Malta vs Andorra 1-0 — UEFA Nations League

UEFA Nations LeagueUEFA Nations League 26/27

Malta

1–0

HT 0–0

Andorra

Sun 4 Oct·10:00·Matchday 4·National Stadium Ta' Qali·Malta won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

6Corners5
2Cards3
12Shots12
6Shots on target3
14Fouls16
16Throw-ins15
1Offsides1
5Goal kicks10
3Saves5
17Tackles22
8Interceptions5
8Dribbles11

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

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We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

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Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

10:00

Maltav

AndorraUEFA Nations League5 won / 7 lost · −0.42u · 12 picks

Cards · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 5.5Actual: 5−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.254 Oct, 09:08

Closing odds2.254 Oct, 02:46

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 5.5
At recommendation2.25
Closing odds2.25
Unchanged
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:46
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate82.2%Closing EV estimate+6.9%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 4.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate68.2%Closing EV estimate+12.5%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.25Closing chance estimate52.1%Closing EV estimate+17.2%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 6.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate36.7%Closing EV estimate+21.0%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
CrocobetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.1%EV+9.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 07:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.07Closing chance estimate92.3%Closing EV estimate−1.3%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 07:30
- over 3.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate82.2%Closing EV estimate+5.3%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 07:30
- over 4.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate68.2%Closing EV estimate+9.1%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 07:30
- over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate52.1%Closing EV estimate+9.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 07:30
- over 6.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate36.7%Closing EV estimate+8.2%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 07:30
LiderbetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.1%EV-3.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:47
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5odds1.42Closing chance estimate68.2%Closing EV estimate−3.2%margin13.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate52.1%Closing EV estimate−3.6%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- over 6.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate36.7%Closing EV estimate−10.2%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
SuperbetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.1%EV-1.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 07:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds3.35Closing chance estimate99.6%Closing EV estimate+233.8%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 2 Oct, 15:02
- over 1.5odds12.00Closing chance estimate97.7%Closing EV estimate+1072.0%margin—Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:48
- over 3.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate82.2%Closing EV estimate+4.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 2 Oct, 11:33
- over 4.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate68.2%Closing EV estimate−1.2%margin9.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 07:02
- over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate52.1%Closing EV estimate−1.0%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 07:02
- over 6.5odds2.52Closing chance estimate36.7%Closing EV estimate−7.6%margin10.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 07:02

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 09:08: over 5.5 at 2.25 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Corners · Andorra total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 2.5Actual: 5+0.83u on one unit

BetMGM UKrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.834 Oct, 09:08

Closing odds1.844 Oct, 09:40

Odds up+0.01

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365Original model estimate unavailableover 2.5
At recommendation1.80
Closing odds1.80
Unchanged
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 09:40
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate56.3%Closing EV estimate+1.3%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 09:40
BetMGM UKresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 2.5
At recommendation1.83
Closing odds1.84
Odds up+0.01
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 09:40
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.84Closing chance estimate56.3%Closing EV estimate+3.5%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 09:40
CrocobetOriginal model estimate unavailableover 2.5
At recommendation1.80
Closing odds1.80
Unchanged
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 04:00
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate78.6%Closing EV estimate−1.7%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 04:00
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate56.3%Closing EV estimate+1.3%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 04:00
- over 3.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate34.6%Closing EV estimate−1.4%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 04:00
- over 4.5odds5.25Closing chance estimate18.5%Closing EV estimate−2.8%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 04:00
- over 5.5odds9.00Closing chance estimate8.7%Closing EV estimate−21.3%margin10.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 04:00
KambiOriginal model estimate unavailableover 2.5
At recommendation1.79
Closing odds1.84
Odds up+0.05
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 09:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.84Closing chance estimate56.3%Closing EV estimate+3.5%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 09:32
- over 3.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate34.6%Closing EV estimate−11.8%margin10.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:49
BetliveClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.65
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.3%EV-7.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 09:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate78.6%Closing EV estimate−7.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 09:30
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate56.3%Closing EV estimate−7.2%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 09:30
- over 3.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate34.6%Closing EV estimate−10.0%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 09:30
- over 4.5odds4.65Closing chance estimate18.5%Closing EV estimate−13.9%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 09:30
- over 5.5odds8.30Closing chance estimate8.7%Closing EV estimate−27.5%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
LiderbetClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.65
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.3%EV-7.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 09:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.17Closing chance estimate78.6%Closing EV estimate−8.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 09:31
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate56.3%Closing EV estimate−7.2%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 09:31
- over 3.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate34.6%Closing EV estimate−8.3%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 09:31
- over 4.5odds4.90Closing chance estimate18.5%Closing EV estimate−9.3%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 09:31
- over 5.5odds9.70Closing chance estimate8.7%Closing EV estimate−15.2%margin—Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 09:31
SuperbetClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.77
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.3%EV-0.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 08:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.06Closing chance estimate94.3%Closing EV estimate+0.0%margin7.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 08:02
- over 1.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate78.6%Closing EV estimate+2.2%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 08:02
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.77Closing chance estimate56.3%Closing EV estimate−0.4%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 08:02
- over 3.5odds2.62Closing chance estimate34.6%Closing EV estimate−9.4%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 08:02
- over 4.5odds4.10Closing chance estimate18.5%Closing EV estimate−24.1%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 08:02
- over 5.5odds6.50Closing chance estimate8.7%Closing EV estimate−43.2%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 08:02
- over 6.5odds10.00Closing chance estimate3.7%Closing EV estimate−63.0%margin7.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 08:02

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 09:08: over 2.5 at 1.83 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Fouls · Malta total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 13.5Actual: 14+1.95u on one unit

Crocobetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.954 Oct, 09:08

Closing odds2.954 Oct, 02:47

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Crocobetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 13.5
At recommendation2.95
Closing odds2.95
Unchanged
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:47
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 9.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate83.2%Closing EV estimate+8.2%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- over 10.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate75.9%Closing EV estimate+17.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- over 11.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate67.4%Closing EV estimate+24.7%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- over 12.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate58.3%Closing EV estimate+34.0%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- over 13.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.95Closing chance estimate49.0%Closing EV estimate+44.5%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 09:08: over 13.5 at 2.95 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Fouls · Andorra total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 17.5Actual: 16+1.30u on one unit

Crocobetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.304 Oct, 09:19

Closing odds2.304 Oct, 02:47

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 17.5
At recommendation2.25
Closing odds2.25
Unchanged
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:46
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 17.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.25Closing chance estimate50.4%Closing EV estimate+13.5%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 18.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate58.0%Closing EV estimate+10.3%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 19.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate65.2%Closing EV estimate+7.6%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 20.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate71.7%Closing EV estimate+4.0%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
Crocobetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 17.5
At recommendation2.30
Closing odds2.30
Unchanged
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:47
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 17.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.30Closing chance estimate50.4%Closing EV estimate+16.0%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- under 18.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate58.0%Closing EV estimate+10.3%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- under 19.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate65.2%Closing EV estimate+7.6%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- under 20.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate71.7%Closing EV estimate+4.0%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- under 21.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate77.4%Closing EV estimate+0.7%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 09:19: under 17.5 at 2.30 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Goal kicks · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 14.5Actual: 15+0.85u on one unit

Crocobetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.854 Oct, 09:08

Closing odds1.854 Oct, 02:47

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Crocobetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 14.5
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds1.85
Unchanged
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:47
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 12.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate55.4%Closing EV estimate−26.4%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- over 13.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate45.2%Closing EV estimate−30.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- over 14.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate35.6%Closing EV estimate−34.2%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- over 15.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate27.0%Closing EV estimate−40.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- over 16.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate19.8%Closing EV estimate−45.5%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
BetliveClosing estimateover 14.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance35.6%EV-35.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:46
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 12.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate55.4%Closing EV estimate−26.9%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 13.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate45.2%Closing EV estimate−32.2%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 14.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate35.6%Closing EV estimate−35.9%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 15.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate27.0%Closing EV estimate−43.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 16.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate19.8%Closing EV estimate−47.5%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 09:08: over 14.5 at 1.85 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Goal kicks · Andorra total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 9.5Actual: 10+1.65u on one unit

Crocobetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.654 Oct, 09:08

Closing odds2.654 Oct, 02:47

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveOriginal model estimate unavailableover 9.5
At recommendation2.45
Closing odds2.45
Unchanged
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:46
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 7.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate52.1%Closing EV estimate−21.9%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 8.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate38.8%Closing EV estimate−26.3%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.45Closing chance estimate27.2%Closing EV estimate−33.4%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
Crocobetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 9.5
At recommendation2.65
Closing odds2.65
Unchanged
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:47
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 7.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate52.1%Closing EV estimate−19.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- over 8.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate38.8%Closing EV estimate−24.4%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.65Closing chance estimate27.2%Closing EV estimate−28.0%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 09:08: over 9.5 at 2.65 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 7.5Actual: 9−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.304 Oct, 09:19

Closing odds2.304 Oct, 02:46

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 7.5
At recommendation2.30
Closing odds2.30
Unchanged
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:46
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 7.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.4%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 8.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate78.9%Closing EV estimate+42.0%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 9.5odds1.48Closing chance estimate87.2%Closing EV estimate+29.1%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 10.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate92.7%Closing EV estimate+17.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
CrocobetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 7.5
At recommendation2.20
Closing odds2.20
Unchanged
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 04:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 6.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate53.5%Closing EV estimate+66.0%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 04:30
- under 7.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 04:30
- under 8.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate78.9%Closing EV estimate+34.1%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 04:30
- under 9.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate87.2%Closing EV estimate+22.1%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 04:30
- under 10.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate92.7%Closing EV estimate+11.3%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 04:30
LiderbetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 7.5
At recommendation2.20
Closing odds2.20
Unchanged
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 07:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 6.5odds3.05Closing chance estimate53.5%Closing EV estimate+63.3%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 07:31
- under 7.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 4 Oct, 07:31
- under 8.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate78.9%Closing EV estimate+30.2%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 07:31
- under 9.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate87.2%Closing EV estimate+19.5%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 07:31
- under 10.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate92.7%Closing EV estimate+9.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 07:31

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 09:19: under 7.5 at 2.30 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots on target · Malta total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 4.5Actual: 6−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.004 Oct, 09:08

Closing odds2.004 Oct, 02:46

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 4.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds2.00
Unchanged
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:46
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate63.8%Closing EV estimate+27.7%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 5.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate78.9%Closing EV estimate+18.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
CrocobetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 4.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds2.00
Unchanged
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:47
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 3.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate44.8%Closing EV estimate+38.9%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate63.8%Closing EV estimate+27.7%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- under 5.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate78.9%Closing EV estimate+18.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
LiderbetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 4.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds2.00
Unchanged
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 07:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate63.8%Closing EV estimate+27.7%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 07:31
- under 5.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate78.9%Closing EV estimate+14.4%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 07:31

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 09:08: under 4.5 at 2.00 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots on target · Andorra total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 2.5Actual: 3−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.804 Oct, 09:08

Closing odds2.804 Oct, 02:46

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 2.5
At recommendation2.80
Closing odds2.80
Unchanged
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:46
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.80Closing chance estimate54.3%Closing EV estimate+52.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 3.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate75.3%Closing EV estimate+35.6%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- under 4.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate88.6%Closing EV estimate+20.5%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
CrocobetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 2.5
At recommendation2.45
Closing odds2.45
Unchanged
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 04:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.45Closing chance estimate54.3%Closing EV estimate+33.0%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 04:30
- under 3.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate75.3%Closing EV estimate+20.5%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 04:30
- under 4.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate88.6%Closing EV estimate+10.8%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 04:30
LiderbetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 2.5
At recommendation2.50
Closing odds2.50
Unchanged
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 07:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.50Closing chance estimate54.3%Closing EV estimate+35.7%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 07:31
- under 3.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate75.3%Closing EV estimate+20.5%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 07:31

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 09:08: under 2.5 at 2.80 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Throw-ins · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 47.5Actual: 31−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.404 Oct, 09:08

Closing odds2.404 Oct, 02:46

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 47.5
At recommendation2.40
Closing odds2.40
Unchanged
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:46
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 41.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate63.3%Closing EV estimate−13.9%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 42.5odds1.48Closing chance estimate58.9%Closing EV estimate−12.9%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 43.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate54.4%Closing EV estimate−12.9%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 44.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate49.9%Closing EV estimate−12.6%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 45.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate45.5%Closing EV estimate−11.2%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 46.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate41.2%Closing EV estimate−11.4%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 47.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.40Closing chance estimate37.0%Closing EV estimate−11.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 09:08: over 47.5 at 2.40 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Throw-ins · Malta total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 24.5Actual: 16−1.00u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.004 Oct, 09:08

Closing odds2.004 Oct, 04:01

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveOriginal model estimate unavailableover 24.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds1.95
Unchanged
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:46
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 21.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate60.3%Closing EV estimate−17.3%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 22.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate53.3%Closing EV estimate−20.0%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 23.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate46.4%Closing EV estimate−18.9%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 24.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate39.6%Closing EV estimate−22.7%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 25.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate33.3%Closing EV estimate−23.4%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
CrocobetOriginal model estimate unavailableover 24.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds1.95
Unchanged
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:47
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 22.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate53.3%Closing EV estimate−17.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- over 23.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate46.4%Closing EV estimate−18.9%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- over 24.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate39.6%Closing EV estimate−22.7%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
Liderbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 24.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds2.00
Unchanged
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 04:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 22.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate53.3%Closing EV estimate−14.7%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 04:01
- over 23.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate46.4%Closing EV estimate−16.5%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 04:01
- over 24.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate39.6%Closing EV estimate−20.7%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 04:01

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 09:08: over 24.5 at 2.00 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Throw-ins · Andorra total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 21.5Actual: 15−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.004 Oct, 09:08

Closing odds2.004 Oct, 02:46

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 21.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds2.00
Unchanged
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:46
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 19.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate63.5%Closing EV estimate−4.8%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 20.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate56.2%Closing EV estimate−1.7%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 21.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate48.9%Closing EV estimate−2.3%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
- over 22.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate41.7%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:46
CrocobetOriginal model estimate unavailableover 21.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds1.95
Unchanged
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:47
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 19.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate63.5%Closing EV estimate−1.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- over 20.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate56.2%Closing EV estimate−1.7%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47
- over 21.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate48.9%Closing EV estimate−4.7%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 4 Oct, 02:47

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 09:08: over 21.5 at 2.00 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return−3.5%ROI · 12 units staked

Profit−0.42units

W / L5 / 7picks

Avg odds2.28settled picks

Recorded picks121 matches

Around this match

CompetitionUEFA Nations League Home teamMalta Away teamAndorra RefereeMikkel Redder

Match overview

Matches

Cards · match total

Corners · Andorra total

Fouls · Malta total

Fouls · Andorra total

Goal kicks · match total

Goal kicks · Andorra total

Shots on target · match total

Shots on target · Malta total

Shots on target · Andorra total

Throw-ins · match total

Throw-ins · Malta total

Throw-ins · Andorra total

This match

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