SC Telstar vs ADO Den Haag 2-2 — Eredivisie

EredivisieEredivisie 26/27

SC Telstar

2–2

HT 2–2

ADO Den Haag

Sun 11 Oct·06:30·Matchday 8·BUKO Stadion·Drawn

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

8Corners0
2Cards1
30Shots3
4Shots on target2
8Fouls10
18Throw-ins15
2Offsides2
2Goal kicks21
0Saves2
6Tackles17
4Interceptions10
15Dribbles1

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

Independence, method & limitations

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

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0Free available0VIP available7Recorded Free2Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

06:30SC TelstarvADO Den HaagEredivisie4 won / 5 lost · −0.43u · 9 picks

Corners · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 10.5Actual: 8+1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.007 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 51.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.96
Expected value at recommendation: +2.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.96. Expected value at recommendation: +2.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 10.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.0%EV+2.1%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.0%EV+4.5%
10 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.0%EV+4.5%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.0%EV+4.5%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.0%EV+10.0%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.0%EV+10.0%
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: under 10.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · SC Telstar total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 5.5Actual: 8−1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.918 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 56.9%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.76
Expected value at recommendation: +8.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 56.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.76. Expected value at recommendation: +8.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 5.5
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.9%EV+8.5%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetAt recommendationunder 5.5
At recommendation1.97
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance57.8%EV+13.9%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance60.4%EV+5.8%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.65
No saved recommendation
Model chance60.4%EV-0.3%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance60.4%EV+5.8%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance60.4%EV+17.8%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:51: under 5.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 13:42. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · ADO Den Haag total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 12.5Actual: 10+0.90u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9011 Oct, 02:48

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 55.7%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.80
Expected value at recommendation: +5.8%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 55.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.80. Expected value at recommendation: +5.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 12.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.7%EV+5.8%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 12.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.3%EV-0.4%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 02:48: under 12.5 at 1.90 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 03:09. The original pick remains in the results.

Goals · ADO Den Haag total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 1.5Actual: 2+1.32u on one unit

BetMGM UKrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.328 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 56.8%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.77
Expected value at recommendation: +31.7%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 56.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.77. Expected value at recommendation: +31.7%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationover 1.5
At recommendation2.32
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.8%EV+31.7%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveAt recommendationover 1.5
At recommendation2.15
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.2%EV+7.9%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetAt recommendationover 1.5
At recommendation2.15
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.2%EV+7.9%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.25
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.5%EV+22.7%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.15
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.5%EV+17.3%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.30
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.5%EV+25.5%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:51: over 1.5 at 2.32 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 00:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 28.5Actual: 33+1.35u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.359 Oct, 06:47

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 55.2%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.82
Expected value at recommendation: +29.8%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 55.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.82. Expected value at recommendation: +29.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 28.5
At recommendation2.35
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.2%EV+29.8%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 28.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.62
No saved recommendation
Model chance49.6%EV+29.9%
10 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 28.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.25
No saved recommendation
Model chance49.6%EV+11.5%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 28.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance49.6%EV+4.1%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 06:47: over 28.5 at 2.35 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 00:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · ADO Den Haag total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 12.5Actual: 3−1.00u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.8311 Oct, 03:09

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 77.2%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.30
Expected value at recommendation: +41.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 77.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.30. Expected value at recommendation: +41.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 12.5
At recommendation1.83
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance77.2%EV+41.3%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 12.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.84
No saved recommendation
Model chance77.1%EV+41.8%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 12.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance77.1%EV+38.8%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 12.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance77.1%EV+38.8%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 12.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.05
No saved recommendation
Model chance77.1%EV+58.0%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 03:09: over 12.5 at 1.83 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 10.5Actual: 6−1.00u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.707 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 51.2%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.96
Expected value at recommendation: +38.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.96. Expected value at recommendation: +38.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 10.5
At recommendation2.70
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.2%EV+38.2%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.45
No saved recommendation
Model chance45.4%EV+11.3%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.35
No saved recommendation
Model chance45.4%EV+6.7%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance45.4%EV+24.9%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 10.5 at 2.70 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 7 Oct, 16:32. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · SC Telstar total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 5.5Actual: 4−1.00u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.307 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 50.9%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.97
Expected value at recommendation: +17.0%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.97. Expected value at recommendation: +17.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 5.5
At recommendation2.30
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.9%EV+17.0%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.25
No saved recommendation
Model chance40.0%EV-10.0%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance40.0%EV-16.0%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.47
No saved recommendation
Model chance40.0%EV-1.2%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 5.5 at 2.30 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 7 Oct, 16:32. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · ADO Den Haag total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 4.5Actual: 2−1.00u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.287 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 56.7%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.77
Expected value at recommendation: +29.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 56.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.77. Expected value at recommendation: +29.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation2.28
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.7%EV+29.3%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.3%EV+15.7%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.05
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.3%EV+21.6%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.12
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.3%EV+25.8%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 4.5 at 2.28 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 7 Oct, 16:32. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return−4.8%ROI · 9 units staked

Profit−0.43units

W / L4 / 5picks

Avg odds2.18settled picks

Recorded picks91 matches

Around this match

CompetitionEredivisie Home teamSC Telstar Away teamADO Den Haag RefereeErwin Blank

Match overview

Matches

Corners · match total

Corners · SC Telstar total

Fouls · ADO Den Haag total

Goals · ADO Den Haag total

Shots · match total

Shots · ADO Den Haag total

Shots on target · match total

Shots on target · SC Telstar total

Shots on target · ADO Den Haag total

This match

Around this match

Previous meetings

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