KRC Genk vs KV Kortrijk 3-0 — Pro League

Pro LeaguePro League 26/27

KRC Genk

3–0

HT 2–0

KV Kortrijk

Sat 10 Oct·12:45·Matchday 8·Cegeka Arena·KRC Genk won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

6Corners4
1Cards3
13Shots8
6Shots on target1
10Fouls10
18Throw-ins20
3Offsides0
6Goal kicks7
1Saves4
11Tackles13
12Interceptions15
6Dribbles5

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

Independence, method & limitations

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

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Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

12:45KRC GenkvKV KortrijkPro League2 won / 2 lost · +0.01u · 4 picks

Corners · KRC Genk total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 6.5Actual: 6+0.91u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.917 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 61.8%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.62
Expected value at recommendation: +17.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 61.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.62. Expected value at recommendation: +17.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 6.5
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance61.8%EV+17.9%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiAt recommendationunder 6.5
At recommendation1.87
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance63.2%EV+18.2%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetAt recommendationunder 6.5
At recommendation1.88
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance61.8%EV+16.1%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 6.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.6%EV+9.4%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 6.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.6%EV+6.6%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 6.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.6%EV+9.4%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: under 6.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 01:19. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · KV Kortrijk total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 4+1.10u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.107 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 54.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.86
Expected value at recommendation: +13.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 54.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.86. Expected value at recommendation: +13.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.0%EV+13.3%
BetliveAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.7%EV+11.4%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation2.20
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.0%EV+18.7%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation2.02
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.7%EV+12.5%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.0%EV+9.2%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.0%EV+12.0%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 3.5 at 2.10 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 9.5Actual: 7−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9210 Oct, 05:22

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 53.8%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.86
Expected value at recommendation: +3.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.86. Expected value at recommendation: +3.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveAt recommendationover 9.5
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.6%EV+1.0%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 9.5
At recommendation1.92
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.8%EV+3.3%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.8%EV-0.6%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.81
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.8%EV+2.9%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 05:22: over 9.5 at 1.92 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 11:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · KRC Genk total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 6.5Actual: 6−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.1010 Oct, 11:34

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 51.1%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.96
Expected value at recommendation: +7.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.96. Expected value at recommendation: +7.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationover 6.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.1%EV+7.3%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetAt recommendationover 6.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.1%EV+7.3%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 6.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.1%EV+2.2%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 6.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.78
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.1%EV-9.0%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 11:34: over 6.5 at 2.10 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return+0.2%ROI · 4 units staked

Profit+0.01units

W / L2 / 2picks

Avg odds2.01settled picks

Recorded picks41 matches

Around this match

CompetitionPro League Home teamKRC Genk Away teamKV Kortrijk RefereeWim Smet

Match overview

Matches

Corners · KRC Genk total

Corners · KV Kortrijk total

Shots on target · match total

Shots on target · KRC Genk total

This match

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