RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven — UEFA Champions League

UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 26/27

RB Leipzig

1–0

HT 0–0

PSV Eindhoven

Tue 13 Oct··Matchday 2·Red Bull Arena, Leipzig·RB Leipzig won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time
  • 6Corners12
  • 1Cards2
  • 19Shots11
  • 7Shots on target5
  • 13Fouls12
  • 19Throw-ins15
  • 0Offsides6
  • 4Goal kicks6
  • 5Saves6
  • 10Tackles19
  • 8Interceptions9
  • 8Dribbles9
OddsOddsStatsStatsPredictionsPicksRefereeRefereeCoachCoach
0Free available0VIP available7Recorded Free6Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match
RB LeipzigvPSV EindhovenUEFA Champions League9 won / 4 lost · +5.28u · 13 picks

Cards · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 3.5Actual: 3+1.15u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.15
Closing odds2.20
Odds up+0.05
Model chance at recommendation
53.1%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.89
Expected value at recommendation
+14.1%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.89. Expected value at recommendation: +14.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 3.5
    At recommendation2.15
    Closing odds2.20
    Odds up+0.05
    Model chance53.1%EV+14.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 12:53

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds16.00Closing chance estimate3.5%Closing EV estimate−44.0%margin—Unmeasured estimate
    • under 1.5odds6.60Closing chance estimate14.8%Closing EV estimate−2.5%margin9.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds3.50Closing chance estimate33.4%Closing EV estimate+16.8%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate54.2%Closing EV estimate+19.3%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.58Closing chance estimate72.2%Closing EV estimate+14.1%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate85.0%Closing EV estimate+7.9%margin9.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate92.7%Closing EV estimate+3.8%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate96.8%Closing EV estimate+0.6%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • Bet365Closing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.20
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance54.2%EV+19.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 12:15

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate54.2%Closing EV estimate+19.3%margin7.4%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetMGM UKClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.08
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance54.2%EV+12.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 12:15

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.08Closing chance estimate54.2%Closing EV estimate+12.8%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance54.2%EV+13.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 17:00

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds6.00Closing chance estimate14.8%Closing EV estimate−11.3%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds3.40Closing chance estimate33.4%Closing EV estimate+13.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate54.2%Closing EV estimate+13.9%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate72.2%Closing EV estimate+8.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.23Closing chance estimate85.0%Closing EV estimate+4.5%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance54.2%EV+13.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 08:57

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds6.00Closing chance estimate14.8%Closing EV estimate−11.3%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds3.40Closing chance estimate33.4%Closing EV estimate+13.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate54.2%Closing EV estimate+13.9%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate72.2%Closing EV estimate+8.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.23Closing chance estimate85.0%Closing EV estimate+4.5%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.08
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance54.2%EV+12.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 12:54

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate33.4%Closing EV estimate+10.1%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.08Closing chance estimate54.2%Closing EV estimate+12.8%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.53Closing chance estimate72.2%Closing EV estimate+10.5%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate85.0%Closing EV estimate+7.9%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance54.2%EV+13.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 17:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds6.00Closing chance estimate14.8%Closing EV estimate−11.3%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds3.40Closing chance estimate33.4%Closing EV estimate+13.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate54.2%Closing EV estimate+13.9%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate72.2%Closing EV estimate+8.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.23Closing chance estimate85.0%Closing EV estimate+4.5%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 13:03: under 3.5 at 2.15 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 12 Oct, 00:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · RB Leipzig total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 5.5Actual: 6+0.92u on one unit
BetMGM UKrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.92
Closing odds1.87
Odds down−0.05
Model chance at recommendation
52.8%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.90
Expected value at recommendation
+1.3%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.90. Expected value at recommendation: +1.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationover 5.5
    At recommendation1.92
    Closing odds1.87
    Odds down−0.05
    Model chance52.8%EV+1.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 12:50

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 5.5odds1.87Closing chance estimate54.4%Closing EV estimate+1.7%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiAt recommendationover 5.5
    At recommendation1.90
    Closing odds1.87
    Odds down−0.03
    Model chance53.9%EV+2.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 12:54

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate82.6%Closing EV estimate+0.8%margin9.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.48Closing chance estimate69.4%Closing EV estimate+2.7%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds1.87Closing chance estimate54.4%Closing EV estimate+1.7%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds2.48Closing chance estimate39.7%Closing EV estimate−1.6%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate27.0%Closing EV estimate−10.8%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds4.50Closing chance estimate17.3%Closing EV estimate−22.3%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds5.60Closing chance estimate10.4%Closing EV estimate−41.9%margin9.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetAt recommendationover 5.5
    At recommendation1.92
    Closing odds1.92
    Unchanged
    Model chance53.9%EV+3.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 00:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.00Closing chance estimate99.6%Closing EV estimate−0.2%margin2.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate97.5%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin5.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate92.2%Closing EV estimate+1.4%margin6.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate82.6%Closing EV estimate+3.3%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.51Closing chance estimate69.4%Closing EV estimate+4.8%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.92Closing chance estimate54.4%Closing EV estimate+4.4%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds2.57Closing chance estimate39.7%Closing EV estimate+2.0%margin6.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds3.60Closing chance estimate27.0%Closing EV estimate−2.7%margin7.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds5.10Closing chance estimate17.3%Closing EV estimate−11.9%margin7.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds7.30Closing chance estimate10.4%Closing EV estimate−24.2%margin7.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds11.00Closing chance estimate5.9%Closing EV estimate−35.1%margin6.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.91
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance54.4%EV+3.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 12:15

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.91Closing chance estimate54.4%Closing EV estimate+3.8%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance54.4%EV-2.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 05:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate82.6%Closing EV estimate−5.0%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.41Closing chance estimate69.4%Closing EV estimate−2.1%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate54.4%Closing EV estimate−2.1%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate39.7%Closing EV estimate−2.8%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds3.60Closing chance estimate27.0%Closing EV estimate−2.7%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance54.4%EV-2.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 05:03

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate82.6%Closing EV estimate−5.0%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate69.4%Closing EV estimate−2.8%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate54.4%Closing EV estimate−2.1%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate39.7%Closing EV estimate−2.8%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds3.70Closing chance estimate27.0%Closing EV estimate+0.0%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance54.4%EV-2.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 05:03

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate82.6%Closing EV estimate−5.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.39Closing chance estimate69.4%Closing EV estimate−3.5%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate54.4%Closing EV estimate−2.1%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate39.7%Closing EV estimate−0.8%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds3.70Closing chance estimate27.0%Closing EV estimate+0.0%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance54.4%EV+6.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 12:50

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.06Closing chance estimate92.2%Closing EV estimate−2.6%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate82.6%Closing EV estimate+1.0%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate69.4%Closing EV estimate+4.1%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate54.4%Closing EV estimate+6.0%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 04:06: over 5.5 at 1.92 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 10:36. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · RB Leipzig total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 5.5Actual: 6−1.00u on one unit
Kambirecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds1.81
Odds down−0.19
Model chance at recommendation
58.0%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.73
Expected value at recommendation
+15.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 58.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.73. Expected value at recommendation: +15.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetMGM UKAt recommendationunder 5.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds1.81
    Odds down−0.19
    Model chance55.6%EV+11.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 12:50

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 5.5odds1.81Closing chance estimate45.6%Closing EV estimate−17.4%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 5.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds1.81
    Odds down−0.19
    Model chance58.0%EV+15.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 12:54

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 3.5odds3.65Closing chance estimate17.4%Closing EV estimate−36.6%margin9.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate30.6%Closing EV estimate−25.1%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.81Closing chance estimate45.6%Closing EV estimate−17.4%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.46Closing chance estimate60.3%Closing EV estimate−11.9%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate73.0%Closing EV estimate−6.6%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5odds1.16Closing chance estimate82.7%Closing EV estimate−4.0%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 9.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate89.6%Closing EV estimate−2.3%margin9.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • Bet365Closing estimateunder 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance45.6%EV-17.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 12:15

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate45.6%Closing EV estimate−17.9%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance45.6%EV-17.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 05:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 3.5odds3.95Closing chance estimate17.4%Closing EV estimate−31.4%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate30.6%Closing EV estimate−25.1%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate45.6%Closing EV estimate−17.9%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.41Closing chance estimate60.3%Closing EV estimate−14.9%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds1.19Closing chance estimate73.0%Closing EV estimate−13.2%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance45.6%EV-17.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 05:03

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 3.5odds4.00Closing chance estimate17.4%Closing EV estimate−30.6%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate30.6%Closing EV estimate−25.1%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate45.6%Closing EV estimate−17.9%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate60.3%Closing EV estimate−15.5%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate73.0%Closing EV estimate−13.9%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance45.6%EV-17.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 05:03

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 3.5odds4.10Closing chance estimate17.4%Closing EV estimate−28.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate30.6%Closing EV estimate−23.6%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate45.6%Closing EV estimate−17.9%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.39Closing chance estimate60.3%Closing EV estimate−16.1%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds1.17Closing chance estimate73.0%Closing EV estimate−14.6%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance45.6%EV-20.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 12:50

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds7.50Closing chance estimate7.8%Closing EV estimate−41.5%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds3.80Closing chance estimate17.4%Closing EV estimate−34.0%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate30.6%Closing EV estimate−26.6%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate45.6%Closing EV estimate−20.1%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.82
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance45.6%EV-17.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 00:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds45.00Closing chance estimate0.4%Closing EV estimate−81.7%margin2.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 1.5odds13.00Closing chance estimate2.5%Closing EV estimate−68.0%margin5.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds6.40Closing chance estimate7.8%Closing EV estimate−50.1%margin6.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds3.70Closing chance estimate17.4%Closing EV estimate−35.8%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate30.6%Closing EV estimate−25.1%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.82Closing chance estimate45.6%Closing EV estimate−17.0%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.47Closing chance estimate60.3%Closing EV estimate−11.3%margin6.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate73.0%Closing EV estimate−8.1%margin7.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate82.7%Closing EV estimate−5.7%margin7.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 9.5odds1.07Closing chance estimate89.6%Closing EV estimate−4.1%margin7.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate94.1%Closing EV estimate−3.1%margin6.2%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: under 5.5 at 2.00 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 7 Oct, 16:32. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · PSV Eindhoven total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 11.5Actual: 12−1.00u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.88
Closing odds1.92
Odds up+0.04
Model chance at recommendation
60.8%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.65
Expected value at recommendation
+14.3%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 60.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.65. Expected value at recommendation: +14.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 11.5
    At recommendation1.88
    Closing odds1.92
    Odds up+0.04
    Model chance60.8%EV+14.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 12:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 11.5odds1.92Closing chance estimate68.0%Closing EV estimate+30.6%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate76.4%Closing EV estimate+41.3%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 11.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance68.0%EV+25.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 01:00

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 10.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate58.3%Closing EV estimate+34.0%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate68.0%Closing EV estimate+25.8%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate76.4%Closing EV estimate+18.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 11.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance68.0%EV+22.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 09:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 9.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate47.5%Closing EV estimate+40.2%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate58.3%Closing EV estimate+28.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate68.0%Closing EV estimate+22.4%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate76.4%Closing EV estimate+14.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate83.2%Closing EV estimate+8.2%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 14.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate88.5%Closing EV estimate+1.8%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 11.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance68.0%EV+32.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 12:52

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 10.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate58.3%Closing EV estimate+39.8%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate68.0%Closing EV estimate+32.6%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate76.4%Closing EV estimate+22.2%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 12 Oct, 00:06: under 11.5 at 1.88 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 12 Oct, 02:41. The original pick remains in the results.

Goal kicks · RB Leipzig total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 6.5Actual: 4+1.10u on one unit
Betliverecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds2.10
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
59.3%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.69
Expected value at recommendation
+24.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 59.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.69. Expected value at recommendation: +24.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 6.5
    At recommendation2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Unchanged
    Model chance59.3%EV+24.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 01:00

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate60.9%Closing EV estimate+28.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate72.6%Closing EV estimate+19.8%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate81.8%Closing EV estimate+10.4%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetAt recommendationunder 6.5
    At recommendation2.30
    Closing odds2.30
    Unchanged
    Model chance60.4%EV+39.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 09:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 5.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate47.3%Closing EV estimate+56.1%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.30Closing chance estimate60.9%Closing EV estimate+40.2%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate72.6%Closing EV estimate+27.0%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate81.8%Closing EV estimate+14.5%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 9.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate88.6%Closing EV estimate+6.3%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetAt recommendationunder 6.5
    At recommendation2.25
    Closing odds2.25
    Unchanged
    Model chance59.3%EV+33.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 12:52

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.25Closing chance estimate60.9%Closing EV estimate+37.1%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate72.6%Closing EV estimate+37.9%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate81.8%Closing EV estimate+22.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 6.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.83
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance60.9%EV+11.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 03:03

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.83Closing chance estimate60.9%Closing EV estimate+11.5%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 04:06: under 6.5 at 2.10 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 11:12. The original pick remains in the results.

Offsides · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 6+1.00u on one unit
Liderbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds1.90
Odds down−0.10
Model chance at recommendation
51.9%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.93
Expected value at recommendation
+3.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.93. Expected value at recommendation: +3.7%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • CrocobetAt recommendationover 3.5
    At recommendation1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Unchanged
    Model chance51.9%EV+1.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 09:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate88.2%Closing EV estimate−3.0%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate71.9%Closing EV estimate+0.6%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate52.1%Closing EV estimate+1.6%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate33.8%Closing EV estimate+4.7%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds5.25Closing chance estimate19.8%Closing EV estimate+3.9%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds1.90
    Odds down−0.10
    Model chance51.9%EV+3.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 03:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate88.2%Closing EV estimate−3.0%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds1.39Closing chance estimate71.9%Closing EV estimate−0.1%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate52.1%Closing EV estimate−1.0%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate33.8%Closing EV estimate−3.8%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds4.85Closing chance estimate19.8%Closing EV estimate−4.0%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds8.25Closing chance estimate10.6%Closing EV estimate−12.6%margin—Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance52.1%EV-3.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 01:00

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.34Closing chance estimate71.9%Closing EV estimate−3.7%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate52.1%Closing EV estimate−3.7%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate33.8%Closing EV estimate−7.2%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.56
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance52.1%EV-18.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 12:54

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.56Closing chance estimate52.1%Closing EV estimate−18.8%margin—Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds2.28Closing chance estimate33.8%Closing EV estimate−23.0%margin—Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 01:36: over 3.5 at 2.00 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 03:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Saves · RB Leipzig total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 2.5Actual: 5+0.90u on one unit
Crocobetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds1.90
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
54.4%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.84
Expected value at recommendation
+3.4%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 54.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.84. Expected value at recommendation: +3.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationover 2.5
    At recommendation1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Unchanged
    Model chance54.4%EV+3.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 08:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate77.7%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate55.1%Closing EV estimate+4.7%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate33.6%Closing EV estimate+4.2%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.64
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance55.1%EV-9.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 12:54

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.64Closing chance estimate55.1%Closing EV estimate−9.6%margin—Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate33.6%Closing EV estimate−17.6%margin—Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance55.1%EV+7.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 03:35

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1.5odds1.34Closing chance estimate77.7%Closing EV estimate+4.2%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate55.1%Closing EV estimate+7.5%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 08:32: over 2.5 at 1.90 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 11:12. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 29.5Actual: 30+0.91u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds1.80
Odds down−0.11
Model chance at recommendation
60.2%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.67
Expected value at recommendation
+14.8%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 60.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.67. Expected value at recommendation: +14.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 29.5
    At recommendation1.91
    Closing odds1.80
    Odds down−0.11
    Model chance60.2%EV+14.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 12:15

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 29.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate51.4%Closing EV estimate−7.4%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 29.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance51.4%EV-10.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 12:53

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 25.5odds1.21Closing chance estimate75.0%Closing EV estimate−9.3%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 26.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate69.5%Closing EV estimate−9.6%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 27.5odds1.41Closing chance estimate63.7%Closing EV estimate−10.2%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 28.5odds1.56Closing chance estimate57.6%Closing EV estimate−10.1%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 29.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate51.4%Closing EV estimate−10.0%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 30.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate45.3%Closing EV estimate−9.3%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 31.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate39.4%Closing EV estimate−9.3%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 32.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate33.8%Closing EV estimate−8.7%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 33.5odds3.15Closing chance estimate28.6%Closing EV estimate−9.9%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 29.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.55
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance51.4%EV-20.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 02:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 27.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate63.7%Closing EV estimate−17.2%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 28.5odds1.42Closing chance estimate57.6%Closing EV estimate−18.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 29.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.55Closing chance estimate51.4%Closing EV estimate−20.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 30.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate45.3%Closing EV estimate−20.7%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 31.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate39.4%Closing EV estimate−23.1%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 32.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate33.8%Closing EV estimate−23.9%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 33.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate28.6%Closing EV estimate−25.6%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 34.5odds3.05Closing chance estimate23.9%Closing EV estimate−27.1%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 29.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.55
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance51.4%EV-20.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 09:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 26.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate69.5%Closing EV estimate−18.0%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 27.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate63.7%Closing EV estimate−18.5%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 28.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate57.6%Closing EV estimate−19.3%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 29.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.55Closing chance estimate51.4%Closing EV estimate−20.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 30.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate45.3%Closing EV estimate−20.7%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 31.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate39.4%Closing EV estimate−23.1%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 32.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate33.8%Closing EV estimate−25.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 33.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate28.6%Closing EV estimate−24.2%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 34.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate23.9%Closing EV estimate−26.0%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateover 29.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.55
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance51.4%EV-20.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 12:54

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 26.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate69.5%Closing EV estimate−13.1%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 27.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate63.7%Closing EV estimate−17.2%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 28.5odds1.42Closing chance estimate57.6%Closing EV estimate−18.2%margin10.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 29.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.55Closing chance estimate51.4%Closing EV estimate−20.3%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 30.5odds1.72Closing chance estimate45.3%Closing EV estimate−22.0%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 31.5odds1.93Closing chance estimate39.4%Closing EV estimate−23.9%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 32.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate33.8%Closing EV estimate−25.6%margin10.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 33.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate28.6%Closing EV estimate−28.5%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 34.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate23.9%Closing EV estimate−30.7%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 29.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.55
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance51.4%EV-20.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 01:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 26.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate69.5%Closing EV estimate−18.0%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 27.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate63.7%Closing EV estimate−18.5%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 28.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate57.6%Closing EV estimate−19.3%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 29.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.55Closing chance estimate51.4%Closing EV estimate−20.3%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 30.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate45.3%Closing EV estimate−20.7%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 31.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate39.4%Closing EV estimate−23.1%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 32.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate33.8%Closing EV estimate−23.9%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 33.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate28.6%Closing EV estimate−22.7%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 34.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate23.9%Closing EV estimate−21.2%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 13:08: over 29.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 19:47. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · RB Leipzig total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 18.5Actual: 19+1.20u on one unit
Crocobetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.20
Closing odds2.20
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
55.5%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.81
Expected value at recommendation
+22.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 55.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.81. Expected value at recommendation: +22.2%.

At recommendation, Crocobet’s overall market record had 136 settled picksand +22.6% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetliveAt recommendationover 18.5
    At recommendation2.20
    Closing odds2.20
    Unchanged
    Model chance56.4%EV+24.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 02:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 14.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate79.4%Closing EV estimate+4.9%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate74.2%Closing EV estimate+3.9%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 16.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate68.5%Closing EV estimate+9.6%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 17.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate62.5%Closing EV estimate+15.5%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 18.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate56.2%Closing EV estimate+23.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 19.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate49.9%Closing EV estimate+34.6%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationover 18.5
    At recommendation2.20
    Closing odds2.20
    Unchanged
    Model chance55.5%EV+22.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 03:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 13.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate84.2%Closing EV estimate−0.7%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate79.4%Closing EV estimate−3.1%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate74.2%Closing EV estimate+3.9%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 16.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate68.5%Closing EV estimate+13.0%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 17.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate62.5%Closing EV estimate+18.7%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 18.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate56.2%Closing EV estimate+23.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 19.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate49.9%Closing EV estimate+37.1%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 20.5odds3.50Closing chance estimate43.6%Closing EV estimate+52.5%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetAt recommendationover 18.5
    At recommendation2.35
    Closing odds2.35
    Unchanged
    Model chance56.7%EV+33.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 12:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 13.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate84.2%Closing EV estimate+6.0%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate79.4%Closing EV estimate+9.6%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate74.2%Closing EV estimate+15.0%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 16.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate68.5%Closing EV estimate+19.8%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 17.5odds2.02Closing chance estimate62.5%Closing EV estimate+26.2%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 18.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.35Closing chance estimate56.2%Closing EV estimate+32.1%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 19.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate49.9%Closing EV estimate+42.1%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateover 18.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.05
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance56.2%EV+15.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 12:54

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 15.5odds1.43Closing chance estimate74.2%Closing EV estimate+6.1%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 16.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate68.5%Closing EV estimate+9.6%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 17.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate62.5%Closing EV estimate+12.4%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 18.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate56.2%Closing EV estimate+15.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 19.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate49.9%Closing EV estimate+17.2%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 10:15: over 18.5 at 2.20 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 12:48. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · RB Leipzig total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 16.5Actual: 19−1.00u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds2.00
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
52.0%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.93
Expected value at recommendation
+4.0%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.93. Expected value at recommendation: +4.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 16.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Unchanged
    Model chance52.0%EV+4.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 12:24

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 16.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate31.5%Closing EV estimate−37.0%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetMGM UKClosing estimateunder 16.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.05
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance31.5%EV-35.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 12:50

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 16.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate31.5%Closing EV estimate−35.4%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 16.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance31.5%EV-37.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 02:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 14.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate20.6%Closing EV estimate−43.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 15.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate25.8%Closing EV estimate−36.7%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 16.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate31.5%Closing EV estimate−37.0%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 17.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate37.5%Closing EV estimate−34.3%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 18.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate43.8%Closing EV estimate−34.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 19.5odds1.34Closing chance estimate50.1%Closing EV estimate−32.8%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 16.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance31.5%EV-38.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 03:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 13.5odds3.70Closing chance estimate15.8%Closing EV estimate−41.4%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 14.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate20.6%Closing EV estimate−32.1%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 15.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate25.8%Closing EV estimate−36.7%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 16.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate31.5%Closing EV estimate−38.5%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 17.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate37.5%Closing EV estimate−36.2%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 18.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate43.8%Closing EV estimate−34.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 19.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate50.1%Closing EV estimate−33.3%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 20.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate56.4%Closing EV estimate−32.3%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateunder 16.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.05
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance31.5%EV-35.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 12:54

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 15.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate25.8%Closing EV estimate−38.0%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 16.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate31.5%Closing EV estimate−35.4%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 17.5odds1.79Closing chance estimate37.5%Closing EV estimate−32.8%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 18.5odds1.58Closing chance estimate43.8%Closing EV estimate−30.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 19.5odds1.46Closing chance estimate50.1%Closing EV estimate−26.8%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 16.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance31.5%EV-38.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 02:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 16.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate31.5%Closing EV estimate−38.5%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 17.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate37.5%Closing EV estimate−38.0%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 16.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.97
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance31.5%EV-37.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 12:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 13.5odds3.50Closing chance estimate15.8%Closing EV estimate−44.5%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 14.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate20.6%Closing EV estimate−42.4%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 15.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate25.8%Closing EV estimate−40.6%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 16.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.97Closing chance estimate31.5%Closing EV estimate−37.9%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 17.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate37.5%Closing EV estimate−36.2%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 18.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate43.8%Closing EV estimate−34.3%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 19.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate50.1%Closing EV estimate−31.3%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 12 Oct, 16:42: under 16.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 01:36. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · PSV Eindhoven total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 13.5Actual: 11−1.00u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance at recommendation
61.7%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.63
Expected value at recommendation
+23.4%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 61.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.63. Expected value at recommendation: +23.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 13.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance61.7%EV+23.4%
  • KambiAt recommendationover 13.5
    At recommendation2.10
    Closing odds2.00
    Odds down−0.10
    Model chance61.7%EV+29.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 12:54

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 11.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate49.3%Closing EV estimate−26.1%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds1.72Closing chance estimate38.7%Closing EV estimate−33.4%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate29.2%Closing EV estimate−41.6%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds2.38Closing chance estimate21.2%Closing EV estimate−49.6%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 13.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance29.2%EV-41.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 12:50

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 13.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate29.2%Closing EV estimate−41.6%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 13.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance29.2%EV-45.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 02:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 11.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate49.3%Closing EV estimate−33.5%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate38.7%Closing EV estimate−40.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate29.2%Closing EV estimate−45.9%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate21.2%Closing EV estimate−52.3%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate14.8%Closing EV estimate−58.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 13.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance29.2%EV-47.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 03:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 10.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate60.2%Closing EV estimate−30.8%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate49.3%Closing EV estimate−36.0%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate38.7%Closing EV estimate−41.9%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate29.2%Closing EV estimate−47.4%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate21.2%Closing EV estimate−53.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate14.8%Closing EV estimate−59.4%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 16.5odds3.70Closing chance estimate9.9%Closing EV estimate−63.3%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 13.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance29.2%EV-47.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 02:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 12.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate38.7%Closing EV estimate−41.9%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate29.2%Closing EV estimate−47.4%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate21.2%Closing EV estimate−57.6%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 13.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.15
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance29.2%EV-37.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 12:53

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 9.5odds1.23Closing chance estimate70.7%Closing EV estimate−13.0%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate60.2%Closing EV estimate−17.5%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds1.56Closing chance estimate49.3%Closing EV estimate−23.2%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds1.82Closing chance estimate38.7%Closing EV estimate−29.5%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.15Closing chance estimate29.2%Closing EV estimate−37.2%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate21.2%Closing EV estimate−44.9%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate14.8%Closing EV estimate−52.7%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 12 Oct, 00:06: over 13.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 12 Oct, 02:41. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 10.5Actual: 12+1.00u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds1.83
Odds down−0.17
Model chance at recommendation
58.1%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.72
Expected value at recommendation
+16.3%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 58.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.72. Expected value at recommendation: +16.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 10.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds1.83
    Odds down−0.17
    Model chance58.1%EV+16.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 12:15

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 10.5odds1.83Closing chance estimate65.2%Closing EV estimate+19.5%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance65.2%EV+14.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 01:00

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 8.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate82.2%Closing EV estimate+3.6%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate74.3%Closing EV estimate+7.7%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate65.2%Closing EV estimate+14.1%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate55.4%Closing EV estimate+19.1%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate45.6%Closing EV estimate+27.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance65.2%EV+17.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 09:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 7.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate88.7%Closing EV estimate−0.7%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate82.2%Closing EV estimate+5.3%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate74.3%Closing EV estimate+11.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate65.2%Closing EV estimate+17.3%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate55.4%Closing EV estimate+21.9%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate45.6%Closing EV estimate+34.4%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds4.00Closing chance estimate36.2%Closing EV estimate+44.8%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateover 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.73
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance65.2%EV+12.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 12:54

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 7.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate88.7%Closing EV estimate−2.5%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.23Closing chance estimate82.2%Closing EV estimate+1.1%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.43Closing chance estimate74.3%Closing EV estimate+6.2%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.73Closing chance estimate65.2%Closing EV estimate+12.8%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds2.16Closing chance estimate55.4%Closing EV estimate+19.7%margin10.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate45.6%Closing EV estimate+27.6%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds3.65Closing chance estimate36.2%Closing EV estimate+32.1%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.65
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance65.2%EV+7.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 12:00

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 7.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate88.7%Closing EV estimate−1.6%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.23Closing chance estimate82.2%Closing EV estimate+1.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate74.3%Closing EV estimate+4.0%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate65.2%Closing EV estimate+7.5%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate55.4%Closing EV estimate+10.8%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate45.6%Closing EV estimate+16.2%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds3.35Closing chance estimate36.2%Closing EV estimate+21.3%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.76
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance65.2%EV+14.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 12:53

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 6.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate93.4%Closing EV estimate−3.8%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.13Closing chance estimate88.7%Closing EV estimate+0.2%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate82.2%Closing EV estimate+3.6%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate74.3%Closing EV estimate+7.7%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.76Closing chance estimate65.2%Closing EV estimate+14.7%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds2.22Closing chance estimate55.4%Closing EV estimate+23.0%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate45.6%Closing EV estimate+32.2%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds3.90Closing chance estimate36.2%Closing EV estimate+41.2%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds5.00Closing chance estimate27.7%Closing EV estimate+38.6%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 13:08: over 10.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 19:47. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · PSV Eindhoven total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 4.5Actual: 5+1.10u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds2.10
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
62.4%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.61
Expected value at recommendation
+31.1%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 62.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.61. Expected value at recommendation: +31.1%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 30 settled picksand +8.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 4.5
    At recommendation2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Unchanged
    Model chance62.4%EV+31.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 12:15

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate45.8%Closing EV estimate−3.9%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance45.8%EV-17.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 01:00

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate64.3%Closing EV estimate−11.9%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate45.8%Closing EV estimate−17.6%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate29.3%Closing EV estimate−25.2%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance45.8%EV-15.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 12 Oct, 09:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate81.3%Closing EV estimate−9.0%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate64.3%Closing EV estimate−10.0%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate45.8%Closing EV estimate−15.4%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate29.3%Closing EV estimate−22.3%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds4.50Closing chance estimate17.0%Closing EV estimate−23.4%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.96
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance45.8%EV-10.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 12:54

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate81.3%Closing EV estimate−6.6%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate64.3%Closing EV estimate−7.4%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.96Closing chance estimate45.8%Closing EV estimate−10.3%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate29.3%Closing EV estimate−14.9%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds4.30Closing chance estimate17.0%Closing EV estimate−26.8%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance45.8%EV-17.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 12:00

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.39Closing chance estimate64.3%Closing EV estimate−10.6%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate45.8%Closing EV estimate−17.6%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate29.3%Closing EV estimate−25.2%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.83
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance45.8%EV-16.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 13 Oct, 12:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate93.1%Closing EV estimate−6.4%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate81.3%Closing EV estimate−9.0%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.39Closing chance estimate64.3%Closing EV estimate−10.6%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.83Closing chance estimate45.8%Closing EV estimate−16.3%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.52Closing chance estimate29.3%Closing EV estimate−26.1%margin10.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds3.65Closing chance estimate17.0%Closing EV estimate−37.9%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds5.45Closing chance estimate9.0%Closing EV estimate−50.9%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 11:45: over 4.5 at 2.10 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results
Return+40.6%ROI · 13 units staked
Profit+5.28units
W / L9 / 4picks
Avg odds2.01settled picks
Recorded picks131 matches

Around this match

CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueHome teamRB LeipzigAway teamPSV EindhovenRefereeNick Walsh
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