Atlético Mineiro vs Coritiba 1-0 — Brasileirão Série A

Brasileirão Série ABrasileiro Serie A 2026

Atlético Mineiro

1–0

HT 0–0

Coritiba

Sat 17 Oct·15:30·Matchday 31·Arena MRV·Atlético Mineiro won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

10Corners5
0Cards1
22Shots13
10Shots on target3
16Fouls11
18Throw-ins10
3Offsides1
7Goal kicks12
3Saves9
10Tackles16
8Interceptions10
6Dribbles0

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

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Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

15:30Atlético MineirovCoritibaBrasileirão Série A3 won / 1 lost · +1.73u · 4 picks

Corners · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 10.5Actual: 15−1.00u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9712 Oct, 06:32

Closing odds1.7617 Oct, 14:45

Odds down−0.21

Model chance at recommendation: 52.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.91
Expected value at recommendation: +3.6%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.91. Expected value at recommendation: +3.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 10.5
At recommendation1.97
Closing odds1.76
Odds down−0.21
Model chance52.6%EV+3.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 14:45
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 7.5odds4.00Closing chance estimate19.2%Closing EV estimate−23.2%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 14:45
- under 8.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate28.8%Closing EV estimate−17.9%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 14:39
- under 9.5odds2.18Closing chance estimate39.7%Closing EV estimate−13.6%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 14:45
- under 10.5odds1.76Closing chance estimate50.9%Closing EV estimate−10.5%margin8.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 14:45
- under 11.5odds1.48Closing chance estimate61.6%Closing EV estimate−8.9%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 14:45
- under 12.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate71.1%Closing EV estimate−7.5%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 09:23
- under 13.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate79.2%Closing EV estimate−6.6%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 14:45
- under 14.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate85.6%Closing EV estimate−5.9%margin9.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 14:02
Bet365Closing estimateunder 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.9%EV-8.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 21:04
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate50.9%Closing EV estimate−8.5%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 21:04
BetliveClosing estimateunder 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.9%EV-13.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 09:50
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 6.5odds7.20Closing chance estimate11.5%Closing EV estimate−17.1%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 05:00
- under 7.5odds4.65Closing chance estimate19.2%Closing EV estimate−10.8%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 05:00
- under 8.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate28.8%Closing EV estimate−22.2%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 06:16
- under 9.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate39.7%Closing EV estimate−16.7%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 06:16
- under 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate50.9%Closing EV estimate−13.5%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 06:16
- under 11.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate61.6%Closing EV estimate−10.7%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 06:16
- under 12.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate71.1%Closing EV estimate−8.9%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 06:16
- under 13.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate79.2%Closing EV estimate−9.7%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 09:50
- under 14.5odds1.06Closing chance estimate85.6%Closing EV estimate−9.3%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 09:50
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.9%EV-13.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 16 Oct, 10:29
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 7.5odds3.75Closing chance estimate19.2%Closing EV estimate−28.0%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 10:29
- under 8.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate28.8%Closing EV estimate−22.2%margin14.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 18:17
- under 9.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate39.7%Closing EV estimate−16.7%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 18:17
- under 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate50.9%Closing EV estimate−13.5%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 18:17
- under 11.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate61.6%Closing EV estimate−10.7%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 18:17
- under 12.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate71.1%Closing EV estimate−8.9%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 18:17
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.9%EV-13.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 18:18
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 8.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate28.8%Closing EV estimate−22.2%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 18:18
- under 9.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate39.7%Closing EV estimate−16.7%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 18:18
- under 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate50.9%Closing EV estimate−13.5%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 18:18
- under 11.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate61.6%Closing EV estimate−10.7%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 18:18
- under 12.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate71.1%Closing EV estimate−8.9%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 18:18
Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.9%EV-8.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 21:04
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 9.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate39.7%Closing EV estimate−12.8%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 21:04
- under 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate50.9%Closing EV estimate−8.5%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 21:04
- under 11.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate61.6%Closing EV estimate−11.1%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 21:04
- under 12.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate71.1%Closing EV estimate−8.5%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 21:04
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.9%EV-8.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 16 Oct, 15:44
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 2.5odds50.00Closing chance estimate0.3%Closing EV estimate−85.5%margin—Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 15:44
- under 3.5odds25.00Closing chance estimate1.0%Closing EV estimate−74.6%margin3.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 15:44
- under 4.5odds14.00Closing chance estimate2.7%Closing EV estimate−61.6%margin6.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 15:44
- under 5.5odds8.20Closing chance estimate6.1%Closing EV estimate−50.2%margin7.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 14:02
- under 6.5odds5.55Closing chance estimate11.5%Closing EV estimate−36.1%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 14:02
- under 7.5odds3.85Closing chance estimate19.2%Closing EV estimate−26.1%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 18:19
- under 8.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate28.8%Closing EV estimate−17.9%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 18:19
- under 9.5odds2.22Closing chance estimate39.7%Closing EV estimate−12.0%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 18:19
- under 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate50.9%Closing EV estimate−8.5%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 18:19
- under 11.5odds1.53Closing chance estimate61.6%Closing EV estimate−5.8%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 18:19
- under 12.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate71.1%Closing EV estimate−4.0%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 18:19
- under 13.5odds1.23Closing chance estimate79.2%Closing EV estimate−2.6%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 18:19
- under 14.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate85.6%Closing EV estimate−2.5%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 14:02
- under 15.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate90.4%Closing EV estimate−2.4%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 14:02
- under 16.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate93.8%Closing EV estimate−2.4%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 15:44
- under 17.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate96.2%Closing EV estimate−1.9%margin6.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 15:44
- under 18.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate97.7%Closing EV estimate−1.4%margin5.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 15:44

Recommendation record

Recorded 12 Oct, 06:32: under 10.5 at 1.97 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 12 Oct, 12:32. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Coritiba total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 5+1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0013 Oct, 06:36

Closing odds2.0017 Oct, 21:04

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: 55.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.82
Expected value at recommendation: +10.0%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 55.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.82. Expected value at recommendation: +10.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds2.00
Unchanged
Model chance55.0%EV+10.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 21:04
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate58.3%Closing EV estimate+16.6%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 21:04
BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance58.3%EV+7.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 15:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.06Closing chance estimate88.4%Closing EV estimate−6.3%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 15:01
- over 2.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate74.6%Closing EV estimate−0.8%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 15:01
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate58.3%Closing EV estimate+7.8%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 15:01
- over 4.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate42.4%Closing EV estimate+18.9%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 15:01
- over 5.5odds4.85Closing chance estimate28.9%Closing EV estimate+40.0%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 15:01
CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance58.3%EV+4.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 16 Oct, 10:29
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate74.6%Closing EV estimate−3.1%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 10:29
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate58.3%Closing EV estimate+4.9%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 10:29
- over 4.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate42.4%Closing EV estimate+14.6%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 10:29
KambiClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance58.3%EV+10.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 14:45
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate88.4%Closing EV estimate+0.8%margin10.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 14:02
- over 2.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate74.6%Closing EV estimate+4.4%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 14:45
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate58.3%Closing EV estimate+10.7%margin9.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 14:45
- over 4.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate42.4%Closing EV estimate+16.7%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 14:45
- over 5.5odds4.10Closing chance estimate28.9%Closing EV estimate+18.4%margin10.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 14:45
LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance58.3%EV+4.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 15:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate88.4%Closing EV estimate−8.1%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 15:01
- over 2.5odds1.31Closing chance estimate74.6%Closing EV estimate−2.3%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 15:01
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate58.3%Closing EV estimate+4.9%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 15:01
- over 4.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate42.4%Closing EV estimate+23.1%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 15:01
- over 5.5odds5.10Closing chance estimate28.9%Closing EV estimate+47.2%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 15:01
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.87
No saved recommendation
Model chance58.3%EV+9.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 21:04
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate74.6%Closing EV estimate+1.7%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 21:04
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.87Closing chance estimate58.3%Closing EV estimate+9.0%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 21:04
- over 4.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate42.4%Closing EV estimate+23.1%margin9.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 21:04
- over 5.5odds5.00Closing chance estimate28.9%Closing EV estimate+44.4%margin8.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 21:04
SuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.88
No saved recommendation
Model chance58.3%EV+9.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 16 Oct, 15:44
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate97.0%Closing EV estimate−1.1%margin5.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 14:02
- over 1.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate88.4%Closing EV estimate+0.8%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 18:19
- over 2.5odds1.41Closing chance estimate74.6%Closing EV estimate+5.1%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 08:06
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.88Closing chance estimate58.3%Closing EV estimate+9.6%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 08:06
- over 4.5odds2.67Closing chance estimate42.4%Closing EV estimate+13.3%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 08:06
- over 5.5odds4.00Closing chance estimate28.9%Closing EV estimate+15.5%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 18:19
- over 6.5odds6.00Closing chance estimate18.3%Closing EV estimate+9.9%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 08:06
- over 7.5odds9.10Closing chance estimate10.8%Closing EV estimate−1.6%margin7.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 15:44
- over 8.5odds15.00Closing chance estimate5.9%Closing EV estimate−10.8%margin5.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 15:44
- over 9.5odds23.00Closing chance estimate3.1%Closing EV estimate−29.8%margin4.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 16 Oct, 15:44

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 06:36: over 3.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 12:18. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · Atlético Mineiro total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 11.5Actual: 16+0.92u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9216 Oct, 15:22

Closing odds2.0017 Oct, 12:10

Odds up+0.08

Model chance at recommendation: 57.2%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.75
Expected value at recommendation: +9.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 57.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.75. Expected value at recommendation: +9.9%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 62 settled picksand +6.2% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 11.5
At recommendation1.92
Closing odds2.00
Odds up+0.08
Model chance57.2%EV+9.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 12:10
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 10.5odds1.61Closing chance estimate50.5%Closing EV estimate−18.7%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 04:25
- over 11.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate39.1%Closing EV estimate−21.8%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 12:10
- over 12.5odds2.52Closing chance estimate28.9%Closing EV estimate−27.2%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 04:25
LiderbetClosing estimateover 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance39.1%EV-27.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 06:11
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 10.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate50.5%Closing EV estimate−21.8%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 06:11
- over 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate39.1%Closing EV estimate−27.7%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 06:11
- over 12.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate28.9%Closing EV estimate−32.2%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 06:11

Recommendation record

Recorded 16 Oct, 15:22: over 11.5 at 1.92 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 17 Oct, 01:00. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Coritiba total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 10.5Actual: 13+0.81u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.8117 Oct, 01:00

Closing odds1.6817 Oct, 14:45

Odds down−0.13

Model chance at recommendation: 55.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.80
Expected value at recommendation: +0.7%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 55.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.80. Expected value at recommendation: +0.7%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 128 settled picksand +6.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 10.5
At recommendation1.81
Closing odds1.68
Odds down−0.13
Model chance55.6%EV+0.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 14:45
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 10.5odds1.68Closing chance estimate57.3%Closing EV estimate−3.7%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 14:45
- over 11.5odds1.98Closing chance estimate48.8%Closing EV estimate−3.4%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 14:45
Bet365Closing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.83
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.3%EV+5.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 21:04
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.83Closing chance estimate57.3%Closing EV estimate+5.1%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 21:04
BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.81
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.3%EV+3.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 15 Oct, 21:20
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.81Closing chance estimate57.3%Closing EV estimate+3.8%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 15 Oct, 21:20
LiderbetClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.3%EV+3.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 06:11
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 9.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate65.9%Closing EV estimate+2.1%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 06:11
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate57.3%Closing EV estimate+3.2%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 06:11
- over 11.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate48.8%Closing EV estimate+7.4%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 06:11
SuperbetClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.57
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.3%EV-10.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 15:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 8.5odds1.23Closing chance estimate74.2%Closing EV estimate−8.8%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 15:02
- over 9.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate65.9%Closing EV estimate−9.7%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 15:02
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.57Closing chance estimate57.3%Closing EV estimate−10.0%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 15:02
- over 11.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate48.8%Closing EV estimate−9.7%margin7.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 15:02
- over 12.5odds2.22Closing chance estimate40.6%Closing EV estimate−9.8%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 15:02
- over 13.5odds2.72Closing chance estimate33.0%Closing EV estimate−10.2%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 15:02
- over 14.5odds3.40Closing chance estimate26.2%Closing EV estimate−11.0%margin7.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 17 Oct, 15:02

Recommendation record

Recorded 17 Oct, 01:00: over 10.5 at 1.81 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 17 Oct, 08:53. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return+43.3%ROI · 4 units staked

Profit+1.73units

W / L3 / 1picks

Avg odds1.93settled picks

Recorded picks41 matches

Around this match

CompetitionBrasileirão Série A Home teamAtlético Mineiro Away teamCoritiba RefereeDavi de Oliveira Lacerda

Match overview

Matches

Corners · match total

Corners · Coritiba total

Fouls · Atlético Mineiro total

Shots · Coritiba total

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