St.Louis City vs LA Galaxy 6-2

MLSMLS 2026

St.Louis City

6–2

HT 5–1

LA Galaxy

Sun 11 Oct·17:00·CITYPARK·St.Louis City won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

2Corners3
2Cards2
11Shots18
6Shots on target7
17Fouls10
16Throw-ins15
3Offsides1
5Goal kicks2
5Saves1
19Tackles15
9Interceptions14
4Dribbles6

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

Independence, method & limitations

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

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0Free available0VIP available6Recorded Free1Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

17:00St.Louis CityvLA GalaxyMLS5 won / 2 lost · +3.47u · 7 picks

Cards · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 4.5Actual: 4+0.88u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.8811 Oct, 03:09

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 57.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.76
Expected value at recommendation: +7.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 57.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.76. Expected value at recommendation: +7.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 4.5
At recommendation1.88
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance57.0%EV+7.2%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.4%EV+1.5%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetMGM UKClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.68
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.4%EV-5.3%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.4%EV-4.1%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.4%EV-4.1%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.68
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.4%EV-5.3%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.4%EV-4.1%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.67
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.4%EV-6.0%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 03:09: under 4.5 at 1.88 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 04:36. The original pick remains in the results.

Goal kicks · St.Louis City total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 5.5Actual: 5+1.00u on one unit

Crocobetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0011 Oct, 14:32

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 54.9%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.82
Expected value at recommendation: +9.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 54.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.82. Expected value at recommendation: +9.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationunder 5.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.9%EV+9.9%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.05
No saved recommendation
Model chance47.3%EV-3.1%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 14:32: under 5.5 at 2.00 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 15:47. The original pick remains in the results.

Goals · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 8+1.01u on one unit

Pinnaclerecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.018 Oct, 11:11

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 53.1%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.89
Expected value at recommendation: +6.8%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.89. Expected value at recommendation: +6.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Pinnacleresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation2.01
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.1%EV+6.8%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.91
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.2%EV+1.5%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Betfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.12
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.2%EV+12.7%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.2%EV-1.6%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.2%EV-1.6%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.2%EV-1.6%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.2%EV+3.7%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.97
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.2%EV+4.8%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 11:11: over 3.5 at 2.01 with Pinnacle. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Goals · LA Galaxy total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 1.5Actual: 2+1.43u on one unit

BetMGM UKrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.438 Oct, 11:11

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 51.2%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.96
Expected value at recommendation: +24.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.96. Expected value at recommendation: +24.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationover 1.5
At recommendation2.43
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.2%EV+24.4%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveAt recommendationover 1.5
At recommendation2.45
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.2%EV+25.4%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetAt recommendationover 1.5
At recommendation2.45
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.2%EV+25.4%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetAt recommendationover 1.5
At recommendation2.45
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.2%EV+25.4%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds3.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance32.9%EV-1.3%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.82
No saved recommendation
Model chance32.9%EV-7.2%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 11:11: over 1.5 at 2.43 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 17:36. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · St.Louis City total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 16.5Actual: 11−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.8710 Oct, 04:48

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 56.9%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.76
Expected value at recommendation: +6.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 56.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.76. Expected value at recommendation: +6.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 16.5
At recommendation1.87
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.9%EV+6.4%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 16.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.05
No saved recommendation
Model chance58.6%EV+20.2%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 16.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance58.6%EV+14.3%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 04:48: over 16.5 at 1.87 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 00:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 10.5Actual: 13+1.15u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.1510 Oct, 04:48

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 50.2%
Minimum qualifying odds: 2.00
Expected value at recommendation: +7.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 2.00. Expected value at recommendation: +7.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

CrocobetAt recommendationover 10.5
At recommendation2.20
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.1%EV+10.2%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 10.5
At recommendation2.15
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.2%EV+7.9%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.25
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.2%EV+13.0%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.02
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.2%EV+1.4%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 04:48: over 10.5 at 2.15 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 17:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · St.Louis City total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 6.5Actual: 6−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.2510 Oct, 04:48

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 52.7%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.90
Expected value at recommendation: +18.6%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.90. Expected value at recommendation: +18.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

KambiAt recommendationover 6.5
At recommendation1.87
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.4%EV+5.4%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 6.5
At recommendation2.25
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.7%EV+18.6%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 6.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.08
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.3%EV+13.0%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 6.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.3%EV+14.1%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 6.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.3%EV+14.1%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 04:48: over 6.5 at 2.25 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 00:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return+49.6%ROI · 7 units staked

Profit+3.47units

W / L5 / 2picks

Avg odds2.08settled picks

Recorded picks71 matches

Around this match

CompetitionMLS Home teamSt.Louis City Away teamLA Galaxy RefereeJoseph Dickerson

Match overview

Matches

Cards · match total

Goal kicks · St.Louis City total

Goals · match total

Goals · LA Galaxy total

Shots · St.Louis City total

Shots on target · match total

Shots on target · St.Louis City total

This match

Around this match

Previous meetings

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