Empoli vs Palermo — Serie B

Serie BSerie B 26/27

Empoli

2–4

HT 0–0

Palermo

Sat 10 Oct··Matchday 6·Carlo Castellani·Palermo won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time
  • 1Corners5
  • 1Cards1
  • 6Shots35
  • 2Shots on target12
  • 10Fouls12
  • 13Throw-ins16
  • 2Offsides3
  • 13Goal kicks3
  • 8Saves1
  • 13Tackles9
  • 11Interceptions7
  • 7Dribbles6
OddsOddsStatsStatsPredictionsPicksRefereeRefereeCoachCoach
0Free available0VIP available6Recorded Free1Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match
EmpolivPalermoSerie B6 won / 1 lost · +5.74u · 7 picks

Cards · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 3.5Actual: 2+1.52u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.52
Closing odds2.55
Odds up+0.03
Model chance at recommendation
50.2%
Minimum qualifying odds
2.00
Expected value at recommendation
+26.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 2.00. Expected value at recommendation: +26.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 3.5
    At recommendation2.52
    Closing odds2.55
    Odds up+0.03
    Model chance50.2%EV+26.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 04:39

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate2.5%Closing EV estimate−97.1%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate49.4%Closing EV estimate+26.0%margin9.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate68.7%Closing EV estimate+23.7%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.39Closing chance estimate83.0%Closing EV estimate+15.4%margin10.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.60
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance49.4%EV+28.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 01:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.60Closing chance estimate49.4%Closing EV estimate+28.5%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate68.7%Closing EV estimate+20.3%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate83.0%Closing EV estimate+12.1%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.50
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance49.4%EV+23.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 04:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.50Closing chance estimate49.4%Closing EV estimate+23.5%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate68.7%Closing EV estimate+20.3%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate83.0%Closing EV estimate+12.1%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance49.4%EV+3.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 01:39

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds8.00Closing chance estimate11.6%Closing EV estimate−7.0%margin—Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds3.50Closing chance estimate28.5%Closing EV estimate−0.1%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate49.4%Closing EV estimate+3.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate68.7%Closing EV estimate−0.4%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.16Closing chance estimate83.0%Closing EV estimate−3.7%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate91.8%Closing EV estimate−6.3%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:42: under 3.5 at 2.52 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 04:47. The original pick remains in the results.

Cards · Palermo total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 1.5Actual: 1+1.50u on one unit
Betliverecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.50
Closing odds2.50
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
50.2%
Minimum qualifying odds
2.00
Expected value at recommendation
+25.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 2.00. Expected value at recommendation: +25.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 1.5
    At recommendation2.50
    Closing odds2.50
    Unchanged
    Model chance50.2%EV+25.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 01:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.50Closing chance estimate48.6%Closing EV estimate+21.6%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate75.1%Closing EV estimate+16.5%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetAt recommendationunder 1.5
    At recommendation2.35
    Closing odds2.35
    Unchanged
    Model chance50.2%EV+18.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 04:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.35Closing chance estimate48.6%Closing EV estimate+14.3%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate75.1%Closing EV estimate+9.0%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate90.3%Closing EV estimate+3.9%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetAt recommendationunder 1.5
    At recommendation2.30
    Closing odds2.30
    Unchanged
    Model chance50.2%EV+15.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 01:39

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.30Closing chance estimate48.6%Closing EV estimate+11.9%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate75.1%Closing EV estimate+2.2%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 01:33: under 1.5 at 2.50 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 06:48. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 9.5Actual: 6−1.00u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds2.00
Odds up+0.09
Model chance at recommendation
52.8%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.90
Expected value at recommendation
+0.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.90. Expected value at recommendation: +0.7%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 9.5
    At recommendation1.91
    Closing odds2.00
    Odds up+0.09
    Model chance52.8%EV+0.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:40

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 9.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate51.3%Closing EV estimate+2.6%margin5.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance51.3%EV-7.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 04:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 5.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate91.2%Closing EV estimate−5.2%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate84.0%Closing EV estimate−8.4%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate74.5%Closing EV estimate−4.6%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.49Closing chance estimate63.3%Closing EV estimate−5.7%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate51.3%Closing EV estimate−7.6%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate39.7%Closing EV estimate−10.7%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate29.3%Closing EV estimate−16.6%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds3.45Closing chance estimate20.6%Closing EV estimate−29.0%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds4.65Closing chance estimate13.8%Closing EV estimate−35.6%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds6.10Closing chance estimate8.9%Closing EV estimate−45.6%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance51.3%EV-7.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 08:35

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 6.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate84.0%Closing EV estimate−5.9%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate74.5%Closing EV estimate−4.6%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate63.3%Closing EV estimate−5.1%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate51.3%Closing EV estimate−7.6%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate39.7%Closing EV estimate−10.7%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate29.3%Closing EV estimate−16.6%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.65
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance51.3%EV-15.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 01:39

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 5.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate91.2%Closing EV estimate−7.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds1.07Closing chance estimate84.0%Closing EV estimate−10.1%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.19Closing chance estimate74.5%Closing EV estimate−11.3%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate63.3%Closing EV estimate−12.7%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate51.3%Closing EV estimate−15.3%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate39.7%Closing EV estimate−16.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate29.3%Closing EV estimate−23.9%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds3.55Closing chance estimate20.6%Closing EV estimate−26.9%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds4.90Closing chance estimate13.8%Closing EV estimate−32.1%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds6.70Closing chance estimate8.9%Closing EV estimate−40.3%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.90
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance51.3%EV-2.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 10:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 4.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate95.8%Closing EV estimate−1.3%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate91.2%Closing EV estimate−0.6%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate84.0%Closing EV estimate+0.8%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate74.5%Closing EV estimate+0.6%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.58Closing chance estimate63.3%Closing EV estimate+0.0%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate51.3%Closing EV estimate−2.5%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds2.37Closing chance estimate39.7%Closing EV estimate−5.9%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate29.3%Closing EV estimate−12.2%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds3.90Closing chance estimate20.6%Closing EV estimate−19.7%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds5.20Closing chance estimate13.8%Closing EV estimate−28.0%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds6.90Closing chance estimate8.9%Closing EV estimate−38.5%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 9.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 04:47. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Empoli total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 4.5Actual: 1+0.90u on one unit
Betliverecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds1.90
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
58.5%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.71
Expected value at recommendation
+11.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 58.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.71. Expected value at recommendation: +11.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 4.5
    At recommendation1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Unchanged
    Model chance58.5%EV+11.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 04:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds5.00Closing chance estimate20.2%Closing EV estimate+0.9%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate37.8%Closing EV estimate+5.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate56.5%Closing EV estimate+7.3%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.46Closing chance estimate72.7%Closing EV estimate+6.1%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.21Closing chance estimate84.5%Closing EV estimate+2.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetAt recommendationunder 4.5
    At recommendation1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Unchanged
    Model chance58.5%EV+14.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 08:35

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 3.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate37.8%Closing EV estimate+5.8%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate56.5%Closing EV estimate+10.2%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate72.7%Closing EV estimate+1.7%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • Bet365Closing estimateunder 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.73
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance56.5%EV-2.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:25

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.73Closing chance estimate56.5%Closing EV estimate−2.4%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetMGM UKClosing estimateunder 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.71
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance56.5%EV-3.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:15

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.71Closing chance estimate56.5%Closing EV estimate−3.4%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateunder 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.71
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance56.5%EV-3.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:39

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.71Closing chance estimate56.5%Closing EV estimate−3.4%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.90
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance56.5%EV+7.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 01:39

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds5.30Closing chance estimate20.2%Closing EV estimate+6.9%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate37.8%Closing EV estimate+9.5%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate56.5%Closing EV estimate+7.3%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate72.7%Closing EV estimate+5.4%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.19Closing chance estimate84.5%Closing EV estimate+0.5%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.78
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance56.5%EV+0.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 02:09

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds7.60Closing chance estimate7.6%Closing EV estimate−42.3%margin7.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds4.00Closing chance estimate20.2%Closing EV estimate−19.3%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds2.47Closing chance estimate37.8%Closing EV estimate−6.7%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.78Closing chance estimate56.5%Closing EV estimate+0.6%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.42Closing chance estimate72.7%Closing EV estimate+3.2%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate84.5%Closing EV estimate+3.1%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate92.0%Closing EV estimate+2.1%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 05:17: under 4.5 at 1.90 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 01:19. The original pick remains in the results.

Goals · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 2.5Actual: 6+0.87u on one unit
BetMGM UKrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.87
Closing odds1.74
Odds down−0.13
Model chance at recommendation
55.8%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.80
Expected value at recommendation
+4.3%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 55.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.80. Expected value at recommendation: +4.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationover 2.5
    At recommendation1.87
    Closing odds1.74
    Odds down−0.13
    Model chance55.8%EV+4.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:15

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.74Closing chance estimate54.4%Closing EV estimate−5.4%margin8.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance54.4%EV+0.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 05:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate94.3%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin3.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate77.8%Closing EV estimate−2.7%margin6.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate54.4%Closing EV estimate+0.6%margin5.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate32.1%Closing EV estimate−3.8%margin6.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds6.00Closing chance estimate16.1%Closing EV estimate−3.2%margin5.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds13.00Closing chance estimate7.0%Closing EV estimate−8.8%margin3.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds26.00Closing chance estimate2.7%Closing EV estimate−30.3%margin2.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • Betfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.90
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance54.4%EV+3.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:40

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.07Closing chance estimate94.3%Closing EV estimate+0.9%margin0.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate77.8%Closing EV estimate+1.2%margin0.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate54.4%Closing EV estimate+3.4%margin1.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds3.25Closing chance estimate32.1%Closing EV estimate+4.2%margin1.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds6.80Closing chance estimate16.1%Closing EV estimate+9.7%margin0.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds16.00Closing chance estimate7.0%Closing EV estimate+12.3%margin1.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds40.00Closing chance estimate2.7%Closing EV estimate+7.2%margin1.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance54.4%EV-7.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 01:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate94.3%Closing EV estimate−2.9%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5odds1.21Closing chance estimate77.8%Closing EV estimate−5.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate54.4%Closing EV estimate−7.5%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate32.1%Closing EV estimate−13.4%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds4.50Closing chance estimate16.1%Closing EV estimate−27.4%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds6.80Closing chance estimate7.0%Closing EV estimate−52.3%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance54.4%EV-7.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 01:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate94.3%Closing EV estimate−2.9%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5odds1.21Closing chance estimate77.8%Closing EV estimate−5.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate54.4%Closing EV estimate−7.5%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate32.1%Closing EV estimate−13.4%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds4.50Closing chance estimate16.1%Closing EV estimate−27.4%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds6.80Closing chance estimate7.0%Closing EV estimate−52.3%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance54.4%EV-7.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 04:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate94.3%Closing EV estimate−2.9%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5odds1.21Closing chance estimate77.8%Closing EV estimate−5.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate54.4%Closing EV estimate−7.5%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate32.1%Closing EV estimate−13.4%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds4.50Closing chance estimate16.1%Closing EV estimate−27.4%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds6.70Closing chance estimate7.0%Closing EV estimate−53.0%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 129.5odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailable
    • over 134.5odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailable
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance54.4%EV-4.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:40

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate94.3%Closing EV estimate−4.6%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate77.8%Closing EV estimate−6.6%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate54.4%Closing EV estimate−4.8%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate32.1%Closing EV estimate−3.8%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds5.50Closing chance estimate16.1%Closing EV estimate−11.3%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds11.00Closing chance estimate7.0%Closing EV estimate−22.8%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • PinnacleClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.87
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance54.4%EV+1.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:40

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.87Closing chance estimate54.4%Closing EV estimate+1.7%margin3.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.82
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance54.4%EV-1.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:40

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate94.3%Closing EV estimate−1.0%margin4.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate77.8%Closing EV estimate−1.9%margin5.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.82Closing chance estimate54.4%Closing EV estimate−1.0%margin4.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate32.1%Closing EV estimate−3.8%margin4.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds5.70Closing chance estimate16.1%Closing EV estimate−8.1%margin5.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds11.00Closing chance estimate7.0%Closing EV estimate−22.8%margin4.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds25.00Closing chance estimate2.7%Closing EV estimate−33.0%margin3.0%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 11:22: over 2.5 at 1.87 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Goals · Palermo total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 1.5Actual: 4+0.80u on one unit
Betliverecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.80
Closing odds1.80
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
57.0%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.76
Expected value at recommendation
+2.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 57.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.76. Expected value at recommendation: +2.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betliveresult priceAt recommendationover 1.5
    At recommendation1.80
    Closing odds1.80
    Unchanged
    Model chance57.0%EV+2.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 02:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.16Closing chance estimate85.2%Closing EV estimate−1.2%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate56.9%Closing EV estimate+2.5%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds3.35Closing chance estimate29.9%Closing EV estimate+0.3%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds6.00Closing chance estimate12.7%Closing EV estimate−23.7%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds8.00Closing chance estimate4.5%Closing EV estimate−64.0%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetAt recommendationover 1.5
    At recommendation1.80
    Closing odds1.80
    Unchanged
    Model chance57.0%EV+2.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 02:04

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.16Closing chance estimate85.2%Closing EV estimate−1.2%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate56.9%Closing EV estimate+2.5%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds3.35Closing chance estimate29.9%Closing EV estimate+0.3%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds6.00Closing chance estimate12.7%Closing EV estimate−23.7%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds8.00Closing chance estimate4.5%Closing EV estimate−64.0%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetAt recommendationover 1.5
    At recommendation1.80
    Closing odds1.80
    Unchanged
    Model chance57.0%EV+2.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 02:37

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.16Closing chance estimate85.2%Closing EV estimate−1.2%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate56.9%Closing EV estimate+2.5%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds3.35Closing chance estimate29.9%Closing EV estimate+0.3%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds6.00Closing chance estimate12.7%Closing EV estimate−23.7%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds8.00Closing chance estimate4.5%Closing EV estimate−64.0%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.83
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance56.9%EV+4.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:45

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate85.2%Closing EV estimate+0.7%margin6.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.83Closing chance estimate56.9%Closing EV estimate+4.4%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds3.75Closing chance estimate29.9%Closing EV estimate+12.2%margin6.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds10.00Closing chance estimate12.7%Closing EV estimate+27.2%margin4.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds23.00Closing chance estimate4.5%Closing EV estimate+3.5%margin3.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds51.00Closing chance estimate1.4%Closing EV estimate−30.8%margin1.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.88
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance56.9%EV+7.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:40

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate85.2%Closing EV estimate+0.5%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.88Closing chance estimate56.9%Closing EV estimate+7.1%margin7.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds3.75Closing chance estimate29.9%Closing EV estimate+12.2%margin7.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds8.30Closing chance estimate12.7%Closing EV estimate+5.6%margin6.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds20.00Closing chance estimate4.5%Closing EV estimate−10.0%margin4.2%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 06:48: over 1.5 at 1.80 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 28.5Actual: 41+1.15u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.15
Closing odds2.30
Odds up+0.15
Model chance at recommendation
53.0%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.89
Expected value at recommendation
+13.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.89. Expected value at recommendation: +13.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 28.5
    At recommendation2.15
    Closing odds2.30
    Odds up+0.15
    Model chance53.0%EV+13.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:37

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 22.5odds1.17Closing chance estimate85.5%Closing EV estimate+0.0%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 23.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate81.0%Closing EV estimate+1.3%margin10.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 24.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate75.9%Closing EV estimate+4.0%margin10.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 25.5odds1.53Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate+7.5%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 26.5odds1.74Closing chance estimate64.1%Closing EV estimate+11.5%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 27.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate57.7%Closing EV estimate+15.4%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 28.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate51.2%Closing EV estimate+17.6%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 29.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate44.7%Closing EV estimate+18.4%margin10.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 30.5odds3.15Closing chance estimate38.4%Closing EV estimate+21.1%margin10.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 31.5odds3.60Closing chance estimate32.5%Closing EV estimate+17.2%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 03:42: over 28.5 at 2.15 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 07:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results
Return+82.0%ROI · 7 units staked
Profit+5.74units
W / L6 / 1picks
Avg odds2.09settled picks
Recorded picks71 matches

Around this match

CompetitionSerie BHome teamEmpoliAway teamPalermoRefereeLivio Marinelli

Previous meetings

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