Minnesota United vs Houston Dynamo 2-2

MLSMLS 2026

Minnesota United

2–2

HT 0–1

Houston Dynamo

Sat 10 Oct·18:30·Allianz Field·Drawn

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

2Corners5
2Cards0
15Shots15
6Shots on target6
16Fouls4
18Throw-ins13
0Offsides1
6Goal kicks11
4Saves4
15Tackles16
7Interceptions7
8Dribbles11

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta · Virtual simulation

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

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Board

Matches

1 match

18:30Minnesota UnitedvHouston DynamoMLS3 won / 2 lost · +0.72u · 5 picks

Cards · match total

Open match →FreeLost

over 3.5Actual: 2−1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.008 Oct, 23:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 55.8%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.80
Expected value at recommendation: +11.7%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 55.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.80. Expected value at recommendation: +11.7%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.8%EV+11.7%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.8%EV+6.1%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.8%EV+6.1%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.8%EV+6.1%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.8%EV+11.7%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.93
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.4%EV+8.9%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.93
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.4%EV+8.9%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.4%EV+10.0%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 23:51: over 3.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Cards · Minnesota United total

Open match →FreeWon

over 1.5Actual: 2+0.90u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.909 Oct, 00:11

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 59.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.70
Expected value at recommendation: +12.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 59.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.70. Expected value at recommendation: +12.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 1.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance59.0%EV+12.1%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance60.7%EV+3.2%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.65
No saved recommendation
Model chance60.7%EV+0.2%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.89
No saved recommendation
Model chance60.7%EV+14.8%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 00:11: over 1.5 at 1.90 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Houston Dynamo total

Open match →FreeWon

over 4.5Actual: 5+1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.008 Oct, 11:11

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 50.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.99
Expected value at recommendation: +0.8%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.99. Expected value at recommendation: +0.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.4%EV+0.8%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance49.7%EV+4.4%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance49.7%EV-3.0%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.06
No saved recommendation
Model chance49.7%EV+2.4%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance49.7%EV+4.4%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance49.7%EV-3.0%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance49.7%EV-3.0%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 11:11: over 4.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 23:51. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · match total

Open match →VIPWon

under 24.5Actual: 20+0.82u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.829 Oct, 04:47

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 66.7%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.51
Expected value at recommendation: +21.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 66.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.51. Expected value at recommendation: +21.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 24.5
At recommendation1.82
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance66.7%EV+21.3%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 04:47: under 24.5 at 1.82 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots · Houston Dynamo total

Open match →FreeLost

under 11.5Actual: 15−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.229 Oct, 00:11

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 54.8%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.83
Expected value at recommendation: +21.7%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 54.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.83. Expected value at recommendation: +21.7%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 11.5
At recommendation2.22
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.8%EV+21.7%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 00:11: under 11.5 at 2.22 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return+14.4%ROI · 5 units staked

Profit+0.72units

W / L3 / 2picks

Avg odds1.99settled picks

Recorded picks51 matches

Around this match

CompetitionMLS Home teamMinnesota United Away teamHouston Dynamo RefereeMarcos de Oliveira

Matches

Cards · match total

Cards · Minnesota United total

Corners · Houston Dynamo total

Fouls · match total

Shots · Houston Dynamo total

This match

Around this match

Previous meetings