Minnesota United vs Houston Dynamo — MLS
MLSMLS 2026
Sat 10 Oct··Allianz Field·Drawn
Match overview
12 priority stats · full time- 2Corners5
- 2Cards0
- 15Shots15
- 6Shots on target6
- 16Fouls4
- 18Throw-ins13
- 0Offsides1
- 6Goal kicks11
- 4Saves4
- 15Tackles16
- 7Interceptions7
- 8Dribbles11
Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.
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Matches
Minnesota UnitedvHouston DynamoMLS3 won / 2 lost · +0.72u · 5 picks
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 55.8%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.80
- Expected value at recommendation
- +11.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 55.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.80. Expected value at recommendation: +11.7%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 3.5
Model chance55.8%EV+11.7%Odds down−0.17At recommendation2.00Closing odds1.83Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 11:40Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 3.5odds1.83Closing chance estimate56.4%Closing EV estimate+3.4%margin9.1%
BetliveAt recommendationover 3.5
Model chance55.8%EV+6.1%Odds down−0.15At recommendation1.90Closing odds1.75Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 01:32Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 1.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate90.8%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin13.9%
- over 2.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate76.0%Closing EV estimate−1.2%margin14.0%
- over 3.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate56.4%Closing EV estimate−1.3%margin14.3%
- over 4.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate36.9%Closing EV estimate−4.1%margin13.6%
- over 5.5odds3.95Closing chance estimate21.3%Closing EV estimate−15.9%margin13.8%
CrocobetAt recommendationover 3.5
Model chance55.8%EV+6.1%Odds down−0.15At recommendation1.90Closing odds1.75Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 01:36Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 1.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate90.8%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin13.9%
- over 2.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate76.0%Closing EV estimate−1.2%margin14.0%
- over 3.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate56.4%Closing EV estimate−1.3%margin14.3%
- over 4.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate36.9%Closing EV estimate−4.1%margin13.6%
- over 5.5odds3.95Closing chance estimate21.3%Closing EV estimate−15.9%margin13.8%
LiderbetAt recommendationover 3.5
Model chance55.8%EV+6.1%Odds down−0.15At recommendation1.90Closing odds1.75Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 01:37Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 1.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate90.8%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin13.9%
- over 2.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate76.0%Closing EV estimate−1.2%margin14.0%
- over 3.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate56.4%Closing EV estimate−1.3%margin14.3%
- over 4.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate36.9%Closing EV estimate−4.1%margin13.6%
- over 5.5odds3.95Closing chance estimate21.3%Closing EV estimate−15.9%margin13.8%
SuperbetAt recommendationover 3.5
Model chance55.8%EV+11.7%Odds down−0.13At recommendation2.00Closing odds1.87Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 16:04Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 0.5odds4.60Closing chance estimate98.1%Closing EV estimate+351.5%margin7.9%
- over 1.5odds12.00Closing chance estimate90.8%Closing EV estimate+989.0%margin—
- over 2.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate76.0%Closing EV estimate+2.6%margin10.4%
- over 3.5odds1.87Closing chance estimate56.4%Closing EV estimate+5.5%margin7.5%
- over 4.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate36.9%Closing EV estimate−2.3%margin10.2%
BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance56.4%EV+8.9%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.93Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 18:20Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.93Closing chance estimate56.4%Closing EV estimate+8.9%margin11.7%
KambiClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance56.4%EV+8.9%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.93Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 18:16Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.93Closing chance estimate56.4%Closing EV estimate+8.9%margin11.7%
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance56.4%EV+10.0%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.95Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 16:40Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate56.4%Closing EV estimate+10.0%margin9.2%
Recommendation record
Recorded 8 Oct, 23:51: over 3.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 59.0%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.70
- Expected value at recommendation
- +12.1%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 59.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.70. Expected value at recommendation: +12.1%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 1.5
Model chance59.0%EV+12.1%Odds down−0.10At recommendation1.90Closing odds1.80Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 16:04Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 0.5odds7.10Closing chance estimate87.1%Closing EV estimate+518.5%margin10.2%
- over 1.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate60.7%Closing EV estimate+9.3%margin8.2%
BetliveClosing estimateover 1.5
Model chance60.7%EV+3.2%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.70Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 04:33Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate60.7%Closing EV estimate+3.2%margin14.4%
CrocobetClosing estimateover 1.5
Model chance60.7%EV+0.2%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.65Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:35Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate60.7%Closing EV estimate+0.2%margin14.7%
- over 2.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate33.7%Closing EV estimate−0.7%margin13.9%
KambiClosing estimateover 1.5
Model chance60.7%EV+14.8%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.89Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 18:05Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.89Closing chance estimate60.7%Closing EV estimate+14.8%margin9.1%
Recommendation record
Recorded 9 Oct, 00:11: over 1.5 at 1.90 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 50.4%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.99
- Expected value at recommendation
- +0.8%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 50.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.99. Expected value at recommendation: +0.8%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 4.5
Model chance50.4%EV+0.8%UnchangedAt recommendation2.00Closing odds2.00Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 06:06Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate49.7%Closing EV estimate−0.6%margin7.9%
BetliveClosing estimateover 4.5
Model chance49.7%EV+4.4%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.10Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:02Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 2.5odds1.16Closing chance estimate83.7%Closing EV estimate−2.9%margin12.2%
- over 3.5odds1.48Closing chance estimate67.9%Closing EV estimate+0.5%margin12.0%
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate49.7%Closing EV estimate+4.4%margin12.1%
- over 5.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate32.9%Closing EV estimate+5.2%margin11.9%
- over 6.5odds5.20Closing chance estimate19.7%Closing EV estimate+2.4%margin11.8%
CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.5
Model chance49.7%EV-3.0%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.95Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:34Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 3.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate67.9%Closing EV estimate−1.6%margin14.4%
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate49.7%Closing EV estimate−3.0%margin13.8%
- over 5.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate32.9%Closing EV estimate−8.0%margin13.8%
KambiClosing estimateover 4.5
Model chance49.7%EV+2.4%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.06Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 18:16Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 3.5odds1.56Closing chance estimate67.9%Closing EV estimate+5.9%margin8.9%
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.06Closing chance estimate49.7%Closing EV estimate+2.4%margin9.1%
- over 5.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate32.9%Closing EV estimate−6.3%margin9.2%
LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.5
Model chance49.7%EV+4.4%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.10Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:05Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 2.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate83.7%Closing EV estimate−4.5%margin12.7%
- over 3.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate67.9%Closing EV estimate−1.6%margin13.4%
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate49.7%Closing EV estimate+4.4%margin12.1%
- over 5.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate32.9%Closing EV estimate+5.2%margin13.2%
- over 6.5odds5.60Closing chance estimate19.7%Closing EV estimate+10.3%margin13.1%
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 4.5
Model chance49.7%EV-3.0%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.95Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 16:40Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 2.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate83.7%Closing EV estimate−4.3%margin8.3%
- over 3.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate67.9%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin7.7%
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate49.7%Closing EV estimate−3.0%margin8.4%
- over 5.5odds2.88Closing chance estimate32.9%Closing EV estimate−5.5%margin8.1%
SuperbetClosing estimateover 4.5
Model chance49.7%EV-3.0%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.95Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 10:34Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 1.5odds1.06Closing chance estimate94.2%Closing EV estimate−0.1%margin7.5%
- over 2.5odds1.21Closing chance estimate83.7%Closing EV estimate+1.3%margin7.6%
- over 3.5odds1.48Closing chance estimate67.9%Closing EV estimate+0.5%margin8.1%
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate49.7%Closing EV estimate−3.0%margin7.8%
- over 5.5odds2.67Closing chance estimate32.9%Closing EV estimate−12.2%margin7.9%
- over 6.5odds3.85Closing chance estimate19.7%Closing EV estimate−24.2%margin7.9%
- over 7.5odds5.60Closing chance estimate10.8%Closing EV estimate−39.8%margin7.9%
Recommendation record
Recorded 8 Oct, 11:11: over 4.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 23:51. The original pick remains in the results.
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 66.7%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.51
- Expected value at recommendation
- +21.3%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 66.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.51. Expected value at recommendation: +21.3%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 24.5
Model chance66.7%EV+21.3%Odds up+0.06At recommendation1.82Closing odds1.88Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 14:14Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 24.5odds1.88Closing chance estimate65.9%Closing EV estimate+24.0%margin8.1%
Recommendation record
Recorded 9 Oct, 04:47: under 24.5 at 1.82 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 54.8%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.83
- Expected value at recommendation
- +21.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 54.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.83. Expected value at recommendation: +21.7%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 11.5
Model chance54.8%EV+21.7%Odds down−0.15At recommendation2.22Closing odds2.07Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 16:04Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 9.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate30.5%Closing EV estimate+0.8%margin7.8%
- under 10.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate41.4%Closing EV estimate+5.6%margin8.2%
- under 11.5odds2.07Closing chance estimate52.6%Closing EV estimate+8.8%margin8.2%
- under 12.5odds1.74Closing chance estimate63.2%Closing EV estimate+9.9%margin8.2%
- under 13.5odds1.52Closing chance estimate72.6%Closing EV estimate+10.4%margin8.0%
- under 14.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate80.5%Closing EV estimate+9.4%margin7.8%
- under 15.5odds1.24Closing chance estimate86.6%Closing EV estimate+7.4%margin8.0%
Recommendation record
Recorded 9 Oct, 00:11: under 11.5 at 2.22 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.
Predictions
This match
Around this match
Previous meetings
- Wed 25 JunMinnesota United 3-1 Houston Dynamo
- Wed 14 MayHouston Dynamo 2-0 Minnesota United
- Sat 13 JulHouston Dynamo 1-1 Minnesota United
- Sat 13 AprMinnesota United 1-2 Houston Dynamo
- Wed 12 JulHouston Dynamo 0-3 Minnesota United
- Wed 17 MayMinnesota United 1-0 Houston Dynamo
- Sat 27 AugMinnesota United 2-1 Houston Dynamo
- Sat 23 JulHouston Dynamo 1-2 Minnesota United
- Sat 25 SepMinnesota United 2-0 Houston Dynamo
- Sat 28 AugHouston Dynamo 1-2 Minnesota United