Mallorca vs Las Palmas 3-1 — LaLiga 2

LaLiga 2LaLiga 2 26/27

Mallorca

3–1

HT 1–0

Las Palmas

Sun 11 Oct·10:30·Matchday 9·Estadi de Son Moix·Mallorca won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

7Corners2
1Cards3
12Shots4
6Shots on target2
14Fouls15
15Throw-ins15
6Offsides0
4Goal kicks7
1Saves3
15Tackles22
12Interceptions9
8Dribbles1

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

Independence, method & limitations

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

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0Free available0VIP available4Recorded Free2Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

10:30MallorcavLas PalmasLaLiga 22 won / 4 lost · −1.78u · 6 picks

Corners · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 8.5Actual: 9−1.00u on one unit

BetMGM UKrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.287 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 53.8%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.86
Expected value at recommendation: +22.6%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.86. Expected value at recommendation: +22.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationunder 8.5
At recommendation2.28
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.8%EV+22.6%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.0%EV-0.6%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.0%EV-0.6%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.0%EV-0.6%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.07
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.0%EV+5.5%
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: under 8.5 at 2.28 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Las Palmas total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 3.5Actual: 2+1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.007 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 53.9%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.86
Expected value at recommendation: +7.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.86. Expected value at recommendation: +7.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 3.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.9%EV+7.9%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.6%EV+6.4%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.6%EV+6.4%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.94
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.6%EV+5.9%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.6%EV+6.4%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.6%EV+9.1%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: under 3.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 25.5Actual: 16−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.1710 Oct, 05:47

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 58.1%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.73
Expected value at recommendation: +26.0%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 58.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.73. Expected value at recommendation: +26.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 25.5
At recommendation2.17
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance58.1%EV+26.0%
10 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 25.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance58.8%EV+11.8%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 05:47: over 25.5 at 2.17 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 11:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Mallorca total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 15.5Actual: 12−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0010 Oct, 05:47

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 55.8%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.80
Expected value at recommendation: +11.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 55.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.80. Expected value at recommendation: +11.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 15.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.8%EV+11.5%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 15.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.9%EV+1.8%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 05:47: over 15.5 at 2.00 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 00:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 8.5Actual: 8−1.00u on one unit

Crocobetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0011 Oct, 05:18

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 59.7%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.68
Expected value at recommendation: +19.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 59.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.68. Expected value at recommendation: +19.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationover 8.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance59.7%EV+19.5%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance62.4%EV+18.6%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.07
No saved recommendation
Model chance62.4%EV+29.3%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 05:18: over 8.5 at 2.00 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 06:18. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · Mallorca total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 5.5Actual: 6+1.22u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.2210 Oct, 05:47

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 52.3%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.92
Expected value at recommendation: +16.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.92. Expected value at recommendation: +16.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 5.5
At recommendation2.22
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.3%EV+16.1%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.4%EV+10.9%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.05
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.4%EV+13.7%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 05:47: over 5.5 at 2.22 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 00:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return−29.7%ROI · 6 units staked

Profit−1.78units

W / L2 / 4picks

Avg odds2.11settled picks

Recorded picks61 matches

Around this match

CompetitionLaLiga 2 Home teamMallorca Away teamLas Palmas RefereeGorka Etayo Herrera

Match overview

Matches

Corners · match total

Corners · Las Palmas total

Shots · match total

Shots · Mallorca total

Shots on target · match total

Shots on target · Mallorca total

This match

Around this match

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