Aberdeen vs St. Johnstone — Scottish Premiership

Scottish PremiershipPremiership 26/27

Aberdeen

0–1

HT 0–1

St. Johnstone

Sun 11 Oct··Matchday 8·St. Johnstone won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time
  • 13Corners2
  • 22Shots5
  • 5Shots on target1
  • 7Fouls10
  • 25Throw-ins21
  • 2Goal kicks18
  • 0Saves5
  • 14Tackles10
  • 6Interceptions9
  • 5Dribbles1
OddsOddsStatsStatsPredictionsPicksRefereeRefereeCoachCoach
0Free available0VIP available4Recorded Free2Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match
AberdeenvSt. JohnstoneScottish Premiership4 won / 2 lost · +2.06u · 6 picks

Corners · Aberdeen total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 5.5Actual: 13+1.10u on one unit
BetMGM UKrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds2.05
Odds down−0.05
Model chance at recommendation
53.5%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.88
Expected value at recommendation
+12.3%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.88. Expected value at recommendation: +12.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationover 5.5
    At recommendation2.10
    Closing odds2.05
    Odds down−0.05
    Model chance53.5%EV+12.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:50

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 5.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate51.4%Closing EV estimate+5.5%margin9.4%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.15
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance51.4%EV+10.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 02:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate81.8%Closing EV estimate+2.3%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate67.6%Closing EV estimate+4.8%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.15Closing chance estimate51.4%Closing EV estimate+10.6%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds3.05Closing chance estimate36.0%Closing EV estimate+9.9%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds4.65Closing chance estimate23.2%Closing EV estimate+8.1%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance51.4%EV+8.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 09:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate81.8%Closing EV estimate−0.1%margin14.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate67.6%Closing EV estimate+4.8%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate51.4%Closing EV estimate+8.0%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateover 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance51.4%EV+8.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 07:11

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate81.8%Closing EV estimate+8.0%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.62Closing chance estimate67.6%Closing EV estimate+9.5%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate51.4%Closing EV estimate+8.0%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate36.0%Closing EV estimate+0.9%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.22
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance51.4%EV+14.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate81.8%Closing EV estimate+3.1%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.61Closing chance estimate67.6%Closing EV estimate+8.8%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.22Closing chance estimate51.4%Closing EV estimate+14.2%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate36.0%Closing EV estimate+15.3%margin9.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds5.10Closing chance estimate23.2%Closing EV estimate+18.5%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.12
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance51.4%EV+9.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate97.6%Closing EV estimate+0.5%margin7.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate92.1%Closing EV estimate+3.1%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.31Closing chance estimate81.8%Closing EV estimate+7.2%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.62Closing chance estimate67.6%Closing EV estimate+9.5%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.12Closing chance estimate51.4%Closing EV estimate+9.1%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate36.0%Closing EV estimate+4.5%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds4.10Closing chance estimate23.2%Closing EV estimate−4.7%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds5.90Closing chance estimate13.9%Closing EV estimate−18.1%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 5.5 at 2.10 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 05:02. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · St. Johnstone total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 4.5Actual: 2−1.00u on one unit
BetMGM UKrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.05
Closing odds2.07
Odds up+0.02
Model chance at recommendation
61.0%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.65
Expected value at recommendation
+25.0%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 61.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.65. Expected value at recommendation: +25.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationover 4.5
    At recommendation2.05
    Closing odds2.07
    Odds up+0.02
    Model chance61.0%EV+25.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:50

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 4.5odds2.07Closing chance estimate63.1%Closing EV estimate+30.6%margin8.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.83
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance63.1%EV+15.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 07:20

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.83Closing chance estimate63.1%Closing EV estimate+15.6%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance63.1%EV+7.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 02:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate90.3%Closing EV estimate−1.6%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate78.6%Closing EV estimate+3.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate63.1%Closing EV estimate+7.3%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate46.4%Closing EV estimate+9.1%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds3.50Closing chance estimate31.3%Closing EV estimate+9.5%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.65
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance63.1%EV+4.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 09:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate78.6%Closing EV estimate+0.6%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate63.1%Closing EV estimate+4.1%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate46.4%Closing EV estimate+9.1%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.02
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance63.1%EV+27.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 10:23

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.53Closing chance estimate78.6%Closing EV estimate+20.2%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.02Closing chance estimate63.1%Closing EV estimate+27.4%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate46.4%Closing EV estimate+30.0%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.74
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance63.1%EV+9.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate90.3%Closing EV estimate−0.7%margin9.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.34Closing chance estimate78.6%Closing EV estimate+5.3%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.74Closing chance estimate63.1%Closing EV estimate+9.8%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.43Closing chance estimate46.4%Closing EV estimate+12.8%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds3.70Closing chance estimate31.3%Closing EV estimate+15.7%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance63.1%EV+16.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate96.9%Closing EV estimate+1.8%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds1.19Closing chance estimate90.3%Closing EV estimate+7.4%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate78.6%Closing EV estimate+13.2%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate63.1%Closing EV estimate+16.7%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.52Closing chance estimate46.4%Closing EV estimate+17.0%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds3.60Closing chance estimate31.3%Closing EV estimate+12.6%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds5.20Closing chance estimate19.4%Closing EV estimate+0.7%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 4.5 at 2.05 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 25.5Actual: 27+1.02u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.02
Closing odds1.97
Odds down−0.05
Model chance at recommendation
64.8%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.55
Expected value at recommendation
+30.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 64.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.55. Expected value at recommendation: +30.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 25.5
    At recommendation2.02
    Closing odds1.97
    Odds down−0.05
    Model chance64.8%EV+30.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 20.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate89.6%Closing EV estimate+3.1%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 21.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate86.0%Closing EV estimate+8.3%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 22.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate81.6%Closing EV estimate+11.8%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 23.5odds1.52Closing chance estimate76.6%Closing EV estimate+16.4%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 24.5odds1.72Closing chance estimate71.0%Closing EV estimate+22.1%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 25.5odds1.97Closing chance estimate65.0%Closing EV estimate+28.0%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 26.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate58.6%Closing EV estimate+34.9%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 27.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate52.2%Closing EV estimate+43.5%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 28.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate45.8%Closing EV estimate+51.0%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 29.5odds3.80Closing chance estimate39.5%Closing EV estimate+50.2%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 25.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance65.0%EV+26.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 01:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 22.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate81.6%Closing EV estimate+11.8%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 23.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate76.6%Closing EV estimate+14.9%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 24.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate71.0%Closing EV estimate+20.7%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 25.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate65.0%Closing EV estimate+26.7%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 26.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate58.6%Closing EV estimate+37.8%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 27.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate52.2%Closing EV estimate+40.9%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 25.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance65.0%EV+16.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:03

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 23.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate76.6%Closing EV estimate+11.0%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 24.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate71.0%Closing EV estimate+13.6%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 25.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate65.0%Closing EV estimate+16.9%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 26.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate58.6%Closing EV estimate+23.1%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 27.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate52.2%Closing EV estimate+30.4%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 07:17: over 25.5 at 2.02 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 07:42. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Aberdeen total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 13.5Actual: 22+1.02u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.02
Closing odds1.87
Odds down−0.15
Model chance at recommendation
58.8%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.71
Expected value at recommendation
+18.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 58.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.71. Expected value at recommendation: +18.7%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • LiderbetAt recommendationover 13.5
    At recommendation1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Unchanged
    Model chance60.3%EV+17.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:03

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 11.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate78.6%Closing EV estimate+14.0%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate70.4%Closing EV estimate+16.2%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate61.3%Closing EV estimate+19.6%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 13.5
    At recommendation2.02
    Closing odds1.87
    Odds down−0.15
    Model chance58.8%EV+18.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:04

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 9.5odds1.19Closing chance estimate90.9%Closing EV estimate+8.1%margin10.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate85.5%Closing EV estimate+8.6%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds1.41Closing chance estimate78.6%Closing EV estimate+10.9%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds1.61Closing chance estimate70.4%Closing EV estimate+13.4%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds1.87Closing chance estimate61.3%Closing EV estimate+14.7%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds2.22Closing chance estimate51.8%Closing EV estimate+15.1%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5odds2.67Closing chance estimate42.5%Closing EV estimate+13.4%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 16.5odds3.25Closing chance estimate33.7%Closing EV estimate+9.7%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 13.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.05
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance61.3%EV+25.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 01:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 11.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate78.6%Closing EV estimate+10.1%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate70.4%Closing EV estimate+16.2%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate61.3%Closing EV estimate+25.7%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate51.8%Closing EV estimate+29.6%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 07:17: over 13.5 at 2.02 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 19:11. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 8.5Actual: 6−1.00u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds1.95
Odds down−0.05
Model chance at recommendation
53.1%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.89
Expected value at recommendation
+6.3%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.89. Expected value at recommendation: +6.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 8.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds1.95
    Odds down−0.05
    Model chance53.1%EV+6.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 4.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate93.6%Closing EV estimate−3.5%margin10.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate87.2%Closing EV estimate−3.3%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate77.8%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.53Closing chance estimate66.1%Closing EV estimate+1.2%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate53.3%Closing EV estimate+3.9%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate40.6%Closing EV estimate+3.6%margin9.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds3.50Closing chance estimate29.3%Closing EV estimate+2.5%margin10.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds4.85Closing chance estimate20.0%Closing EV estimate−3.1%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds6.70Closing chance estimate12.9%Closing EV estimate−13.5%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 8.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance53.3%EV-1.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 01:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 6.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate77.8%Closing EV estimate−0.4%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate66.1%Closing EV estimate−0.8%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate53.3%Closing EV estimate−1.4%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate40.6%Closing EV estimate+1.6%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateover 8.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.07
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance53.3%EV+10.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 01:35

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 7.5odds1.61Closing chance estimate66.1%Closing EV estimate+6.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.07Closing chance estimate53.3%Closing EV estimate+10.3%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate40.6%Closing EV estimate+13.7%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds3.80Closing chance estimate29.3%Closing EV estimate+11.3%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 8.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance53.3%EV-4.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:03

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 6.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate77.8%Closing EV estimate−2.7%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate66.1%Closing EV estimate−4.1%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate53.3%Closing EV estimate−4.1%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate40.6%Closing EV estimate−4.5%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 07:17: over 8.5 at 2.00 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 00:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · Aberdeen total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 4.5Actual: 5+0.92u on one unit
Kambirecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.92
Closing odds1.94
Odds up+0.02
Model chance at recommendation
53.9%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.86
Expected value at recommendation
+3.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.86. Expected value at recommendation: +3.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetMGM UKAt recommendationover 4.5
    At recommendation1.92
    Closing odds1.89
    Odds down−0.03
    Model chance53.9%EV+3.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:50

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 4.5odds1.89Closing chance estimate51.5%Closing EV estimate−2.7%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 4.5
    At recommendation1.92
    Closing odds1.94
    Odds up+0.02
    Model chance53.9%EV+3.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 01:35

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate69.5%Closing EV estimate+0.8%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.94Closing chance estimate51.5%Closing EV estimate−0.2%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate34.4%Closing EV estimate−5.4%margin9.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds4.10Closing chance estimate20.8%Closing EV estimate−14.7%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetAt recommendationover 4.5
    At recommendation2.05
    Closing odds1.92
    Odds down−0.13
    Model chance53.9%EV+10.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:04

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate94.8%Closing EV estimate−4.3%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate84.9%Closing EV estimate−3.3%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.42Closing chance estimate69.5%Closing EV estimate−1.3%margin9.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.92Closing chance estimate51.5%Closing EV estimate−1.2%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.67Closing chance estimate34.4%Closing EV estimate−8.2%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds3.90Closing chance estimate20.8%Closing EV estimate−18.9%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds5.90Closing chance estimate11.5%Closing EV estimate−32.4%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance51.5%EV-4.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 01:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate69.5%Closing EV estimate−2.7%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate51.5%Closing EV estimate−4.8%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate34.4%Closing EV estimate−7.2%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance51.5%EV-7.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:03

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate69.5%Closing EV estimate−2.7%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate51.5%Closing EV estimate−7.4%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate34.4%Closing EV estimate−7.2%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 10:47: over 4.5 at 1.92 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 18:04. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results
Return+34.3%ROI · 6 units staked
Profit+2.06units
W / L4 / 2picks
Avg odds2.02settled picks
Recorded picks61 matches

Around this match

CompetitionScottish PremiershipHome teamAberdeenAway teamSt. Johnstone

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