Unified-model historical results
Historical model results at averaged bookmaker odds, separate from original recorded picks.
From 15 August 2026 · all retained odds · exact lines and Over/Under evaluated separately. Each outcome uses the average of available bookmaker odds, including single-bookmaker offers.
Reconstructed backtestAvailable matches: 15 Aug 2026 – 18 Oct 2026. These are rebuilt forecasts, separate from original recorded picks.Retained prices include quotes with unknown or post-match capture times. Choose recorded pre-match quotes for the stricter quote cohort.
Forward observations use authentic pre-kickoff forecasts and quotes. They continue the frozen history independently of Monitoring and VIP/Free eligibility.
All-time unified results
3,043Distinct matches
595,448Observed outcomes
519,245 / 76,203Priced / missing
123,857EV bets2,394 Pending
−7470.40uEV profit · −6.0% ROI
0.1796Brier score · 351,657 binary outcomes
EV bets have positive estimated return at the averaged odds. Every observed outcome stays in the inventory; missing model prices never enter model returns. All priced returns also include zero and negative EV. No odds range or profitable-cell filter is applied.
Month: 47,561 EV bets · −2670.62u · −5.6% ROI
Historical reconstruction · one unit per exact-line outcome with positive estimated EV. Days use UTC−6, like the original calendar.
MonTueWedThuFriSatSun1−41.4%324 bets2−14.2%618 bets3+70.5%213 bets4−3.2%590 bets5+8.3%2362 bets6−13.3%1599 bets7+6.3%415 bets8−15.7%513 bets9−24.3%909 bets10−42.7%368 bets11+15.0%828 bets12−13.1%3479 bets13−14.9%3716 bets14+7.6%1755 bets15+2.0%2337 bets16+5.9%2101 bets17−19.8%1821 bets18−8.1%1598 bets19−5.6%5471 bets20−14.5%4988 bets21+6.5%261 bets22−11.6%161 bets23+12.1%503 bets24+12.0%1564 bets25+1.7%1611 bets26−10.5%2445 bets27−8.6%1542 bets28+17.3%1265 bets29−2.2%1710 bets30−18.9%494 bets
7 Sept 2026
415 EV bets · +26.23u · +6.3% ROI2,044 observations · 1,832 priced · 212 missing · W 216 / L 191 / P 8
| Match / cell | Average odds | Model probability | Estimated EV | Actual / return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
FC Voluntari – FC Argeș PiteștiCorners · Away team · Over 3.5Romanian Super Liga · 2026-09-07T14:30:00+00:00Recipe: blend Forecast fit: 2026-09-04 22:00:00+00:00 Forecast decision: 2026-09-07 13:30:00+00:00
| 1.8331 bookmakers | 62.2% | +13.9%EV bet | 11 / +0.83u |
FC Voluntari – FC Argeș PiteștiCorners · Away team · Under 3.5Romanian Super Liga · 2026-09-07T14:30:00+00:00Recipe: blend Forecast fit: 2026-09-04 22:00:00+00:00 Forecast decision: 2026-09-07 13:30:00+00:00
| 1.8331 bookmakers | 37.8% | −30.6%Inventory only | 11 / −1.00u |
FC Voluntari – FC Argeș PiteștiCorners · Match total · Over 7.5Romanian Super Liga · 2026-09-07T14:30:00+00:00Recipe: blend Forecast fit: 2026-09-04 22:00:00+00:00 Forecast decision: 2026-09-07 13:30:00+00:00
| 1.9091 bookmakers | 67.2% | +28.3%EV bet | 15 / +0.91u |
FC Voluntari – FC Argeș PiteștiCorners · Match total · Under 7.5Romanian Super Liga · 2026-09-07T14:30:00+00:00Recipe: blend Forecast fit: 2026-09-04 22:00:00+00:00 Forecast decision: 2026-09-07 13:30:00+00:00
| 1.8001 bookmakers | 32.8% | −41.0%Inventory only | 15 / −1.00u |
FC Voluntari – FC Argeș PiteștiCorners · Home team · Over 3.5Romanian Super Liga · 2026-09-07T14:30:00+00:00Recipe: blend Forecast fit: 2026-09-04 22:00:00+00:00 Forecast decision: 2026-09-07 13:30:00+00:00
| 1.9091 bookmakers | 66.1% | +26.2%EV bet | 4 / +0.91u |
FC Voluntari – FC Argeș PiteștiCorners · Home team · Under 3.5Romanian Super Liga · 2026-09-07T14:30:00+00:00Recipe: blend Forecast fit: 2026-09-04 22:00:00+00:00 Forecast decision: 2026-09-07 13:30:00+00:00
| 1.8001 bookmakers | 33.9% | −39.0%Inventory only | 4 / −1.00u |
FC Voluntari – FC Argeș PiteștiGoals · Match total · Over 0.5Romanian Super Liga · 2026-09-07T14:30:00+00:00Recipe: blend Forecast fit: 2026-09-04 22:00:00+00:00 Forecast decision: 2026-09-07 13:30:00+00:00
| 1.0933 bookmakers | 88.8% | −2.9%Inventory only | 1 / +0.09u |
FC Voluntari – FC Argeș PiteștiGoals · Match total · Over 0.75Romanian Super Liga · 2026-09-07T14:30:00+00:00Recipe: blend Forecast fit: 2026-09-04 22:00:00+00:00 Forecast decision: 2026-09-07 13:30:00+00:00
| 1.1501 bookmakers | 87.3% | +0.3%EV bet | 1 / +0.07u |
FC Voluntari – FC Argeș PiteștiGoals · Match total · Over 1Romanian Super Liga · 2026-09-07T14:30:00+00:00Recipe: blend Forecast fit: 2026-09-04 22:00:00+00:00 Forecast decision: 2026-09-07 13:30:00+00:00
| 1.1801 bookmakers | 85.2% | +0.4%EV bet | 1 / +0.00u |
FC Voluntari – FC Argeș PiteștiGoals · Match total · Over 1.25Romanian Super Liga · 2026-09-07T14:30:00+00:00Recipe: blend Forecast fit: 2026-09-04 22:00:00+00:00 Forecast decision: 2026-09-07 13:30:00+00:00
| 1.3601 bookmakers | 73.5% | −0.1%Inventory only | 1 / −0.50u |
FC Voluntari – FC Argeș PiteștiGoals · Match total · Over 1.5Romanian Super Liga · 2026-09-07T14:30:00+00:00Recipe: blend Forecast fit: 2026-09-04 22:00:00+00:00 Forecast decision: 2026-09-07 13:30:00+00:00
| 1.4833 bookmakers | 64.5% | −4.3%Inventory only | 1 / −1.00u |
FC Voluntari – FC Argeș PiteștiGoals · Match total · Over 1.75Romanian Super Liga · 2026-09-07T14:30:00+00:00Recipe: blend Forecast fit: 2026-09-04 22:00:00+00:00 Forecast decision: 2026-09-07 13:30:00+00:00
| 1.6692 bookmakers | 59.1% | −1.2%Inventory only | 1 / −1.00u |
FC Voluntari – FC Argeș PiteștiGoals · Match total · Over 2Romanian Super Liga · 2026-09-07T14:30:00+00:00Recipe: blend Forecast fit: 2026-09-04 22:00:00+00:00 Forecast decision: 2026-09-07 13:30:00+00:00
| 1.9162 bookmakers | 51.7% | −0.7%Inventory only | 1 / −1.00u |
FC Voluntari – FC Argeș PiteștiGoals · Match total · Over 2.25Romanian Super Liga · 2026-09-07T14:30:00+00:00Recipe: blend Forecast fit: 2026-09-04 22:00:00+00:00 Forecast decision: 2026-09-07 13:30:00+00:00
| 2.2452 bookmakers | 43.8% | −1.5%Inventory only | 1 / −1.00u |
FC Voluntari – FC Argeș PiteștiGoals · Match total · Over 2.5Romanian Super Liga · 2026-09-07T14:30:00+00:00Recipe: blend Forecast fit: 2026-09-04 22:00:00+00:00 Forecast decision: 2026-09-07 13:30:00+00:00
| 2.5133 bookmakers | 37.9% | −4.7%Inventory only | 1 / −1.00u |
FC Voluntari – FC Argeș PiteștiGoals · Match total · Over 2.75Romanian Super Liga · 2026-09-07T14:30:00+00:00Recipe: blend Forecast fit: 2026-09-04 22:00:00+00:00 Forecast decision: 2026-09-07 13:30:00+00:00
| 3.2101 bookmakers | 31.2% | +0.2%EV bet | 1 / −1.00u |
FC Voluntari – FC Argeș PiteștiGoals · Match total · Over 3Romanian Super Liga · 2026-09-07T14:30:00+00:00Recipe: blend Forecast fit: 2026-09-04 22:00:00+00:00 Forecast decision: 2026-09-07 13:30:00+00:00
| 4.4101 bookmakers | 22.8% | +0.6%EV bet | 1 / −1.00u |
FC Voluntari – FC Argeș PiteștiGoals · Match total · Over 3.25Romanian Super Liga · 2026-09-07T14:30:00+00:00Recipe: blend Forecast fit: 2026-09-04 22:00:00+00:00 Forecast decision: 2026-09-07 13:30:00+00:00
| 4.9501 bookmakers | 20.4% | +0.7%EV bet | 1 / −1.00u |
FC Voluntari – FC Argeș PiteștiGoals · Match total · Over 3.5Romanian Super Liga · 2026-09-07T14:30:00+00:00Recipe: blend Forecast fit: 2026-09-04 22:00:00+00:00 Forecast decision: 2026-09-07 13:30:00+00:00
| 5.1003 bookmakers | 18.4% | −6.3%Inventory only | 1 / −1.00u |
FC Voluntari – FC Argeș PiteștiGoals · Match total · Over 3.75Romanian Super Liga · 2026-09-07T14:30:00+00:00Recipe: blend Forecast fit: 2026-09-04 22:00:00+00:00 Forecast decision: 2026-09-07 13:30:00+00:00
| 7.4601 bookmakers | 13.7% | +2.0%EV bet | 1 / −1.00u |
FC Voluntari – FC Argeș PiteștiGoals · Match total · Over 4Romanian Super Liga · 2026-09-07T14:30:00+00:00Recipe: blend Forecast fit: 2026-09-04 22:00:00+00:00 Forecast decision: 2026-09-07 13:30:00+00:00
| 12.4501 bookmakers | 8.4% | +4.3%EV bet | 1 / −1.00u |
FC Voluntari – FC Argeș PiteștiGoals · Match total · Over 4.25Romanian Super Liga · 2026-09-07T14:30:00+00:00Recipe: blend Forecast fit: 2026-09-04 22:00:00+00:00 Forecast decision: 2026-09-07 13:30:00+00:00
| 13.2201 bookmakers | 7.9% | +4.7%EV bet | 1 / −1.00u |
FC Voluntari – FC Argeș PiteștiGoals · Match total · Over 4.5Romanian Super Liga · 2026-09-07T14:30:00+00:00Recipe: blend Forecast fit: 2026-09-04 22:00:00+00:00 Forecast decision: 2026-09-07 13:30:00+00:00
| 11.3333 bookmakers | 7.5% | −14.9%Inventory only | 1 / −1.00u |
FC Voluntari – FC Argeș PiteștiGoals · Match total · Over 4.75Romanian Super Liga · 2026-09-07T14:30:00+00:00Recipe: blend Forecast fit: 2026-09-04 22:00:00+00:00 Forecast decision: 2026-09-07 13:30:00+00:00
| 20.0001 bookmakers | 5.2% | +3.9%EV bet | 1 / −1.00u |
FC Voluntari – FC Argeș PiteștiGoals · Match total · Over 5Romanian Super Liga · 2026-09-07T14:30:00+00:00Recipe: blend Forecast fit: 2026-09-04 22:00:00+00:00 Forecast decision: 2026-09-07 13:30:00+00:00
| 36.2801 bookmakers | 2.8% | +0.8%EV bet | 1 / −1.00u |
FC Voluntari – FC Argeș PiteștiGoals · Match total · Over 5.25Romanian Super Liga · 2026-09-07T14:30:00+00:00Recipe: blend Forecast fit: 2026-09-04 22:00:00+00:00 Forecast decision: 2026-09-07 13:30:00+00:00
| 37.1401 bookmakers | 2.7% | +0.6%EV bet | 1 / −1.00u |
FC Voluntari – FC Argeș PiteștiGoals · Match total · Over 5.5Romanian Super Liga · 2026-09-07T14:30:00+00:00Recipe: blend Forecast fit: 2026-09-04 22:00:00+00:00 Forecast decision: 2026-09-07 13:30:00+00:00
| 32.0002 bookmakers | 2.6% | −15.4%Inventory only | 1 / −1.00u |
FC Voluntari – FC Argeș PiteștiGoals · Match total · Under 0.5Romanian Super Liga · 2026-09-07T14:30:00+00:00Recipe: blend Forecast fit: 2026-09-04 22:00:00+00:00 Forecast decision: 2026-09-07 13:30:00+00:00
| 7.6673 bookmakers | 11.2% | −14.4%Inventory only | 1 / −1.00u |
FC Voluntari – FC Argeș PiteștiGoals · Match total · Under 0.75Romanian Super Liga · 2026-09-07T14:30:00+00:00Recipe: blend Forecast fit: 2026-09-04 22:00:00+00:00 Forecast decision: 2026-09-07 13:30:00+00:00
| 6.8001 bookmakers | 12.7% | −11.9%Inventory only | 1 / −0.50u |
FC Voluntari – FC Argeș PiteștiGoals · Match total · Under 1Romanian Super Liga · 2026-09-07T14:30:00+00:00Recipe: blend Forecast fit: 2026-09-04 22:00:00+00:00 Forecast decision: 2026-09-07 13:30:00+00:00
| 5.9001 bookmakers | 14.8% | −9.8%Inventory only | 1 / +0.00u |
FC Voluntari – FC Argeș PiteștiGoals · Match total · Under 1.25Romanian Super Liga · 2026-09-07T14:30:00+00:00Recipe: blend Forecast fit: 2026-09-04 22:00:00+00:00 Forecast decision: 2026-09-07 13:30:00+00:00
| 3.5901 bookmakers | 26.5% | −4.2%Inventory only | 1 / +1.29u |
FC Voluntari – FC Argeș PiteștiGoals · Match total · Under 1.5Romanian Super Liga · 2026-09-07T14:30:00+00:00Recipe: blend Forecast fit: 2026-09-04 22:00:00+00:00 Forecast decision: 2026-09-07 13:30:00+00:00
| 2.6703 bookmakers | 35.5% | −5.3%Inventory only | 1 / +1.67u |
FC Voluntari – FC Argeș PiteștiGoals · Match total · Under 1.75Romanian Super Liga · 2026-09-07T14:30:00+00:00Recipe: blend Forecast fit: 2026-09-04 22:00:00+00:00 Forecast decision: 2026-09-07 13:30:00+00:00
| 2.2952 bookmakers | 40.9% | −5.3%Inventory only | 1 / +1.29u |
FC Voluntari – FC Argeș PiteștiGoals · Match total · Under 2Romanian Super Liga · 2026-09-07T14:30:00+00:00Recipe: blend Forecast fit: 2026-09-04 22:00:00+00:00 Forecast decision: 2026-09-07 13:30:00+00:00
| 1.9722 bookmakers | 48.3% | −3.5%Inventory only | 1 / +0.97u |
FC Voluntari – FC Argeș PiteștiGoals · Match total · Under 2.25Romanian Super Liga · 2026-09-07T14:30:00+00:00Recipe: blend Forecast fit: 2026-09-04 22:00:00+00:00 Forecast decision: 2026-09-07 13:30:00+00:00
| 1.7172 bookmakers | 56.2% | −3.0%Inventory only | 1 / +0.72u |
FC Voluntari – FC Argeș PiteștiGoals · Match total · Under 2.5Romanian Super Liga · 2026-09-07T14:30:00+00:00Recipe: blend Forecast fit: 2026-09-04 22:00:00+00:00 Forecast decision: 2026-09-07 13:30:00+00:00
| 1.5333 bookmakers | 62.1% | −4.8%Inventory only | 1 / +0.53u |
FC Voluntari – FC Argeș PiteștiGoals · Match total · Under 2.75Romanian Super Liga · 2026-09-07T14:30:00+00:00Recipe: blend Forecast fit: 2026-09-04 22:00:00+00:00 Forecast decision: 2026-09-07 13:30:00+00:00
| 1.4101 bookmakers | 68.8% | −2.7%Inventory only | 1 / +0.41u |
FC Voluntari – FC Argeș PiteștiGoals · Match total · Under 3Romanian Super Liga · 2026-09-07T14:30:00+00:00Recipe: blend Forecast fit: 2026-09-04 22:00:00+00:00 Forecast decision: 2026-09-07 13:30:00+00:00
| 1.2801 bookmakers | 77.2% | −1.0%Inventory only | 1 / +0.28u |
FC Voluntari – FC Argeș PiteștiGoals · Match total · Under 3.25Romanian Super Liga · 2026-09-07T14:30:00+00:00Recipe: blend Forecast fit: 2026-09-04 22:00:00+00:00 Forecast decision: 2026-09-07 13:30:00+00:00
| 1.2401 bookmakers | 79.6% | −1.1%Inventory only | 1 / +0.24u |
FC Voluntari – FC Argeș PiteștiGoals · Match total · Under 3.5Romanian Super Liga · 2026-09-07T14:30:00+00:00Recipe: blend Forecast fit: 2026-09-04 22:00:00+00:00 Forecast decision: 2026-09-07 13:30:00+00:00
| 1.1773 bookmakers | 81.6% | −4.0%Inventory only | 1 / +0.18u |
FC Voluntari – FC Argeș PiteștiGoals · Match total · Under 3.75Romanian Super Liga · 2026-09-07T14:30:00+00:00Recipe: blend Forecast fit: 2026-09-04 22:00:00+00:00 Forecast decision: 2026-09-07 13:30:00+00:00
| 1.1401 bookmakers | 86.3% | −1.5%Inventory only | 1 / +0.14u |
FC Voluntari – FC Argeș PiteștiGoals · Match total · Under 4Romanian Super Liga · 2026-09-07T14:30:00+00:00Recipe: blend Forecast fit: 2026-09-04 22:00:00+00:00 Forecast decision: 2026-09-07 13:30:00+00:00
| 1.0801 bookmakers | 91.6% | −1.0%Inventory only | 1 / +0.08u |
FC Voluntari – FC Argeș PiteștiGoals · Match total · Under 4.25Romanian Super Liga · 2026-09-07T14:30:00+00:00Recipe: blend Forecast fit: 2026-09-04 22:00:00+00:00 Forecast decision: 2026-09-07 13:30:00+00:00
| 1.0701 bookmakers | 92.1% | −1.4%Inventory only | 1 / +0.07u |
FC Voluntari – FC Argeș PiteștiGoals · Match total · Under 4.5Romanian Super Liga · 2026-09-07T14:30:00+00:00Recipe: blend Forecast fit: 2026-09-04 22:00:00+00:00 Forecast decision: 2026-09-07 13:30:00+00:00
| 1.0503 bookmakers | 92.5% | −2.9%Inventory only | 1 / +0.05u |
FC Voluntari – FC Argeș PiteștiGoals · Match total · Under 4.75Romanian Super Liga · 2026-09-07T14:30:00+00:00Recipe: blend Forecast fit: 2026-09-04 22:00:00+00:00 Forecast decision: 2026-09-07 13:30:00+00:00
| 1.0201 bookmakers | 94.8% | −3.2%Inventory only | 1 / +0.02u |
FC Voluntari – FC Argeș PiteștiGoals · Match total · Under 5Romanian Super Liga · 2026-09-07T14:30:00+00:00Recipe: blend Forecast fit: 2026-09-04 22:00:00+00:00 Forecast decision: 2026-09-07 13:30:00+00:00
| 1.0201 bookmakers | 97.2% | −0.8%Inventory only | 1 / +0.02u |
FC Voluntari – FC Argeș PiteștiGoals · Match total · Under 5.25Romanian Super Liga · 2026-09-07T14:30:00+00:00Recipe: blend Forecast fit: 2026-09-04 22:00:00+00:00 Forecast decision: 2026-09-07 13:30:00+00:00
| 1.0201 bookmakers | 97.3% | −0.7%Inventory only | 1 / +0.02u |
FC Voluntari – FC Argeș PiteștiGoals · Match total · Under 5.5Romanian Super Liga · 2026-09-07T14:30:00+00:00Recipe: blend Forecast fit: 2026-09-04 22:00:00+00:00 Forecast decision: 2026-09-07 13:30:00+00:00
| 1.0152 bookmakers | 97.4% | −1.2%Inventory only | 1 / +0.02u |
Asteras Aktor – Iraklis 1908Cards · Match total · Over 5.5Stoiximan Super League · 2026-09-07T15:00:00+00:00Recipe: — Forecast fit: — Forecast decision: —
| 1.8331 bookmakers | Unverified outcome unit | —Inventory only | — / — |
Asteras Aktor – Iraklis 1908Cards · Match total · Under 5.5Stoiximan Super League · 2026-09-07T15:00:00+00:00Recipe: — Forecast fit: — Forecast decision: —
| 1.8331 bookmakers | Unverified outcome unit | —Inventory only | — / — |
Backtest method and coverage
Each exact line and direction is one virtual unit. Bookmaker offers are averaged, not counted as independent bets. Integer pushes and quarter-line half wins/losses are settled proportionally. W/L count positive/negative returns; P counts zero returns.
The model logic was selected using earlier results only. The report is historical research, not proof of profitability or a replay of every current live adjustment. Brier scores use half-point binary outcomes only. Overlapping lines and directions are correlated.
- Forecasts were reconstructed, not saved before the historical matches.
- Retained prices may have missing or post-match capture times; a separate recorded pre-match quote cohort is available.
- Result availability in fitting uses kickoff plus three hours as a proxy.
- This retained replay does not reproduce every live lineup, tempo or division transformation.
- Unavailable model prices and unverified card units remain explicitly missing.
Historical model: unified-20261021-v5 · Snapshot: history-20261021-v4 · Input cutoff: 2026-10-21T12:56:16+00:00