Olympique Lyonnais vs Nice 2-1 — Ligue 1

Ligue 1Ligue 1 26/27

Olympique Lyonnais

2–1

HT 2–1

Nice

Sun 18 Oct·12:45·Matchday 7·Groupama Stadium·Olympique Lyonnais won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

1Corners9
0Cards4
8Shots12
4Shots on target5
6Fouls14
17Throw-ins19
0Offsides3
6Goal kicks8
3Saves2
11Tackles19
13Interceptions10
5Dribbles9

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

Independence, method & limitations

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

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0Free available0VIP available3Recorded Free3Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

12:45Olympique LyonnaisvNiceLigue 11 won / 5 lost · −3.93u · 6 picks

Corners · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 9.5Actual: 10−1.00u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.2313 Oct, 11:45

Closing odds2.1418 Oct, 11:35

Odds down−0.09

Model chance at recommendation: 57.9%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.73
Expected value at recommendation: +29.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 57.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.73. Expected value at recommendation: +29.2%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 41 settled picksand +10.5% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 9.5
At recommendation2.23
Closing odds2.14
Odds down−0.09
Model chance57.9%EV+29.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 12:15
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 7.5odds3.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.6%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:04
- under 8.5odds2.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.7%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 11:35
- under 9.5odds2.14Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.5%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 11:35
- under 10.5odds1.71Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.0%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:15
- under 11.5odds1.44Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.7%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:04
- under 12.5odds1.27Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.0%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:01
- under 13.5odds1.16Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.2%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 11:35
- under 14.5odds1.09Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.9%Model unavailableCaptured 13 Oct, 06:20
BetliveClosing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.05
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 12:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 6.5odds5.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 09:43
- under 7.5odds3.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 09:43
- under 8.5odds2.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30
- under 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.3%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30
- under 10.5odds1.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.2%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30
- under 11.5odds1.42Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30
- under 12.5odds1.26Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30
- under 13.5odds1.11Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.3%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 09:43
- under 14.5odds1.05Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 09:43
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.05
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 12:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 6.5odds5.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:32
- under 7.5odds3.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%Model unavailableCaptured 17 Oct, 07:26
- under 8.5odds2.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30
- under 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.3%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 10:26
- under 10.5odds1.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30
- under 11.5odds1.42Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30
- under 12.5odds1.26Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30
- under 13.5odds1.15Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 17 Oct, 07:26
- under 14.5odds1.07Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%Model unavailableCaptured 17 Oct, 07:26
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.05
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 12:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 8.5odds2.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:31
- under 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.3%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:31
- under 10.5odds1.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.2%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:31
- under 11.5odds1.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:31
- under 12.5odds1.26Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:31
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.12
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 12:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 2.5odds50.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin—Model unavailableCaptured 16 Oct, 13:19
- under 3.5odds24.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin3.8%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30
- under 4.5odds13.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin5.7%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30
- under 5.5odds8.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin6.8%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30
- under 6.5odds5.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin6.6%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30
- under 7.5odds3.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.0%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30
- under 8.5odds2.72Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.2%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30
- under 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.12Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30
- under 10.5odds1.74Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.0%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30
- under 11.5odds1.49Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30
- under 12.5odds1.32Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.0%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30
- under 13.5odds1.21Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin6.7%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30
- under 14.5odds1.13Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin6.7%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:01
- under 15.5odds1.07Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.2%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30
- under 16.5odds1.04Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin6.4%Model unavailableCaptured 17 Oct, 20:06
- under 17.5odds1.02Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin5.2%Model unavailableCaptured 17 Oct, 07:55
- under 18.5odds1.01Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin4.4%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 11:45: under 9.5 at 2.23 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 12:07. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 22.5Actual: 20+1.07u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0718 Oct, 07:42

Closing odds2.0718 Oct, 12:30

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: 50.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.99
Expected value at recommendation: +4.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 50.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.99. Expected value at recommendation: +4.3%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 275 settled picksand +5.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 22.5
At recommendation2.07
Closing odds2.07
Unchanged
Model chance50.4%EV+4.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 12:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 22.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.07Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.8%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30
- under 23.5odds1.78Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.3%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30
- under 24.5odds1.58Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.7%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:01
BetliveClosing estimateunder 22.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.20
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 03:04
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 21.5odds2.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:04
- under 22.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:04
- under 23.5odds1.90Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:04
- under 24.5odds1.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:04
- under 25.5odds1.48Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:04
- under 26.5odds1.34Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.7%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:04
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 22.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.20
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 03:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 20.5odds3.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.3%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:32
- under 21.5odds2.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:32
- under 22.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:32
- under 23.5odds1.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:32
- under 24.5odds1.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:32
- under 25.5odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:32
- under 26.5odds1.33Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.6%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:32
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 22.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.20
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 12:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 20.5odds3.05Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30
- under 21.5odds2.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.7%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30
- under 22.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30
- under 23.5odds1.90Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30
- under 24.5odds1.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30
- under 25.5odds1.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.4%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30
- under 26.5odds1.33Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30

Recommendation record

Recorded 18 Oct, 07:42: under 22.5 at 2.07 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Fouls · Nice total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 11.5Actual: 14−1.00u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0018 Oct, 06:09

Closing odds1.9018 Oct, 12:30

Odds down−0.10

Model chance at recommendation: 57.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.76
Expected value at recommendation: +13.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 57.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.76. Expected value at recommendation: +13.9%.

At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 283 settled picksand +10.2% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 11.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds1.90
Odds down−0.10
Model chance57.0%EV+13.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 12:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 10.5odds2.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.0%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30
- under 11.5odds1.90Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.2%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30
- under 12.5odds1.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30
- under 13.5odds1.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 09:49
BetliveClosing estimateunder 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.15
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 03:04
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.15Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.2%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:04
- under 12.5odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:04
- under 13.5odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:04
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 06:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 10.5odds2.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.6%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 06:34
- under 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:32
- under 12.5odds1.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 06:34
- under 13.5odds1.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.4%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 06:34
- under 14.5odds1.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.3%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 06:34
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.02
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 09:47
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.02Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.0%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 09:47

Recommendation record

Recorded 18 Oct, 06:09: under 11.5 at 2.00 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 07:42. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 26.5Actual: 20−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0516 Oct, 13:20

Closing odds1.8518 Oct, 01:08

Odds down−0.20

Model chance at recommendation: 64.1%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.57
Expected value at recommendation: +31.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 64.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.57. Expected value at recommendation: +31.4%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 267 settled picksand +11.2% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365At recommendationover 26.5
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance64.1%EV+22.4%
CrocobetAt recommendationover 26.5
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds1.85
Unchanged
Model chance65.7%EV+21.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 03:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 23.5odds1.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:32
- over 24.5odds1.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.4%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:32
- over 25.5odds1.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:32
- over 26.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.2%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:32
- over 27.5odds2.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:32
- over 28.5odds2.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:32
- over 29.5odds2.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:32
KambiAt recommendationover 26.5
At recommendation1.86
Closing odds1.73
Odds down−0.13
Model chance64.1%EV+19.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 12:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 24.5odds1.49Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.0%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 04:02
- over 25.5odds1.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.0%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30
- over 26.5odds1.73Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.0%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30
- over 27.5odds1.97Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.0%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30
- over 28.5odds2.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 26.5
At recommendation2.05
Closing odds1.85
Odds down−0.20
Model chance64.1%EV+31.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 12:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 22.5odds1.23Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.6%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 10:02
- over 23.5odds1.33Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.0%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 10:09
- over 24.5odds1.46Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.7%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 10:09
- over 25.5odds1.63Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.9%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 01:08
- over 26.5odds1.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 01:08
- over 27.5odds2.15Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.9%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 10:02
- over 28.5odds2.47Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.5%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30
- over 29.5odds2.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.0%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:31
- over 30.5odds3.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.2%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 04:32
BetliveClosing estimateover 26.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 03:04
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 23.5odds1.31Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:04
- over 24.5odds1.44Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:04
- over 25.5odds1.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:04
- over 26.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:04
- over 27.5odds2.05Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.3%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:04
- over 28.5odds2.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:04
- over 29.5odds2.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:04
LiderbetClosing estimateover 26.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 12:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 23.5odds1.32Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30
- over 24.5odds1.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30
- over 25.5odds1.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.3%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30
- over 26.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30
- over 27.5odds2.05Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.3%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30
- over 28.5odds2.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30
- over 29.5odds2.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30

Recommendation record

Recorded 16 Oct, 13:20: over 26.5 at 2.05 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 17 Oct, 10:38. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Olympique Lyonnais total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 15.5Actual: 8−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9716 Oct, 13:20

Closing odds2.0518 Oct, 12:30

Odds up+0.08

Model chance at recommendation: 51.2%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.96
Expected value at recommendation: +0.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 51.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.96. Expected value at recommendation: +0.9%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 193 settled picksand +6.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 15.5
At recommendation1.97
Closing odds2.05
Odds up+0.08
Model chance51.2%EV+0.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 12:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 11.5odds1.24Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.0%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30
- over 12.5odds1.37Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.8%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30
- over 13.5odds1.54Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.0%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30
- over 14.5odds1.76Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30
- over 15.5odds2.05Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.3%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30
- over 16.5odds2.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.9%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30
- over 17.5odds2.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.3%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30
- over 18.5odds3.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.3%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:01
BetliveClosing estimateover 15.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 03:04
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 13.5odds1.33Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.6%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:04
- over 14.5odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.2%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:04
- over 15.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:04
- over 16.5odds2.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:04
- over 17.5odds2.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:04
CrocobetClosing estimateover 15.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 03:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 13.5odds1.33Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.6%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:32
- over 14.5odds1.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:32
- over 15.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:32
- over 16.5odds2.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:32
- over 17.5odds2.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:32
KambiClosing estimateover 15.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 12:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 14.5odds1.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.7%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 11:35
- over 15.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30
- over 16.5odds2.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.2%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30
LiderbetClosing estimateover 15.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 12:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 14.5odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.3%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30
- over 15.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30
- over 16.5odds2.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.3%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30

Recommendation record

Recorded 16 Oct, 13:20: over 15.5 at 1.97 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Throw-ins · Nice total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 17.5Actual: 19−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.8818 Oct, 03:33

Closing odds1.8718 Oct, 12:30

Odds down−0.01

Model chance at recommendation: 59.7%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.68
Expected value at recommendation: +12.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 59.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.68. Expected value at recommendation: +12.3%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 129 settled picksand +5.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 17.5
At recommendation1.88
Closing odds1.87
Odds down−0.01
Model chance59.7%EV+12.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 12:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 17.5odds1.87Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:30
BetliveClosing estimateunder 17.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 03:04
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 16.5odds2.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:04
- under 17.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.2%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:04
- under 18.5odds1.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:04
- under 19.5odds1.42Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:04
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 17.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 03:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 16.5odds2.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:32
- under 17.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:32
- under 18.5odds1.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:32

Recommendation record

Recorded 18 Oct, 03:33: under 17.5 at 1.88 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 09:20. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return−65.5%ROI · 6 units staked

Profit−3.93units

W / L1 / 5picks

Avg odds2.03settled picks

Recorded picks61 matches

Around this match

CompetitionLigue 1 Home teamOlympique Lyonnais Away teamNice RefereeFrançois Letexier

Match overview

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Corners · match total

Fouls · match total

Fouls · Nice total

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Shots · Olympique Lyonnais total

Throw-ins · Nice total

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