Aberdeen vs St. Johnstone 0-1 — Scottish Premiership

Scottish PremiershipPremiership 26/27

Aberdeen

0–1

HT 0–1

St. Johnstone

Sun 11 Oct·07:00·Matchday 8·St. Johnstone won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

13Corners2
22Shots5
5Shots on target1
7Fouls10
25Throw-ins21
2Goal kicks18
0Saves5
14Tackles10
6Interceptions9
5Dribbles1

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

Independence, method & limitations

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

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0Free available0VIP available4Recorded Free2Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

07:00AberdeenvSt. JohnstoneScottish Premiership4 won / 2 lost · +2.06u · 6 picks

Corners · Aberdeen total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 5.5Actual: 13+1.10u on one unit

BetMGM UKrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.107 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 53.5%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.88
Expected value at recommendation: +12.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.88. Expected value at recommendation: +12.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationover 5.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.5%EV+12.3%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.15
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.4%EV+10.6%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.4%EV+8.0%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.4%EV+8.0%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.22
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.4%EV+14.2%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.12
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.4%EV+9.1%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 5.5 at 2.10 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 05:02. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · St. Johnstone total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 4.5Actual: 2−1.00u on one unit

BetMGM UKrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.057 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 61.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.65
Expected value at recommendation: +25.0%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 61.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.65. Expected value at recommendation: +25.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation2.05
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance61.0%EV+25.0%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.83
No saved recommendation
Model chance63.1%EV+15.6%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance63.1%EV+7.3%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.65
No saved recommendation
Model chance63.1%EV+4.1%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.02
No saved recommendation
Model chance63.1%EV+27.4%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.74
No saved recommendation
Model chance63.1%EV+9.8%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance63.1%EV+16.7%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 4.5 at 2.05 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 25.5Actual: 27+1.02u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.029 Oct, 07:17

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 64.8%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.55
Expected value at recommendation: +30.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 64.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.55. Expected value at recommendation: +30.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 25.5
At recommendation2.02
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance64.8%EV+30.9%
10 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 25.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance65.0%EV+26.7%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 25.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance65.0%EV+16.9%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 07:17: over 25.5 at 2.02 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 07:42. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Aberdeen total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 13.5Actual: 22+1.02u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.029 Oct, 07:17

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 58.8%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.71
Expected value at recommendation: +18.7%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 58.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.71. Expected value at recommendation: +18.7%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

LiderbetAt recommendationover 13.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance60.3%EV+17.6%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 13.5
At recommendation2.02
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance58.8%EV+18.7%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 13.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.05
No saved recommendation
Model chance61.3%EV+25.7%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 07:17: over 13.5 at 2.02 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 19:11. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 8.5Actual: 6−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.009 Oct, 07:17

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 53.1%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.89
Expected value at recommendation: +6.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.89. Expected value at recommendation: +6.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 8.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.1%EV+6.3%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.3%EV-1.4%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.07
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.3%EV+10.3%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.3%EV-4.1%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 07:17: over 8.5 at 2.00 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 00:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · Aberdeen total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 4.5Actual: 5+0.92u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.929 Oct, 10:47

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 53.9%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.86
Expected value at recommendation: +3.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.86. Expected value at recommendation: +3.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetMGM UKAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation1.92
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.9%EV+3.5%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation1.92
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.9%EV+3.5%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation2.05
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.9%EV+10.6%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.5%EV-4.8%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.5%EV-7.4%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 10:47: over 4.5 at 1.92 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 18:04. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return+34.3%ROI · 6 units staked

Profit+2.06units

W / L4 / 2picks

Avg odds2.02settled picks

Recorded picks61 matches

Around this match

CompetitionScottish Premiership Home teamAberdeen Away teamSt. Johnstone

Match overview

Matches

Corners · Aberdeen total

Corners · St. Johnstone total

Shots · match total

Shots · Aberdeen total

Shots on target · match total

Shots on target · Aberdeen total

This match

Around this match

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