Torreense vs Sunderland 1-2 — UEFA Europa League

UEFA Europa LeagueUEFA Europa League 26/27

Torreense

1–2

Sunderland

Thu 15 Oct·10:45·Matchday 2·Neutral venue·Dr. Magalhães Pessoa·Sunderland won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

2Corners9
1Cards3
3Shots22
1Shots on target5
13Fouls19
15Throw-ins22
2Offsides1
12Goal kicks4
3Saves0
11Tackles9
4Interceptions7
11Dribbles5

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

Independence, method & limitations

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

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0Free available0VIP available9Recorded Free1Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

10:45TorreensevSunderlandUEFA Europa League3 won / 7 lost · −3.89u · 10 picks

Cards · Sunderland total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 1.5Actual: 3−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0213 Oct, 15:46

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 51.2%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.96
Expected value at recommendation: +3.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 51.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.96. Expected value at recommendation: +3.5%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 108 settled picksand +7.5% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation2.02
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.2%EV+3.5%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.9%EV+1.1%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.9%EV-1.5%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateunder 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.81
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.9%EV-6.1%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.05
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.9%EV+6.3%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 15:46: under 1.5 at 2.02 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 14 Oct, 14:19. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 9.5Actual: 11−1.00u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0212 Oct, 18:42

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 50.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 2.00
Expected value at recommendation: +1.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 2.00. Expected value at recommendation: +1.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 9.5
At recommendation2.02
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.0%EV+1.1%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.91
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.3%EV-2.0%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.3%EV-7.6%
10 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.3%EV-7.6%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.3%EV-7.6%
10 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.91
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.3%EV-2.0%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.88
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.3%EV-3.5%
16 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 12 Oct, 18:42: under 9.5 at 2.02 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 12:07. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Torreense total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 2−1.00u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0014 Oct, 19:12

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 50.2%
Minimum qualifying odds: 2.00
Expected value at recommendation: +0.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 50.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 2.00. Expected value at recommendation: +0.3%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 91 settled picksand +2.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.2%EV+0.3%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance45.3%EV-4.9%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance45.3%EV-16.3%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance45.3%EV-14.0%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance45.3%EV-16.3%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance45.3%EV-9.5%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance45.3%EV-9.5%
10 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 14 Oct, 19:12: over 3.5 at 2.00 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 14 Oct, 22:05. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Sunderland total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 5.5Actual: 9+0.91u on one unit

Paddy Powerrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9113 Oct, 11:32

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 52.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.91
Expected value at recommendation: +0.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 52.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.91. Expected value at recommendation: +0.1%.

At recommendation, Paddy Power’s overall market record had 36 settled picksand +6.7% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Paddy Powerresult priceAt recommendationover 5.5
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.4%EV+0.1%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.50
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.0%EV-17.5%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.55
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.0%EV-14.8%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.68
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.0%EV-7.7%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.50
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.0%EV-17.5%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.69
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.0%EV-7.1%
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 11:32: over 5.5 at 1.91 with Paddy Power. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 14:00. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · Torreense total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 12.5Actual: 13−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.8715 Oct, 05:24

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 61.8%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.62
Expected value at recommendation: +15.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 61.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.62. Expected value at recommendation: +15.5%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 138 settled picksand +2.1% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 12.5
At recommendation1.87
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance61.8%EV+15.5%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 12.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance62.6%EV+25.2%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 12.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance62.6%EV+22.1%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 12.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance62.6%EV+22.1%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 15 Oct, 05:24: under 12.5 at 1.87 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 15 Oct, 07:57. The original pick remains in the results.

Goal kicks · Sunderland total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 5.5Actual: 4+1.30u on one unit

Crocobetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.3015 Oct, 08:25

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 51.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.97
Expected value at recommendation: +17.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 51.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.97. Expected value at recommendation: +17.3%.

At recommendation, Crocobet’s overall market record had 129 settled picksand +4.6% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationunder 5.5
At recommendation2.30
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.0%EV+17.3%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.15
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.0%EV+9.6%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.25
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.0%EV+14.7%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.82
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.0%EV-7.2%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 15 Oct, 08:25: under 5.5 at 2.30 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 25.5Actual: 25−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0213 Oct, 11:32

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 57.3%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.75
Expected value at recommendation: +15.8%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 57.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.75. Expected value at recommendation: +15.8%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 109 settled picksand +4.4% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365At recommendationover 25.5
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.0%EV+7.0%
BetliveAt recommendationover 25.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.6%EV+6.5%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetAt recommendationover 25.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.8%EV+6.1%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 25.5
At recommendation2.02
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance57.3%EV+15.8%
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 25.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.9%EV-10.6%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 11:32: over 25.5 at 2.02 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots · Torreense total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 9.5Actual: 3−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0013 Oct, 12:45

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 52.7%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.90
Expected value at recommendation: +5.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 52.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.90. Expected value at recommendation: +5.5%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 93 settled picksand +0.8% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 9.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.7%EV+5.5%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.50
No saved recommendation
Model chance45.3%EV-32.1%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance45.3%EV-27.6%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance45.3%EV-27.6%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 12:45: over 9.5 at 2.00 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 15 Oct, 02:24. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Sunderland total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 15.5Actual: 22+0.90u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9013 Oct, 11:20

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 55.2%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.82
Expected value at recommendation: +4.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 55.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.82. Expected value at recommendation: +4.9%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 33 settled picksand +29.6% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

CrocobetAt recommendationover 15.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.8%EV+4.9%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 15.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.2%EV+4.9%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 15.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.83
No saved recommendation
Model chance58.7%EV+7.6%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 15.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance58.7%EV-0.2%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 15.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance58.7%EV-6.1%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 11:20: over 15.5 at 1.90 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 13:25. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 9.5Actual: 6−1.00u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.1013 Oct, 11:32

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 53.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.89
Expected value at recommendation: +11.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 53.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.89. Expected value at recommendation: +11.3%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 57 settled picksand +2.4% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365At recommendationover 9.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.6%EV+8.3%
CrocobetAt recommendationover 9.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.4%EV+7.9%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 9.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.0%EV+11.3%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetAt recommendationover 9.5
At recommendation2.17
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.0%EV+15.0%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.4%EV+2.9%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.4%EV+2.9%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 11:32: over 9.5 at 2.10 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 15:53. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return−38.9%ROI · 10 units staked

Profit−3.89units

W / L3 / 7picks

Avg odds2.01settled picks

Recorded picks101 matches

Around this match

CompetitionUEFA Europa League Home teamTorreense Away teamSunderland RefereeEnea Jorgji

Match overview

Matches

Cards · Sunderland total

Corners · match total

Corners · Torreense total

Corners · Sunderland total

Fouls · Torreense total

Goal kicks · Sunderland total

Shots · match total

Shots · Torreense total

Shots · Sunderland total

Shots on target · match total

This match

Around this match

On this page

This category

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