Olympique Lyonnais vs Nice 2-1 — Ligue 1

Ligue 1Ligue 1 26/27

Olympique Lyonnais

2–1

HT 2–1

Nice

Sun 18 Oct·12:45·Matchday 7·Groupama Stadium·Olympique Lyonnais won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

1Corners9
0Cards4
8Shots12
4Shots on target5
6Fouls14
17Throw-ins19
0Offsides3
6Goal kicks8
3Saves2
11Tackles19
13Interceptions10
5Dribbles9

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta · Virtual simulation

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

Independence, method & limitations

An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

StatsGem is independent. We are not a bookmaker, gambling operator, betting broker or bookmaker affiliate. We accept no bets or gambling deposits, hold no player funds and offer no cash prizes or withdrawals. Subscriptions pay for research access. Bookmaker names and logos identify data sources; they do not imply a partnership or endorsement.

Simulated performance does not predict real-world profit. Models can be wrong, odds can change, and historical results can overstate an apparent advantage. Gambling can cause financial harm and addiction. Get support

3 Free3 VIP0 Free Active0 VIP Active

Board

Matches

1 match

12:45Olympique LyonnaisvNiceLigue 11 won / 5 lost · −3.93u · 6 picks

Corners · match total

Open match →VIPLost

under 9.5Actual: 10−1.00u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.2313 Oct, 11:45

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 57.9%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.73
Expected value at recommendation: +29.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 57.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.73. Expected value at recommendation: +29.2%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 41 settled picksand +10.5% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 9.5
At recommendation2.23
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance57.9%EV+29.2%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.05
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.05
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.05
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.12
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
17 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 11:45: under 9.5 at 2.23 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 12:07. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · match total

Open match →FreeWon

under 22.5Actual: 20+1.07u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0718 Oct, 07:42

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 50.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.99
Expected value at recommendation: +4.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 50.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.99. Expected value at recommendation: +4.3%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 275 settled picksand +5.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 22.5
At recommendation2.07
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.4%EV+4.3%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 22.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.20
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
13 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 22.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.20
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 22.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.20
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 18 Oct, 07:42: under 22.5 at 2.07 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Fouls · Nice total

Open match →VIPLost

under 11.5Actual: 14−1.00u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0018 Oct, 06:09

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 57.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.76
Expected value at recommendation: +13.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 57.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.76. Expected value at recommendation: +13.9%.

At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 283 settled picksand +10.2% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 11.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance57.0%EV+13.9%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.15
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.02
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 18 Oct, 06:09: under 11.5 at 2.00 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 07:42. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPLost

over 26.5Actual: 20−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0516 Oct, 13:20

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 64.1%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.57
Expected value at recommendation: +31.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 64.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.57. Expected value at recommendation: +31.4%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 267 settled picksand +11.2% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365At recommendationover 26.5
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance64.1%EV+22.4%
CrocobetAt recommendationover 26.5
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance65.7%EV+21.6%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiAt recommendationover 26.5
At recommendation1.86
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance64.1%EV+19.2%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 26.5
At recommendation2.05
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance64.1%EV+31.4%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 26.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
13 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 26.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 16 Oct, 13:20: over 26.5 at 2.05 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 17 Oct, 10:38. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Olympique Lyonnais total

Open match →FreeLost

over 15.5Actual: 8−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9716 Oct, 13:20

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 51.2%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.96
Expected value at recommendation: +0.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 51.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.96. Expected value at recommendation: +0.9%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 193 settled picksand +6.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 15.5
At recommendation1.97
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.2%EV+0.9%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 15.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 15.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 15.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 15.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 16 Oct, 13:20: over 15.5 at 1.97 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Throw-ins · Nice total

Open match →FreeLost

under 17.5Actual: 19−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.8818 Oct, 03:33

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 59.7%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.68
Expected value at recommendation: +12.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 59.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.68. Expected value at recommendation: +12.3%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 129 settled picksand +5.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 17.5
At recommendation1.88
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance59.7%EV+12.3%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 17.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 17.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 18 Oct, 03:33: under 17.5 at 1.88 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 09:20. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return−65.5%ROI · 6 units staked

Profit−3.93units

W / L1 / 5picks

Avg odds2.03settled picks

Recorded picks61 matches

Around this match

CompetitionLigue 1 Home teamOlympique Lyonnais Away teamNice RefereeFrançois Letexier

Matches

Corners · match total

Fouls · match total

Fouls · Nice total

Shots · match total

Shots · Olympique Lyonnais total

Throw-ins · Nice total

This match

Around this match

Previous meetings