Le Havre vs Auxerre 1-3 — Ligue 1

Ligue 1Ligue 1 26/27

Le Havre

1–3

Auxerre

Yesterday·09:15·Matchday 7·Stade Oceane·Auxerre won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

7Corners4
1Cards2
15Shots13
6Shots on target6
16Fouls22
27Throw-ins17
2Offsides2
6Goal kicks7
3Saves6
29Tackles16
12Interceptions10
5Dribbles10

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta · Virtual simulation

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

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Board

Matches

1 match

09:15Le HavrevAuxerreLigue 13 won / 2 lost · +0.82u · 5 picks

Fouls · match total

Open match →FreeLost

under 24.5Actual: 38−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.1718 Oct, 07:42

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 54.8%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.83
Expected value at recommendation: +19.0%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 54.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.83. Expected value at recommendation: +19.0%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 275 settled picksand +5.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 24.5
At recommendation2.17
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.8%EV+19.0%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 24.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
13 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 24.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 24.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.55
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 18 Oct, 07:42: under 24.5 at 2.17 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPWon

over 25.5Actual: 28+1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0016 Oct, 09:36

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 65.7%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.53
Expected value at recommendation: +31.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 65.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.53. Expected value at recommendation: +31.4%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 266 settled picksand +11.6% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveAt recommendationover 25.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance72.6%EV+45.3%
13 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetAt recommendationover 25.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance72.6%EV+41.6%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiAt recommendationover 25.5
At recommendation2.20
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance65.7%EV+44.6%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 25.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance65.7%EV+31.4%
10 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 25.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 25.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 16 Oct, 09:36: over 25.5 at 2.00 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 16 Oct, 12:15. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Le Havre total

Open match →FreeWon

over 13.5Actual: 15+0.95u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9516 Oct, 09:36

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 63.8%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.57
Expected value at recommendation: +24.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 63.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.57. Expected value at recommendation: +24.4%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 193 settled picksand +6.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveAt recommendationover 13.5
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance68.5%EV+26.7%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetAt recommendationover 13.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance68.5%EV+30.1%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiAt recommendationover 13.5
At recommendation1.83
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance69.9%EV+27.9%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetAt recommendationover 13.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance68.5%EV+30.1%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 13.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance63.8%EV+24.4%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 16 Oct, 09:36: over 13.5 at 1.95 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 16 Oct, 12:15. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · Le Havre total

Open match →FreeWon

over 4.5Actual: 6+0.87u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.8718 Oct, 07:18

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 54.9%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.83
Expected value at recommendation: +2.7%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 54.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.83. Expected value at recommendation: +2.7%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 163 settled picksand +9.1% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation1.87
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.9%EV+2.7%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.83
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 18 Oct, 07:18: over 4.5 at 1.87 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Throw-ins · Auxerre total

Open match →FreeLost

over 17.5Actual: 17−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.8518 Oct, 03:42

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 56.7%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.77
Expected value at recommendation: +5.0%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 56.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.77. Expected value at recommendation: +5.0%.

At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 55 settled picksand +4.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationover 17.5
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.7%EV+5.0%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 17.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 18 Oct, 03:42: over 17.5 at 1.85 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return+16.4%ROI · 5 units staked

Profit+0.82units

W / L3 / 2picks

Avg odds1.97settled picks

Recorded picks51 matches

Around this match

CompetitionLigue 1 Home teamLe Havre Away teamAuxerre RefereeWattellier, Eric

Matches

Fouls · match total

Shots · match total

Shots · Le Havre total

Shots on target · Le Havre total

Throw-ins · Auxerre total

This match

Around this match

Previous meetings