NK Celje vs Omonia Nicosia 0-3 — UEFA Europa League

UEFA Europa LeagueUEFA Europa League 26/27

NK Celje

0–3

Omonia Nicosia

Thu 15 Oct·10:45·Matchday 2·Arena Z’dezele·Omonia Nicosia won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

3Corners5
4Cards2
13Shots14
2Shots on target6
9Fouls9
16Throw-ins9
2Offsides1
7Goal kicks13
3Saves2
15Tackles10
14Interceptions17
4Dribbles3

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

Independence, method & limitations

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

StatsGem is independent. We are not a bookmaker, gambling operator, betting broker or bookmaker affiliate. We accept no bets or gambling deposits, hold no player funds and offer no cash prizes or withdrawals. Subscriptions pay for research access. Bookmaker names and logos identify data sources; they do not imply a partnership or endorsement.

Simulated performance does not predict real-world profit. Models can be wrong, odds can change, and historical results can overstate an apparent advantage. Gambling can cause financial harm and addiction. Get support

0Free available0VIP available6Recorded Free1Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

10:45NK CeljevOmonia NicosiaUEFA Europa League0 won / 7 lost · −7.00u · 7 picks

Corners · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 9.5Actual: 8−1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9111 Oct, 06:18

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 57.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.75
Expected value at recommendation: +9.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 57.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.75. Expected value at recommendation: +9.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 9.5
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance57.4%EV+9.5%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.2%EV-7.2%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.2%EV-7.2%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.2%EV+0.4%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.2%EV-7.2%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.2%EV+5.4%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.97
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.2%EV-1.1%
16 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 06:18: over 9.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 12 Oct, 00:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Goal kicks · Omonia Nicosia total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 6.5Actual: 13−1.00u on one unit

Crocobetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.2015 Oct, 10:33

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 50.3%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.99
Expected value at recommendation: +10.6%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 50.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.99. Expected value at recommendation: +10.6%.

At recommendation, Crocobet’s overall market record had 129 settled picksand +4.6% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationunder 6.5
At recommendation2.20
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.3%EV+10.6%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 6.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.25
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.3%EV+13.1%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 6.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.15
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.3%EV+8.1%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 15 Oct, 10:33: under 6.5 at 2.20 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goals · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 2.5Actual: 3−1.00u on one unit

Betfair Exchangerecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0613 Oct, 13:25

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 51.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.97
Expected value at recommendation: +5.0%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 51.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.97. Expected value at recommendation: +5.0%.

At recommendation, Betfair Exchange’s overall market record had 34 settled picksand +1.2% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365At recommendationunder 2.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.0%EV+2.0%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Betfair Exchangeresult priceAt recommendationunder 2.5
At recommendation2.06
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.0%EV+5.0%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.7%EV-3.7%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.7%EV-3.7%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.7%EV-3.7%
12 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.91
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.7%EV-3.2%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
PinnacleClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.03
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.7%EV+2.9%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.7%EV+1.4%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 13:25: under 2.5 at 2.06 with Betfair Exchange. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 21:51. The original pick remains in the results.

Offsides · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 2.5Actual: 3−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.3015 Oct, 03:42

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 80.5%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.25
Expected value at recommendation: +85.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 80.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.25. Expected value at recommendation: +85.2%.

At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 95 settled picksand +2.7% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 2.5
At recommendation2.30
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance80.5%EV+85.2%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.30
No saved recommendation
Model chance80.5%EV+85.2%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.25
No saved recommendation
Model chance80.5%EV+81.2%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 15 Oct, 03:42: under 2.5 at 2.30 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Offsides · NK Celje total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 1.5Actual: 2−1.00u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.8415 Oct, 03:18

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 80.7%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.24
Expected value at recommendation: +48.6%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 80.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.24. Expected value at recommendation: +48.6%.

At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 77 settled picksand +25.5% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance80.7%EV+49.4%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation1.84
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance80.7%EV+48.6%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance80.7%EV+45.3%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 15 Oct, 03:18: under 1.5 at 1.84 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 15 Oct, 08:59. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Omonia Nicosia total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 14.5Actual: 14−1.00u on one unit

Crocobetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.3015 Oct, 03:36

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 52.2%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.92
Expected value at recommendation: +20.0%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 52.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.92. Expected value at recommendation: +20.0%.

At recommendation, Crocobet’s overall market record had 179 settled picksand +4.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationover 14.5
At recommendation2.30
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.2%EV+20.0%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 14.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.3%EV+38.6%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 14.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.35
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.3%EV+25.3%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 14.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.57
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.3%EV+37.0%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 15 Oct, 03:36: over 14.5 at 2.30 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 7.5Actual: 8−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.4513 Oct, 11:45

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 54.9%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.83
Expected value at recommendation: +34.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 54.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.83. Expected value at recommendation: +34.5%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 33 settled picksand +0.7% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 7.5
At recommendation2.45
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.9%EV+34.5%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 7.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.4%EV+49.6%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 7.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.4%EV+52.4%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateunder 7.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.18
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.4%EV+20.8%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 7.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.55
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.4%EV+41.3%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 11:45: under 7.5 at 2.45 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 12:10. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return−100.0%ROI · 7 units staked

Profit−7.00units

W / L0 / 7picks

Avg odds2.15settled picks

Recorded picks71 matches

Around this match

CompetitionUEFA Europa League Home teamNK Celje Away teamOmonia Nicosia RefereeMasiyev, Elcin

Match overview

Matches

Corners · match total

Goal kicks · Omonia Nicosia total

Goals · match total

Offsides · match total

Offsides · NK Celje total

Shots · Omonia Nicosia total

Shots on target · match total

This match

Around this match

On this page

This category

StatsGem

Bro VIP · Beta

Football intelligence, with your VIP.

What are we exploring, bro?