Le Havre vs Auxerre 1-3 — Ligue 1

Ligue 1Ligue 1 26/27

Le Havre

1–3

HT 0–1

Auxerre

Sun 18 Oct·09:15·Matchday 7·Stade Oceane·Auxerre won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

7Corners4
1Cards2
15Shots13
6Shots on target6
16Fouls22
27Throw-ins17
2Offsides2
6Goal kicks7
3Saves6
29Tackles16
12Interceptions10
5Dribbles10

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

Independence, method & limitations

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

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0Free available0VIP available4Recorded Free1Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

09:15Le HavrevAuxerreLigue 13 won / 2 lost · +0.82u · 5 picks

Fouls · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 24.5Actual: 38−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.1718 Oct, 07:42

Closing odds2.1718 Oct, 03:09

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: 54.8%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.83
Expected value at recommendation: +19.0%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 54.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.83. Expected value at recommendation: +19.0%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 275 settled picksand +5.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 24.5
At recommendation2.17
Closing odds2.17
Unchanged
Model chance54.8%EV+19.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 06:52
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 23.5odds2.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.9%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 02:38
- under 24.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.17Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.8%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:09
- under 25.5odds1.87Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 06:24
- under 26.5odds1.66Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.9%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 06:52
BetliveClosing estimateunder 24.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 03:42
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 22.5odds2.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:42
- under 23.5odds2.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:42
- under 24.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:42
- under 25.5odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:42
- under 26.5odds1.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.3%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:42
- under 27.5odds1.42Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:42
- under 28.5odds1.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:42
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 24.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 05:41
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 20.5odds3.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.3%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 05:41
- under 21.5odds2.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 05:41
- under 22.5odds2.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 05:41
- under 23.5odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 05:41
- under 24.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 05:41
- under 25.5odds1.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 05:41
- under 26.5odds1.28Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 05:41
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 24.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.55
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 08:29
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 20.5odds2.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 08:29
- under 21.5odds2.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 08:29
- under 22.5odds2.05Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.3%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 08:29
- under 23.5odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 08:29
- under 24.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.3%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 08:29
- under 25.5odds1.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 08:29
- under 26.5odds1.28Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 08:29

Recommendation record

Recorded 18 Oct, 07:42: under 24.5 at 2.17 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 25.5Actual: 28+1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0016 Oct, 09:36

Closing odds1.6518 Oct, 09:04

Odds down−0.35

Model chance at recommendation: 65.7%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.53
Expected value at recommendation: +31.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 65.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.53. Expected value at recommendation: +31.4%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 266 settled picksand +11.6% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveAt recommendationover 25.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds2.00
Unchanged
Model chance72.6%EV+45.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 03:42
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 21.5odds1.27Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:42
- over 22.5odds1.39Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:42
- over 23.5odds1.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:42
- over 24.5odds1.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.2%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:42
- over 25.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:42
- over 26.5odds2.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:42
- over 27.5odds2.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:42
CrocobetAt recommendationover 25.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds1.95
Unchanged
Model chance72.6%EV+41.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 04:10
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 21.5odds1.22Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.3%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 04:10
- over 22.5odds1.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 04:10
- over 23.5odds1.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 04:10
- over 24.5odds1.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 04:10
- over 25.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 04:10
- over 26.5odds2.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.4%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 04:10
- over 27.5odds2.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.6%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 04:10
KambiAt recommendationover 25.5
At recommendation2.20
Closing odds1.89
Odds down−0.31
Model chance65.7%EV+44.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 08:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 22.5odds1.41Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.9%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 06:39
- over 23.5odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 08:25
- over 24.5odds1.68Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 08:32
- over 25.5odds1.89Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.0%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 08:32
- over 26.5odds2.17Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.0%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 08:32
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 25.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds1.65
Odds down−0.35
Model chance65.7%EV+31.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 09:08
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 21.5odds1.16Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.2%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 06:36
- over 22.5odds1.23Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.3%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 09:08
- over 23.5odds1.32Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.2%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 09:01
- over 24.5odds1.47Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.0%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 09:06
- over 25.5odds1.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.2%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 09:04
- over 26.5odds1.88Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 09:01
- over 27.5odds2.17Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.6%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 09:01
- over 28.5odds2.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.9%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 09:01
- over 29.5odds2.92Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.6%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 09:01
- over 30.5odds3.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.5%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 09:01
Bet365Closing estimateover 25.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 15:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 25.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.9%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 15:01
LiderbetClosing estimateover 25.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 08:29
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 21.5odds1.28Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 08:29
- over 22.5odds1.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 08:29
- over 23.5odds1.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 08:29
- over 24.5odds1.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.7%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 08:29
- over 25.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 08:29
- over 26.5odds2.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 08:29
- over 27.5odds2.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 08:29

Recommendation record

Recorded 16 Oct, 09:36: over 25.5 at 2.00 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 16 Oct, 12:15. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Le Havre total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 13.5Actual: 15+0.95u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9516 Oct, 09:36

Closing odds1.7218 Oct, 07:27

Odds down−0.23

Model chance at recommendation: 63.8%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.57
Expected value at recommendation: +24.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 63.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.57. Expected value at recommendation: +24.4%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 193 settled picksand +6.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveAt recommendationover 13.5
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds1.85
Unchanged
Model chance68.5%EV+26.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 03:42
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 11.5odds1.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:42
- over 12.5odds1.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.3%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:42
- over 13.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.2%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:42
- over 14.5odds2.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:42
- over 15.5odds2.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:42
CrocobetAt recommendationover 13.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds1.90
Unchanged
Model chance68.5%EV+30.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 04:10
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 11.5odds1.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 04:10
- over 12.5odds1.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 04:10
- over 13.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 04:10
- over 14.5odds2.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.4%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 04:10
- over 15.5odds2.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 04:10
KambiAt recommendationover 13.5
At recommendation1.83
Closing odds1.78
Odds down−0.05
Model chance69.9%EV+27.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 08:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 12.5odds1.58Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.6%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 06:39
- over 13.5odds1.78Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.4%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 08:32
- over 14.5odds2.05Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 08:25
LiderbetAt recommendationover 13.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds1.90
Unchanged
Model chance68.5%EV+30.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 08:29
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 12.5odds1.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 08:29
- over 13.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.2%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 08:29
- over 14.5odds2.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.0%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 08:29
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 13.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds1.72
Odds down−0.23
Model chance63.8%EV+24.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 09:00
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 10.5odds1.21Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.3%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 07:49
- over 11.5odds1.33Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.0%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 09:00
- over 12.5odds1.51Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.9%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 06:52
- over 13.5odds1.72Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 07:27
- over 14.5odds2.02Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.3%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 06:36
- over 15.5odds2.37Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.8%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 04:20
- over 16.5odds2.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.3%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 08:38
- over 17.5odds3.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.2%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 04:13

Recommendation record

Recorded 16 Oct, 09:36: over 13.5 at 1.95 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 16 Oct, 12:15. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · Le Havre total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 4.5Actual: 6+0.87u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.8718 Oct, 07:18

Closing odds1.8718 Oct, 04:20

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: 54.9%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.83
Expected value at recommendation: +2.7%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 54.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.83. Expected value at recommendation: +2.7%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 163 settled picksand +9.1% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation1.87
Closing odds1.87
Unchanged
Model chance54.9%EV+2.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 08:05
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.01Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 04:20
- over 2.5odds1.16Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.7%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 06:39
- over 3.5odds1.41Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.4%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 06:27
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.87Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 04:20
- over 5.5odds2.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.9%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 04:20
- over 6.5odds4.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.3%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 08:05
- over 7.5odds5.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.0%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 04:20
Bet365Closing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.83
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 15:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.83Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 15:01
BetliveClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 03:42
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.31Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:42
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:42
- over 5.5odds2.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.4%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:42
CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 04:10
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.33Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.6%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 04:10
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.2%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 04:10
- over 5.5odds2.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 04:10
KambiClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 08:25
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.33Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.9%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 08:25
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.2%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 08:25
- over 5.5odds2.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.4%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 08:25
LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 08:29
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.37Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 08:29
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.7%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 08:29
- over 5.5odds2.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 08:29

Recommendation record

Recorded 18 Oct, 07:18: over 4.5 at 1.87 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Throw-ins · Auxerre total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 17.5Actual: 17−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.8518 Oct, 03:42

Closing odds1.8518 Oct, 03:42

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: 56.7%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.77
Expected value at recommendation: +5.0%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 56.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.77. Expected value at recommendation: +5.0%.

At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 55 settled picksand +4.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationover 17.5
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds1.85
Unchanged
Model chance56.7%EV+5.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 03:42
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 15.5odds1.39Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:42
- over 16.5odds1.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.3%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:42
- over 17.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.2%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:42
- over 18.5odds2.15Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.2%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 03:42
CrocobetClosing estimateover 17.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 04:10
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 16.5odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 04:10
- over 17.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 04:10
- over 18.5odds1.90Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 04:10

Recommendation record

Recorded 18 Oct, 03:42: over 17.5 at 1.85 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return+16.4%ROI · 5 units staked

Profit+0.82units

W / L3 / 2picks

Avg odds1.97settled picks

Recorded picks51 matches

Around this match

CompetitionLigue 1 Home teamLe Havre Away teamAuxerre RefereeWattellier, Eric

Match overview

Matches

Fouls · match total

Shots · match total

Shots · Le Havre total

Shots on target · Le Havre total

Throw-ins · Auxerre total

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