Paris Saint-Germain vs Le Mans 3-1 — Ligue 1

Ligue 1Ligue 1 26/27

Paris Saint-Germain

3–1

HT 1–0

Le Mans

Sat 10 Oct·12:45·Matchday 6·Parc des Princes·Paris Saint-Germain won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

4Corners4
0Cards5
22Shots11
8Shots on target3
3Fouls17
24Throw-ins20
1Offsides5
9Goal kicks8
2Saves5
11Tackles12
5Interceptions14
9Dribbles6

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

Independence, method & limitations

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

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0Free available0VIP available9Recorded Free4Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

12:45Paris Saint-GermainvLe MansLigue 15 won / 8 lost · −2.84u · 13 picks

Cards · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 2.5Actual: 5−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.258 Oct, 04:34

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 53.2%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.88
Expected value at recommendation: +19.7%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.88. Expected value at recommendation: +19.7%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365At recommendationunder 2.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.2%EV+11.8%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 2.5
At recommendation2.25
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.2%EV+19.7%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetAt recommendationunder 2.5
At recommendation2.25
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.2%EV+19.7%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiAt recommendationunder 2.5
At recommendation2.33
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.2%EV+24.0%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetAt recommendationunder 2.5
At recommendation2.25
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.2%EV+19.7%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetAt recommendationunder 2.5
At recommendation2.27
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.2%EV+20.8%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 04:34: under 2.5 at 2.25 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Cards · Le Mans total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 1.5Actual: 5−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.158 Oct, 04:34

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 58.3%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.72
Expected value at recommendation: +25.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 58.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.72. Expected value at recommendation: +25.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.5%EV+0.8%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation2.28
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance58.3%EV+32.9%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.4%EV+5.2%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation2.15
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance58.3%EV+25.3%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.0%EV-2.8%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 04:34: under 1.5 at 2.15 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 12:26. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Le Mans total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 2.5Actual: 4+1.45u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.458 Oct, 04:34

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 54.5%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.84
Expected value at recommendation: +33.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 54.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.84. Expected value at recommendation: +33.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

KambiAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation2.30
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.5%EV+25.3%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation2.45
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.5%EV+33.4%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.15
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.3%EV+23.1%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.20
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.3%EV+26.0%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.15
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.3%EV+23.1%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 04:34: over 2.5 at 2.45 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · Paris Saint-Germain total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 8.5Actual: 3−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.959 Oct, 00:11

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 51.5%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.95
Expected value at recommendation: +0.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.95. Expected value at recommendation: +0.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 8.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.5%EV+0.4%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.6%EV+7.4%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.6%EV+4.4%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.6%EV+10.3%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 00:11: over 8.5 at 1.95 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 04:26. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · Le Mans total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 12.5Actual: 17−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.958 Oct, 13:17

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 61.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.63
Expected value at recommendation: +19.8%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 61.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.63. Expected value at recommendation: +19.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 12.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance61.4%EV+19.8%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 12.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.55
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.4%EV-20.4%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 12.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.55
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.4%EV-20.4%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 12.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.50
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.4%EV-23.0%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 13:17: under 12.5 at 1.95 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 01:19. The original pick remains in the results.

Goal kicks · Le Mans total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 11.5Actual: 8+0.92u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9210 Oct, 01:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 57.7%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.74
Expected value at recommendation: +10.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 57.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.74. Expected value at recommendation: +10.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 11.5
At recommendation1.92
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance57.7%EV+10.9%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.65
No saved recommendation
Model chance61.6%EV+1.6%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance61.6%EV-1.5%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance61.6%EV-1.5%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 01:51: under 11.5 at 1.92 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 04:48. The original pick remains in the results.

Goals · Paris Saint-Germain total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 3−1.00u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.988 Oct, 15:48

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 50.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.98
Expected value at recommendation: +0.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.98. Expected value at recommendation: +0.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation1.98
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.6%EV+0.1%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation1.92
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.3%EV+0.4%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.25
No saved recommendation
Model chance40.8%EV-8.1%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.20
No saved recommendation
Model chance40.8%EV-10.1%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.40
No saved recommendation
Model chance40.8%EV-2.0%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 15:48: over 3.5 at 1.98 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 16:47. The original pick remains in the results.

Result corrected: Provider full-time score differs from the originally recorded goal result.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 30.5Actual: 33+0.97u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.978 Oct, 04:34

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 63.9%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.57
Expected value at recommendation: +25.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 63.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.57. Expected value at recommendation: +25.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

KambiClosing estimateover 30.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.45
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.0%EV+39.6%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 30.5
At recommendation1.97
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance63.9%EV+25.9%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 30.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.0%EV+14.0%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 30.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.0%EV+14.0%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 04:34: over 30.5 at 1.97 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 01:19. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Paris Saint-Germain total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 22.5Actual: 22−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.958 Oct, 04:34

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 73.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.37
Expected value at recommendation: +42.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 73.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.37. Expected value at recommendation: +42.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

KambiAt recommendationover 22.5
At recommendation2.17
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance73.0%EV+58.4%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 22.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance73.0%EV+42.4%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 22.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.0%EV-18.4%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 22.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.0%EV-18.4%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 04:34: over 22.5 at 1.95 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 17:58. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Le Mans total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 7.5Actual: 11+0.91u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.918 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 60.8%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.65
Expected value at recommendation: +16.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 60.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.65. Expected value at recommendation: +16.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 7.5
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance60.8%EV+16.1%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiAt recommendationover 7.5
At recommendation1.88
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance60.8%EV+14.3%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetAt recommendationover 7.5
At recommendation1.87
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance60.8%EV+13.7%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 7.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance67.0%EV+17.2%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 7.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance67.0%EV+84.2%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 7.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance67.0%EV+84.2%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:51: over 7.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 16:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 11.5Actual: 11−1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.108 Oct, 04:34

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 63.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.58
Expected value at recommendation: +33.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 63.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.58. Expected value at recommendation: +33.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 11.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance63.6%EV+33.5%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetAt recommendationover 11.5
At recommendation2.12
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance63.6%EV+34.7%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.2%EV+12.3%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.2%EV+9.5%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.2%EV+17.9%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.2%EV+6.7%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 04:34: over 11.5 at 2.10 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots on target · Paris Saint-Germain total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 8.5Actual: 8−1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.918 Oct, 04:34

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 76.3%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.32
Expected value at recommendation: +45.7%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 76.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.32. Expected value at recommendation: +45.7%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 8.5
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance76.3%EV+45.7%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetMGM UKAt recommendationover 8.5
At recommendation1.94
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance60.5%EV+17.3%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.98
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.0%EV+6.8%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetAt recommendationover 8.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance76.3%EV+45.0%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.0%EV-0.2%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.0%EV-2.9%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.0%EV-5.6%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 04:34: over 8.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots on target · Le Mans total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 2.5Actual: 3+0.91u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.918 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 59.1%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.70
Expected value at recommendation: +12.8%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 59.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.70. Expected value at recommendation: +12.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance59.1%EV+12.8%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetMGM UKAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation1.93
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance59.1%EV+14.1%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation2.05
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance59.1%EV+21.2%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance63.1%EV+13.5%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance63.1%EV+13.5%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.84
No saved recommendation
Model chance63.1%EV+16.1%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance63.1%EV+13.5%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:51: over 2.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 16:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return−21.9%ROI · 13 units staked

Profit−2.84units

W / L5 / 8picks

Avg odds2.03settled picks

Recorded picks131 matches

Around this match

CompetitionLigue 1 Home teamParis Saint-Germain Away teamLe Mans RefereeMathieu Vernice

Previous meetings

Tue 4 FebLe Mans 0-2 Paris Saint-Germain

Match overview

Matches

Cards · match total

Cards · Le Mans total

Corners · Le Mans total

Fouls · Paris Saint-Germain total

Fouls · Le Mans total

Goal kicks · Le Mans total

Goals · Paris Saint-Germain total

Shots · match total

Shots · Paris Saint-Germain total

Shots · Le Mans total

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