Middlesbrough vs Wolverhampton 1-0 — Championship

ChampionshipChampionship 26/27

Middlesbrough

1–0

HT 0–0

Wolverhampton

Sat 10 Oct·08:00·Matchday 9·Riverside·Middlesbrough won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

4Corners6
3Cards3
14Shots12
6Shots on target2
11Fouls12
16Throw-ins14
3Offsides2
9Goal kicks8
2Saves5
15Tackles22
8Interceptions8
9Dribbles12

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta · Virtual simulation

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

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Board

Matches

1 match

08:00MiddlesbroughvWolverhamptonChampionship3 won / 7 lost · −3.95u · 10 picks

Cards · match total

Open match →FreeWon

over 3.5Actual: 6+0.85u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.857 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 56.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.79
Expected value at recommendation: +3.6%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 56.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.79. Expected value at recommendation: +3.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.0%EV+3.6%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.20
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.0%EV+16.6%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.81
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.0%EV-4.0%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.20
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.0%EV+16.6%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.20
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.0%EV+16.6%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.82
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.0%EV-3.5%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.20
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.0%EV+16.6%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.05
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.0%EV+8.7%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 3.5 at 1.85 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · match total

Open match →FreeLost

over 10.5Actual: 10−1.00u on one unit

Paddy Powerrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.918 Oct, 08:06

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 52.7%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.90
Expected value at recommendation: +0.6%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.90. Expected value at recommendation: +0.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetMGM UKAt recommendationover 10.5
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.1%EV+0.0%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy Powerresult priceAt recommendationover 10.5
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.7%EV+0.6%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.83
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.7%EV-1.5%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.7%EV-5.9%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.7%EV-5.9%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.86
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.7%EV-0.0%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.7%EV-5.9%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.7%EV-0.6%
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 08:06: over 10.5 at 1.91 with Paddy Power. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 11:26. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Middlesbrough total

Open match →FreeWon

under 5.5Actual: 4+1.10u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.108 Oct, 04:34

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 53.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.88
Expected value at recommendation: +12.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.88. Expected value at recommendation: +12.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 5.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.4%EV+12.1%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveAt recommendationunder 5.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.3%EV+6.7%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetAt recommendationunder 5.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.0%EV+2.0%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetAt recommendationunder 5.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.3%EV+6.7%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerAt recommendationunder 5.5
At recommendation2.20
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.4%EV+17.5%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.98
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.6%EV+4.1%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.07
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.6%EV+8.9%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 04:34: under 5.5 at 2.10 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 01:19. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Wolverhampton total

Open match →FreeWon

over 4.5Actual: 6+1.10u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.108 Oct, 04:34

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 62.9%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.59
Expected value at recommendation: +32.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 62.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.59. Expected value at recommendation: +32.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance62.9%EV+32.2%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance63.6%EV+20.9%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance63.6%EV+17.7%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.07
No saved recommendation
Model chance63.6%EV+31.7%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance63.6%EV+20.9%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance63.6%EV+27.2%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance63.6%EV+27.2%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 04:34: over 4.5 at 2.10 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Goals · Middlesbrough total

Open match →FreeLost

over 1.5Actual: 1−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.858 Oct, 11:11

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 54.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.84
Expected value at recommendation: +1.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 54.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.84. Expected value at recommendation: +1.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationover 1.5
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.6%EV+1.1%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetAt recommendationover 1.5
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.6%EV+1.1%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetAt recommendationover 1.5
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.6%EV+1.1%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetAt recommendationover 1.5
At recommendation1.92
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.2%EV+4.0%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.4%EV-0.3%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 11:11: over 1.5 at 1.85 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 13:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Result corrected: Provider full-time score differs from the originally recorded goal result.

Goals · Wolverhampton total

Open match →FreeLost

over 1.5Actual: 0−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.058 Oct, 11:36

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 50.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 2.00
Expected value at recommendation: +2.6%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 2.00. Expected value at recommendation: +2.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationover 1.5
At recommendation2.05
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.0%EV+2.6%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetAt recommendationover 1.5
At recommendation2.05
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.0%EV+2.6%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetAt recommendationover 1.5
At recommendation2.05
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.0%EV+2.6%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.38
No saved recommendation
Model chance49.0%EV+16.4%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.35
No saved recommendation
Model chance49.0%EV+15.2%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 11:36: over 1.5 at 2.05 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 18:22. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPLost

over 28.5Actual: 26−1.00u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0510 Oct, 05:42

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 63.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.58
Expected value at recommendation: +30.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 63.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.58. Expected value at recommendation: +30.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 28.5
At recommendation2.05
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance63.6%EV+30.4%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 28.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.97
No saved recommendation
Model chance63.6%EV+25.3%
10 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 05:42: over 28.5 at 2.05 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots · Middlesbrough total

Open match →VIPLost

over 15.5Actual: 14−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.259 Oct, 09:47

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 58.7%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.71
Expected value at recommendation: +32.0%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 58.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.71. Expected value at recommendation: +32.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

LiderbetClosing estimateover 15.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.20
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.9%EV+20.7%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 15.5
At recommendation2.25
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance58.7%EV+32.0%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 09:47: over 15.5 at 2.25 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreeLost

over 9.5Actual: 8−1.00u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0510 Oct, 05:42

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 53.7%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.87
Expected value at recommendation: +10.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.87. Expected value at recommendation: +10.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

CrocobetAt recommendationover 9.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.7%EV+12.8%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 9.5
At recommendation2.05
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.7%EV+10.1%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.7%EV-0.7%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.02
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.7%EV+8.5%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 05:42: over 9.5 at 2.05 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots on target · Wolverhampton total

Open match →FreeLost

over 4.5Actual: 2−1.00u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.088 Oct, 11:36

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 51.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.94
Expected value at recommendation: +7.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.94. Expected value at recommendation: +7.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation2.08
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.6%EV+7.3%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.20
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.5%EV+11.0%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.05
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.5%EV+3.5%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.07
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.5%EV+4.5%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 11:36: over 4.5 at 2.08 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return−39.5%ROI · 10 units staked

Profit−3.95units

W / L3 / 7picks

Avg odds2.03settled picks

Recorded picks101 matches

Around this match

CompetitionChampionship Home teamMiddlesbrough Away teamWolverhampton RefereeFarai Hallam