04:10
- over 18.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.5%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 04:10
SuperbetClosing estimateover 18.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.22
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 07:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 13.5odds1.23Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.2%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:41
- over 14.5odds1.33Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.0%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 07:32
- over 15.5odds1.48Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.6%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 07:32
- over 16.5odds1.66Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.9%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 07:32
- over 17.5odds1.90Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.2%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 07:32
- over 18.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.22Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.9%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 07:32
- over 19.5odds2.62Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 07:32
- over 20.5odds3.15Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 07:32

Recommendation record

Recorded 16 Oct, 09:08: over 18.5 at 1.97 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Throw-ins · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 32.5Actual: 19+1.25u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.2518 Oct, 01:36

Closing odds2.2518 Oct, 01:35

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: 56.5%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.77
Expected value at recommendation: +27.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 56.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.77. Expected value at recommendation: +27.2%.

At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 452 settled picksand +1.1% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 32.5
At recommendation2.25
Closing odds2.25
Unchanged
Model chance56.5%EV+27.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 01:35
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 32.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.4%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 01:35
- under 33.5odds1.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 01:35
- under 34.5odds1.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.3%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 01:35
- under 35.5odds1.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.3%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 01:35
- under 36.5odds1.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.4%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 01:35

Recommendation record

Recorded 18 Oct, 01:36: under 32.5 at 2.25 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return+5.8%ROI · 4 units staked

Profit+0.23units

W / L2 / 2picks

Avg odds2.04settled picks

Recorded picks41 matches

Around this match

CompetitionEredivisie Home teamFC Groningen Away teamAFC Ajax RefereeDennis Higler

Match overview

Matches

Corners · match total

Corners · AFC Ajax total

Shots · AFC Ajax total

Throw-ins · match total

This match

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