Osasuna vs Racing de Santander 2-0 — LaLiga

LaLigaLaLiga 26/27

Osasuna

2–0

HT 1–0

Racing de Santander

Sun 18 Oct·06:00·Matchday 9·Estadio El Sadar·Osasuna won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

7Corners4
2Cards3
20Shots9
7Shots on target1
21Fouls9
24Throw-ins26
4Offsides2
7Goal kicks13
1Saves5
15Tackles14
5Interceptions8
6Dribbles8

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

Independence, method & limitations

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

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0Free available0VIP available2Recorded Free3Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

06:00OsasunavRacing de SantanderLaLiga3 won / 2 lost · +1.30u · 5 picks

Offsides · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 4.5Actual: 6+1.20u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.2017 Oct, 05:31

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 50.7%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.98
Expected value at recommendation: +11.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 50.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.98. Expected value at recommendation: +11.5%.

At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 89 settled picksand +2.1% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.3%EV+5.6%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.7%EV+6.4%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation2.20
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.7%EV+11.5%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.63
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.6%EV-17.4%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 17 Oct, 05:31: over 4.5 at 2.20 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Saves · Racing de Santander total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 5+1.00u on one unit

Crocobetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0018 Oct, 04:03

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 50.5%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.99
Expected value at recommendation: +0.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 50.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.99. Expected value at recommendation: +0.9%.

At recommendation, Crocobet’s overall market record had 30 settled picksand +37.2% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.5%EV+0.9%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.08
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.5%EV+5.0%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 18 Oct, 04:03: over 3.5 at 2.00 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots · Racing de Santander total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 10.5Actual: 9+1.10u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.1016 Oct, 06:30

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 50.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.99
Expected value at recommendation: +5.8%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 50.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.99. Expected value at recommendation: +5.8%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 36 settled picksand +17.3% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 10.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.4%EV+5.8%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.15
No saved recommendation
Model chance49.3%EV+5.9%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.30
No saved recommendation
Model chance49.3%EV+13.3%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.35
No saved recommendation
Model chance49.3%EV+15.7%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance49.3%EV+28.1%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 16 Oct, 06:30: under 10.5 at 2.10 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 16 Oct, 19:01. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 9.5Actual: 8−1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0015 Oct, 06:18

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 58.1%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.73
Expected value at recommendation: +16.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 58.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.73. Expected value at recommendation: +16.3%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 88 settled picksand +27.1% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 9.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance58.1%EV+16.3%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetAt recommendationover 9.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance60.6%EV+18.2%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetAt recommendationover 9.5
At recommendation1.87
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance60.6%EV+13.4%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.2%EV+12.5%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.06
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.2%EV+22.0%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.2%EV+12.5%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 15 Oct, 06:18: over 9.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Throw-ins · Racing de Santander total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 17.5Actual: 26−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9518 Oct, 01:05

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 56.7%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.77
Expected value at recommendation: +10.6%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 56.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.77. Expected value at recommendation: +10.6%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 129 settled picksand +5.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 17.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.7%EV+10.6%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 17.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance58.2%EV+13.4%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 17.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance58.2%EV+16.3%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 18 Oct, 01:05: under 17.5 at 1.95 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 02:03. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return+26.0%ROI · 5 units staked

Profit+1.30units

W / L3 / 2picks

Avg odds2.05settled picks

Recorded picks51 matches

Around this match

CompetitionLaLiga Home teamOsasuna Away teamRacing de Santander RefereeJuan Martinez Munuera

Match overview

Matches

Offsides · match total

Saves · Racing de Santander total

Shots · Racing de Santander total

Shots on target · match total

Throw-ins · Racing de Santander total

This match

Around this match

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