NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia 1-1 — UEFA Europa League

UEFA Europa LeagueUEFA Europa League 26/27

NEC Nijmegen

1–1

HT 0–1

Levski Sofia

Thu 15 Oct·13:00·Matchday 2·Stadion de Goffert·Drawn

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

6Corners1
1Cards0
18Shots8
9Shots on target2
14Fouls14
17Throw-ins18
1Offsides1
5Goal kicks10
1Saves8
24Tackles23
7Interceptions10
13Dribbles10

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta · Virtual simulation

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

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Board

Matches

1 match

13:00NEC NijmegenvLevski SofiaUEFA Europa League8 won / 2 lost · +6.46u · 10 picks

Corners · match total

Open match →VIPWon

under 9.5Actual: 7+0.98u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9813 Oct, 11:45

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 51.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.97
Expected value at recommendation: +0.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 51.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.97. Expected value at recommendation: +0.9%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 41 settled picksand +10.5% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 9.5
At recommendation1.98
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.0%EV+0.9%
Bet365Closing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.83
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.6%EV+0.2%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.6%EV-4.4%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.6%EV-4.4%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.6%EV-4.4%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.6%EV-1.6%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 11:45: under 9.5 at 1.98 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 12:07. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · NEC Nijmegen total

Open match →VIPWon

over 5.5Actual: 6+1.10u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.1013 Oct, 13:13

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 51.5%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.95
Expected value at recommendation: +8.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 51.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.95. Expected value at recommendation: +8.2%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 32 settled picksand +10.6% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 5.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.5%EV+8.2%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance43.0%EV-18.2%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance43.0%EV-16.1%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance43.0%EV-18.2%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.20
No saved recommendation
Model chance43.0%EV-5.3%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 13:13: over 5.5 at 2.10 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 22:18. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · NEC Nijmegen total

Open match →FreeLost

under 12.5Actual: 14−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.8715 Oct, 00:42

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 57.8%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.73
Expected value at recommendation: +8.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 57.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.73. Expected value at recommendation: +8.2%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 138 settled picksand +2.1% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 12.5
At recommendation1.87
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance57.8%EV+8.2%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 12.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.48
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.3%EV-16.6%
10 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 12.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.55
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.3%EV-12.7%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 12.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.55
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.3%EV-12.7%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 15 Oct, 00:42: under 12.5 at 1.87 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 15 Oct, 11:52. The original pick remains in the results.

Goal kicks · Levski Sofia total

Open match →VIPLost

under 8.5Actual: 10−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9015 Oct, 08:25

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 61.7%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.63
Expected value at recommendation: +17.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 61.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.63. Expected value at recommendation: +17.2%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 81 settled picksand +12.1% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 8.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance61.7%EV+17.2%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.50
No saved recommendation
Model chance61.7%EV-7.4%
13 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.50
No saved recommendation
Model chance61.7%EV-7.4%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.50
No saved recommendation
Model chance61.7%EV-7.4%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 15 Oct, 08:25: under 8.5 at 1.90 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goals · match total

Open match →FreeWon

under 2.5Actual: 2+1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0015 Oct, 00:06

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 50.9%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.97
Expected value at recommendation: +1.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 50.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.97. Expected value at recommendation: +1.9%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 58 settled picksand +6.5% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 2.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.9%EV+1.9%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Betfair ExchangeClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.96
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.6%EV+3.1%
23 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.6%EV-8.0%
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.6%EV-8.0%
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.6%EV-8.0%
16 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.6%EV-2.7%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
PinnacleClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.89
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.6%EV-0.5%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 15 Oct, 00:06: under 2.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 15 Oct, 10:33. The original pick remains in the results.

Result corrected: Provider full-time score differs from the originally recorded goal result.

Offsides · match total

Open match →FreeWon

under 3.5Actual: 2+1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0015 Oct, 01:12

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 71.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.41
Expected value at recommendation: +42.8%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 71.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.41. Expected value at recommendation: +42.8%.

At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 95 settled picksand +2.7% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 3.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance71.4%EV+42.8%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.50
No saved recommendation
Model chance71.9%EV+7.9%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.50
No saved recommendation
Model chance71.9%EV+7.9%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 15 Oct, 01:12: under 3.5 at 2.00 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 15 Oct, 01:24. The original pick remains in the results.

Offsides · NEC Nijmegen total

Open match →VIPWon

under 1.5Actual: 1+1.75u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.7515 Oct, 01:12

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 58.8%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.71
Expected value at recommendation: +61.6%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 58.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.71. Expected value at recommendation: +61.6%.

At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 62 settled picksand +20.9% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation2.75
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance58.8%EV+61.6%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance58.8%EV+14.6%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance58.8%EV+17.5%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 15 Oct, 01:12: under 1.5 at 2.75 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPWon

over 24.5Actual: 26+0.92u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9214 Oct, 06:18

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 54.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.86
Expected value at recommendation: +3.8%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 54.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.86. Expected value at recommendation: +3.8%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 262 settled picksand +12.5% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 24.5
At recommendation1.92
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.0%EV+3.8%
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 24.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance49.1%EV-11.6%
23 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 24.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance49.1%EV-11.6%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 24.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance49.1%EV-11.6%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 14 Oct, 06:18: over 24.5 at 1.92 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 15 Oct, 00:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · NEC Nijmegen total

Open match →VIPWon

over 12.5Actual: 18+0.84u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.8415 Oct, 04:00

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 55.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.80
Expected value at recommendation: +2.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 55.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.80. Expected value at recommendation: +2.3%.

At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 172 settled picksand +10.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 12.5
At recommendation1.84
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.6%EV+2.3%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 12.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.48
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.0%EV-20.2%
19 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 12.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.0%EV-13.7%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 12.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.28
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.0%EV-30.9%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 15 Oct, 04:00: over 12.5 at 1.84 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 15 Oct, 04:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreeWon

over 8.5Actual: 11+0.87u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.8713 Oct, 11:32

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 56.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.77
Expected value at recommendation: +5.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 56.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.77. Expected value at recommendation: +5.9%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 57 settled picksand +2.4% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

CrocobetAt recommendationover 8.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.3%EV+5.9%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 8.5
At recommendation1.87
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.6%EV+5.9%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.25
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.6%EV+16.2%
13 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.6%EV-1.9%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.6%EV+8.5%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 11:32: over 8.5 at 1.87 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 15:53. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return+64.6%ROI · 10 units staked

Profit+6.46units

W / L8 / 2picks

Avg odds2.02settled picks

Recorded picks101 matches

Around this match

CompetitionUEFA Europa League Home teamNEC Nijmegen Away teamLevski Sofia RefereeAliyar Aghayev