Minnesota United vs Houston Dynamo — MLS

MLSMLS 2026

Sat 10 Oct··Allianz Field·Drawn

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time
  • 2Corners5
  • 2Cards0
  • 15Shots15
  • 6Shots on target6
  • 16Fouls4
  • 18Throw-ins13
  • 0Offsides1
  • 6Goal kicks11
  • 4Saves4
  • 15Tackles16
  • 7Interceptions7
  • 8Dribbles11
0Free available0VIP available4Recorded Free1Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match
Minnesota UnitedvHouston DynamoMLS3 won / 2 lost · +0.72u · 5 picks

Cards · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 2−1.00u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds1.83
Odds down−0.17
Model chance at recommendation
55.8%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.80
Expected value at recommendation
+11.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 55.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.80. Expected value at recommendation: +11.7%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 3.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds1.83
    Odds down−0.17
    Model chance55.8%EV+11.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 11:40

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.83Closing chance estimate56.4%Closing EV estimate+3.4%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveAt recommendationover 3.5
    At recommendation1.90
    Closing odds1.75
    Odds down−0.15
    Model chance55.8%EV+6.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 01:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate90.8%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate76.0%Closing EV estimate−1.2%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate56.4%Closing EV estimate−1.3%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate36.9%Closing EV estimate−4.1%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds3.95Closing chance estimate21.3%Closing EV estimate−15.9%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetAt recommendationover 3.5
    At recommendation1.90
    Closing odds1.75
    Odds down−0.15
    Model chance55.8%EV+6.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 01:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate90.8%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate76.0%Closing EV estimate−1.2%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate56.4%Closing EV estimate−1.3%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate36.9%Closing EV estimate−4.1%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds3.95Closing chance estimate21.3%Closing EV estimate−15.9%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetAt recommendationover 3.5
    At recommendation1.90
    Closing odds1.75
    Odds down−0.15
    Model chance55.8%EV+6.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 01:37

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate90.8%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate76.0%Closing EV estimate−1.2%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate56.4%Closing EV estimate−1.3%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate36.9%Closing EV estimate−4.1%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds3.95Closing chance estimate21.3%Closing EV estimate−15.9%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetAt recommendationover 3.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds1.87
    Odds down−0.13
    Model chance55.8%EV+11.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 16:04

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds4.60Closing chance estimate98.1%Closing EV estimate+351.5%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5odds12.00Closing chance estimate90.8%Closing EV estimate+989.0%margin—Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate76.0%Closing EV estimate+2.6%margin10.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.87Closing chance estimate56.4%Closing EV estimate+5.5%margin7.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate36.9%Closing EV estimate−2.3%margin10.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.93
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance56.4%EV+8.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 18:20

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.93Closing chance estimate56.4%Closing EV estimate+8.9%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.93
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance56.4%EV+8.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 18:16

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.93Closing chance estimate56.4%Closing EV estimate+8.9%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance56.4%EV+10.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 16:40

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate56.4%Closing EV estimate+10.0%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 23:51: over 3.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Cards · Minnesota United total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 1.5Actual: 2+0.90u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds1.80
Odds down−0.10
Model chance at recommendation
59.0%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.70
Expected value at recommendation
+12.1%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 59.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.70. Expected value at recommendation: +12.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 1.5
    At recommendation1.90
    Closing odds1.80
    Odds down−0.10
    Model chance59.0%EV+12.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 16:04

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds7.10Closing chance estimate87.1%Closing EV estimate+518.5%margin10.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate60.7%Closing EV estimate+9.3%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance60.7%EV+3.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 04:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate60.7%Closing EV estimate+3.2%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.65
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance60.7%EV+0.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:35

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate60.7%Closing EV estimate+0.2%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate33.7%Closing EV estimate−0.7%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateover 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.89
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance60.7%EV+14.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 18:05

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.89Closing chance estimate60.7%Closing EV estimate+14.8%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 00:11: over 1.5 at 1.90 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Houston Dynamo total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 4.5Actual: 5+1.00u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds2.00
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
50.4%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.99
Expected value at recommendation
+0.8%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.99. Expected value at recommendation: +0.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 4.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Unchanged
    Model chance50.4%EV+0.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 06:06

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate49.7%Closing EV estimate−0.6%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance49.7%EV+4.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.16Closing chance estimate83.7%Closing EV estimate−2.9%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.48Closing chance estimate67.9%Closing EV estimate+0.5%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate49.7%Closing EV estimate+4.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate32.9%Closing EV estimate+5.2%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds5.20Closing chance estimate19.7%Closing EV estimate+2.4%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance49.7%EV-3.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate67.9%Closing EV estimate−1.6%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate49.7%Closing EV estimate−3.0%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate32.9%Closing EV estimate−8.0%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.06
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance49.7%EV+2.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 18:16

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.56Closing chance estimate67.9%Closing EV estimate+5.9%margin8.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.06Closing chance estimate49.7%Closing EV estimate+2.4%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate32.9%Closing EV estimate−6.3%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance49.7%EV+4.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:05

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate83.7%Closing EV estimate−4.5%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate67.9%Closing EV estimate−1.6%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate49.7%Closing EV estimate+4.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate32.9%Closing EV estimate+5.2%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds5.60Closing chance estimate19.7%Closing EV estimate+10.3%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance49.7%EV-3.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 16:40

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate83.7%Closing EV estimate−4.3%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate67.9%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate49.7%Closing EV estimate−3.0%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.88Closing chance estimate32.9%Closing EV estimate−5.5%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance49.7%EV-3.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 10:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1.5odds1.06Closing chance estimate94.2%Closing EV estimate−0.1%margin7.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds1.21Closing chance estimate83.7%Closing EV estimate+1.3%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.48Closing chance estimate67.9%Closing EV estimate+0.5%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate49.7%Closing EV estimate−3.0%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.67Closing chance estimate32.9%Closing EV estimate−12.2%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds3.85Closing chance estimate19.7%Closing EV estimate−24.2%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds5.60Closing chance estimate10.8%Closing EV estimate−39.8%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 11:11: over 4.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 23:51. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 24.5Actual: 20+0.82u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.82
Closing odds1.88
Odds up+0.06
Model chance at recommendation
66.7%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.51
Expected value at recommendation
+21.3%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 66.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.51. Expected value at recommendation: +21.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 24.5
    At recommendation1.82
    Closing odds1.88
    Odds up+0.06
    Model chance66.7%EV+21.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 14:14

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 24.5odds1.88Closing chance estimate65.9%Closing EV estimate+24.0%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 04:47: under 24.5 at 1.82 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots · Houston Dynamo total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 11.5Actual: 15−1.00u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.22
Closing odds2.07
Odds down−0.15
Model chance at recommendation
54.8%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.83
Expected value at recommendation
+21.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 54.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.83. Expected value at recommendation: +21.7%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 11.5
    At recommendation2.22
    Closing odds2.07
    Odds down−0.15
    Model chance54.8%EV+21.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 16:04

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 9.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate30.5%Closing EV estimate+0.8%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate41.4%Closing EV estimate+5.6%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11.5odds2.07Closing chance estimate52.6%Closing EV estimate+8.8%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5odds1.74Closing chance estimate63.2%Closing EV estimate+9.9%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5odds1.52Closing chance estimate72.6%Closing EV estimate+10.4%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 14.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate80.5%Closing EV estimate+9.4%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 15.5odds1.24Closing chance estimate86.6%Closing EV estimate+7.4%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 00:11: under 11.5 at 2.22 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results
Return+14.4%ROI · 5 units staked
Profit+0.72units
W / L3 / 2picks
Avg odds1.99settled picks
Recorded picks51 matches

Around this match

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