Sassuolo vs Milan 1-1 — Serie A

Serie ASerie A 26/27

Sassuolo

1–1

HT 0–0

Milan

Sun 11 Oct·10:00·Matchday 6·Mapei Stadium, Reggio Emilia·Drawn

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

3Corners5
1Cards4
10Shots11
4Shots on target6
13Fouls11
7Throw-ins17
1Offsides0
3Goal kicks7
5Saves3
22Tackles17
9Interceptions8
4Dribbles6

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

Independence, method & limitations

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

StatsGem is independent. We are not a bookmaker, gambling operator, betting broker or bookmaker affiliate. We accept no bets or gambling deposits, hold no player funds and offer no cash prizes or withdrawals. Subscriptions pay for research access. Bookmaker names and logos identify data sources; they do not imply a partnership or endorsement.

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0Free available0VIP available11Recorded Free4Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

10:00SassuolovMilanSerie A5 won / 10 lost · −4.88u · 15 picks

Cards · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 3.5Actual: 5−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0511 Oct, 03:09

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 59.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.69
Expected value at recommendation: +21.8%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 59.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.69. Expected value at recommendation: +21.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetMGM UKAt recommendationunder 3.5
At recommendation2.28
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance60.4%EV+37.6%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 3.5
At recommendation2.05
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance59.4%EV+21.8%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance60.3%EV+20.7%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance60.3%EV+14.7%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance60.3%EV+14.7%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance60.3%EV+14.7%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance60.3%EV+17.7%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 03:09: under 3.5 at 2.05 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Cards · Sassuolo total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 1.5Actual: 1+1.30u on one unit

Crocobetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.3011 Oct, 00:06

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 51.3%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.95
Expected value at recommendation: +18.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.95. Expected value at recommendation: +18.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation2.15
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.4%EV+10.5%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation2.30
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.3%EV+18.1%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation2.28
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.3%EV+17.1%
LiderbetAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation2.30
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.3%EV+18.1%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation2.57
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.3%EV+32.0%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 00:06: under 1.5 at 2.30 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 03:09. The original pick remains in the results.

Cards · Milan total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 1.5Actual: 4−1.00u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.109 Oct, 13:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 50.2%
Minimum qualifying odds: 2.00
Expected value at recommendation: +5.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 2.00. Expected value at recommendation: +5.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.4%EV+4.8%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation2.20
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.4%EV+15.4%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.2%EV+5.5%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation2.20
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.2%EV+10.5%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation1.92
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.4%EV+0.7%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 13:51: under 1.5 at 2.10 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 03:09. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 8.5Actual: 8−1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.1011 Oct, 03:09

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 58.8%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.71
Expected value at recommendation: +23.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 58.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.71. Expected value at recommendation: +23.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 8.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance58.8%EV+23.5%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance60.1%EV-3.8%
10 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance60.1%EV-3.8%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance60.1%EV-3.8%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.69
No saved recommendation
Model chance60.1%EV+1.6%
16 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 03:09: over 8.5 at 2.10 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 03:32. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Sassuolo total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 3−1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.107 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 63.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.58
Expected value at recommendation: +33.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 63.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.58. Expected value at recommendation: +33.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance63.4%EV+33.1%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetMGM UKAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance63.4%EV+17.3%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance63.4%EV+17.3%
BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.7%EV-15.7%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.7%EV-15.7%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.64
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.7%EV-13.6%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.65
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.7%EV-13.1%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.73
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.7%EV-8.9%
10 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 3.5 at 2.10 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Milan total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 4.5Actual: 5+0.91u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.917 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 53.5%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.87
Expected value at recommendation: +2.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.87. Expected value at recommendation: +2.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.5%EV+2.2%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetMGM UKAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation2.02
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.5%EV+8.1%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.55
No saved recommendation
Model chance66.6%EV+3.2%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.55
No saved recommendation
Model chance66.6%EV+3.2%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.57
No saved recommendation
Model chance66.6%EV+4.6%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance66.6%EV+16.6%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.66
No saved recommendation
Model chance66.6%EV+10.6%
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 4.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 23.5Actual: 24−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.839 Oct, 10:11

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 73.7%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.36
Expected value at recommendation: +34.8%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 73.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.36. Expected value at recommendation: +34.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveClosing estimateunder 23.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.37
No saved recommendation
Model chance80.7%EV+10.5%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 23.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.35
No saved recommendation
Model chance80.7%EV+8.9%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 23.5
At recommendation1.83
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance73.7%EV+34.8%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 23.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.35
No saved recommendation
Model chance80.7%EV+8.9%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 10:11: under 23.5 at 1.83 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 16:11. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · Milan total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 11.5Actual: 11+0.92u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9211 Oct, 00:06

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 68.7%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.46
Expected value at recommendation: +31.8%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 68.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.46. Expected value at recommendation: +31.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

LiderbetClosing estimateunder 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.49
No saved recommendation
Model chance69.8%EV+4.0%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 11.5
At recommendation1.92
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance68.7%EV+31.8%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.50
No saved recommendation
Model chance69.8%EV+4.7%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.50
No saved recommendation
Model chance69.8%EV+4.7%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 00:06: under 11.5 at 1.92 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 02:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Goal kicks · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 16.5Actual: 10−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.2011 Oct, 03:09

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 54.7%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.83
Expected value at recommendation: +20.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 54.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.83. Expected value at recommendation: +20.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveAt recommendationover 16.5
At recommendation2.60
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.7%EV+44.8%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 16.5
At recommendation2.20
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.7%EV+20.3%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 16.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.7%EV+53.3%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 16.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.7%EV+50.5%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 03:09: over 16.5 at 2.20 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Goal kicks · Sassuolo total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 8.5Actual: 3−1.00u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.1011 Oct, 03:09

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 65.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.53
Expected value at recommendation: +37.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 65.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.53. Expected value at recommendation: +37.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveClosing estimateover 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance66.3%EV+32.5%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 8.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance65.4%EV+37.4%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance66.3%EV+39.2%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.87
No saved recommendation
Model chance66.3%EV+23.9%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 03:09: over 8.5 at 2.10 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 28.5Actual: 21−1.00u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.759 Oct, 10:11

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 59.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.69
Expected value at recommendation: +63.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 59.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.69. Expected value at recommendation: +63.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

CrocobetClosing estimateover 28.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.30
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 28.5
At recommendation2.75
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance59.4%EV+63.4%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 28.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.52
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
10 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 28.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.35
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 28.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.40
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 10:11: over 28.5 at 2.75 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 22:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Sassuolo total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 11.5Actual: 10−1.00u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.929 Oct, 10:11

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 60.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.66
Expected value at recommendation: +15.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 60.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.66. Expected value at recommendation: +15.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 11.5
At recommendation1.92
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance60.4%EV+15.9%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance68.1%EV+32.8%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.83
No saved recommendation
Model chance68.1%EV+24.8%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.50
No saved recommendation
Model chance68.1%EV+2.1%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.50
No saved recommendation
Model chance68.1%EV+2.1%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.55
No saved recommendation
Model chance68.1%EV+5.6%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 10:11: over 11.5 at 1.92 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 11:34. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Milan total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 15.5Actual: 11−1.00u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.2811 Oct, 03:09

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 71.9%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.40
Expected value at recommendation: +63.8%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 71.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.40. Expected value at recommendation: +63.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

CrocobetClosing estimateover 15.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.30
No saved recommendation
Model chance73.9%EV+70.1%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 15.5
At recommendation2.28
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance71.9%EV+63.8%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 15.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.28
No saved recommendation
Model chance73.9%EV+68.6%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 15.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.40
No saved recommendation
Model chance73.9%EV+77.5%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 15.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.12
No saved recommendation
Model chance73.9%EV+56.8%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 03:09: over 15.5 at 2.28 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 9.5Actual: 10+1.05u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.059 Oct, 10:11

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 53.3%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.88
Expected value at recommendation: +9.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.88. Expected value at recommendation: +9.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 9.5
At recommendation2.05
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.3%EV+9.2%
10 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance67.4%EV+34.8%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance67.4%EV+34.8%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.03
No saved recommendation
Model chance67.4%EV+36.9%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 10:11: over 9.5 at 2.05 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 22:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · Sassuolo total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 4+0.94u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.949 Oct, 10:11

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 54.8%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.83
Expected value at recommendation: +6.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 54.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.83. Expected value at recommendation: +6.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation1.94
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.8%EV+6.3%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance63.8%EV+14.9%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance63.8%EV+2.2%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.65
No saved recommendation
Model chance63.8%EV+5.3%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.65
No saved recommendation
Model chance63.8%EV+5.3%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance63.8%EV+11.7%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 10:11: over 3.5 at 1.94 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 10:36. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return−32.5%ROI · 15 units staked

Profit−4.88units

W / L5 / 10picks

Avg odds2.10settled picks

Recorded picks151 matches

Around this match

CompetitionSerie A Home teamSassuolo Away teamMilan RefereeFrancesco Fourneau

Match overview

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Cards · match total

Cards · Sassuolo total

Cards · Milan total

Corners · match total

Corners · Sassuolo total

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Fouls · Milan total

Goal kicks · match total

Goal kicks · Sassuolo total

Shots · match total

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Shots on target · match total

Shots on target · Sassuolo total

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