Stade Brestois vs Angers 5-1 — Ligue 1

Ligue 1Ligue 1 26/27

Stade Brestois

5–1

HT 4–0

Angers

Sat 10 Oct·12:45·Matchday 6·Stade Francis-Le Ble·Stade Brestois won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

4Corners5
1Cards1
19Shots9
9Shots on target3
5Fouls11
19Throw-ins10
1Offsides0
4Goal kicks10
2Saves4
8Tackles18
11Interceptions4
9Dribbles6

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

Independence, method & limitations

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

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0Free available0VIP available7Recorded Free4Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

12:45Stade BrestoisvAngersLigue 16 won / 5 lost · +1.23u · 11 picks

Cards · Stade Brestois total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 1.5Actual: 1+1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.008 Oct, 04:34

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 57.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.75
Expected value at recommendation: +14.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 57.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.75. Expected value at recommendation: +14.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

CrocobetAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.5%EV+4.5%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation1.97
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance57.4%EV+13.1%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.5%EV+10.2%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance57.4%EV+14.9%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance60.9%EV+12.6%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 04:34: under 1.5 at 2.00 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 01:19. The original pick remains in the results.

Cards · Angers total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 1.5Actual: 1+1.05u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.058 Oct, 04:34

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 56.1%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.79
Expected value at recommendation: +15.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 56.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.79. Expected value at recommendation: +15.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance60.7%EV+12.4%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance57.0%EV+8.4%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation2.25
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.1%EV+26.3%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance57.0%EV+8.4%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation2.05
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.1%EV+15.1%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 04:34: under 1.5 at 2.05 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Fouls · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 23.5Actual: 16+0.92u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.929 Oct, 13:19

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 61.8%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.62
Expected value at recommendation: +18.7%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 61.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.62. Expected value at recommendation: +18.7%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 23.5
At recommendation1.92
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance61.8%EV+18.7%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 23.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.55
No saved recommendation
Model chance64.1%EV-0.7%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 23.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.55
No saved recommendation
Model chance64.1%EV-0.7%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 23.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.55
No saved recommendation
Model chance64.1%EV-0.7%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 13:19: under 23.5 at 1.92 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 01:19. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · Stade Brestois total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 12.5Actual: 5−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.958 Oct, 13:17

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 52.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.93
Expected value at recommendation: +1.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.93. Expected value at recommendation: +1.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 12.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.0%EV+1.4%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 12.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance38.0%EV-20.1%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 12.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance38.0%EV-20.1%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 12.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance38.0%EV-31.5%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 13:17: over 12.5 at 1.95 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 17:51. The original pick remains in the results.

Goals · Stade Brestois total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 1.5Actual: 5−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.858 Oct, 13:06

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 55.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.82
Expected value at recommendation: +1.8%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 55.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.82. Expected value at recommendation: +1.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.0%EV+1.8%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.0%EV+1.8%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.0%EV+1.8%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateunder 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.3%EV+6.5%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.07
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.3%EV+10.3%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 13:06: under 1.5 at 1.85 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 13:22. The original pick remains in the results.

Result corrected: Provider full-time score differs from the originally recorded goal result.

Offsides · Stade Brestois total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 1.5Actual: 1+0.90u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9010 Oct, 04:06

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 56.1%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.79
Expected value at recommendation: +6.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 56.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.79. Expected value at recommendation: +6.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.1%EV+6.5%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.1%EV+9.3%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.0%EV+12.0%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 04:06: under 1.5 at 1.90 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 28.5Actual: 28−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.258 Oct, 04:34

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 54.9%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.83
Expected value at recommendation: +23.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 54.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.83. Expected value at recommendation: +23.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveAt recommendationover 28.5
At recommendation2.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance59.9%EV+73.7%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetAt recommendationover 28.5
At recommendation2.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance59.9%EV+76.6%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 28.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.38
No saved recommendation
Model chance62.3%EV+48.3%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 28.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.05
No saved recommendation
Model chance62.3%EV+27.7%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 28.5
At recommendation2.25
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.9%EV+23.4%
10 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 04:34: over 28.5 at 2.25 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 13:47. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Stade Brestois total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 14.5Actual: 19+0.91u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.918 Oct, 04:34

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 73.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.38
Expected value at recommendation: +39.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 73.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.38. Expected value at recommendation: +39.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 14.5
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance73.0%EV+39.3%
BetMGM UKAt recommendationover 14.5
At recommendation1.83
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance70.1%EV+28.2%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 14.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.55
No saved recommendation
Model chance74.0%EV+14.7%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 14.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.55
No saved recommendation
Model chance74.0%EV+14.7%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiAt recommendationover 14.5
At recommendation1.88
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance73.0%EV+37.2%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 14.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.55
No saved recommendation
Model chance74.0%EV+14.7%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 14.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.72
No saved recommendation
Model chance74.0%EV+27.2%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 04:34: over 14.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 17:58. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Angers total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 11.5Actual: 9−1.00u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.078 Oct, 04:36

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 54.3%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.85
Expected value at recommendation: +12.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 54.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.85. Expected value at recommendation: +12.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 11.5
At recommendation2.07
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.3%EV+12.4%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetAt recommendationover 11.5
At recommendation1.88
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance60.6%EV+13.9%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.05
No saved recommendation
Model chance65.2%EV+33.6%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance65.2%EV+10.8%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.65
No saved recommendation
Model chance65.2%EV+7.5%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.65
No saved recommendation
Model chance65.2%EV+7.5%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 04:36: over 11.5 at 2.07 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 16:03. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 9.5Actual: 12+1.45u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.4510 Oct, 01:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 51.2%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.96
Expected value at recommendation: +25.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.96. Expected value at recommendation: +25.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 9.5
At recommendation2.45
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.2%EV+25.4%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.35
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.4%EV+25.5%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.45
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.4%EV+30.8%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.35
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.4%EV+25.5%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.15
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.4%EV+14.8%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 01:51: over 9.5 at 2.45 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 04:48. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · Angers total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 3−1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.918 Oct, 04:34

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 55.7%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.80
Expected value at recommendation: +6.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 55.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.80. Expected value at recommendation: +6.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.7%EV+6.3%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation1.81
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.7%EV+0.8%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance62.7%EV+9.8%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance62.7%EV+31.7%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance62.7%EV+31.7%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance62.7%EV+9.8%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 04:34: over 3.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return+11.2%ROI · 11 units staked

Profit+1.23units

W / L6 / 5picks

Avg odds2.02settled picks

Recorded picks111 matches

Around this match

CompetitionLigue 1 Home teamStade Brestois Away teamAngers RefereeWattellier, Eric

Match overview

Matches

Cards · Stade Brestois total

Cards · Angers total

Fouls · match total

Fouls · Stade Brestois total

Goals · Stade Brestois total

Offsides · Stade Brestois total

Shots · match total

Shots · Stade Brestois total

Shots · Angers total

Shots on target · match total

Shots on target · Angers total

This match

Around this match

Previous meetings

On this page

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