LASK vs Liverpool 3-6 — UEFA Champions League

UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 26/27

LASK

3–6

HT 0–3

Liverpool

Wed 14 Oct·10:45·Matchday 2·Raiffeisen Arena, Linz·Liverpool won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

3Corners11
1Cards0
12Shots26
4Shots on target9
7Fouls4
6Throw-ins16
3Offsides6
6Goal kicks10
2Saves1
17Tackles5
6Interceptions12
4Dribbles16

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

Independence, method & limitations

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

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Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

10:45LASKvLiverpoolUEFA Champions League7 won / 5 lost · +2.27u · 12 picks

Corners · LASK total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 3−1.00u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.108 Oct, 04:36

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 56.1%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.79
Expected value at recommendation: +17.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 56.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.79. Expected value at recommendation: +17.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.1%EV+17.9%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance61.0%EV+9.8%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.65
No saved recommendation
Model chance61.0%EV+0.6%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance61.0%EV+3.7%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.65
No saved recommendation
Model chance61.0%EV+0.6%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.78
No saved recommendation
Model chance61.0%EV+8.5%
10 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 04:36: over 3.5 at 2.10 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 10:42. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · LASK total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 10.5Actual: 7+0.85u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.8513 Oct, 11:25

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 67.9%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.48
Expected value at recommendation: +25.6%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 67.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.48. Expected value at recommendation: +25.6%.

At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 31 settled picksand +3.1% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

CrocobetAt recommendationunder 10.5
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance67.9%EV+25.6%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 10.5
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance67.9%EV+25.6%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance62.2%EV+21.2%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 11:25: under 10.5 at 1.85 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 16:52. The original pick remains in the results.

Goal kicks · LASK total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 9.5Actual: 6+1.20u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.2013 Oct, 07:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 87.9%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.14
Expected value at recommendation: +93.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 87.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.14. Expected value at recommendation: +93.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveAt recommendationunder 9.5
At recommendation2.30
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance88.1%EV+102.7%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetAt recommendationunder 9.5
At recommendation2.20
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance87.9%EV+93.4%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 9.5
At recommendation2.20
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance87.9%EV+93.4%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.97
No saved recommendation
Model chance89.3%EV+75.9%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 07:51: under 9.5 at 2.20 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goals · Liverpool total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 2.5Actual: 6+1.02u on one unit

BetMGM UKrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0213 Oct, 23:42

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 52.1%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.92
Expected value at recommendation: +5.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 52.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.92. Expected value at recommendation: +5.3%.

At recommendation, BetMGM UK’s overall market record had 100 settled picksand +0.6% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation2.02
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.1%EV+5.3%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.20
No saved recommendation
Model chance39.4%EV-13.3%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.25
No saved recommendation
Model chance39.4%EV-11.4%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.25
No saved recommendation
Model chance39.4%EV-11.4%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.20
No saved recommendation
Model chance39.4%EV-13.3%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.30
No saved recommendation
Model chance39.4%EV-9.4%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 23:42: over 2.5 at 2.02 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 23:47. The original pick remains in the results.

Offsides · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 2.5Actual: 9−1.00u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation3.3513 Oct, 07:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 75.9%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.32
Expected value at recommendation: +154.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 75.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.32. Expected value at recommendation: +154.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

CrocobetClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds4.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 2.5
At recommendation3.35
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance75.9%EV+154.4%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 07:51: under 2.5 at 3.35 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 10:15. The original pick remains in the results.

Offsides · LASK total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 1.5Actual: 3−1.00u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.3513 Oct, 07:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 79.5%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.26
Expected value at recommendation: +86.8%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 79.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.26. Expected value at recommendation: +86.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation2.45
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance80.0%EV+96.1%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation2.45
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance79.6%EV+95.1%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation2.35
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance79.5%EV+86.8%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 07:51: under 1.5 at 2.35 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Offsides · Liverpool total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 1.5Actual: 6−1.00u on one unit

Crocobetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.1013 Oct, 13:25

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 78.5%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.28
Expected value at recommendation: +64.8%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 78.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.28. Expected value at recommendation: +64.8%.

At recommendation, Crocobet’s overall market record had 30 settled picksand +4.8% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance78.5%EV+64.8%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance78.5%EV+64.8%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.05
No saved recommendation
Model chance79.4%EV+62.8%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 13:25: under 1.5 at 2.10 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 17:30. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 31.5Actual: 38+1.30u on one unit

Crocobetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.3013 Oct, 11:25

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 55.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.80
Expected value at recommendation: +27.8%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 55.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.80. Expected value at recommendation: +27.8%.

At recommendation, Crocobet’s overall market record had 31 settled picksand +17.6% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationover 31.5
At recommendation2.30
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.6%EV+27.8%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiAt recommendationover 31.5
At recommendation2.04
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.6%EV+13.4%
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetAt recommendationover 31.5
At recommendation2.05
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.6%EV+13.9%
10 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 31.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.35
No saved recommendation
Model chance44.1%EV+3.7%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 31.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.35
No saved recommendation
Model chance44.1%EV+3.7%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 11:25: over 31.5 at 2.30 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 23:47. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · LASK total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 13.5Actual: 12−1.00u on one unit

Crocobetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation4.0013 Oct, 09:32

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 52.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.93
Expected value at recommendation: +108.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.93. Expected value at recommendation: +108.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationover 13.5
At recommendation4.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.0%EV+108.1%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetAt recommendationover 13.5
At recommendation2.87
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.0%EV+54.9%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 09:32: over 13.5 at 4.00 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 10.5Actual: 13+1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0013 Oct, 15:26

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 50.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.99
Expected value at recommendation: +0.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 50.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.99. Expected value at recommendation: +0.9%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 121 settled picksand +0.3% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365At recommendationover 10.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.4%EV+5.9%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 10.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.4%EV+0.9%
10 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance40.2%EV-31.7%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.65
No saved recommendation
Model chance40.2%EV-33.7%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.14
No saved recommendation
Model chance40.2%EV-14.0%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance40.2%EV-31.7%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 15:26: over 10.5 at 2.00 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 16:48. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · LASK total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 4+1.02u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0213 Oct, 23:00

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 56.1%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.79
Expected value at recommendation: +13.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 56.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.79. Expected value at recommendation: +13.3%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 129 settled picksand +4.4% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation2.02
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.1%EV+13.3%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.33
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.3%EV+21.8%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.3%EV+4.6%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.3%EV+4.6%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.25
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.3%EV+17.6%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.3%EV+1.9%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 23:00: over 3.5 at 2.02 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Throw-ins · LASK total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 17.5Actual: 6+0.88u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.8813 Oct, 23:24

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 97.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.03
Expected value at recommendation: +83.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 97.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.03. Expected value at recommendation: +83.1%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 94 settled picksand +9.6% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 17.5
At recommendation1.88
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance97.4%EV+83.1%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 17.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance95.5%EV+67.0%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 17.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance95.5%EV+62.3%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 17.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance95.5%EV+62.3%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 23:24: under 17.5 at 1.88 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 14 Oct, 09:18. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return+18.9%ROI · 12 units staked

Profit+2.27units

W / L7 / 5picks

Avg odds2.35settled picks

Recorded picks121 matches

Around this match

CompetitionUEFA Champions League Home teamLASK Away teamLiverpool RefereeTobias Stieler

Match overview

Matches

Corners · LASK total

Fouls · LASK total

Goal kicks · LASK total

Goals · Liverpool total

Offsides · match total

Offsides · LASK total

Offsides · Liverpool total

Shots · match total

Shots · LASK total

Shots on target · match total

Shots on target · LASK total

Throw-ins · LASK total

This match

Around this match

Previous meetings

On this page

This category

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