St.Louis City vs LA Galaxy — MLS

MLSMLS 2026

St.Louis City

6–2

HT 5–1

LA Galaxy

Sun 11 Oct··CITYPARK·St.Louis City won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time
  • 2Corners3
  • 2Cards2
  • 11Shots18
  • 6Shots on target7
  • 17Fouls10
  • 16Throw-ins15
  • 3Offsides1
  • 5Goal kicks2
  • 5Saves1
  • 19Tackles15
  • 9Interceptions14
  • 4Dribbles6
OddsOddsStatsStatsPredictionsPicksRefereeRefereeCoachCoach
0Free available0VIP available6Recorded Free1Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match
St.Louis CityvLA GalaxyMLS5 won / 2 lost · +3.47u · 7 picks

Cards · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 4.5Actual: 4+0.88u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.88
Closing odds1.80
Odds down−0.08
Model chance at recommendation
57.0%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.76
Expected value at recommendation
+7.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 57.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.76. Expected value at recommendation: +7.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 4.5
    At recommendation1.88
    Closing odds1.80
    Odds down−0.08
    Model chance57.0%EV+7.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 14:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds1.21Closing chance estimate1.3%Closing EV estimate−98.4%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds2.52Closing chance estimate37.1%Closing EV estimate−6.5%margin9.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate56.4%Closing EV estimate+1.5%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.39Closing chance estimate73.1%Closing EV estimate+1.6%margin10.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • Bet365Closing estimateunder 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance56.4%EV+1.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:35

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate56.4%Closing EV estimate+1.5%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetMGM UKClosing estimateunder 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.68
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance56.4%EV-5.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 16:50

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.68Closing chance estimate56.4%Closing EV estimate−5.3%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance56.4%EV-4.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds4.00Closing chance estimate19.3%Closing EV estimate−22.7%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate37.1%Closing EV estimate−9.1%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate56.4%Closing EV estimate−4.1%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate73.1%Closing EV estimate−2.8%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate85.2%Closing EV estimate−2.9%margin13.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance56.4%EV-4.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds4.00Closing chance estimate19.3%Closing EV estimate−22.7%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate37.1%Closing EV estimate−9.1%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate56.4%Closing EV estimate−4.1%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate73.1%Closing EV estimate−2.8%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate85.2%Closing EV estimate−2.9%margin13.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateunder 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.68
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance56.4%EV-5.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 15:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.68Closing chance estimate56.4%Closing EV estimate−5.3%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance56.4%EV-4.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds4.00Closing chance estimate19.3%Closing EV estimate−22.7%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate37.1%Closing EV estimate−9.1%margin14.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate56.4%Closing EV estimate−4.1%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate73.1%Closing EV estimate−2.8%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate85.2%Closing EV estimate−2.9%margin13.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.67
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance56.4%EV-6.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 16:50

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.67Closing chance estimate56.4%Closing EV estimate−6.0%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 03:09: under 4.5 at 1.88 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 04:36. The original pick remains in the results.

Goal kicks · St.Louis City total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 5.5Actual: 5+1.00u on one unit
Crocobetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds2.00
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
54.9%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.82
Expected value at recommendation
+9.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 54.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.82. Expected value at recommendation: +9.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationunder 5.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Unchanged
    Model chance54.9%EV+9.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 4.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate30.8%Closing EV estimate−16.9%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate47.3%Closing EV estimate−5.5%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate63.3%Closing EV estimate−1.9%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.05
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance47.3%EV-3.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate47.3%Closing EV estimate−3.1%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate63.3%Closing EV estimate−5.1%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 14:32: under 5.5 at 2.00 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 15:47. The original pick remains in the results.

Goals · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 8+1.01u on one unit
Pinnaclerecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.01
Closing odds2.04
Odds up+0.03
Model chance at recommendation
53.1%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.89
Expected value at recommendation
+6.8%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.89. Expected value at recommendation: +6.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Pinnacleresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
    At recommendation2.01
    Closing odds2.04
    Odds up+0.03
    Model chance53.1%EV+6.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 16:50

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds2.04Closing chance estimate53.2%Closing EV estimate+8.5%margin3.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.91
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance53.2%EV+1.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 16:50

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate97.8%Closing EV estimate−0.7%margin3.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate89.5%Closing EV estimate−1.6%margin5.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate73.5%Closing EV estimate+2.9%margin6.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.91Closing chance estimate53.2%Closing EV estimate+1.5%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds3.25Closing chance estimate33.7%Closing EV estimate+9.7%margin5.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds5.50Closing chance estimate18.9%Closing EV estimate+3.7%margin5.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds11.00Closing chance estimate9.4%Closing EV estimate+2.9%margin4.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds21.00Closing chance estimate4.2%Closing EV estimate−12.6%margin3.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • Betfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.12
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance53.2%EV+12.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 16:50

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate97.8%Closing EV estimate−0.2%margin1.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate89.5%Closing EV estimate+2.0%margin0.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate73.5%Closing EV estimate+6.6%margin0.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.12Closing chance estimate53.2%Closing EV estimate+12.7%margin0.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds3.55Closing chance estimate33.7%Closing EV estimate+19.8%margin0.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds6.80Closing chance estimate18.9%Closing EV estimate+28.2%margin0.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds15.50Closing chance estimate9.4%Closing EV estimate+45.1%margin0.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds34.00Closing chance estimate4.2%Closing EV estimate+41.5%margin1.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds75.00Closing chance estimate1.7%Closing EV estimate+25.4%margin0.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance53.2%EV-1.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 16:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate97.8%Closing EV estimate−1.2%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate89.5%Closing EV estimate−2.5%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds1.34Closing chance estimate73.5%Closing EV estimate−1.5%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate53.2%Closing EV estimate−1.6%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate33.7%Closing EV estimate−3.8%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds4.50Closing chance estimate18.9%Closing EV estimate−15.1%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance53.2%EV-1.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 16:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate97.8%Closing EV estimate−1.2%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate89.5%Closing EV estimate−2.5%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds1.34Closing chance estimate73.5%Closing EV estimate−1.5%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate53.2%Closing EV estimate−1.6%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate33.7%Closing EV estimate−3.8%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds4.50Closing chance estimate18.9%Closing EV estimate−15.1%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance53.2%EV-1.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 16:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate97.8%Closing EV estimate−1.2%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate89.5%Closing EV estimate−2.5%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate73.5%Closing EV estimate−2.2%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate53.2%Closing EV estimate−1.6%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate33.7%Closing EV estimate−3.8%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds4.50Closing chance estimate18.9%Closing EV estimate−15.1%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 165.5odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailable
    • over 168.5odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailable
    • over 169.5odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailable
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance53.2%EV+3.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 16:50

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.00Closing chance estimate97.8%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin5.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate89.5%Closing EV estimate−3.1%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate73.5%Closing EV estimate+0.3%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate53.2%Closing EV estimate+3.7%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate33.7%Closing EV estimate+11.3%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds5.50Closing chance estimate18.9%Closing EV estimate+3.7%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds10.00Closing chance estimate9.4%Closing EV estimate−6.4%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.97
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance53.2%EV+4.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 16:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate97.8%Closing EV estimate−1.2%margin3.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate89.5%Closing EV estimate−0.7%margin5.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate73.5%Closing EV estimate+1.5%margin5.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.97Closing chance estimate53.2%Closing EV estimate+4.8%margin5.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate33.7%Closing EV estimate+8.0%margin4.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds5.65Closing chance estimate18.9%Closing EV estimate+6.5%margin4.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds10.00Closing chance estimate9.4%Closing EV estimate−6.4%margin4.3%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 11:11: over 3.5 at 2.01 with Pinnacle. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Goals · LA Galaxy total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 1.5Actual: 2+1.43u on one unit
BetMGM UKrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.43
Closing odds2.60
Odds up+0.17
Model chance at recommendation
51.2%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.96
Expected value at recommendation
+24.4%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.96. Expected value at recommendation: +24.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationover 1.5
    At recommendation2.43
    Closing odds2.60
    Odds up+0.17
    Model chance51.2%EV+24.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 18:20

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate32.9%Closing EV estimate−14.5%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveAt recommendationover 1.5
    At recommendation2.45
    Closing odds2.65
    Odds up+0.20
    Model chance51.2%EV+25.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 16:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate69.2%Closing EV estimate−6.6%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate32.9%Closing EV estimate−12.8%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds5.40Closing chance estimate11.6%Closing EV estimate−37.6%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds8.00Closing chance estimate3.2%Closing EV estimate−74.5%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetAt recommendationover 1.5
    At recommendation2.45
    Closing odds2.65
    Odds up+0.20
    Model chance51.2%EV+25.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 16:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate69.2%Closing EV estimate−6.6%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate32.9%Closing EV estimate−12.8%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds5.50Closing chance estimate11.6%Closing EV estimate−36.5%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds8.00Closing chance estimate3.2%Closing EV estimate−74.5%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetAt recommendationover 1.5
    At recommendation2.45
    Closing odds2.70
    Odds up+0.25
    Model chance51.2%EV+25.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 16:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate69.2%Closing EV estimate−6.6%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate32.9%Closing EV estimate−11.2%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds5.60Closing chance estimate11.6%Closing EV estimate−35.3%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds8.00Closing chance estimate3.2%Closing EV estimate−74.5%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds3.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance32.9%EV-1.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 15:35

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate69.2%Closing EV estimate−3.2%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds3.00Closing chance estimate32.9%Closing EV estimate−1.3%margin6.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds8.00Closing chance estimate11.6%Closing EV estimate−7.6%margin4.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds23.00Closing chance estimate3.2%Closing EV estimate−26.8%margin3.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.82
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance32.9%EV-7.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 16:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.39Closing chance estimate69.2%Closing EV estimate−3.9%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.82Closing chance estimate32.9%Closing EV estimate−7.2%margin6.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds6.90Closing chance estimate11.6%Closing EV estimate−20.3%margin7.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds19.00Closing chance estimate3.2%Closing EV estimate−39.5%margin4.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds55.00Closing chance estimate0.7%Closing EV estimate−60.5%margin1.7%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 11:11: over 1.5 at 2.43 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 17:36. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · St.Louis City total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 16.5Actual: 11−1.00u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.87
Closing odds1.67
Odds down−0.20
Model chance at recommendation
56.9%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.76
Expected value at recommendation
+6.4%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 56.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.76. Expected value at recommendation: +6.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 16.5
    At recommendation1.87
    Closing odds1.67
    Odds down−0.20
    Model chance56.9%EV+6.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 15:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 13.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate81.9%Closing EV estimate+5.6%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds1.34Closing chance estimate75.0%Closing EV estimate+0.5%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5odds1.48Closing chance estimate67.1%Closing EV estimate−0.7%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 16.5odds1.67Closing chance estimate58.6%Closing EV estimate−2.1%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 17.5odds1.92Closing chance estimate49.9%Closing EV estimate−4.2%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 18.5odds2.22Closing chance estimate41.4%Closing EV estimate−8.1%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 19.5odds2.62Closing chance estimate33.4%Closing EV estimate−12.4%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 20.5odds3.15Closing chance estimate26.3%Closing EV estimate−17.2%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 16.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.05
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance58.6%EV+20.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 14.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate75.0%Closing EV estimate+8.7%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate67.1%Closing EV estimate+14.1%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 16.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate58.6%Closing EV estimate+20.2%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 17.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate49.9%Closing EV estimate+22.3%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 16.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance58.6%EV+14.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 14.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate75.0%Closing EV estimate+12.5%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate67.1%Closing EV estimate+10.7%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 16.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate58.6%Closing EV estimate+14.3%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 04:48: over 16.5 at 1.87 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 00:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 10.5Actual: 13+1.15u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.15
Closing odds2.10
Odds down−0.05
Model chance at recommendation
50.2%
Minimum qualifying odds
2.00
Expected value at recommendation
+7.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 2.00. Expected value at recommendation: +7.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • CrocobetAt recommendationover 10.5
    At recommendation2.20
    Closing odds2.20
    Unchanged
    Model chance50.1%EV+10.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 8.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate72.8%Closing EV estimate+9.2%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate61.8%Closing EV estimate+8.1%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate50.2%Closing EV estimate+10.5%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 10.5
    At recommendation2.15
    Closing odds2.10
    Odds down−0.05
    Model chance50.2%EV+7.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 16:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 5.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate94.7%Closing EV estimate−4.4%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate89.6%Closing EV estimate−3.2%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.19Closing chance estimate82.3%Closing EV estimate−2.1%margin10.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate72.8%Closing EV estimate+0.5%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.67Closing chance estimate61.8%Closing EV estimate+3.2%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate50.2%Closing EV estimate+5.4%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate39.0%Closing EV estimate+5.3%margin10.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds3.60Closing chance estimate28.9%Closing EV estimate+4.1%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds4.85Closing chance estimate20.5%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.25
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance50.2%EV+13.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 8.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate72.8%Closing EV estimate+5.6%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate61.8%Closing EV estimate+8.1%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.25Closing chance estimate50.2%Closing EV estimate+13.0%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate39.0%Closing EV estimate+15.0%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateover 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.02
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance50.2%EV+1.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 16:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 8.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate72.8%Closing EV estimate−1.0%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.63Closing chance estimate61.8%Closing EV estimate+0.7%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.02Closing chance estimate50.2%Closing EV estimate+1.4%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate39.0%Closing EV estimate+3.3%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds3.40Closing chance estimate28.9%Closing EV estimate−1.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 04:48: over 10.5 at 2.15 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 17:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · St.Louis City total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 6.5Actual: 6−1.00u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.25
Closing odds1.97
Odds down−0.28
Model chance at recommendation
52.7%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.90
Expected value at recommendation
+18.6%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.90. Expected value at recommendation: +18.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • KambiAt recommendationover 6.5
    At recommendation1.87
    Closing odds2.12
    Odds up+0.25
    Model chance56.4%EV+5.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 16:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 4.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate81.6%Closing EV estimate+3.6%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds1.58Closing chance estimate68.8%Closing EV estimate+8.8%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds2.12Closing chance estimate54.3%Closing EV estimate+15.2%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate40.0%Closing EV estimate+18.0%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 6.5
    At recommendation2.25
    Closing odds1.97
    Odds down−0.28
    Model chance52.7%EV+18.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 15:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate96.6%Closing EV estimate−2.5%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate91.0%Closing EV estimate−1.8%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.24Closing chance estimate81.6%Closing EV estimate+1.1%margin10.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds1.52Closing chance estimate68.8%Closing EV estimate+4.7%margin8.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds1.97Closing chance estimate54.3%Closing EV estimate+7.0%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds2.62Closing chance estimate40.0%Closing EV estimate+4.8%margin10.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds3.65Closing chance estimate27.5%Closing EV estimate+0.2%margin10.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds5.15Closing chance estimate17.6%Closing EV estimate−9.2%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 6.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.08
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance54.3%EV+13.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 16:50

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.08Closing chance estimate54.3%Closing EV estimate+13.0%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 6.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance54.3%EV+14.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 5.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate68.8%Closing EV estimate+10.2%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate54.3%Closing EV estimate+14.1%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 6.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance54.3%EV+14.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 4.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate81.6%Closing EV estimate+6.0%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate68.8%Closing EV estimate+10.2%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate54.3%Closing EV estimate+14.1%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 04:48: over 6.5 at 2.25 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 00:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results
Return+49.6%ROI · 7 units staked
Profit+3.47units
W / L5 / 2picks
Avg odds2.08settled picks
Recorded picks71 matches

Around this match

CompetitionMLSHome teamSt.Louis CityAway teamLA GalaxyRefereeJoseph Dickerson

Previous meetings

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