Vitória vs Chapecoense 4-0 — Brasileirão Série A

Brasileirão Série ABrasileiro Serie A 2026

Vitória

4–0

HT 1–0

Chapecoense

Wed 7 Oct·17:00·Matchday 29·Estádio Manoel Barradas·Vitória won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

3Corners6
2Cards3
20Shots11
8Shots on target4
8Fouls17
14Throw-ins20
3Goal kicks9
4Saves4
15Tackles8
7Interceptions5
9Dribbles8

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta · Virtual simulation

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

Independence, method & limitations

An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

StatsGem is independent. We are not a bookmaker, gambling operator, betting broker or bookmaker affiliate. We accept no bets or gambling deposits, hold no player funds and offer no cash prizes or withdrawals. Subscriptions pay for research access. Bookmaker names and logos identify data sources; they do not imply a partnership or endorsement.

Simulated performance does not predict real-world profit. Models can be wrong, odds can change, and historical results can overstate an apparent advantage. Gambling can cause financial harm and addiction. Get support

8 Free0 VIP0 Free Active0 VIP Active

Board

Matches

1 match

17:00VitóriavChapecoenseBrasileirão Série A3 won / 5 lost · −2.24u · 8 picks

Cards · match total

Open match →FreeLost

under 4.5Actual: 5−1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.107 Oct, 16:00

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 4.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.2%EV-1.6%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.2%EV-1.6%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.86
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.2%EV+4.5%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.2%EV-1.6%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.2%EV+9.6%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.87
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.2%EV+5.1%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 16:00: under 4.5 at 2.10 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Corners · match total

Open match →FreeLost

over 12.5Actual: 9−1.00u on one unit

Paddy Powerrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation3.707 Oct, 16:00

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Paddy Powerresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 12.5
At recommendation3.70
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 12.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance33.5%EV-1.2%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 12.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance33.5%EV-1.2%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 12.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds3.15
No saved recommendation
Model chance33.5%EV+5.5%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 12.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance33.5%EV-1.2%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 12.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds3.15
No saved recommendation
Model chance33.5%EV+5.5%
16 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 16:00: over 12.5 at 3.70 with Paddy Power. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Corners · Vitória total

Open match →FreeLost

over 8.5Actual: 3−1.00u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation4.307 Oct, 16:00

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveOriginal model estimate unavailableover 8.5
At recommendation4.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Liderbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 8.5
At recommendation4.30
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds3.30
No saved recommendation
Model chance28.3%EV-6.6%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds3.50
No saved recommendation
Model chance28.3%EV-0.9%
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 16:00: over 8.5 at 4.30 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Fouls · match total

Open match →FreeLost

under 24.5Actual: 25−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.077 Oct, 16:40

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 24.5
At recommendation2.07
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 24.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.8%EV+4.9%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 16:40: under 24.5 at 2.07 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Fouls · Chapecoense total

Open match →FreeLost

under 12.5Actual: 17−1.00u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.257 Oct, 16:00

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Liderbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 12.5
At recommendation2.25
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 12.5
At recommendation2.02
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 16:00: under 12.5 at 2.25 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots · Vitória total

Open match →FreeWon

over 16.5Actual: 20+0.73u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.737 Oct, 16:00

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 16.5
At recommendation1.73
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetMGM UKOriginal model estimate unavailableover 16.5
At recommendation1.68
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 16.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.67
No saved recommendation
Model chance65.8%EV+9.9%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 16.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance65.8%EV+11.9%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 16.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.65
No saved recommendation
Model chance65.8%EV+8.6%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 16:00: over 16.5 at 1.73 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreeWon

over 8.5Actual: 12+0.83u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.837 Oct, 16:00

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 8.5
At recommendation1.83
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.65
No saved recommendation
Model chance69.3%EV+14.3%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.55
No saved recommendation
Model chance69.3%EV+7.3%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance69.3%EV+17.7%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.68
No saved recommendation
Model chance69.3%EV+16.3%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 16:00: over 8.5 at 1.83 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots on target · Vitória total

Open match →FreeWon

over 5.5Actual: 8+1.20u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.207 Oct, 16:00

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 5.5
At recommendation2.20
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance60.6%EV+21.2%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance60.6%EV+3.0%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.05
No saved recommendation
Model chance60.6%EV+24.2%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.83
No saved recommendation
Model chance60.6%EV+10.9%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 16:00: over 5.5 at 2.20 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return−28.0%ROI · 8 units staked

Profit−2.24units

W / L3 / 5picks

Avg odds2.52settled picks

Recorded picks81 matches

Around this match

CompetitionBrasileirão Série A Home teamVitória Away teamChapecoense RefereeAlves Batista, Edina

Matches

Cards · match total

Corners · match total

Corners · Vitória total

Fouls · match total

Fouls · Chapecoense total

Shots · Vitória total

Shots on target · match total

Shots on target · Vitória total

This match

Around this match

Previous meetings