Predictions
Ongoing probability research with virtual stakes and bankrolls. Compare model and bookmaker probabilities.
Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.
5 picks shown with Bet365 prices. Recorded performance covers all suggestions for the selected tier and markets.
Board
Matches
FC ThunvFC LuganoSwiss Super League1 pick· 0 available
This recommendation was retired when the model changed. It remains here as a record, even if the bookmaker now offers better odds.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 55.3%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.81
- Expected value at recommendation
- +52.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.
Model chance at recommendation 55.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.81. Expected value at recommendation: +52.2%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 234 settled picksand +1.9% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
- Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 2.5Model chance55.3%EV+52.2%No current quote for this lineAt recommendation2.75Current odds—
Recommendation record
Recorded 18 Oct, 18:18: over 2.5 at 2.75 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 20:09. The original pick remains in the results.
Crystal PalacevNewcastle UnitedPremier League1 pick· 0 available
This recommendation was retired when the model changed. It remains here as a record, even if the bookmaker now offers better odds.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 59.9%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.67
- Expected value at recommendation
- +19.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.
Model chance at recommendation 59.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.67. Expected value at recommendation: +19.9%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 234 settled picksand +1.9% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
- Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 1.5Model chance59.9%EV+19.9%No current quote for this lineAt recommendation2.00Current odds—
Recommendation record
Recorded 18 Oct, 18:19: over 1.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 20:09. The original pick remains in the results.
Celta VigovReal BetisLaLiga1 pick· 0 available
This recommendation was retired when the model changed. It remains here as a record, even if the bookmaker now offers better odds.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 59.1%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.70
- Expected value at recommendation
- +30.0%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.
Model chance at recommendation 59.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.70. Expected value at recommendation: +30.0%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 234 settled picksand +1.9% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
- Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 1.5Model chance59.1%EV+30.0%No current quote for this lineAt recommendation2.20Current odds—
Recommendation record
Recorded 18 Oct, 18:21: over 1.5 at 2.20 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 20:09. The original pick remains in the results.
SunderlandvLeeds UnitedPremier League1 pick· 0 available
This recommendation was retired when the model changed. It remains here as a record, even if the bookmaker now offers better odds.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 50.7%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.98
- Expected value at recommendation
- +26.8%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.
Model chance at recommendation 50.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.98. Expected value at recommendation: +26.8%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 234 settled picksand +1.9% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
- Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 1.5Model chance50.7%EV+26.8%No current quote for this lineAt recommendation2.50Current odds—
Recommendation record
Recorded 18 Oct, 18:23: over 1.5 at 2.50 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 20:09. The original pick remains in the results.
Rio AvevFamalicãoLiga Portugal Betclic1 pick· 0 available
This recommendation was retired when the model changed. It remains here as a record, even if the bookmaker now offers better odds.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 52.4%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.91
- Expected value at recommendation
- +0.1%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.
Model chance at recommendation 52.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.91. Expected value at recommendation: +0.1%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 234 settled picksand +1.9% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
- Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 1.5Model chance52.4%EV+0.1%No current quote for this lineAt recommendation1.91Current odds—
Recommendation record
Recorded 18 Oct, 18:25: over 1.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 20:09. The original pick remains in the results.
Selected day
Sun, 25 Oct 2026
No settled results yet. 0 active suggestions across 5 listed matches.
All dates
Overall results
One unit per pick. Includes historical estimates at reference odds (1,895 settled). Display only; recorded performance and benchmarks exclude estimates. Recorded results: 28 Sept 2026 – 20 Oct 2026.
How to read this board
A simulated selection is one match, statistic, scope and direction. Bookmaker prices are alternatives for comparison, not additional stakes.
Results use one virtual unit per recorded selection at its recorded line and odds. The comparison bookmaker is labelled on each selection. These are simulated returns; no real money is wagered or won.
Earlier matches without a saved pre-match recommendation are labelled Historical estimate. They remain visible in the calendar and are excluded from daily and overall results.
Free and VIP use the same process. Their labels reflect the benchmark rules; one day's return cannot determine which will perform better.
Telegram reads these same recommendations and applies your tier, bookmaker preferences and delivery time. A message does not create an additional pick.