FC Groningen vs AFC Ajax 2-5 — Eredivisie

EredivisieEredivisie 26/27

FC Groningen

2–5

HT 0–2

AFC Ajax

Sun 18 Oct·08:45·Matchday 9·Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadium·AFC Ajax won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

7Corners4
1Cards2
16Shots15
5Shots on target11
12Fouls17
10Throw-ins9
1Offsides4
3Goal kicks9
4Saves3
19Tackles14
10Interceptions8
7Dribbles4

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

Independence, method & limitations

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

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0Free available0VIP available3Recorded Free1Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

08:45FC GroningenvAFC AjaxEredivisie2 won / 2 lost · +0.23u · 4 picks

Corners · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 10.5Actual: 11+0.98u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9813 Oct, 10:15

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 54.5%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.84
Expected value at recommendation: +8.0%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 54.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.84. Expected value at recommendation: +8.0%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 98 settled picksand +4.6% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 10.5
At recommendation1.98
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.5%EV+8.0%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.05
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.05
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.05
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.15
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 10:15: over 10.5 at 1.98 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 11:12. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · AFC Ajax total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 5.5Actual: 4−1.00u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9713 Oct, 11:25

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 56.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.77
Expected value at recommendation: +11.6%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 56.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.77. Expected value at recommendation: +11.6%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 35 settled picksand +17.6% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 5.5
At recommendation1.97
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.6%EV+11.6%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.83
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.65
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.83
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 11:25: over 5.5 at 1.97 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 12:24. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · AFC Ajax total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 18.5Actual: 15−1.00u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9716 Oct, 09:08

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 63.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.58
Expected value at recommendation: +25.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 63.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.58. Expected value at recommendation: +25.2%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 125 settled picksand +7.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 18.5
At recommendation1.97
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance63.6%EV+25.2%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 18.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.45
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 18.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 18.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 18.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.22
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 16 Oct, 09:08: over 18.5 at 1.97 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Throw-ins · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 32.5Actual: 19+1.25u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.2518 Oct, 01:36

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 56.5%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.77
Expected value at recommendation: +27.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 56.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.77. Expected value at recommendation: +27.2%.

At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 452 settled picksand +1.1% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 32.5
At recommendation2.25
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.5%EV+27.2%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 18 Oct, 01:36: under 32.5 at 2.25 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return+5.8%ROI · 4 units staked

Profit+0.23units

W / L2 / 2picks

Avg odds2.04settled picks

Recorded picks41 matches

Around this match

CompetitionEredivisie Home teamFC Groningen Away teamAFC Ajax RefereeDennis Higler

Match overview

Matches

Corners · match total

Corners · AFC Ajax total

Shots · AFC Ajax total

Throw-ins · match total

This match

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