Sassuolo vs Milan 1-1 — Serie A

Serie ASerie A 26/27

Sassuolo

1–1

HT 0–0

Milan

Sun 11 Oct·10:00·Matchday 6·Mapei Stadium, Reggio Emilia·Drawn

OverviewOverview OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

Independence, method & limitations

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

StatsGem is independent. We are not a bookmaker, gambling operator, betting broker or bookmaker affiliate. We accept no bets or gambling deposits, hold no player funds and offer no cash prizes or withdrawals. Subscriptions pay for research access. Bookmaker names and logos identify data sources; they do not imply a partnership or endorsement.

Simulated performance does not predict real-world profit. Models can be wrong, odds can change, and historical results can overstate an apparent advantage. Gambling can cause financial harm and addiction. Get support

Priced Not priced

Bookmaker

Goals

Corners

Cards

Shots

Shots on target

Fouls

Throw-ins

Offsides

Goal kicks

Saves

Tackles

Interceptions

Dribbles

Clearances

Free kicks

Edge

badagbetModel13/15 markets · 1156 pricesGoalsCornersCardsShotsShots on targetFoulsThrow-insOffsidesGoal kicksSavesTacklesInterceptionsDribblesClearancesFree kicks

•

n/a

Crocobet10/15 markets · 388 pricesGoalsCornersCardsShotsShots on targetFoulsThrow-insOffsidesGoal kicksSavesTacklesInterceptionsDribblesClearancesFree kicks

•

12.0

Liderbet10/15 markets · 385 pricesGoalsCornersCardsShotsShots on targetFoulsThrow-insOffsidesGoal kicksSavesTacklesInterceptionsDribblesClearancesFree kicks

•

10.1

Betlive9/15 markets · 518 pricesGoalsCornersCardsShotsShots on targetFoulsThrow-insOffsidesGoal kicksSavesTacklesInterceptionsDribblesClearancesFree kicks

•

12.0

Betlive

9 of 15 markets · 518 prices

Goals

Total goalsO/U

	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	8.00
1	1.03	7.60
1.5	1.17	4.00
2	1.26	3.30
2.5	1.60	2.10
3	1.95	1.70
3.5	2.40	1.46
4	3.55	1.22
4.5	4.10	1.17
5	6.20	1.06
5.5	6.60	1.05

Team total goals· Sassuolo

	Over	Under
0.5	1.32	2.90
1	1.65	1.95
1.5	2.50	1.43
2	4.50	1.11
2.5	5.40	1.09
3.5	9.00	1.01

Team total goals· Milan

	Over	Under
0.5	1.14	4.50
1	1.20	3.50
1.5	1.70	1.95
2	2.30	1.47
2.5	3.15	1.28
3.5	6.00	1.07
4.5	9.00	1.01

Corners

Most corners1X2

	Sassuolo	Draw	Milan
	2.70	7.80	1.60

Total cornersO/U

	Over	Under
4.5	1.01	7.70
5.5	1.17	3.80
6.5	1.19	3.55
7.5	1.36	2.60
8.5	1.60	2.00
9.5	2.00	1.60
10.5	2.55	1.38
11.5	3.40	1.21
12.5	4.85	1.10
13.5	6.80	1.03

Corners handicap

	Sassuolo	Milan
-0.5/+0.5	2.40	1.42
+0.5/-0.5	2.05	1.60
+1.5/-1.5	1.65	1.90
+2.5/-2.5	1.42	2.40

Team total corners· Sassuolo

	Over	Under
1.5	1.06	5.80
2.5	1.23	3.25
3.5	1.60	2.00
4.5	2.25	1.48
5.5	3.50	1.20
6.5	5.70	1.06

Team total corners· Milan

	Over	Under
2.5	1.09	4.85
3.5	1.23	3.25
4.5	1.55	2.15
5.5	2.05	1.60
6.5	2.90	1.29
7.5	4.50	1.11

Cards

Most cards1X2

	Sassuolo	Draw	Milan
	2.25	3.80	2.45

Total cardsO/U

	Over	Under
1.5	1.07	5.60
2.5	1.26	3.05
3	1.36	2.60
3.5	1.65	1.90
4	2.00	1.60
4.5	2.40	1.41
5	3.20	1.24
5.5	3.75	1.17
6.5	4.80	1.10

Cards handicap

	Sassuolo	Milan
-1/+1	2.75	1.33
0/0	1.70	1.90

Team total cards· Sassuolo

	Over	Under
1.5	1.50	2.15
2	1.95	1.65
2.5	2.45	1.40

Team total cards· Milan

	Over	Under
1.5	1.60	2.00
2	2.15	1.50
2.5	2.75	1.32

Shots on target

Most shots on target1X2

	Sassuolo	Draw	Milan
	3.25	6.20	1.48

Total shots on targetO/U

	Over	Under
7.5	1.34	2.70
8	1.42	2.40
8.5	1.60	2.00
9	1.80	1.80
9.5	2.00	1.60
10	2.30	1.45
10.5	2.55	1.37

Shots on target handicap

	Sassuolo	Milan
0/0	2.60	1.36
+1/-1	1.90	1.70
+1.5/-1.5	1.70	1.90
+2/-2	1.50	2.15
+2.5/-2.5	1.42	2.40
+3/-3	1.27	3.00

Team total shots on target· Sassuolo

	Over	Under
3	1.34	2.70
3.5	1.60	2.00
4	1.95	1.65
4.5	2.30	1.45

Team total shots on target· Milan

	Over	Under
4.5	1.50	2.15
5	1.75	1.85
5.5	2.00	1.60
6	2.55	1.38

Shots on target double chanceDC

	Sassuolo or draw	Draw or Milan
	2.20	1.22

Shots

Most shots1X2

	Sassuolo	Draw	Milan
	2.60	8.00	1.55

Total shotsO/U

	Over	Under
23.5	1.30	2.85
24	1.33	2.75
24.5	1.42	2.40
25	1.48	2.25
25.5	1.55	2.05
26	1.65	1.95
26.5	1.80	1.80
27	1.90	1.70
27.5	2.00	1.60
28	2.20	1.50
28.5	2.35	1.44
29	2.65	1.35
29.5	2.75	1.32

Shots handicap

	Sassuolo	Milan
-1.5/+1.5	2.85	1.30
-1/+1	2.70	1.34
0/0	2.25	1.48
+1/-1	1.90	1.70
+1.5/-1.5	1.80	1.80
+2/-2	1.70	1.90
+2.5/-2.5	1.55	2.05
+3/-3	1.48	2.25
+3.5/-3.5	1.42	2.40
+4/-4	1.34	2.70
+4.5/-4.5	1.30	2.85

Team total shots· Sassuolo

	Over	Under
10.5	1.32	2.75
11	1.38	2.55
11.5	1.50	2.15
12	1.65	1.95
12.5	1.80	1.80
13	2.00	1.60
13.5	2.20	1.50
14	2.55	1.37
14.5	2.80	1.31

Team total shots· Milan

	Over	Under
12	1.30	2.85
12.5	1.42	2.40
13	1.50	2.20
13.5	1.65	1.95
14	1.80	1.80
14.5	2.00	1.60
15	2.25	1.48
15.5	2.40	1.42
16	2.85	1.30

Fouls

Most fouls1X2

	Sassuolo	Draw	Milan
	1.95	8.00	1.95

Total foulsO/U

	Over	Under
18.5	1.29	2.90
19	1.32	2.75
19.5	1.42	2.40
20	1.48	2.25
20.5	1.60	2.00
21	1.70	1.90
21.5	1.85	1.75
22	2.00	1.60
22.5	2.15	1.50
23	2.40	1.42
23.5	2.55	1.37
24	2.90	1.29
24.5	3.05	1.26
25	2.60	1.36
25.5	2.75	1.32

Fouls handicap

	Sassuolo	Milan
-3/+3	3.05	1.26
-2.5/+2.5	2.75	1.33
-2/+2	2.55	1.37
-1.5/+1.5	2.25	1.48
-1/+1	2.10	1.55
0/0	1.80	1.80
+1/-1	1.55	2.10
+1.5/-1.5	1.48	2.25
+2/-2	1.37	2.55
+2.5/-2.5	1.33	2.75
+3/-3	1.26	3.05

Team total fouls· Sassuolo

	Over	Under
9.5	1.48	2.25
10	1.55	2.05
10.5	1.75	1.85
11	2.00	1.60
11.5	2.20	1.50
12	2.55	1.37
12.5	2.30	1.45

Team total fouls· Milan

	Over	Under
9.5	1.48	2.25
10	1.55	2.05
10.5	1.75	1.85
11	2.00	1.60
11.5	2.20	1.50
12	2.55	1.37
12.5	2.30	1.45

Offsides

Most offsides1X2

	Sassuolo	Draw	Milan
	1.27	4.70	7.00

Total offsidesO/U

	Over	Under
2.5	1.44	2.35
3	1.65	1.95
3.5	2.00	1.60
4	2.75	1.33

Offsides handicap

	Sassuolo	Milan
-2.5/+2.5	2.75	1.32
-2/+2	2.30	1.45
-1.5/+1.5	1.80	1.80
-1/+1	1.45	2.30

Team total offsides· Sassuolo

	Over	Under
1.5	1.34	2.70
2	1.55	2.10
2.5	2.00	1.60
3	2.75	1.33

Team total offsides· Milan

	Over	Under
0.5	1.55	2.05
1	2.40	1.42

Offsides double chanceDC

	Sassuolo or Milan	Draw or Milan
	1.05	3.05

Throw-ins

Most throw-ins1X2

	Sassuolo	Draw	Milan
	1.95	9.50	1.95

Total throw-insO/U

	Over	Under
32.5	1.44	2.35
33.5	1.55	2.05
34.5	1.75	1.85
35.5	1.95	1.65
36.5	2.25	1.48
37.5	2.55	1.37

Throw-ins handicap

	Sassuolo	Milan
-2.5/+2.5	2.45	1.40
-2/+2	2.35	1.44
-1.5/+1.5	2.15	1.50
-1/+1	2.00	1.60
0/0	1.80	1.80
+1/-1	1.60	2.00
+1.5/-1.5	1.50	2.15
+2/-2	1.44	2.35
+2.5/-2.5	1.40	2.45

Team total throw-ins· Sassuolo

	Over	Under
15.5	1.40	2.45
16	1.48	2.25
16.5	1.60	2.00
17	1.70	1.90
17.5	1.85	1.75
18	2.00	1.60
18.5	2.20	1.50
19	2.55	1.38

Team total throw-ins· Milan

	Over	Under
15.5	1.40	2.45
16	1.48	2.25
16.5	1.60	2.00
17	1.70	1.90
17.5	1.85	1.75
18	2.00	1.60
18.5	2.20	1.50
19	2.55	1.38

Goal kicks

Most goal kicks1X2

	Sassuolo	Draw	Milan
	1.42	7.70	3.20

Total goal kicksO/U

	Over	Under
12.5	1.32	2.75
13	1.37	2.55
13.5	1.50	2.20
14	1.60	2.00
14.5	1.80	1.80
15	1.95	1.65
15.5	2.10	1.55
16	2.40	1.42
16.5	2.60	1.36
17	3.05	1.26

Goal kicks handicap

	Sassuolo	Milan
-4/+4	3.00	1.27
-3.5/+3.5	2.55	1.37
-3/+3	2.35	1.44
-2.5/+2.5	2.05	1.55
-2/+2	1.90	1.70
-1.5/+1.5	1.75	1.85
-1/+1	1.55	2.05
0/0	1.35	2.65

Team total goal kicks· Sassuolo

	Over	Under
6.5	1.31	2.80
7	1.39	2.50
7.5	1.55	2.05
8	1.75	1.85
8.5	2.00	1.60
9	2.30	1.45
9.5	2.60	1.36

Team total goal kicks· Milan

	Over	Under
5.5	1.48	2.25
6	1.60	2.00
6.5	1.90	1.70
7	2.20	1.50
7.5	2.50	1.39

Superbet8/15 markets · 306 pricesGoalsCornersCardsShotsShots on targetFoulsThrow-insOffsidesGoal kicksSavesTacklesInterceptionsDribblesClearancesFree kicks

•

7.8

Kambi7/15 markets · 195 pricesGoalsCornersCardsShotsShots on targetFoulsThrow-insOffsidesGoal kicksSavesTacklesInterceptionsDribblesClearancesFree kicks

•

11.2

Bet3655/15 markets · 60 pricesGoalsCornersCardsShotsShots on targetFoulsThrow-insOffsidesGoal kicksSavesTacklesInterceptionsDribblesClearancesFree kicks

•

6.5

BetMGM UK5/15 markets · 24 pricesGoalsCornersCardsShotsShots on targetFoulsThrow-insOffsidesGoal kicksSavesTacklesInterceptionsDribblesClearancesFree kicks

•

9.4

Paddy Power3/15 markets · 42 pricesGoalsCornersCardsShotsShots on targetFoulsThrow-insOffsidesGoal kicksSavesTacklesInterceptionsDribblesClearancesFree kicks

•

8.2

Betfair Exchange1/15 markets · 58 pricesGoalsCornersCardsShotsShots on targetFoulsThrow-insOffsidesGoal kicksSavesTacklesInterceptionsDribblesClearancesFree kicks

•

1.6

Pinnacle1/15 markets · 6 pricesGoalsCornersCardsShotsShots on targetFoulsThrow-insOffsidesGoal kicksSavesTacklesInterceptionsDribblesClearancesFree kicks

•

3.7

Around this match

CompetitionSerie A Home teamSassuolo Away teamMilan

Betlive

Goals

Corners

Cards

Shots on target

Shots

Fouls

Offsides

Throw-ins

Goal kicks

Around this match

Previous meetings

On this page

This category

StatsGem

Bro VIP · Beta

Football intelligence, with your VIP.

What are we exploring, bro?